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Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 13 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 133-107
31-20 27-28 36-30 39-29
Position#4
Record46-23
FormLLLWL
Points / game111.9
Allowed / game107.1
vs
Position#21
Record33-39
FormLWLWW
Points / game112.8
Allowed / game113.8
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Minnesota Timberwolves
07 Mar 2027
DEN v MIN
upcoming
28 Dec 2026
DEN v MIN
upcoming
27 Apr 2026
DEN125
MIN113
20 Apr 2026
DEN114
MIN119
18 Apr 2026
DEN116
MIN105
01 Mar 2026
DEN108
MIN117
25 Dec 2025
DEN142
MIN138
04 Oct 2025
DEN116
MIN126
12 Jul 2025
DEN83
MIN94
01 Apr 2025
DEN139
MIN140
12 Mar 2025
DEN95
MIN115
19 May 2024
DEN90
MIN98
14 May 2024
DEN112
MIN97
06 May 2024
DEN80
MIN106
04 May 2024
DEN99
MIN106
10 Apr 2024
DEN116
MIN107
29 Mar 2024
DEN98
MIN111
25 Apr 2023
DEN112
MIN109
19 Apr 2023
DEN122
MIN113
16 Apr 2023
DEN109
MIN80
07 Feb 2023
DEN146
MIN112
18 Jan 2023
DEN122
MIN118
01 Apr 2022
DEN130
MIN136
15 Dec 2021
DEN107
MIN124
08 Oct 2021
DEN112
MIN114
05 Jan 2021
DEN123
MIN116
23 Feb 2020
DEN128
MIN116
20 Dec 2019
DEN109
MIN100
10 Apr 2019
DEN99
MIN95
12 Mar 2019
DEN133
MIN107
13 Jul 2018
DEN71
MIN83
05 Apr 2018
DEN100
MIN96
20 Dec 2017
DEN104
MIN112
09 Jul 2017
DEN71
MIN90
15 Feb 2017
DEN99
MIN112
28 Dec 2016
DEN105
MIN103
08 Jul 2016
DEN88
MIN82
11 Dec 2015
DEN111
MIN108
30 Oct 2015
DEN78
MIN95
17 Jan 2015
DEN105
MIN113
26 Dec 2014
DEN106
MIN102
03 Mar 2014
DEN128
MIN132
15 Nov 2013
DEN117
MIN113
09 Mar 2013
DEN111
MIN88
03 Jan 2013
DEN97
MIN101
11 Apr 2012
DEN113
MIN107
20 Feb 2012
DEN103
MIN101
09 Apr 2011
DEN130
MIN106
18 Dec 2010
DEN115
MIN113
11 Jan 2010
DEN105
MIN94
29 Nov 2009
DEN100
MIN106
20 Oct 2009
DEN129
MIN100
10 Dec 2008
DEN116
MIN105
16 Nov 2008
DEN90
MIN84
10 Oct 2008
DEN118
MIN95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#17
W
103-87
103
87
+16
H12/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
120-118
120
118
+2
H14/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
114-104
114
104
+10
A23/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#10
W
123-96
123
96
+27
H24/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#9
W
121-112
121
112
+9
H27/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
104-111
104
111
-7
H01/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
112-120
112
120
-8
H03/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
103-104
103
104
-1
A05/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
115-99
115
99
+16
A07/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#3
L
105-122
105
122
-17
A09/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-27
19-22
29-21
20-17
30-41
28-28
35-22
27-27
25-30
27-21
39-23
23-30
34-27
30-29
33-21
26-19
29-26
35-25
27-27
30-34
22-19
15-33
33-29
34-30
39-27
32-40
22-29
19-24
17-36
31-22
21-27
34-19
43-25
23-24
19-28
30-22
20-30
30-37
25-23
30-32
219.3Avg total
112.0Scored
107.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (69)111.9107.1219.0+4.767%
Season at home (33)116.0105.0221.0+11.082%
Season away (36)108.1109.1217.1-1.053%
Last 10 (10)112.0107.3219.3+4.760%
Last 5 (5)107.8111.2219.0-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)113.5111.6225.1+1.953%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)115.0108.6223.6+6.473%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#30
W
115-104
115
104
+11
A23/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
128-140
128
140
-12
A24/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
112-105
112
105
+7
H26/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
L
123-131 OT
123
131
-8
A28/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
115-122
115
122
-7
A01/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#22
L
121-135
121
135
-14
A03/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#9
W
131-120
131
120
+11
H06/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#18
L
114-131
114
131
-17
A07/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#22
W
135-130 OT
135
130
+5
H10/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
103-92
103
92
+11
H11/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-33
37-25
28-25
21-21
32-35
38-34
39-38
19-33
19-30
44-23
30-27
19-25
40-33
28-27
27-26
23-32
35-26
25-38
30-28
25-30
36-40
28-22
23-35
34-38
30-24
41-33
31-30
29-33
35-22
29-38
24-30
26-41
28-39
32-32
35-28
26-22
23-22
32-23
25-20
23-27
240.7Avg total
119.7Scored
121.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (72)112.8113.8226.6-1.146%
Season at home (35)114.0109.7223.7+4.366%
Season away (37)111.5117.7229.3-6.227%
Last 10 (10)119.7121.0240.7-1.350%
Last 5 (5)120.8121.6242.4-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)114.2121.2235.4-7.030%
vs Similar (16)115.9114.8230.7+1.250%
vs Weaker (4)113.0100.2213.2+12.8100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -5.7-5.7
Denver NuggetsMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#17
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H12/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
58-69
58
69
-11
H14/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A23/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#10
W
64-56
64
56
+8
H24/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#9
W
64-51
64
51
+13
H27/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H01/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H03/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
48-58
48
58
-10
A05/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
66-49
66
49
+17
A07/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#3
L
50-67
50
67
-17
A09/03
NBA
113.3Avg total
56.4Scored
56.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.659.8118.4-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)63.358.7122.0+4.773%-
Last 30 away (15)53.960.9114.9-7.013%-
Last 10 (10)56.456.9113.3-0.560%-
Last 5 (5)54.458.6113.0-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)58.960.5119.4-1.740%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)58.459.1117.5-0.747%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#30
W
66-58
66
58
+8
A23/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A24/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
63-53
63
53
+10
H26/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
68-60
68
60
+8
A28/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
60-64
60
64
-4
A01/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#22
W
64-62
64
62
+2
A03/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#9
W
71-57
71
57
+14
H06/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#18
W
64-60
64
60
+4
A07/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#22
L
60-71
60
71
-11
H10/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H11/03
NBA
124.0Avg total
64.1Scored
59.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.159.6118.7-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.456.5114.9+1.947%-
Last 30 away (15)59.862.7122.5-2.940%-
Last 10 (10)64.159.9124.0+4.280%-
Last 5 (5)62.859.0121.8+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)57.662.1119.7-4.530%-
vs Similar (16)59.259.3118.6-0.144%-
vs Weaker (4)62.254.8117.0+7.575%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 111.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.628.6
48.0%
51.7%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.912.1
35.7%
35.4%36.3
🏀 Free throws24.218.3
75.6%
76.6%18.3
They take 93.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 119.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers70.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.735.1
53.4%
51.7%70.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.9
34.5%
35.4%29.7
🏀 Free throws25.919.4
74.9%
76.6%19.4
They take 94.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWLLLWWWWW
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWLWLLLWLW
#4
League position
#21
+4.5
Net rating
-1.4
106.6
Offensive rating
111.7
102.1
Defensive rating
113.1
50.0%
Effective FG%
52.9%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
13.8%
Turnover %
11.4%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
24.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.7%
3-point %
34.5%
67.3%
Assist %
54.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 111.7Defence102.1 · 113.1Shooting50.0% · 52.9%3-point %35.7% · 34.5%Ball care13.8% · 11.4%Off. rebounds27.7% · 24.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/19AGolden State Warriors105-122
07/03/19ALos Angeles Lakers115-99
05/03/19ASan Antonio Spurs103-104
03/03/19HNew Orleans Pelicans112-120
01/03/19HUtah Jazz104-111
27/02/19HOklahoma City Thunder121-112
24/02/19HLos Angeles Clippers123-96
23/02/19ADallas Mavericks114-104
14/02/19HSacramento Kings120-118
12/02/19HMiami Heat103-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/19HNew York Knicks103-92
10/03/19HWashington Wizards135-130 OT
07/03/19ADetroit Pistons114-131
06/03/19HOklahoma City Thunder131-120
03/03/19AWashington Wizards121-135
01/03/19AIndiana Pacers115-122
28/02/19AAtlanta Hawks123-131 OT
26/02/19HSacramento Kings112-105
24/02/19AMilwaukee Bucks128-140
23/02/19ANew York Knicks115-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL67%
HomeWWWLL82%
AwayLWLWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games693336
Win %67%82%53%
Points / game111.9116.0108.1
Allowed / game107.1105.0109.1
Point differential+4.7+11.0-1.0
Avg total219.0221.0217.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%48%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (20)83% (6)79% (14)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW46%
HomeWWWWW66%
AwayLLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games723537
Win %46%66%27%
Points / game112.8114.0111.5
Allowed / game113.8109.7117.7
Point differential-1.1+4.3-6.2
Avg total226.6223.7229.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%37%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (20)55% (11)33% (9)
Overtime %7%11%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks72541875%118.0108.4+9.7
2 Toronto Raptors72512171%114.2108.7+5.4
3 Denver Nuggets69462367%111.9107.1+4.7
4 Golden State Warriors71462565%117.7112.4+5.3
5 Philadelphia 76ers71452663%114.9111.6+3.3
6 Houston Rockets71452663%113.1109.9+3.2
7 Indiana Pacers72452762%107.9103.9+4.0
8 Oklahoma City Thunder71442762%114.8110.6+4.2
9 Portland Trail Blazers71432861%113.8110.4+3.5
10 Los Angeles Clippers71422959%114.5112.7+1.8
11 Boston Celtics72423058%111.8107.1+4.6
12 Utah Jazz69402958%110.3106.4+3.9
13 San Antonio Spurs73423158%111.8110.3+1.4
14 Brooklyn Nets73383552%111.4111.7-0.3
15 Detroit Pistons71363551%107.5107.6-0.2
16 Sacramento Kings71343748%113.1115.2-2.1
17 Miami Heat72343847%106.6107.1-0.5
18 Charlotte Hornets72343847%111.0111.6-0.6
19 Los Angeles Lakers73343947%112.2113.9-1.7
20 Minnesota Timberwolves72333946%112.8113.8-1.1
21 Orlando Magic72324044%105.3106.3-1.1
22 Washington Wizards71314044%114.5116.7-2.1
23 Memphis Grizzlies73304341%102.0104.4-2.4
24 New Orleans Pelicans75304540%115.4116.2-0.8
25 Dallas Mavericks70284240%108.2110.0-1.8
26 Atlanta Hawks73254834%112.4118.6-6.2
27 Chicago Bulls74215328%104.8112.4-7.6
28 Cleveland Cavaliers72195326%104.2113.0-8.8
29 Phoenix Suns72175524%106.5115.7-9.2
30 New York Knicks73165722%105.5113.4-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets31273639133
Minnesota Timberwolves20283029107
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