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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Feb 2013
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 100-110
17-32 29-31 23-25 31-22
Position#3
Record39-13
FormWWWWL
Points / game106.2
Allowed / game97.0
vs
Position#1
Record35-14
FormWWWWW
Points / game103.1
Allowed / game96.7
USANBA
NBA2012-13
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Miami Heat
31 Dec 2026
OKC v MIA
upcoming
11 Jan 2026
OKC124
MIA112
12 Feb 2025
OKC115
MIA101
08 Mar 2024
OKC107
MIA100
14 Dec 2022
OKC108
MIA110
15 Nov 2021
OKC90
MIA103
22 Feb 2021
OKC94
MIA108
12 Aug 2020
OKC116
MIA115
17 Jan 2020
OKC108
MIA115
18 Mar 2019
OKC107
MIA116
23 Mar 2018
OKC105
MIA99
07 Nov 2016
OKC97
MIA85
17 Jan 2016
OKC99
MIA74
22 Mar 2015
OKC93
MIA75
20 Feb 2014
OKC81
MIA103
14 Feb 2013
OKC100
MIA110
14 Jun 2012
OKC96
MIA100
12 Jun 2012
OKC105
MIA94
25 Mar 2012
OKC103
MIA87
30 Jan 2011
OKC103
MIA108
16 Jan 2010
OKC98
MIA80
18 Jan 2009
OKC94
MIA104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#10
L
99-104
99
104
-5
A24/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
105-95
105
95
+10
A26/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#14
L
96-105
96
105
-9
A27/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
106-89
106
89
+17
H01/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
L
110-115
110
115
-5
A03/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
112-91
112
91
+21
H05/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
W
119-98
119
98
+21
H07/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
127-96
127
96
+31
H09/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
97-69
97
69
+28
A11/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#13
L
94-109
94
109
-15
A13/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-27
31-25
22-24
20-28
27-30
31-21
28-16
19-28
23-27
30-25
22-23
21-30
32-22
26-12
21-33
27-22
25-23
32-29
21-24
32-39
29-22
39-22
24-23
20-24
34-22
33-27
23-30
29-19
33-27
22-23
36-20
36-26
27-16
24-18
23-14
23-21
26-28
26-30
27-28
15-23
203.6Avg total
106.5Scored
97.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (52)106.297.0203.2+9.175%
Season at home (26)109.195.9205.0+13.288%
Season away (26)103.298.2201.4+5.062%
Last 10 (10)106.597.1203.6+9.460%
Last 5 (5)109.892.6202.4+17.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)109.6102.2211.8+7.460%
vs Weaker (25)106.196.8202.9+9.372%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#24
W
110-88
110
88
+22
H26/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#17
L
98-100 OT
98
100
-2
A27/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#9
W
105-85
105
85
+20
A31/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
L
89-102
89
102
-13
A02/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
W
100-85
100
85
+15
A03/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#29
W
99-94
99
94
+5
H05/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
W
114-108
114
108
+6
H07/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
111-89
111
89
+22
H09/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#14
W
107-97
107
97
+10
H10/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
117-104
117
104
+13
H13/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-31
30-20
24-17
26-20
26-22
19-23
23-19
19-23
30-20
19-29
36-14
20-22
23-25
22-28
20-27
24-22
24-21
20-29
27-17
29-18
22-21
25-22
19-20
33-31
32-30
31-26
26-27
25-25
30-29
32-21
31-18
18-21
25-26
28-27
25-20
29-24
29-33
29-26
28-23
31-22
200.2Avg total
105.0Scored
95.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (49)103.196.7199.8+6.371%
Season at home (26)107.396.6203.9+10.888%
Season away (23)98.396.9195.2+1.352%
Last 10 (10)105.095.2200.2+9.880%
Last 5 (5)109.698.4208.0+11.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)107.093.0200.0+14.0100%
vs Weaker (28)102.495.1197.5+7.468%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +6.2+6.2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +2.6+2.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +6.2+6.2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +2.6+2.6
Oklahoma City ThunderMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#10
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A24/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A26/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#14
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A27/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
58-34
58
34
+24
H01/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A03/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
68-44
68
44
+24
H05/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
W
67-49
67
49
+18
H07/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H09/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A11/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#13
L
52-58
52
58
-6
A13/02
NBA
105.2Avg total
57.6Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.047.8101.8+6.377%-
Last 30 at home (12)55.346.4101.8+8.983%-
Last 30 away (18)53.248.7101.8+4.572%-
Last 10 (10)57.647.6105.2+10.090%-
Last 5 (5)58.647.0105.6+11.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)53.449.0102.4+4.460%-
vs Weaker (25)54.247.5101.7+6.680%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#24
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H26/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#17
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A27/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#9
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A31/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A02/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A03/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#29
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H05/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
W
63-56
63
56
+7
H07/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
62-50
62
50
+12
H09/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#14
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H10/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
58-59
58
59
-1
H13/02
NBA
103.5Avg total
52.6Scored
50.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.348.599.8+2.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.249.5102.7+3.760%-
Last 30 away (15)49.347.596.8+1.933%-
Last 10 (10)52.650.9103.5+1.740%-
Last 5 (5)56.652.2108.8+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)58.049.0107.0+9.0100%-
vs Weaker (28)50.848.599.2+2.343%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/13AUtah Jazz94-109
11/02/13APhoenix Suns97-69
09/02/13HPhoenix Suns127-96
07/02/13HGolden State Warriors119-98
05/02/13HDallas Mavericks112-91
03/02/13ACleveland Cavaliers110-115
01/02/13HMemphis Grizzlies106-89
27/01/13ALos Angeles Lakers96-105
26/01/13ASacramento Kings105-95
24/01/13AGolden State Warriors99-104
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/13HPortland Trail Blazers117-104
10/02/13HLos Angeles Lakers107-97
09/02/13HLos Angeles Clippers111-89
07/02/13HHouston Rockets114-108
05/02/13HCharlotte Hornets99-94
03/02/13AToronto Raptors100-85
02/02/13AIndiana Pacers89-102
31/01/13ABrooklyn Nets105-85
27/01/13ABoston Celtics98-100 OT
26/01/13HDetroit Pistons110-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2012-13
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL75%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWLLWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games522626
Win %75%88%62%
Points / game106.2109.1103.2
Allowed / game97.095.998.2
Point differential+9.1+13.2+5.0
Avg total203.2205.0201.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%73%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)100% (1)38% (8)
Overtime %10%8%12%
Miami Heat
NBA 2012-13
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW71%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWLWLW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games492623
Win %71%88%52%
Points / game103.1107.398.3
Allowed / game96.796.696.9
Point differential+6.3+10.8+1.3
Avg total199.8203.9195.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%54%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)80% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %10%12%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs54421278%104.295.8+8.4
2 Oklahoma City Thunder52391375%106.297.0+9.1
3 Miami Heat49351471%103.196.7+6.3
4 Los Angeles Clippers55381769%100.093.6+6.4
5 Memphis Grizzlies51331865%93.790.2+3.5
6 New York Knicks50321864%100.395.7+4.6
7 Denver Nuggets54332161%105.1101.5+3.6
8 Indiana Pacers53322160%92.889.9+2.9
9 Brooklyn Nets53312258%95.294.7+0.5
10 Chicago Bulls52302258%93.191.5+1.6
11 Golden State Warriors52302258%101.0101.2-0.2
12 Atlanta Hawks51292257%97.096.2+0.8
13 Utah Jazz54302456%98.398.6-0.4
14 Boston Celtics52282454%95.895.8+0.0
15 Houston Rockets55292653%106.1103.3+2.8
16 Milwaukee Bucks51262551%97.598.5-1.0
17 Los Angeles Lakers53252847%101.6100.5+1.2
18 Portland Trail Blazers53252847%96.799.7-3.0
19 Dallas Mavericks52232944%101.3102.8-1.4
20 Philadelphia 76ers51222943%92.395.4-3.1
21 Toronto Raptors53213240%97.799.1-1.3
22 Detroit Pistons54213339%95.396.9-1.7
23 Minnesota Timberwolves50193138%95.197.2-2.1
24 New Orleans Pelicans53193436%94.197.1-3.0
25 Sacramento Kings54193535%96.8103.8-6.9
26 Phoenix Suns53173632%94.799.9-5.3
27 Cleveland Cavaliers53163730%97.0101.3-4.3
28 Washington Wizards51153629%91.395.2-3.9
29 Orlando Magic52153729%94.099.3-5.3
30 Charlotte Hornets52124023%93.8102.7-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder17292331100
Miami Heat32312522110
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