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Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 01 Dec 2015
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 95-105
23-32 28-25 24-24 20-24
Position#8
Record10-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game96.3
Allowed / game91.7
vs
Position#9
Record9-8
FormLLWWL
Points / game101.8
Allowed / game97.6
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Miami Heat v Boston Celtics
27 Mar 2027
MIA v BOS
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
MIA129
BOS147
15 Jan 2026
MIA114
BOS119
14 Mar 2025
MIA91
BOS103
10 Feb 2025
MIA85
BOS103
29 Apr 2024
MIA88
BOS102
27 Apr 2024
MIA84
BOS104
11 Feb 2024
MIA106
BOS110
25 Jan 2024
MIA110
BOS143
27 May 2023
MIA103
BOS104
23 May 2023
MIA99
BOS116
21 May 2023
MIA128
BOS102
24 Jan 2023
MIA98
BOS95
21 Oct 2022
MIA104
BOS111
29 May 2022
MIA96
BOS100
25 May 2022
MIA80
BOS93
19 May 2022
MIA102
BOS127
17 May 2022
MIA118
BOS107
04 Nov 2021
MIA78
BOS95
06 Jan 2021
MIA105
BOS107
27 Sep 2020
MIA125
BOS113
23 Sep 2020
MIA112
BOS109
19 Sep 2020
MIA106
BOS117
04 Aug 2020
MIA112
BOS106
11 Apr 2020
MIA v BOS
upcoming
28 Jan 2020
MIA101
BOS109
03 Apr 2019
MIA102
BOS112
10 Jan 2019
MIA115
BOS99
22 Nov 2017
MIA104
BOS98
28 Oct 2017
MIA90
BOS96
18 Dec 2016
MIA95
BOS105
28 Nov 2016
MIA104
BOS112
30 Nov 2015
MIA95
BOS105
09 Mar 2015
MIA90
BOS100
21 Dec 2014
MIA100
BOS84
21 Jan 2014
MIA93
BOS86
09 Nov 2013
MIA110
BOS111
12 Apr 2013
MIA109
BOS101
30 Oct 2012
MIA120
BOS107
09 Jun 2012
MIA101
BOS88
05 Jun 2012
MIA90
BOS94
30 May 2012
MIA115
BOS111
28 May 2012
MIA93
BOS79
10 Apr 2012
MIA107
BOS115
27 Dec 2011
MIA115
BOS107
11 May 2011
MIA97
BOS87
03 May 2011
MIA102
BOS91
01 May 2011
MIA99
BOS90
10 Apr 2011
MIA100
BOS77
11 Nov 2010
MIA107
BOS112
25 Apr 2010
MIA101
BOS92
23 Apr 2010
MIA98
BOS100
06 Jan 2010
MIA106
BOS112
29 Nov 2009
MIA85
BOS92
11 Mar 2009
MIA107
BOS99
21 Jan 2009
MIA83
BOS98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
87-90
87
90
-3
78avg 88
A07/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
96-76
96
76
+20
86avg 88
H08/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
101-88
101
88
+13
94avg 88
H11/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
W
92-91
92
91
+1
82avg 88
H13/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
L
91-103
91
103
-12
83avg 88
H18/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
116-109
116
109
+7
105avg 88
H20/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
96-91
96
91
+5
88avg 88
H22/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
W
95-78
95
78
+17
88avg 88
H24/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
81-104
81
104
-23
73avg 88
A26/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
W
97-78
97
78
+19
88avg 88
A28/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
23-33
19-22
19-19
22-24
22-23
30-16
22-13
29-23
21-26
25-17
26-22
28-22
18-23
20-21
26-25
25-20
25-25
19-17
22-41
25-21
31-25
26-30
34-33
16-28
16-19
35-27
29-17
26-19
26-11
21-26
22-22
19-25
24-35
19-23
19-21
26-27
24-22
24-14
23-15
186.0Avg total
95.2Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)96.391.7188.0+4.767%
Season at home (10)99.291.7190.9+7.580%
Season away (5)90.691.6182.2-1.040%
Last 10 (10)95.290.8186.0+4.470%
Last 5 (5)97.092.0189.0+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)86.399.9186.1-13.60%
vs Similar ◀ (15)96.794.3191.0+2.560%
vs Weaker (8)99.691.5191.1+8.188%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
106-93
106
93
+13
94avg 92
H14/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
W
100-85
100
85
+15
96avg 92
A16/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
111-95
111
95
+16
105avg 92
A17/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
L
102-106
102
106
-4
87avg 92
H19/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
120-95
120
95
+25
126avg 92
H21/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
101-111
101
111
-10
87avg 92
A22/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
97-121
97
121
-24
83avg 92
A25/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
84-80
84
80
+4
70avg 92
H26/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
111-78
111
78
+33
107avg 92
H28/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
91-110
91
110
-19
78avg 92
A29/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
22-19
35-24
26-24
24-24
21-28
27-22
28-11
24-28
31-27
32-13
24-27
31-16
23-29
24-25
24-36
23-19
43-23
25-25
29-28
19-24
23-35
36-27
23-25
28-33
20-24
25-24
24-40
26-24
14-23
17-15
27-18
29-18
25-18
25-20
32-22
20-21
25-32
22-31
24-26
199.7Avg total
102.3Scored
97.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)101.897.6199.5+4.253%
Season at home (10)103.495.5198.9+7.960%
Season away (7)99.6100.7200.3-1.143%
Last 10 (10)102.397.4199.7+4.960%
Last 5 (5)96.8100.0196.8-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)97.895.5193.2+2.238%
vs Similar ◀ (16)105.2101.2206.4+4.162%
vs Weaker (6)101.295.7196.8+5.567%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.4+0.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.4+0.4
Miami HeatBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#11
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A07/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H08/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H11/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H13/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H18/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
56-46
56
46
+10
H20/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H22/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H24/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
43-60
43
60
-17
A26/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A28/11
NBA
93.9Avg total
47.2Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.047.796.8+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (17)49.446.495.7+3.059%-
Last 30 away (13)48.649.598.2-0.946%-
Last 10 (10)47.246.793.9+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)46.646.493.0+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)45.449.795.1-4.314%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)50.048.998.9+1.153%-
vs Weaker (8)50.443.994.2+6.588%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#10
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H14/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A16/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A17/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H19/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
66-42
66
42
+24
H21/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A22/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A25/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H26/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H28/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A29/11
NBA
98.5Avg total
49.4Scored
49.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.748.197.8+1.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.246.296.4+4.050%-
Last 30 away (14)49.250.299.4-1.036%-
Last 10 (10)49.449.198.5+0.330%-
Last 5 (5)45.850.496.2-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)46.649.195.8-2.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)51.847.999.7+3.950%-
vs Weaker (6)48.347.295.5+1.250%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 95.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀18%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.2 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.329.1
48.3%
49.0%58.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.55.8
29.7%
35.3%17.4
🏀 Free throws27.819.6
70.5%
75.5%19.6
They take 79.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 24% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 100.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.229.2
49.3%
49.0%58.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.0
31.6%
35.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.014.9
74.5%
75.5%14.9
They take 87.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Dec 2015 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WLWWWLWWWL
Boston Celtics
LWWLLWLWWW
#8
League position
#9
+4.6
Net rating
+0.5
100.4
Offensive rating
100.3
95.8
Defensive rating
99.8
47.4%
Effective FG%
48.7%
44.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
13.3%
Turnover %
15.4%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.23
29.7%
3-point %
31.6%
55.0%
Assist %
64.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.4 · 100.3Defence95.8 · 99.8Shooting47.4% · 48.7%3-point %29.7% · 31.6%Ball care13.3% · 15.4%Off. rebounds24.4% · 25.6%Free throws0.35 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Miami Heat wins
4
Boston Celtics wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/15ANew York Knicks97-78
26/11/15ADetroit Pistons81-104
24/11/15HNew York Knicks95-78
22/11/15HPhiladelphia 76ers96-91
20/11/15HSacramento Kings116-109
18/11/15HMinnesota Timberwolves91-103
13/11/15HUtah Jazz92-91
11/11/15HLos Angeles Lakers101-88
08/11/15HToronto Raptors96-76
07/11/15AIndiana Pacers87-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/15AOrlando Magic91-110
28/11/15HWashington Wizards111-78
26/11/15HPhiladelphia 76ers84-80
25/11/15AAtlanta Hawks97-121
22/11/15ABrooklyn Nets101-111
21/11/15HBrooklyn Nets120-95
19/11/15HDallas Mavericks102-106
17/11/15AHouston Rockets111-95
16/11/15AOklahoma City Thunder100-85
14/11/15HAtlanta Hawks106-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15105
Win %67%80%40%
Points / game96.399.290.6
Allowed / game91.791.791.6
Point differential+4.7+7.5-1.0
Avg total188.0190.9182.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL53%
HomeWLWWW60%
AwayWWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %53%60%43%
Points / game101.8103.499.6
Allowed / game97.695.5100.7
Point differential+4.2+7.9-1.1
Avg total199.5198.9200.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%50%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors18180100%115.899.8+16.0
2 San Antonio Spurs1714382%99.489.7+9.7
3 Cleveland Cavaliers1713476%103.196.5+6.5
4 Indiana Pacers1611569%101.895.6+6.2
5 Miami Heat1510567%96.391.7+4.7
6 Oklahoma City Thunder1711665%109.4102.8+6.6
7 Chicago Bulls149564%99.498.9+0.4
8 Toronto Raptors1811761%100.296.4+3.8
9 Charlotte Hornets1710759%102.598.8+3.7
10 Dallas Mavericks1710759%100.199.1+1.0
11 Atlanta Hawks1911858%102.2100.3+1.9
12 Memphis Grizzlies1810856%96.299.5-3.3
13 Utah Jazz158753%95.593.2+2.3
14 Boston Celtics179853%101.897.6+4.2
15 Orlando Magic179853%101.9100.0+1.9
16 Los Angeles Clippers179853%103.5102.6+0.9
17 Phoenix Suns178947%106.2105.2+1.0
18 Minnesota Timberwolves178947%101.2101.4-0.2
19 Detroit Pistons178947%95.596.1-0.6
20 New York Knicks1881044%96.998.8-1.9
21 Washington Wizards146843%99.2105.1-5.9
22 Portland Trail Blazers1771041%100.8100.9-0.2
23 Houston Rockets1771041%101.6107.5-5.8
24 Denver Nuggets1761135%97.8103.7-5.9
25 Milwaukee Bucks1761135%96.9105.0-8.1
26 Sacramento Kings1861233%104.9109.1-4.2
27 Brooklyn Nets1741324%95.8102.6-6.8
28 New Orleans Pelicans1741324%101.5108.9-7.4
29 Los Angeles Lakers1621412%97.1106.0-8.9
30 Philadelphia 76ers180180%90.8102.8-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat2328242095
Boston Celtics32252424105
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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