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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 12 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 00:30
Scheduled
Position#6
Record8-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game118.1
Allowed / game107.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.4/10
Around normal
3.4/10
Below normal
Position#4
Record9-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game115.4
Allowed / game106.5
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Houston Rockets
20 Jan 2027
MIN v HOU
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
MIN110
HOU108
06 Feb 2025
MIN127
HOU114
26 Nov 2024
MIN111
HOU117
02 Apr 2024
MIN113
HOU106
04 Feb 2024
MIN111
HOU90
21 Jan 2023
MIN113
HOU104
05 Nov 2022
MIN129
HOU117
20 Oct 2021
MIN124
HOU106
27 Mar 2021
MIN107
HOU129
26 Mar 2021
MIN107
HOU101
24 Jan 2020
MIN124
HOU131
16 Nov 2019
MIN105
HOU125
13 Feb 2019
MIN121
HOU111
03 Dec 2018
MIN103
HOU91
23 Apr 2018
MIN100
HOU119
21 Apr 2018
MIN121
HOU105
18 Mar 2018
MIN120
HOU129
13 Feb 2018
MIN108
HOU126
11 Jan 2017
MIN119
HOU105
17 Dec 2016
MIN109
HOU111
11 Apr 2016
MIN105
HOU129
05 Dec 2014
MIN112
HOU114
12 Nov 2014
MIN101
HOU113
11 Apr 2014
MIN112
HOU110
10 Feb 2014
MIN89
HOU107
19 Jan 2013
MIN92
HOU79
26 Dec 2012
MIN84
HOU87
04 Feb 2012
MIN100
HOU91
23 Jan 2012
MIN92
HOU107
13 Apr 2011
MIN102
HOU121
24 Jan 2011
MIN125
HOU129
06 Mar 2010
MIN98
HOU112
18 Nov 2009
MIN84
HOU97
01 Mar 2009
MIN94
HOU105
20 Dec 2008
MIN102
HOU109
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Rockets win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#20
W
115-93
115
93
+22
111avg 104
A23/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#17
W
117-94
117
94
+23
120avg 104
H25/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
L
125-127 OT
125
127
-2
114avg 104
A26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
L
114-119
114
119
-5
106avg 104
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#26
W
127-101
127
101
+26
123avg 104
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
111-121
111
121
-10
95avg 104
A01/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
112-100
112
100
+12
102avg 104
H03/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
117-107
117
107
+10
113avg 104
A05/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
115-109
115
109
+6
105avg 104
A07/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
115-100
115
100
+15
109avg 104
H09/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
31-25
29-15
29-33
32-21
23-26
35-15
27-32
31-24
29-26
26-36
27-27
23-30
25-34
33-29
33-26
34-24
35-32
29-25
29-20
28-34
33-26
27-33
23-28
29-18
19-29
32-29
32-24
33-30
24-27
25-27
35-23
27-30
30-21
20-28
38-30
28-25
29-26
33-27
25-22
223.9Avg total
116.8Scored
107.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)118.1107.0225.1+11.173%
Season at home (5)117.0102.8219.8+14.280%
Season away (6)119.0110.5229.5+8.567%
Last 10 (10)116.8107.1223.9+9.770%
Last 5 (5)114.0107.4221.4+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)105.0119.6224.6-14.629%
vs Similar ◀ (13)113.9114.8228.8-0.946%
vs Weaker (10)121.3106.0227.3+15.390%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#14
W
121-114
121
114
+7
116avg 103
A25/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
W
120-110
120
110
+10
126avg 103
H27/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
132-100
132
100
+32
127avg 103
A29/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
111-116
111
116
-5
98avg 103
A31/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#7
W
119-98
119
98
+21
110avg 103
H01/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#2
W
109-93
109
93
+16
109avg 103
H03/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
L
107-117
107
117
-10
97avg 103
H05/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
L
99-102
99
102
-3
81avg 103
A08/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#13
W
110-100
110
100
+10
107avg 103
H10/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
W
115-108
115
108
+7
no box
H12/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-26
29-22
33-33
29-33
32-35
31-31
28-19
29-25
23-21
34-14
38-34
37-31
20-27
31-17
33-32
27-40
35-26
27-25
30-24
27-23
29-29
28-21
25-23
27-20
30-33
27-24
27-25
23-35
23-35
24-12
28-29
24-26
32-24
22-16
23-28
33-32
35-20
21-31
29-28
30-29
220.1Avg total
114.3Scored
105.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)115.4106.5221.9+8.975%
Season at home (7)115.4105.1220.6+10.386%
Season away (5)115.4108.4223.8+7.060%
Last 10 (10)114.3105.8220.1+8.570%
Last 5 (5)108.0104.0212.0+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)108.4105.2213.6+3.253%
vs Weaker (15)121.3108.9230.1+12.480%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +6.1+6.1Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -0.8-0.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +6.1+6.1Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -0.8-0.8
Minnesota TimberwolvesHouston Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#20
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A23/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#17
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H25/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
W
60-50
60
50
+10
A26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
L
48-64
48
64
-16
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#26
W
69-56
69
56
+13
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
W
61-60
61
60
+1
A01/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H03/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A05/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A07/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H09/11
NBA
109.7Avg total
56.9Scored
52.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.755.3112.0+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (13)57.754.1111.8+3.669%-
Last 30 away (17)55.956.2112.1-0.241%-
Last 10 (10)56.952.8109.7+4.180%-
Last 5 (5)56.053.2109.2+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)50.456.9107.3-6.414%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)56.957.1114.0-0.238%-
vs Weaker (10)60.851.8112.6+9.0100%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#14
W
59-48
59
48
+11
A25/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H27/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
57-35
57
35
+22
A29/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A31/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#7
W
62-51
62
51
+11
H01/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#2
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H03/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H05/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A08/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#13
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H10/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H12/11
NBA
105.2Avg total
56.3Scored
48.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.850.8107.7+6.067%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.851.6111.4+8.175%-
Last 30 away (14)53.549.9103.4+3.657%-
Last 10 (10)56.348.9105.2+7.470%-
Last 5 (5)54.249.0103.2+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)54.353.2107.5+1.153%-
vs Weaker (15)59.348.5107.8+10.980%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 115.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.528.2
51.7%
54.0%56.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.213.2
36.5%
35.0%39.6
🏀 Free throws27.219.2
70.6%
76.8%19.2
They take 90.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 108.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.327.3
52.2%
54.0%54.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.811.1
33.8%
35.0%33.3
🏀 Free throws25.920.8
80.3%
76.8%20.8
They take 85.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWWWLWLLWW
Houston Rockets
WWLLWWLWWW
#6
League position
#4
+2.9
Net rating
+1.7
110.4
Offensive rating
110.6
107.6
Defensive rating
108.9
52.9%
Effective FG%
51.6%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
14.2%
Turnover %
14.2%
34.2%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.5%
3-point %
33.8%
57.0%
Assist %
64.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.4 · 110.6Defence107.6 · 108.9Shooting52.9% · 51.6%3-point %36.5% · 33.8%Ball care14.2% · 14.2%Off. rebounds34.2% · 30.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Houston Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26HUtah Jazz115-100
07/11/26ANew Orleans Pelicans115-109
05/11/26AHouston Rockets117-107
03/11/26HMilwaukee Bucks112-100
01/11/26ASan Antonio Spurs111-121
31/10/26HLos Angeles Clippers127-101
29/10/26HGolden State Warriors114-119
26/10/26ACleveland Cavaliers125-127 OT
25/10/26HToronto Raptors117-94
23/10/26AOrlando Magic115-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HGolden State Warriors115-108
10/11/26HDenver Nuggets110-100
08/11/26APhoenix Suns99-102
05/11/26HMinnesota Timberwolves107-117
03/11/26HBoston Celtics109-93
01/11/26HOklahoma City Thunder119-98
31/10/26ADallas Mavericks111-116
29/10/26AMilwaukee Bucks132-100
27/10/26HAtlanta Hawks120-110
25/10/26AAtlanta Hawks121-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW73%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%80%67%
Points / game118.1117.0119.0
Allowed / game107.0102.8110.5
Point differential+11.1+14.2+8.5
Avg total225.1219.8229.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%80%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Houston Rockets
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW75%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %75%86%60%
Points / game115.4115.4115.4
Allowed / game106.5105.1108.4
Point differential+8.9+10.3+7.0
Avg total221.9220.6223.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%71%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
2 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
3 San Antonio Spurs1210283%119.2108.0+11.2
4 Houston Rockets129375%115.4106.5+8.9
5 Philadelphia 76ers129375%110.2109.2+1.0
6 Minnesota Timberwolves118373%118.1107.0+11.1
7 Oklahoma City Thunder118373%111.4105.9+5.5
8 Detroit Pistons107370%112.7104.6+8.1
9 Portland Trail Blazers107370%119.7112.7+7.0
10 Golden State Warriors128467%119.3111.5+7.8
11 Memphis Grizzlies117464%117.9111.9+6.0
12 Dallas Mavericks117464%114.9110.3+4.6
13 Denver Nuggets106460%114.5113.3+1.2
14 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.2116.2+2.1
15 New York Knicks116555%110.3103.5+6.8
16 Cleveland Cavaliers126650%116.4114.3+2.1
17 Toronto Raptors115645%114.5111.9+2.5
18 Miami Heat115645%115.7120.0-4.3
19 Phoenix Suns104640%112.8118.1-5.3
20 Orlando Magic114736%108.5114.0-5.5
21 Charlotte Hornets114736%98.8110.4-11.5
22 Indiana Pacers124833%111.6114.0-2.4
23 Washington Wizards124833%107.5113.4-5.9
24 New Orleans Pelicans124833%116.9124.2-7.3
25 Brooklyn Nets113827%110.2115.3-5.1
26 Los Angeles Clippers102820%112.2118.1-5.9
27 Chicago Bulls101910%113.3128.8-15.5
28 Sacramento Kings111109%108.3121.0-12.7
29 Utah Jazz121118%106.6118.1-11.5
30 Milwaukee Bucks121118%106.8121.3-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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