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San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Oct 2017
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 122-100
35-32 31-22 17-28 39-18
Position#14
Record1-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game106.5
Allowed / game99.5
vs
Position#12
Record3-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game114.3
Allowed / game104.3
USANBA· AT&T Center
NBA2017-18
Meetings · San Antonio Spurs v Denver Nuggets
09 Apr 2027
SAS v DEN
upcoming
28 Feb 2027
SAS v DEN
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
SAS118
DEN128
12 Mar 2026
SAS131
DEN136
04 Jan 2025
SAS111
DEN122
12 Apr 2024
SAS121
DEN120
15 Mar 2024
SAS106
DEN117
10 Mar 2023
SAS128
DEN120
07 Nov 2022
SAS109
DEN115
11 Dec 2021
SAS112
DEN127
09 Dec 2021
SAS123
DEN111
29 Jan 2021
SAS119
DEN109
05 Aug 2020
SAS126
DEN132
25 Apr 2019
SAS120
DEN103
20 Apr 2019
SAS103
DEN117
18 Apr 2019
SAS118
DEN108
04 Mar 2019
SAS104
DEN103
26 Dec 2018
SAS111
DEN103
30 Jan 2018
SAS106
DEN104
13 Jan 2018
SAS112
DEN80
08 Oct 2017
SAS122
DEN100
04 Feb 2017
SAS121
DEN97
19 Jan 2017
SAS118
DEN104
26 Dec 2015
SAS101
DEN86
18 Nov 2015
SAS109
DEN98
03 Apr 2015
SAS123
DEN93
06 Mar 2015
SAS120
DEN111
26 Mar 2014
SAS108
DEN103
27 Mar 2013
SAS100
DEN99
17 Nov 2012
SAS126
DEN100
12 Oct 2012
SAS91
DEN97
04 Mar 2012
SAS94
DEN99
07 Jan 2012
SAS121
DEN117
16 Jan 2011
SAS110
DEN97
22 Dec 2010
SAS109
DEN103
31 Jan 2010
SAS89
DEN103
05 Dec 2009
SAS99
DEN106
19 Nov 2008
SAS81
DEN91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Antonio Spurs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#1
L
74-87
74
87
-13
A04/07
NBA - Utah Summer League
Boston Celtics
#4
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H05/07
NBA - Utah Summer League
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
86-94
86
94
-8
H06/07
NBA - Utah Summer League
Miami Heat
#6
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A09/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Philadelphia 76ers
#21
W
101-95
101
95
+6
H10/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
W
99-85
99
85
+14
A11/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
86-81
86
81
+5
H13/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
L
87-94
87
94
-7
A15/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
100-106
100
106
-6
A03/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
113-93
113
93
+20
H07/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
18-19
18-23
19-19
23-18
20-16
25-15
13-21
21-23
18-16
31-29
16-26
20-12
25-24
18-23
11-16
25-23
28-23
25-21
23-28
25-19
29-22
23-18
22-26
25-20
15-20
15-25
31-16
24-22
16-25
25-18
22-29
26-32
27-26
31-25
16-23
15-24
36-24
28-22
34-23
178.1Avg total
90.1Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)106.599.5206.0+7.050%
Season at home (1)113.093.0206.0+20.0100%
Season away (1)100.0106.0206.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)90.188.0178.1+2.150%
Last 5 (5)97.091.8188.8+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)101.6117.0218.6-15.40%
vs Similar ◀ (13)97.195.2192.3+1.846%
vs Weaker (12)102.395.1197.4+7.267%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
111-105
111
105
+6
A13/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#14
L
99-102
99
102
-3
H08/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Minnesota Timberwolves
#13
L
71-90
71
90
-19
H09/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Toronto Raptors
#9
L
81-82
81
82
-1
A11/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Houston Rockets
#14
W
87-81
87
81
+6
A12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Brooklyn Nets
#8
L
74-85
74
85
-11
A13/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
96-91
96
91
+5
H15/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
108-102
108
102
+6
A01/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
113-107
113
107
+6
A03/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
122-104
122
104
+18
A05/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
31-38
30-21
25-20
17-26
25-26
29-25
28-25
17-22
19-28
19-23
16-17
18-20
19-26
28-17
16-19
20-12
21-24
22-21
24-24
15-22
22-23
13-24
24-16
23-22
23-22
27-23
23-24
28-21
26-31
32-21
22-29
26-31
35-25
30-24
22-27
41-30
33-22
29-23
19-29
191.1Avg total
96.2Scored
94.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)114.3104.3218.7+10.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (3)114.3104.3218.7+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)96.294.9191.1+1.360%
Last 5 (5)102.697.8200.4+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)99.3102.2201.5-2.817%
vs Similar ◀ (21)110.3107.8218.1+2.562%
vs Weaker (3)114.096.3210.3+17.7100%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -1.1-1.1
San Antonio SpursDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#1
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A04/07
NBA - Utah Summer League
Boston Celtics
#4
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H05/07
NBA - Utah Summer League
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H06/07
NBA - Utah Summer League
Miami Heat
#6
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A09/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Philadelphia 76ers
#21
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H10/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A11/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H13/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A15/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
53-58
53
58
-5
A03/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H07/10
NBA
88.9Avg total
45.5Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.150.199.2-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (14)50.050.5100.5-0.550%-
Last 30 away (16)48.349.798.0-1.431%-
Last 10 (10)45.543.488.9+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)47.646.894.4+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)49.857.6107.4-7.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)48.448.096.4+0.446%-
vs Weaker (12)49.649.298.8+0.442%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
56-64
56
64
-8
A13/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#14
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H08/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Minnesota Timberwolves
#13
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H09/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Toronto Raptors
#9
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A11/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Houston Rockets
#14
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Brooklyn Nets
#8
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A13/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H15/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A01/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
61-56
61
56
+5
A03/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
74-52
74
52
+22
A05/10
NBA
98.1Avg total
48.4Scored
49.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.153.4108.5+1.760%-
Last 30 at home (14)53.452.4105.8+0.964%-
Last 30 away (16)56.754.2110.9+2.456%-
Last 10 (10)48.449.798.1-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)54.449.8104.2+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)49.852.5102.3-2.750%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)56.054.8110.8+1.357%-
vs Weaker (3)59.345.7105.0+13.7100%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 107.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.2 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.633.6
51.2%
51.0%67.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.3
31.9%
36.1%24.9
🏀 Free throws21.515.7
73.0%
76.5%15.7
They take 91.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 113.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.730.3
53.4%
51.0%60.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.111.8
37.9%
36.1%35.4
🏀 Free throws23.217.6
75.9%
76.5%17.6
They take 87.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Oct 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Antonio Spurs
WLLWWWLLWL
Denver Nuggets
WWWWLWLLLW
#14
League position
#12
-1.8
Net rating
+4.2
107.3
Offensive rating
110.1
109.1
Defensive rating
105.9
50.3%
Effective FG%
54.7%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
13.4%
Turnover %
13.9%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
20.7%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.26
31.9%
3-point %
37.9%
58.7%
Assist %
63.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.3 · 110.1Defence109.1 · 105.9Shooting50.3% · 54.7%3-point %31.9% · 37.9%Ball care13.4% · 13.9%Off. rebounds30.1% · 20.7%Free throws0.23 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ San Antonio Spurs   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/17HSacramento Kings113-93
03/10/17ASacramento Kings100-106
15/07/17APortland Trail Blazers87-94
13/07/17HNew Orleans Pelicans86-81
11/07/17APortland Trail Blazers99-85
10/07/17HPhiladelphia 76ers101-95
09/07/17AMiami Heat74-75
06/07/17HPhiladelphia 76ers86-94
05/07/17HBoston Celtics81-70
04/07/17AUtah Jazz74-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/17ALos Angeles Lakers122-104
03/10/17ALos Angeles Lakers113-107
01/10/17AGolden State Warriors108-102
15/07/17HNew Orleans Pelicans96-91
13/07/17ABrooklyn Nets74-85
12/07/17AHouston Rockets87-81
11/07/17AToronto Raptors81-82
09/07/17HMinnesota Timberwolves71-90
08/07/17HHouston Rockets99-102
13/04/17AOklahoma City Thunder111-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game106.5113.0100.0
Allowed / game99.593.0106.0
Point differential+7.0+20.0-6.0
Avg total206.0206.0206.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
Home--
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games3-3
Win %100%-100%
Points / game114.3-114.3
Allowed / game104.3-104.3
Point differential+10.0-+10.0
Avg total218.7-218.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%-33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Memphis Grizzlies220100%101.086.5+14.5
2 Brooklyn Nets220100%111.097.5+13.5
3 Indiana Pacers220100%105.094.0+11.0
4 Utah Jazz110100%112.0101.0+11.0
5 Boston Celtics220100%102.092.0+10.0
6 Denver Nuggets330100%114.3104.3+10.0
7 Houston Rockets110100%104.097.0+7.0
8 Washington Wizards220100%103.097.5+5.5
9 Portland Trail Blazers32167%117.3107.0+10.3
10 Dallas Mavericks32167%104.395.7+8.7
11 Orlando Magic32167%96.390.3+6.0
12 Minnesota Timberwolves32167%109.7112.0-2.3
13 Chicago Bulls32167%99.3109.3-10.0
14 Detroit Pistons21150%107.597.5+10.0
15 San Antonio Spurs21150%106.599.5+7.0
16 Oklahoma City Thunder21150%99.597.5+2.0
17 Phoenix Suns21150%107.5112.0-4.5
18 Charlotte Hornets21150%95.0100.0-5.0
19 Sacramento Kings21150%99.5106.5-7.0
20 Golden State Warriors31233%113.0109.7+3.3
21 Toronto Raptors31233%102.0105.7-3.7
22 Atlanta Hawks31233%95.399.3-4.0
23 Miami Heat31233%91.396.7-5.3
24 Los Angeles Clippers31233%105.7113.0-7.3
25 New York Knicks2020%103.5109.5-6.0
26 New Orleans Pelicans2020%100.0107.5-7.5
27 Cleveland Cavaliers3030%96.7105.7-9.0
28 Los Angeles Lakers3030%103.3114.3-11.0
29 Milwaukee Bucks3030%97.0108.0-11.0
30 Philadelphia 76ers2020%95.5110.0-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Antonio Spurs35311739122
Denver Nuggets32222818100
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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