PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Miami Heat vs Utah Jazz Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Nov 2015
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 92-91
28-22 18-23 20-21 26-25
Position#8
Record5-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game97.1
Allowed / game90.1
vs
Position#18
Record4-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game96.3
Allowed / game89.7
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Miami Heat v Utah Jazz
25 Mar 2027
MIA v UTA
upcoming
09 Feb 2026
MIA111
UTA115
04 Jan 2025
MIA100
UTA136
02 Mar 2024
MIA126
UTA120
13 Mar 2023
MIA119
UTA115
06 Nov 2021
MIA118
UTA115
26 Feb 2021
MIA124
UTA116
23 Dec 2019
MIA107
UTA104
02 Dec 2018
MIA102
UTA100
07 Jan 2018
MIA103
UTA102
12 Nov 2016
MIA91
UTA102
12 Nov 2015
MIA92
UTA91
17 Dec 2014
MIA87
UTA105
16 Dec 2013
MIA117
UTA94
22 Dec 2012
MIA105
UTA89
09 Nov 2010
MIA114
UTA116
23 Dec 2009
MIA80
UTA70
14 Mar 2009
MIA140
UTA129
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah Jazz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#26
W
100-93
100
93
+7
no box
H13/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#28
W
105-101
105
101
+4
no box
A16/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
104-94
104
94
+10
104avg 88
H28/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
92-102
92
102
-10
84avg 88
A30/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
109-89
109
89
+20
104avg 88
H01/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
92-98
92
98
-6
79avg 88
H04/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
96-84
96
84
+12
86avg 88
A06/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
87-90
87
90
-3
78avg 88
A07/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
96-76
96
76
+20
86avg 88
H08/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
101-88
101
88
+13
94avg 88
H11/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-22
24-17
27-27
16-27
29-23
35-23
11-25
30-30
23-27
31-17
19-16
31-34
23-29
19-18
25-29
25-26
30-35
14-28
31-12
34-14
24-25
16-26
25-28
27-19
22-15
27-24
24-22
23-23
26-16
23-33
19-22
19-19
22-24
22-23
30-16
22-13
29-23
21-26
25-17
26-22
189.7Avg total
98.2Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)97.190.1187.2+7.062%
Season at home (5)100.489.0189.4+11.480%
Season away (3)91.792.0183.7-0.333%
Last 10 (10)98.291.5189.7+6.770%
Last 5 (5)94.487.2181.6+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)91.099.7190.7-8.720%
vs Similar ◀ (17)99.095.6194.6+3.459%
vs Weaker (3)100.791.0191.7+9.7100%
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJazz
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#8
W
111-105
111
105
+6
no box
A12/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#10
W
109-92
109
92
+17
no box
H14/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
91-117
91
117
-26
no box
A16/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
87-92
87
92
-5
76avg 86
A28/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
99-71
99
71
+28
89avg 86
A30/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
97-76
97
76
+21
83avg 86
A31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
92-108
92
108
-16
65avg 86
H05/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
96-84
96
84
+12
86avg 86
A06/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
89-79
89
79
+10
86avg 86
H08/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
114-118
114
118
-4
110avg 86
A11/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-19
24-27
21-34
34-25
29-26
28-31
30-12
22-23
20-31
15-34
25-28
31-24
15-16
29-25
20-28
23-23
28-19
22-14
24-20
25-18
23-29
19-20
28-12
27-15
26-27
23-30
19-19
24-32
19-24
21-18
25-22
31-20
21-19
30-19
26-19
12-22
22-27
26-25
32-28
34-38
192.7Avg total
98.5Scored
94.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)96.389.7186.0+6.657%
Season at home (2)90.593.5184.0-3.050%
Season away (5)98.688.2186.8+10.460%
Last 10 (10)98.594.2192.7+4.360%
Last 5 (5)97.693.0190.6+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)102.5112.0214.5-9.50%
vs Similar ◀ (20)94.591.3185.8+3.255%
vs Weaker (8)93.582.8176.2+10.888%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +2.3+2.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +2.3+2.3
Miami HeatUtah Jazz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#26
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H13/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#28
W
64-46
64
46
+18
A16/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H28/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A30/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
44-63
44
63
-19
H01/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H04/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A06/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A07/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H08/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H11/11
NBA
96.7Avg total
49.3Scored
47.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.249.298.4-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (17)50.448.598.9+1.847%-
Last 30 away (13)47.650.297.8-2.538%-
Last 10 (10)49.347.496.7+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)46.447.093.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)46.349.395.6-3.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)49.950.099.9-0.147%-
vs Weaker (3)54.344.799.0+9.7100%-
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#8
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A12/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#10
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H14/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
35-65
35
65
-30
A16/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A28/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A30/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
49-57
49
57
-8
H05/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A06/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H08/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A11/11
NBA
95.2Avg total
47.2Scored
48.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.444.489.8+1.040%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.843.892.6+5.057%-
Last 30 away (16)42.445.087.4-2.625%-
Last 10 (10)47.248.095.2-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)46.047.693.6-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)44.050.594.5-6.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)45.946.292.1-0.335%-
vs Weaker (8)44.538.583.0+6.062%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 97.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.0 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.130.0
49.9%
49.0%60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.66.9
33.3%
35.3%20.6
🏀 Free throws21.216.5
77.6%
75.5%16.5
They take 80.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 26% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Utah Jazztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utah Jazz: 96.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.7 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.328.3
44.7%
49.0%56.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.67.6
38.7%
35.3%22.7
🏀 Free throws22.917.0
74.4%
75.5%17.0
They take 82.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 24% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/7 games with a box score before 13 Nov 2015 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WWLWLWLWWW
Utah Jazz
LWWLWWLLWW
#8
League position
#18
+7.4
Net rating
+7.0
102.7
Offensive rating
102.2
95.3
Defensive rating
95.2
49.9%
Effective FG%
47.8%
45.2%
Opp. effective FG%
45.7%
13.7%
Turnover %
13.9%
22.0%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.3%
3-point %
38.7%
53.2%
Assist %
51.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.7 · 102.2Defence95.3 · 95.2Shooting49.9% · 47.8%3-point %33.3% · 38.7%Ball care13.7% · 13.9%Off. rebounds22.0% · 27.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Utah Jazz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Miami Heat wins
6
Utah Jazz wins
DateGameScore
18/12/14Miami Heat v Utah Jazz87-105
13/12/14Utah Jazz v Miami Heat95-100
09/02/14Utah Jazz v Miami Heat94-89
17/12/13Miami Heat v Utah Jazz117-94
15/01/13Utah Jazz v Miami Heat104-97
23/12/12Miami Heat v Utah Jazz105-89
03/03/12Utah Jazz v Miami Heat99-98
09/12/10Utah Jazz v Miami Heat98-111
10/11/10Miami Heat v Utah Jazz114-116 OT
12/01/10Utah Jazz v Miami Heat118-89
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/15HLos Angeles Lakers101-88
08/11/15HToronto Raptors96-76
07/11/15AIndiana Pacers87-90
06/11/15AMinnesota Timberwolves96-84
04/11/15HAtlanta Hawks92-98
01/11/15HHouston Rockets109-89
30/10/15ACleveland Cavaliers92-102
28/10/15HCharlotte Hornets104-94
16/04/15APhiladelphia 76ers105-101
13/04/15HOrlando Magic100-93
Utah Jazzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/15ACleveland Cavaliers114-118
08/11/15HMemphis Grizzlies89-79
06/11/15ADenver Nuggets96-84
05/11/15HPortland Trail Blazers92-108
31/10/15AIndiana Pacers97-76
30/10/15APhiladelphia 76ers99-71
28/10/15ADetroit Pistons87-92
16/04/15AHouston Rockets91-117
14/04/15HDallas Mavericks109-92
12/04/15APortland Trail Blazers111-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW62%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%80%33%
Points / game97.1100.491.7
Allowed / game90.189.092.0
Point differential+7.0+11.4-0.3
Avg total187.2189.4183.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%80%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Utah Jazz
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL57%
HomeLW50%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %57%50%60%
Points / game96.390.598.6
Allowed / game89.793.588.2
Point differential+6.6-3.0+10.4
Avg total186.0184.0186.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%50%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors990100%113.295.7+17.6
2 Cleveland Cavaliers87188%104.195.5+8.6
3 Atlanta Hawks108280%104.4100.1+4.3
4 San Antonio Spurs86275%103.692.9+10.8
5 Toronto Raptors96367%102.397.8+4.6
6 Oklahoma City Thunder85362%114.8107.0+7.8
7 Miami Heat85362%97.190.1+7.0
8 Los Angeles Clippers85362%105.8103.5+2.2
9 Chicago Bulls85362%101.499.8+1.6
10 Detroit Pistons85362%98.196.8+1.4
11 Utah Jazz74357%96.389.7+6.6
12 Minnesota Timberwolves74357%100.999.3+1.6
13 Indiana Pacers95456%95.395.3+0.0
14 Charlotte Hornets84450%101.499.5+1.9
15 Dallas Mavericks84450%102.1103.5-1.4
16 Denver Nuggets84450%99.4103.4-4.0
17 Houston Rockets84450%102.2108.2-6.0
18 New York Knicks94544%100.6100.8-0.2
19 Orlando Magic94544%101.0101.3-0.3
20 Portland Trail Blazers94544%103.4103.9-0.4
21 Milwaukee Bucks94544%96.6101.0-4.4
22 Boston Celtics73443%101.198.0+3.1
23 Phoenix Suns73443%102.1102.3-0.1
24 Washington Wizards73443%102.3110.4-8.1
25 Memphis Grizzlies93633%90.2100.7-10.4
26 Sacramento Kings92722%102.7108.6-5.9
27 Los Angeles Lakers81712%101.6108.2-6.6
28 New Orleans Pelicans81712%104.2112.4-8.1
29 Brooklyn Nets81712%92.4102.2-9.9
30 Philadelphia 76ers8080%92.9106.5-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat2818202692
Utah Jazz2223212591
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.