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Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Nov 2015
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 96-76
22-24 22-23 30-16 22-13
Position#8
Record3-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game96.7
Allowed / game92.8
vs
Position#5
Record5-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game102.8
Allowed / game95.0
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Miami Heat v Toronto Raptors
03 Mar 2027
MIA v TOR
upcoming
02 Mar 2027
MIA v TOR
upcoming
23 Dec 2025
MIA91
TOR112
15 Dec 2025
MIA96
TOR106
12 Dec 2024
MIA114
TOR104
29 Nov 2024
MIA121
TOR111
14 Apr 2024
MIA118
TOR103
12 Apr 2024
MIA125
TOR103
24 Oct 2022
MIA90
TOR98
22 Oct 2022
MIA112
TOR109
29 Jan 2022
MIA120
TOR124
17 Jan 2022
MIA104
TOR99
24 Feb 2021
MIA116
TOR108
03 Aug 2020
MIA103
TOR107
02 Jan 2020
MIA84
TOR76
10 Mar 2019
MIA104
TOR125
26 Dec 2018
MIA104
TOR106
11 Apr 2018
MIA116
TOR109
23 Mar 2017
MIA84
TOR101
11 Mar 2017
MIA104
TOR89
13 May 2016
MIA103
TOR91
09 May 2016
MIA94
TOR87
07 May 2016
MIA91
TOR95
18 Dec 2015
MIA94
TOR108
08 Nov 2015
MIA96
TOR76
11 Apr 2015
MIA104
TOR107
02 Nov 2014
MIA107
TOR102
31 Mar 2014
MIA93
TOR83
05 Jan 2014
MIA102
TOR97
23 Jan 2013
MIA123
TOR116
18 Apr 2012
MIA96
TOR72
05 Feb 2012
MIA95
TOR89
22 Jan 2011
MIA120
TOR103
13 Nov 2010
MIA109
TOR100
28 Mar 2010
MIA97
TOR94
15 Dec 2009
MIA115
TOR95
19 Nov 2008
MIA95
TOR101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#9
L
78-89
78
89
-11
no box
H10/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
104-107
104
107
-3
no box
H11/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
100-93
100
93
+7
no box
H13/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#28
W
105-101
105
101
+4
no box
A16/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
104-94
104
94
+10
104avg 88
H28/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
92-102
92
102
-10
84avg 88
A30/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
109-89
109
89
+20
104avg 88
H01/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
92-98
92
98
-6
79avg 88
H04/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
96-84
96
84
+12
86avg 88
A06/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
87-90
87
90
-3
78avg 88
A07/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
33-12
8-33
19-24
29-27
29-31
23-21
23-28
33-22
24-17
27-27
16-27
29-23
35-23
11-25
30-30
23-27
31-17
19-16
31-34
23-29
19-18
25-29
25-26
30-35
14-28
31-12
34-14
24-25
16-26
25-28
27-19
22-15
27-24
24-22
23-23
26-16
23-33
19-22
19-19
191.4Avg total
96.7Scored
94.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)96.792.8189.5+3.850%
Season at home (3)101.793.7195.3+8.067%
Season away (3)91.792.0183.7-0.333%
Last 10 (10)96.794.7191.4+2.050%
Last 5 (5)95.292.6187.8+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)91.099.7190.7-8.720%
vs Similar ◀ (17)100.196.9197.0+3.259%
vs Weaker (3)100.393.0193.3+7.3100%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#12
L
86-93 OT
86
93
-7
no box
H18/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#12
L
106-117
106
117
-11
no box
H22/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#12
L
99-106
99
106
-7
no box
A25/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#12
L
94-125
94
125
-31
no box
A26/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
106-99
106
99
+7
98avg 87
H28/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
W
113-103
113
103
+10
111avg 87
A30/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
106-87
106
87
+19
95avg 87
H01/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
102-91
102
91
+11
94avg 87
A04/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
W
103-98
103
98
+5
89avg 87
A05/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
87-92
87
92
-5
67avg 87
A07/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
19-27
14-19
26-17
31-26
18-34
26-37
31-20
35-33
13-21
22-18
29-34
22-36
28-30
20-36
24-23
20-30
17-15
35-23
34-31
26-26
28-28
30-21
29-28
24-19
31-22
26-30
25-16
31-25
18-26
25-22
28-18
13-23
27-16
33-42
30-17
15-21
21-24
33-19
18-28
201.3Avg total
100.2Scored
101.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)102.895.0197.8+7.883%
Season at home (2)106.093.0199.0+13.0100%
Season away (4)101.296.0197.2+5.275%
Last 10 (10)100.2101.1201.3-0.950%
Last 5 (5)102.294.2196.4+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)103.098.0201.0+5.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (16)102.2107.4209.7-5.225%
vs Weaker (13)101.293.2194.4+8.185%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +4.2+4.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +4.2+4.2
Miami HeatToronto Raptors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#9
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H10/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
D
58-58
58
58
+0
H11/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H13/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#28
W
64-46
64
46
+18
A16/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H28/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A30/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
44-63
44
63
-19
H01/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H04/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A06/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A07/11
NBA
97.6Avg total
50.8Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.649.399.0+0.343%-
Last 30 at home (17)51.248.799.9+2.547%-
Last 30 away (13)47.650.297.8-2.538%-
Last 10 (10)50.846.897.6+4.050%-
Last 5 (5)44.849.894.6-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)46.349.395.6-3.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)51.050.1101.1+0.953%-
vs Weaker (3)53.045.398.3+7.767%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#12
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H18/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#12
L
49-60
49
60
-11
H22/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#12
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A25/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#12
L
50-66
50
66
-16
A26/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H28/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
D
54-54
54
54
+0
A30/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H01/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A04/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A05/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A07/11
NBA
96.1Avg total
46.0Scored
50.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.050.5100.5-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (13)49.748.798.4+1.038%-
Last 30 away (17)50.251.9102.2-1.741%-
Last 10 (10)46.050.196.1-4.120%-
Last 5 (5)46.846.092.8+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)40.039.079.0+1.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)49.454.8104.2-5.425%-
vs Weaker (13)51.546.297.6+5.354%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 96.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.0 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.030.0
50.8%
49.0%60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.87.0
33.6%
35.3%21.0
🏀 Free throws19.715.7
79.7%
75.5%15.7
They take 79.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 26% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 102.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.3 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws24.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.728.2
44.9%
49.0%56.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.57.3
35.8%
35.3%22.0
🏀 Free throws31.324.5
78.2%
75.5%24.5
They take 83.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 25% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/6 games with a box score before 08 Nov 2015 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LWLWLWWWLL
Toronto Raptors
LWWWWWLLLL
#8
League position
#5
+4.0
Net rating
+7.9
101.1
Offensive rating
103.1
97.1
Defensive rating
95.3
50.7%
Effective FG%
47.1%
44.8%
Opp. effective FG%
45.5%
14.6%
Turnover %
15.5%
18.6%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.38
33.6%
3-point %
35.8%
52.3%
Assist %
50.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.1 · 103.1Defence97.1 · 95.3Shooting50.7% · 47.1%3-point %33.6% · 35.8%Ball care14.6% · 15.5%Off. rebounds18.6% · 28.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Toronto Raptors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Miami Heat wins
2
Toronto Raptors wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/15AIndiana Pacers87-90
06/11/15AMinnesota Timberwolves96-84
04/11/15HAtlanta Hawks92-98
01/11/15HHouston Rockets109-89
30/10/15ACleveland Cavaliers92-102
28/10/15HCharlotte Hornets104-94
16/04/15APhiladelphia 76ers105-101
13/04/15HOrlando Magic100-93
11/04/15HToronto Raptors104-107
10/04/15HChicago Bulls78-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/15AOrlando Magic87-92
05/11/15AOklahoma City Thunder103-98
04/11/15ADallas Mavericks102-91
01/11/15HMilwaukee Bucks106-87
30/10/15ABoston Celtics113-103
28/10/15HIndiana Pacers106-99
26/04/15AWashington Wizards94-125
25/04/15AWashington Wizards99-106
22/04/15HWashington Wizards106-117
18/04/15HWashington Wizards86-93 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game96.7101.791.7
Allowed / game92.893.792.0
Point differential+3.8+8.0-0.3
Avg total189.5195.3183.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Toronto Raptors
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL83%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %83%100%75%
Points / game102.8106.0101.2
Allowed / game95.093.096.0
Point differential+7.8+13.0+5.2
Avg total197.8199.0197.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors770100%115.797.4+18.3
2 Atlanta Hawks87188%103.998.2+5.6
3 Cleveland Cavaliers76186%102.192.9+9.3
4 Toronto Raptors65183%102.895.0+7.8
5 Detroit Pistons54180%95.692.2+3.4
6 San Antonio Spurs64267%101.792.3+9.3
7 Utah Jazz64267%93.385.0+8.3
8 Portland Trail Blazers64267%103.899.0+4.8
9 Los Angeles Clippers64267%107.3103.0+4.3
10 Minnesota Timberwolves53260%98.896.8+2.0
11 Chicago Bulls74357%100.0101.4-1.4
12 Milwaukee Bucks74357%97.7101.0-3.3
13 Houston Rockets74357%102.9108.6-5.7
14 Miami Heat63350%96.792.8+3.8
15 Phoenix Suns63350%102.098.7+3.3
16 Oklahoma City Thunder63350%111.5108.7+2.8
17 Dallas Mavericks63350%99.0100.0-1.0
18 Washington Wizards63350%102.5108.0-5.5
19 Orlando Magic73443%103.4102.3+1.1
20 New York Knicks73443%100.1100.4-0.3
21 Indiana Pacers73443%94.197.6-3.4
22 Memphis Grizzlies73443%90.9101.7-10.9
23 Boston Celtics52340%103.6100.2+3.4
24 Charlotte Hornets62433%102.0101.3+0.7
25 Denver Nuggets62433%97.3103.5-6.2
26 Los Angeles Lakers61517%104.3110.7-6.3
27 Sacramento Kings71614%105.0111.3-6.3
28 Philadelphia 76ers6060%92.0103.7-11.7
29 New Orleans Pelicans6060%102.7114.7-12.0
30 Brooklyn Nets7070%90.4102.9-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat2222302296
Toronto Raptors2423161376
← all games of the day
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