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Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 106-86
26-34 30-16 27-22 23-14
Position#3
Record38-19
FormWWLWW
Points / game114.2
Allowed / game108.5
vs
Position#15
Record29-26
FormWWLWW
Points / game106.5
Allowed / game107.3
USANBA· Phoenix Suns Arena
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Miami Heat
19 Mar 2027
PHX v MIA
upcoming
25 Jan 2026
PHX102
MIA111
06 Nov 2024
PHX115
MIA112
05 Jan 2024
PHX113
MIA97
06 Jan 2023
PHX96
MIA104
08 Jan 2022
PHX100
MIA123
13 Apr 2021
PHX106
MIA86
07 Nov 2019
PHX108
MIA124
07 Dec 2018
PHX98
MIA115
08 Nov 2017
PHX115
MIA126
03 Jan 2017
PHX99
MIA90
08 Jan 2016
PHX95
MIA103
09 Dec 2014
PHX97
MIA103
11 Feb 2014
PHX97
MIA103
17 Nov 2012
PHX88
MIA97
23 Dec 2010
PHX83
MIA95
08 Jan 2010
PHX105
MIA109
28 Nov 2008
PHX92
MIA107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
104-100
104
100
+4
100avg 109
A26/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
101-97 OT
101
97
+4
83avg 109
A28/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
117-110
117
110
+7
116avg 109
H31/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
121-116
121
116
+5
117avg 109
H01/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
140-103
140
103
+37
143avg 109
H03/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
133-130
133
130
+3
128avg 109
A06/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
117-113 OT
117
113
+4
107avg 109
H08/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
103-113
103
113
-10
98avg 109
A09/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
134-106
134
106
+28
129avg 109
H11/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
126-120
126
120
+6
120avg 109
H13/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-28
24-23
30-26
21-23
26-29
23-20
27-18
14-23
30-27
34-25
25-33
28-25
39-37
28-21
27-28
27-30
43-13
30-37
30-26
37-27
34-34
36-26
31-32
32-38
20-21
31-19
26-38
25-24
23-27
33-27
25-29
22-30
27-29
30-26
44-24
33-27
38-29
43-29
22-30
23-32
230.4Avg total
119.6Scored
110.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (57)114.2108.5222.7+5.867%
Season at home (31)117.0108.5225.5+8.568%
Season away (26)111.0108.5219.5+2.565%
Last 10 (10)119.6110.8230.4+8.890%
Last 5 (5)122.6116.4239.0+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)118.3108.3226.5+10.082%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)119.4109.2228.6+10.279%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
100-110
100
110
-10
94avg 102
H24/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
122-125
122
125
-3
125avg 102
H25/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
105-110
105
110
-5
95avg 102
A27/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
W
98-88
98
88
+10
90avg 102
A29/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
92-87
92
87
+5
83avg 102
A31/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
116-109
116
109
+7
112avg 102
H02/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
115-101
115
101
+14
no box
H04/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
112-124
112
124
-12
111avg 102
H07/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
110-104
110
104
+6
105avg 102
H08/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
107-98
107
98
+9
92avg 102
A12/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
23-33
30-27
27-25
24-31
34-28
33-32
31-34
23-40
26-32
30-20
26-18
21-16
15-27
39-21
23-24
23-28
20-17
22-22
27-20
23-24
36-30
27-27
30-28
36-27
31-27
17-19
31-28
34-37
23-26
32-33
23-28
32-27
22-29
29-24
27-24
25-31
31-17
33-23
18-27
213.3Avg total
107.7Scored
105.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (55)106.5107.3213.8-0.753%
Season at home (29)108.0109.3217.3-1.352%
Season away (26)104.9105.0209.9-0.154%
Last 10 (10)107.7105.6213.3+2.160%
Last 5 (5)112.0107.2219.2+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)109.0115.8224.8-6.825%
vs Similar (20)104.8104.2209.0+0.660%
vs Weaker (6)108.397.8206.2+10.5100%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +5.9+5.9Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +5.9+5.9Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
Phoenix SunsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A26/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A28/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
64-52
64
52
+12
H31/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H01/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
73-50
73
50
+23
H03/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
70-60
70
60
+10
A06/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H08/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A09/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
57-55
57
55
+2
H11/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
81-58
81
58
+23
H13/04
NBA
114.8Avg total
62.1Scored
52.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.353.2113.6+7.173%-
Last 30 at home (18)62.353.4115.8+8.983%-
Last 30 away (12)57.352.9110.2+4.458%-
Last 10 (10)62.152.7114.8+9.490%-
Last 5 (5)63.053.4116.4+9.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)60.450.7111.1+9.682%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)60.354.7115.0+5.668%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
43-58
43
58
-15
H24/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
58-59
58
59
-1
H25/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
49-72
49
72
-23
A27/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A29/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A31/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
59-54
59
54
+5
H02/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H04/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H07/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
54-56
54
56
-2
H08/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A12/04
NBA
107.4Avg total
52.2Scored
55.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.052.5105.5+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.155.1111.2+0.953%-
Last 30 away (15)49.949.999.8+0.147%-
Last 10 (10)52.255.2107.4-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)58.655.0113.6+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)51.056.2107.2-5.225%-
vs Similar (20)52.751.9104.6+0.850%-
vs Weaker (6)55.352.0107.3+3.367%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 119.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.531.5
56.8%
52.8%63.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.913.2
37.8%
36.6%39.6
🏀 Free throws20.717.0
82.1%
77.7%17.0
They take 90.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 107.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.826.7
55.9%
52.8%53.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.312.7
37.0%
36.6%38.1
🏀 Free throws21.916.2
74.0%
77.7%16.2
They take 82.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
WWLWWWWWWW
Miami Heat
WWLWWWWLLL
#3
League position
#15
+8.7
Net rating
+2.4
117.8
Offensive rating
112.1
109.2
Defensive rating
109.7
56.7%
Effective FG%
55.7%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
11.3%
Turnover %
12.4%
22.9%
Off. rebound %
20.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.8%
3-point %
37.0%
61.1%
Assist %
68.8%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence117.8 · 112.1Defence109.2 · 109.7Shooting56.7% · 55.7%3-point %37.8% · 37.0%Ball care11.3% · 12.4%Off. rebounds22.9% · 20.0%Free throws0.23 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Phoenix Suns wins
6
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/21HHouston Rockets126-120
11/04/21HWashington Wizards134-106
09/04/21ALos Angeles Clippers103-113
08/04/21HUtah Jazz117-113 OT
06/04/21AHouston Rockets133-130
03/04/21HOklahoma City Thunder140-103
01/04/21HChicago Bulls121-116
31/03/21HAtlanta Hawks117-110
28/03/21ACharlotte Hornets101-97 OT
26/03/21AToronto Raptors104-100
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/21APortland Trail Blazers107-98
08/04/21HLos Angeles Lakers110-104
07/04/21HMemphis Grizzlies112-124
04/04/21HCleveland Cavaliers115-101
02/04/21HGolden State Warriors116-109
31/03/21AIndiana Pacers92-87
29/03/21ANew York Knicks98-88
27/03/21ACharlotte Hornets105-110
25/03/21HPortland Trail Blazers122-125
24/03/21HPhoenix Suns100-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeWWWWW68%
AwayLWWWL65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games573126
Win %67%68%65%
Points / game114.2117.0111.0
Allowed / game108.5108.5108.5
Point differential+5.8+8.5+2.5
Avg total222.7225.5219.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%35%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (21)33% (12)56% (9)
Overtime %9%10%8%
Miami Heat
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW53%
HomeLWWLW52%
AwayLLWWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games552926
Win %53%52%54%
Points / game106.5108.0104.9
Allowed / game107.3109.3105.0
Point differential-0.7-1.3-0.1
Avg total213.8217.3209.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%24%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (15)29% (7)50% (8)
Overtime %7%7%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz58441476%117.1107.2+9.9
2 Philadelphia 76ers56391770%113.6108.1+5.4
3 Brooklyn Nets56391770%118.7113.6+5.1
4 Phoenix Suns57381967%114.2108.5+5.8
5 Los Angeles Clippers59382164%114.4108.7+5.7
6 Los Angeles Lakers59382164%109.9105.4+4.5
7 Denver Nuggets57362163%115.2109.5+5.6
8 Milwaukee Bucks56332359%118.5113.4+5.1
9 Portland Trail Blazers57322556%114.1115.2-1.1
10 Dallas Mavericks56312555%111.9109.9+2.0
11 Atlanta Hawks59322754%113.2111.5+1.7
12 Memphis Grizzlies56302654%113.3111.3+2.0
13 Miami Heat55292653%106.5107.3-0.7
14 New York Knicks59312853%105.1103.2+1.8
15 Boston Celtics56282850%111.7110.4+1.3
16 Charlotte Hornets57282949%110.7111.7-1.0
17 Golden State Warriors57282949%112.2113.5-1.3
18 New Orleans Pelicans56272948%114.9114.5+0.4
19 San Antonio Spurs55262947%110.3112.3-2.0
20 Indiana Pacers56253145%113.1113.8-0.7
21 Chicago Bulls57253244%112.1113.0-0.8
22 Sacramento Kings58243441%114.0118.4-4.4
23 Toronto Raptors58233540%111.8111.4+0.3
24 Washington Wizards56213538%112.8118.0-5.2
25 Cleveland Cavaliers57213637%103.7111.1-7.4
26 Oklahoma City Thunder57213637%105.4113.6-8.2
27 Orlando Magic58193933%104.8112.4-7.6
28 Detroit Pistons58184031%106.9110.2-3.3
29 Houston Rockets58174129%108.4113.7-5.3
30 Minnesota Timberwolves58154326%110.3117.9-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns26302723106
Miami Heat3416221486
← all games of the day
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