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Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 97-95
16-28 24-25 30-26 27-16
Position#6
Record15-12
FormWLLLW
Points / game116.4
Allowed / game110.5
vs
Position#27
Record11-16
FormWLWLL
Points / game108.0
Allowed / game113.9
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Oklahoma City Thunder
02 Feb 2027
DEN v OKC
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
DEN127
OKC107
01 Feb 2026
DEN111
OKC121
15 May 2025
DEN119
OKC107
11 May 2025
DEN87
OKC92
09 May 2025
DEN113
OKC104
06 Nov 2024
DEN124
OKC122
24 Oct 2024
DEN87
OKC102
29 Dec 2023
DEN93
OKC119
16 Dec 2023
DEN117
OKC118
22 Jan 2023
DEN99
OKC101
22 Oct 2022
DEN122
OKC117
26 Mar 2022
DEN113
OKC107
02 Mar 2022
DEN107
OKC119
12 Feb 2021
DEN97
OKC95
19 Jan 2021
DEN119
OKC101
30 Mar 2020
DEN v OKC
upcoming
14 Dec 2019
DEN110
OKC102
26 Feb 2019
DEN121
OKC112
14 Dec 2018
DEN109
OKC98
01 Feb 2018
DEN127
OKC124
09 Nov 2017
DEN102
OKC94
09 Apr 2017
DEN105
OKC106
25 Nov 2016
DEN129
OKC132
05 Apr 2016
DEN102
OKC124
19 Jan 2016
DEN104
OKC110
09 Feb 2015
DEN114
OKC124
19 Nov 2014
DEN107
OKC100
09 Jan 2014
DEN101
OKC88
17 Dec 2013
DEN93
OKC105
01 Mar 2013
DEN105
OKC103
20 Jan 2013
DEN121
OKC118
15 Mar 2012
DEN90
OKC103
25 Apr 2011
DEN104
OKC101
23 Apr 2011
DEN94
OKC97
05 Apr 2011
DEN94
OKC101
19 Jan 2011
DEN112
OKC107
03 Mar 2010
DEN119
OKC90
14 Dec 2009
DEN102
OKC93
08 Apr 2009
DEN122
OKC112
11 Mar 2009
DEN112
OKC99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
130-126 OT
130
126
+4
123avg 106
A23/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
120-112 OT
120
112
+8
113avg 106
A24/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
117-113
117
113
+4
117avg 106
A26/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
109-82
109
82
+27
106avg 106
A28/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
109-119
109
119
-10
104avg 106
A30/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
128-117
128
117
+11
124avg 106
H31/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
93-114
93
114
-21
76avg 106
A05/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
114-119
114
119
-5
107avg 106
A06/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
112-125
112
125
-13
no box
H09/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
133-95
133
95
+38
no box
H11/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-34
29-34
37-27
23-19
28-30
30-31
15-16
25-21
38-31
32-27
22-36
25-19
26-12
32-21
16-32
35-17
30-37
25-24
31-26
23-32
43-29
36-25
24-37
25-26
30-27
28-19
17-37
18-31
25-26
27-27
29-34
33-32
42-37
20-22
26-34
24-32
34-17
30-26
36-23
33-29
228.7Avg total
116.5Scored
112.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)116.4110.5227.0+5.956%
Season at home (14)118.8110.3229.1+8.557%
Season away (13)113.9110.8224.7+3.254%
Last 10 (10)116.5112.2228.7+4.360%
Last 5 (5)116.0114.0230.0+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)109.7112.3222.0-2.733%
vs Similar (17)114.8110.8225.6+4.153%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)119.2110.1229.3+9.160%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
100-108
100
108
-8
89avg 98
A24/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
125-122
125
122
+3
117avg 98
A26/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
102-97
102
97
+5
95avg 98
A28/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
125-147
125
147
-22
113avg 98
H30/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
L
106-136
106
136
-30
95avg 98
H02/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
104-87
104
87
+17
98avg 98
H04/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
L
103-106
103
106
-3
99avg 98
H06/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
120-118
120
118
+2
113avg 98
H07/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
112-119 OT
112
119
-7
no box
A09/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
113-114 OT
113
114
-1
no box
A11/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-36
26-20
28-29
27-23
34-24
35-36
25-31
31-31
17-32
28-10
28-29
29-26
27-36
32-40
35-39
31-32
24-48
30-25
22-29
30-34
30-25
24-18
27-15
23-29
23-25
32-26
21-34
27-21
43-24
40-38
13-32
24-24
33-26
27-30
24-20
26-34
37-23
30-34
17-23
21-25
226.4Avg total
111.0Scored
115.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)108.0113.9221.9-5.941%
Season at home (13)106.8117.6224.4-10.823%
Season away (14)109.1110.4219.6-1.357%
Last 10 (10)111.0115.4226.4-4.440%
Last 5 (5)110.4108.8219.2+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)108.3114.6222.9-6.339%
vs Similar (7)101.6108.3209.9-6.743%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.0-1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.0-1.0
Denver NuggetsOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
54-68
54
68
-14
A23/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A24/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
70-58
70
58
+12
A26/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
58-33
58
33
+25
A28/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A30/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
79-54
79
54
+25
H31/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
58-46
58
46
+12
A05/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A06/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H09/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
64-43
64
43
+21
H11/02
NBA
114.6Avg total
61.0Scored
53.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.654.9115.4+5.763%-
Last 30 at home (16)62.954.9117.9+8.075%-
Last 30 away (14)57.954.8112.6+3.150%-
Last 10 (10)61.053.6114.6+7.460%-
Last 5 (5)63.051.0114.0+12.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)56.358.0114.3-1.733%-
vs Similar (17)61.554.7116.2+6.871%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)60.354.2114.5+6.160%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A24/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
69-60
69
60
+9
A26/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A28/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
59-76
59
76
-17
H30/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
L
54-73
54
73
-19
H02/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H04/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H06/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
83-62
83
62
+21
H07/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A09/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
67-57
67
57
+10
A11/02
NBA
116.7Avg total
59.1Scored
57.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.557.3111.8-2.737%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.157.7111.8-3.636%-
Last 30 away (16)54.956.9111.8-1.938%-
Last 10 (10)59.157.6116.7+1.570%-
Last 5 (5)63.853.8117.6+10.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)55.157.9113.0-2.739%-
vs Similar (7)52.655.3107.9-2.729%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 116.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.030.2
53.0%
52.8%60.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.413.4
40.1%
36.6%40.2
🏀 Free throws19.515.9
81.5%
77.7%15.9
They take 90.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 109.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.826.7
53.6%
52.8%53.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.213.3
35.8%
36.6%39.9
🏀 Free throws21.515.9
74.0%
77.7%15.9
They take 87.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Feb 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLLLWLWWWW
Oklahoma City Thunder
LLWLWLLWWL
#6
League position
#27
+4.7
Net rating
-6.6
116.0
Offensive rating
105.3
111.3
Defensive rating
111.9
55.6%
Effective FG%
53.6%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
12.0%
Turnover %
13.8%
23.6%
Off. rebound %
16.7%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.25
40.1%
3-point %
35.8%
60.3%
Assist %
57.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence116.0 · 105.3Defence111.3 · 111.9Shooting55.6% · 53.6%3-point %40.1% · 35.8%Ball care12.0% · 13.8%Off. rebounds23.6% · 16.7%Free throws0.22 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/21HCleveland Cavaliers133-95
09/02/21HMilwaukee Bucks112-125
06/02/21ASacramento Kings114-119
05/02/21ALos Angeles Lakers93-114
31/01/21HUtah Jazz128-117
30/01/21ASan Antonio Spurs109-119
28/01/21AMiami Heat109-82
26/01/21ADallas Mavericks117-113
24/01/21APhoenix Suns120-112 OT
23/01/21APhoenix Suns130-126 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/21ALos Angeles Lakers113-114 OT
09/02/21ALos Angeles Lakers112-119 OT
07/02/21HMinnesota Timberwolves120-118
06/02/21HMinnesota Timberwolves103-106
04/02/21HHouston Rockets104-87
02/02/21HHouston Rockets106-136
30/01/21HBrooklyn Nets125-147
28/01/21APhoenix Suns102-97
26/01/21APortland Trail Blazers125-122
24/01/21ALos Angeles Clippers100-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW56%
HomeLWWLW57%
AwayWWLLL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %56%57%54%
Points / game116.4118.8113.9
Allowed / game110.5110.3110.8
Point differential+5.9+8.5+3.2
Avg total227.0229.1224.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%50%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)0% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %15%14%15%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL41%
HomeLLWLW23%
AwayLWWLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %41%23%57%
Points / game108.0106.8109.1
Allowed / game113.9117.6110.4
Point differential-5.9-10.8-1.3
Avg total221.9224.4219.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%8%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)40% (5)80% (5)
Overtime %11%8%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz2823582%115.0105.2+9.7
2 Los Angeles Lakers3024680%112.8104.8+8.1
3 Philadelphia 76ers2820871%114.0109.9+4.1
4 Los Angeles Clippers30191163%113.5108.6+5.0
5 Brooklyn Nets29171259%120.1116.4+3.8
6 Milwaukee Bucks28161257%120.1113.0+7.1
7 Denver Nuggets27151256%116.4110.5+5.9
8 Golden State Warriors29161355%113.5112.1+1.4
9 Memphis Grizzlies24131154%112.2110.4+1.8
10 Phoenix Suns28151354%109.6108.6+0.9
11 Portland Trail Blazers28151354%113.4115.9-2.5
12 San Antonio Spurs29151452%110.0112.4-2.4
13 Dallas Mavericks30151550%113.6114.4-0.7
14 Sacramento Kings28141450%113.2117.8-4.6
15 New York Knicks31151648%102.4101.6+0.7
16 Toronto Raptors29141548%113.5111.6+1.9
17 Houston Rockets29141548%109.9108.9+1.0
18 New Orleans Pelicans27131448%113.7112.9+0.8
19 Boston Celtics27131448%109.6109.6-0.0
20 Charlotte Hornets31141745%111.4111.7-0.3
21 Indiana Pacers29131645%111.6111.1+0.5
22 Atlanta Hawks29131645%112.8112.6+0.2
23 Chicago Bulls29131645%114.0114.7-0.7
24 Miami Heat27121544%106.5109.5-3.0
25 Oklahoma City Thunder27111641%108.0113.9-5.9
26 Cleveland Cavaliers30121840%103.1110.7-7.6
27 Orlando Magic30111937%106.0112.6-6.6
28 Detroit Pistons3092130%106.5110.1-3.7
29 Washington Wizards2671927%111.3118.5-7.1
30 Minnesota Timberwolves2972224%108.4116.2-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets1624302797
Oklahoma City Thunder2825261695
← all games of the day
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