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Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Nov 2015
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 91-103
25-20 25-25 19-17 22-41
Position#9
Record10-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game96.4
Allowed / game93.0
vs
Position#26
Record6-11
FormWLLLL
Points / game99.8
Allowed / game104.9
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Miami Heat v Minnesota Timberwolves
21 Oct 2026
MIA106
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10 Oct 2026
MIA124
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03 Jan 2026
MIA115
MIN125
07 Mar 2025
MIA104
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18 Dec 2023
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26 Dec 2022
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04 Oct 2022
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12 Mar 2022
MIA104
MIN113
07 May 2021
MIA121
MIN112
26 Feb 2020
MIA126
MIN129
30 Dec 2018
MIA104
MIN113
30 Oct 2017
MIA122
MIN125
17 Mar 2017
MIA123
MIN105
15 Oct 2016
MIA96
MIN101
08 Oct 2016
MIA100
MIN109
17 Nov 2015
MIA91
MIN103
08 Nov 2014
MIA102
MIN92
04 Apr 2014
MIA121
MIN122
16 Jul 2013
MIA71
MIN80
18 Dec 2012
MIA103
MIN92
02 Nov 2010
MIA129
MIN97
23 Feb 2010
MIA88
MIN91
18 Feb 2009
MIA104
MIN111
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
90-93
90
93
-3
A24/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
104-94
104
94
+10
H28/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
92-102
92
102
-10
A30/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#18
W
109-89
109
89
+20
H01/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
92-98
92
98
-6
H04/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
96-84
96
84
+12
A06/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
87-90
87
90
-3
A07/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
96-76
96
76
+20
H08/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
101-88
101
88
+13
H11/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#17
W
92-91
92
91
+1
H13/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
28-25
9-18
27-27
23-27
31-17
19-16
31-34
23-29
19-18
25-29
25-26
30-35
14-28
31-12
34-14
24-25
16-26
25-28
27-19
22-15
27-24
24-22
23-23
26-16
23-33
19-22
19-19
22-24
22-23
30-16
22-13
29-23
21-26
25-17
26-22
28-22
18-23
20-21
26-25
186.4Avg total
95.9Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)96.493.0189.4+3.459%
Season at home (10)97.592.5190.0+5.070%
Season away (7)94.793.7188.4+1.043%
Last 10 (10)95.990.5186.4+5.460%
Last 5 (5)94.485.8180.2+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)82.490.1172.6-7.729%
vs Similar (14)96.793.9190.6+2.857%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)90.182.0172.1+8.189%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
112-111
112
111
+1
A29/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
95-78
95
78
+17
A31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
101-106
101
106
-5
H03/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#9
L
84-96
84
96
-12
H06/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
102-93 OT
102
93
+9
A07/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
117-107
117
107
+10
A10/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
95-104
95
104
-9
H11/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
116-129
116
129
-13
H13/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
103-107
103
107
-4
A14/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
106-114
106
114
-8
H15/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-31
29-29
37-35
24-16
26-16
23-23
30-24
16-15
34-21
19-32
27-30
21-23
15-22
24-27
22-24
23-23
30-28
28-29
18-20
17-16
30-19
42-23
21-42
24-23
31-32
28-31
21-22
15-19
27-40
36-35
24-22
29-32
27-24
23-37
23-29
30-17
23-22
26-33
30-26
27-33
207.6Avg total
103.1Scored
104.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)99.8104.9204.8-5.135%
Season at home (9)100.8108.9209.7-8.122%
Season away (8)98.8100.5199.2-1.850%
Last 10 (10)103.1104.5207.6-1.440%
Last 5 (5)107.4112.2219.6-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)97.2108.4205.7-11.212%
vs Similar (13)93.097.2190.2-4.231%
vs Weaker (1)112.0111.0223.0+1.0100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +0.9+0.9
Miami HeatMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A24/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H28/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A30/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#18
L
44-63
44
63
-19
H01/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H04/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A06/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A07/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H08/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H11/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#17
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H13/11
NBA
95.4Avg total
47.2Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.745.492.1+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.445.893.1+1.653%-
Last 30 away (13)45.944.990.8+1.046%-
Last 10 (10)47.248.295.4-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)47.645.893.4+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)45.644.189.7+1.443%-
vs Similar (14)47.349.696.9-2.429%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)46.839.886.6+7.089%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
L
51-60
51
60
-9
A29/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H03/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#9
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H06/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A07/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
72-42
72
42
+30
A10/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
59-63
59
63
-4
H11/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
63-75
63
75
-12
H13/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A14/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
49-55
49
55
-6
H15/11
NBA
109.7Avg total
54.3Scored
55.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.354.2102.5-5.917%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.656.8104.4-9.26%-
Last 30 away (14)49.151.2100.4-2.129%-
Last 10 (10)54.355.4109.7-1.130%-
Last 5 (5)58.659.2117.8-0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)49.857.1106.9-7.26%-
vs Similar (13)46.350.296.5-3.931%-
vs Weaker (1)51.060.0111.0-9.00%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 97.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.6 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.729.8
49.1%
49.0%59.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.86.9
33.2%
35.3%20.7
🏀 Free throws22.016.7
75.9%
75.5%16.7
They take 81.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 26% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 103.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀15%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.4 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.532.7
48.4%
49.0%65.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.15.2
34.4%
35.3%15.6
🏀 Free throws27.722.1
79.8%
75.5%22.1
They take 82.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 15.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 18% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2015 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WWWLWLWLWL
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLLLWWLLWW
#9
League position
#26
+6.9
Net rating
-1.4
101.7
Offensive rating
102.3
94.8
Defensive rating
103.7
49.3%
Effective FG%
49.0%
45.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
13.9%
Turnover %
15.1%
22.7%
Off. rebound %
23.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.2%
3-point %
34.4%
53.7%
Assist %
56.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence101.7 · 102.3Defence94.8 · 103.7Shooting49.3% · 49.0%3-point %33.2% · 34.4%Ball care13.9% · 15.1%Off. rebounds22.7% · 23.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/15HUtah Jazz92-91
11/11/15HLos Angeles Lakers101-88
08/11/15HToronto Raptors96-76
07/11/15AIndiana Pacers87-90
06/11/15AMinnesota Timberwolves96-84
04/11/15HAtlanta Hawks92-98
01/11/15HHouston Rockets109-89
30/10/15ACleveland Cavaliers92-102
28/10/15HCharlotte Hornets104-94
24/10/15ANew Orleans Pelicans90-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/15HMemphis Grizzlies106-114
14/11/15AIndiana Pacers103-107
13/11/15HGolden State Warriors116-129
11/11/15HCharlotte Hornets95-104
10/11/15AAtlanta Hawks117-107
07/11/15AChicago Bulls102-93 OT
06/11/15HMiami Heat84-96
03/11/15HPortland Trail Blazers101-106
31/10/15ADenver Nuggets95-78
29/10/15ALos Angeles Lakers112-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW59%
HomeWLWWW70%
AwayWLLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %59%70%43%
Points / game96.497.594.7
Allowed / game93.092.593.7
Point differential+3.4+5.0+1.0
Avg total189.4190.0188.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%40%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)75% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %6%0%14%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL35%
HomeLLLLL22%
AwayWWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %35%22%50%
Points / game99.8100.898.8
Allowed / game104.9108.9100.5
Point differential-5.1-8.1-1.8
Avg total204.8209.7199.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors1814478%109.9100.4+9.4
2 Boston Celtics1510567%101.394.7+6.7
3 Charlotte Hornets1812667%100.394.7+5.6
4 Toronto Raptors1812667%99.293.9+5.3
5 Atlanta Hawks1912763%99.297.9+1.3
6 Oklahoma City Thunder1610662%108.9102.8+6.2
7 San Antonio Spurs1610662%98.692.5+6.1
8 Phoenix Suns1610662%104.699.8+4.8
9 Indiana Pacers1811761%98.796.8+1.9
10 Chicago Bulls1811761%101.1101.6-0.5
11 Memphis Grizzlies1811761%93.094.9-1.9
12 Miami Heat1710759%96.493.0+3.4
13 Los Angeles Clippers169756%102.3103.4-1.1
14 Orlando Magic1810856%100.9100.4+0.5
15 Washington Wizards158753%106.1105.9+0.1
16 Cleveland Cavaliers179853%99.497.7+1.6
17 Sacramento Kings179853%103.1104.4-1.3
18 Denver Nuggets179853%99.0100.4-1.4
19 New York Knicks168850%98.297.9+0.3
20 Utah Jazz178947%96.494.1+2.4
21 Detroit Pistons1881044%99.496.8+2.7
22 Milwaukee Bucks1771041%98.3103.4-5.1
23 Dallas Mavericks1871139%96.499.7-3.3
24 Portland Trail Blazers1971237%101.7102.6-0.9
25 Houston Rockets1971237%103.6108.4-4.8
26 Minnesota Timberwolves1761135%99.8104.9-5.1
27 New Orleans Pelicans1741324%101.5108.5-6.9
28 Los Angeles Lakers1841422%97.8104.9-7.1
29 Brooklyn Nets1531220%95.8101.8-6.0
30 Philadelphia 76ers1821611%92.6103.9-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat2525192291
Minnesota Timberwolves20251741103
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