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Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 122-105
30-20 37-30 23-25 32-30
Position#3
Record45-24
FormWLLWL
Points / game117.8
Allowed / game112.4
vs
Position#4
Record46-22
FormWLLLW
Points / game112.0
Allowed / game106.9
USANBA· ORACLE Arena
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Golden State Warriors v Denver Nuggets
25 Dec 2026
GSW v DEN
upcoming
22 Feb 2026
GSW128
DEN117
23 Oct 2025
GSW137
DEN131
04 Apr 2025
GSW118
DEN104
17 Mar 2025
GSW105
DEN114
25 Feb 2024
GSW103
DEN119
04 Jan 2024
GSW127
DEN130
21 Oct 2022
GSW123
DEN128
14 Oct 2022
GSW112
DEN119
27 Apr 2022
GSW102
DEN98
18 Apr 2022
GSW126
DEN106
16 Apr 2022
GSW123
DEN107
16 Feb 2022
GSW116
DEN117
28 Dec 2021
GSW86
DEN89
06 Oct 2021
GSW118
DEN116
23 Apr 2021
GSW118
DEN97
12 Apr 2021
GSW116
DEN107
12 Dec 2020
GSW107
DEN105
31 Mar 2020
GSW v DEN
upcoming
16 Jan 2020
GSW131
DEN134
10 Jul 2019
GSW73
DEN69
02 Apr 2019
GSW116
DEN102
08 Mar 2019
GSW122
DEN105
08 Jan 2018
GSW124
DEN114
23 Dec 2017
GSW81
DEN96
30 Sep 2017
GSW102
DEN108
02 Jan 2017
GSW127
DEN119
02 Jan 2016
GSW111
DEN108
06 Nov 2015
GSW119
DEN104
13 Oct 2015
GSW103
DEN114
15 Apr 2015
GSW133
DEN126
19 Jan 2015
GSW122
DEN79
24 Oct 2014
GSW119
DEN112
16 Oct 2014
GSW104
DEN101
10 Apr 2014
GSW99
DEN100
15 Jan 2014
GSW116
DEN123
02 May 2013
GSW92
DEN88
28 Apr 2013
GSW115
DEN101
26 Apr 2013
GSW110
DEN108
29 Nov 2012
GSW106
DEN105
10 Nov 2012
GSW101
DEN107
07 Apr 2012
GSW112
DEN97
09 Feb 2011
GSW116
DEN114
22 Nov 2010
GSW89
DEN106
25 Feb 2010
GSW112
DEN127
20 Jan 2010
GSW118
DEN123
05 Nov 2008
GSW111
DEN101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Golden State Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#17
W
120-118
120
118
+2
H11/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
115-108
115
108
+7
H13/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
107-129
107
129
-22
A14/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
125-123
125
123
+2
H22/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
112-118
112
118
-6
H24/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
121-110
121
110
+11
A26/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
125-126
125
126
-1
A28/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#16
L
96-103
96
103
-7
A01/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
120-117
120
117
+3
A03/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#11
L
95-128
95
128
-33
H06/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-34
30-25
36-23
30-36
25-14
22-30
34-40
34-24
33-31
28-33
34-30
12-35
35-30
25-32
29-29
36-32
20-35
34-26
32-31
26-26
34-30
34-30
30-28
23-22
22-32
37-42
33-26
33-26
22-28
29-31
30-11
15-33
31-32
24-35
38-23
27-27
24-32
24-41
28-32
19-23
231.6Avg total
113.6Scored
118.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (69)117.8112.4230.2+5.365%
Season at home (36)117.5112.7230.2+4.867%
Season away (33)118.1112.2230.2+5.964%
Last 10 (10)113.6118.0231.6-4.450%
Last 5 (5)111.4116.8228.2-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)116.7115.4232.1+1.250%
vs Weaker (18)123.4112.8236.2+10.783%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
110-117
110
117
-7
A09/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
103-87
103
87
+16
H12/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
120-118
120
118
+2
H14/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
114-104
114
104
+10
A23/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#10
W
123-96
123
96
+27
H24/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#9
W
121-112
121
112
+9
H27/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
104-111
104
111
-7
H01/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
112-120
112
120
-8
H03/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
103-104
103
104
-1
A05/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
115-99
115
99
+16
A07/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-33
33-23
26-27
28-34
35-27
19-22
29-21
20-17
30-41
28-28
35-22
27-27
25-30
27-21
39-23
23-30
34-27
30-29
33-21
26-19
29-26
35-25
27-27
30-34
22-19
15-33
33-29
34-30
39-27
32-40
22-29
19-24
17-36
31-22
21-27
34-19
43-25
23-24
19-28
30-22
219.3Avg total
112.5Scored
106.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (68)112.0106.9218.9+5.068%
Season at home (33)116.0105.0221.0+11.082%
Season away (35)108.1108.7216.9-0.654%
Last 10 (10)112.5106.8219.3+5.760%
Last 5 (5)111.0109.2220.2+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)114.1110.9225.0+3.357%
vs Weaker (16)115.0108.6223.6+6.475%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +1.5+1.5
Golden State WarriorsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#17
L
54-59
54
59
-5
H11/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H13/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
61-64
61
64
-3
A14/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
60-62
60
62
-2
H22/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
54-61
54
61
-7
H24/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
68-60
68
60
+8
A26/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
59-74
59
74
-15
A28/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#16
L
51-59
51
59
-8
A01/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
55-67
55
67
-12
A03/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#11
L
48-73
48
73
-25
H06/03
NBA
118.0Avg total
55.7Scored
62.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.958.0118.9+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.657.6116.3+1.050%-
Last 30 away (16)62.958.4121.2+4.575%-
Last 10 (10)55.762.3118.0-6.620%-
Last 5 (5)56.266.6122.8-10.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)59.057.0116.0+2.058%-
vs Weaker (18)62.258.7120.9+3.467%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
D
56-56
56
56
+0
A09/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H12/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
58-69
58
69
-11
H14/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A23/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#10
W
64-56
64
56
+8
H24/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#9
W
64-51
64
51
+13
H27/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H01/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H03/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
48-58
48
58
-10
A05/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
66-49
66
49
+17
A07/03
NBA
112.8Avg total
57.0Scored
55.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.859.4118.2-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)62.858.5121.3+4.369%-
Last 30 away (14)54.260.5114.7-6.314%-
Last 10 (10)57.055.8112.8+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)57.255.4112.6+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)59.560.1119.6-0.643%-
vs Weaker (16)58.258.9117.1-0.744%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 113.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.528.4
56.2%
51.7%56.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.413.4
34.0%
35.4%40.2
🏀 Free throws21.716.6
76.5%
76.6%16.6
They take 89.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 112.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.030.5
50.0%
51.7%61.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.211.5
34.6%
35.4%34.5
🏀 Free throws22.016.8
76.4%
76.6%16.8
They take 94.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Golden State Warriors
LWLLWLWLWW
Denver Nuggets
WLLLWWWWWL
#3
League position
#4
-4.0
Net rating
+5.4
109.4
Offensive rating
107.1
113.5
Defensive rating
101.6
53.9%
Effective FG%
50.7%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
12.4%
Turnover %
13.4%
19.9%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.23
34.0%
3-point %
34.6%
62.7%
Assist %
68.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.4 · 107.1Defence113.5 · 101.6Shooting53.9% · 50.7%3-point %34.0% · 34.6%Ball care12.4% · 13.4%Off. rebounds19.9% · 26.8%Free throws0.24 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Golden State Warriors   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/19HBoston Celtics95-128
03/03/19APhiladelphia 76ers120-117
01/03/19AOrlando Magic96-103
28/02/19AMiami Heat125-126
26/02/19ACharlotte Hornets121-110
24/02/19HHouston Rockets112-118
22/02/19HSacramento Kings125-123
14/02/19APortland Trail Blazers107-129
13/02/19HUtah Jazz115-108
11/02/19HMiami Heat120-118
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/19ALos Angeles Lakers115-99
05/03/19ASan Antonio Spurs103-104
03/03/19HNew Orleans Pelicans112-120
01/03/19HUtah Jazz104-111
27/02/19HOklahoma City Thunder121-112
24/02/19HLos Angeles Clippers123-96
23/02/19ADallas Mavericks114-104
14/02/19HSacramento Kings120-118
12/02/19HMiami Heat103-87
09/02/19APhiladelphia 76ers110-117

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Golden State Warriors
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL65%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayLWLLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games693633
Win %65%67%64%
Points / game117.8117.5118.1
Allowed / game112.4112.7112.2
Point differential+5.3+4.8+5.9
Avg total230.2230.2230.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%36%39%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (20)62% (8)50% (12)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW68%
HomeWWWLL82%
AwayLLWLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games683335
Win %68%82%54%
Points / game112.0116.0108.1
Allowed / game106.9105.0108.7
Point differential+5.0+11.0-0.6
Avg total218.9221.0216.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%48%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (20)83% (6)79% (14)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks69521775%117.7108.0+9.7
2 Toronto Raptors70502071%114.2108.5+5.7
3 Denver Nuggets68462268%112.0106.9+5.0
4 Golden State Warriors69452465%117.8112.4+5.3
5 Indiana Pacers70442663%108.2103.9+4.3
6 Oklahoma City Thunder69432662%115.1110.8+4.3
7 Houston Rockets69432662%113.3110.2+3.1
8 Philadelphia 76ers69432662%115.1112.1+3.0
9 Portland Trail Blazers70422860%113.6110.2+3.4
10 Utah Jazz68402859%110.6106.5+4.1
11 Boston Celtics70412959%111.6106.7+4.9
12 Los Angeles Clippers69402958%114.1112.7+1.4
13 San Antonio Spurs71403156%111.6110.4+1.3
14 Detroit Pistons69353451%107.6107.7-0.1
15 Brooklyn Nets71363551%111.5112.2-0.7
16 Charlotte Hornets70343649%111.0111.3-0.2
17 Miami Heat71343748%106.6106.8-0.2
18 Sacramento Kings69333648%113.3115.4-2.2
19 Los Angeles Lakers71333846%112.1113.9-1.8
20 Orlando Magic71323945%105.4106.4-1.0
21 Minnesota Timberwolves70313944%112.6113.9-1.3
22 Washington Wizards69303943%114.2116.4-2.2
23 Dallas Mavericks68284041%108.5110.2-1.8
24 New Orleans Pelicans73304341%115.4115.8-0.4
25 Memphis Grizzlies72294340%101.9104.5-2.6
26 Atlanta Hawks71244734%112.2118.7-6.5
27 Chicago Bulls72215129%104.7111.9-7.2
28 Cleveland Cavaliers70185226%103.9113.2-9.3
29 New York Knicks70165423%106.0113.8-7.8
30 Phoenix Suns70165423%106.2115.6-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Golden State Warriors30372332122
Denver Nuggets20302530105
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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