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Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 113-107
32-25 26-24 29-27 26-31
Position#11
Record43-31
FormWLLWL
Points / game111.8
Allowed / game109.4
vs
Position#27
Record21-52
FormLLLLW
Points / game103.3
Allowed / game110.9
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Oklahoma City Thunder
02 Feb 2027
DEN v OKC
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
DEN127
OKC107
01 Feb 2026
DEN111
OKC121
15 May 2025
DEN119
OKC107
11 May 2025
DEN87
OKC92
09 May 2025
DEN113
OKC104
06 Nov 2024
DEN124
OKC122
24 Oct 2024
DEN87
OKC102
29 Dec 2023
DEN93
OKC119
16 Dec 2023
DEN117
OKC118
22 Jan 2023
DEN99
OKC101
22 Oct 2022
DEN122
OKC117
26 Mar 2022
DEN113
OKC107
02 Mar 2022
DEN107
OKC119
12 Feb 2021
DEN97
OKC95
19 Jan 2021
DEN119
OKC101
30 Mar 2020
DEN v OKC
upcoming
14 Dec 2019
DEN110
OKC102
26 Feb 2019
DEN121
OKC112
14 Dec 2018
DEN109
OKC98
01 Feb 2018
DEN127
OKC124
09 Nov 2017
DEN102
OKC94
09 Apr 2017
DEN105
OKC106
25 Nov 2016
DEN129
OKC132
05 Apr 2016
DEN102
OKC124
19 Jan 2016
DEN104
OKC110
09 Feb 2015
DEN114
OKC124
19 Nov 2014
DEN107
OKC100
09 Jan 2014
DEN101
OKC88
17 Dec 2013
DEN93
OKC105
01 Mar 2013
DEN105
OKC103
20 Jan 2013
DEN121
OKC118
15 Mar 2012
DEN90
OKC103
25 Apr 2011
DEN104
OKC101
23 Apr 2011
DEN94
OKC97
05 Apr 2011
DEN94
OKC101
19 Jan 2011
DEN112
OKC107
03 Mar 2010
DEN119
OKC90
14 Dec 2009
DEN102
OKC93
08 Apr 2009
DEN122
OKC112
11 Mar 2009
DEN112
OKC99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
131-124
131
124
+7
134avg 107
H08/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
106-100
106
100
+6
108avg 107
A10/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
102-113
102
113
-11
92avg 107
H11/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
115-127
115
127
-12
117avg 107
H13/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
114-110
114
110
+4
113avg 107
A14/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
127-109
127
109
+18
124avg 107
A16/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
116-119 OT
116
119
-3
118avg 107
A18/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
104-124
104
124
-20
91avg 107
H21/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
127-115
127
115
+12
128avg 107
H23/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
L
130-140
130
140
-10
127avg 107
H25/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
40-31
31-38
33-32
27-23
32-29
31-22
17-26
26-23
29-30
31-21
24-37
18-25
25-28
38-37
36-28
16-34
22-37
31-21
28-30
33-22
34-28
39-24
31-29
23-28
29-31
34-21
24-26
20-29
27-33
16-35
32-30
29-26
37-27
35-34
27-27
28-27
31-31
37-35
38-38
24-36
235.3Avg total
117.2Scored
118.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (74)111.8109.4221.2+2.458%
Season at home (36)114.0110.9224.9+3.058%
Season away (38)109.7107.9217.7+1.858%
Last 10 (10)117.2118.1235.3-0.950%
Last 5 (5)120.8121.4242.2-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)112.0124.0236.0-12.00%
vs Similar (17)119.2115.1234.2+4.165%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)117.1106.8223.9+10.390%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#9
L
103-116
103
116
-13
91avg 92
H07/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
115-142
115
142
-27
107avg 92
H09/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
102-132
102
132
-30
92avg 92
A10/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
118-125
118
125
-7
104avg 92
H13/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
116-134
116
134
-18
115avg 92
H15/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
120-122
120
122
-2
117avg 92
A17/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
108-120
108
120
-12
100avg 92
A19/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
L
85-90
85
90
-5
67avg 92
A20/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
123-132
123
132
-9
113avg 92
H22/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
118-102
118
102
+16
113avg 92
H24/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-33
21-28
31-30
27-25
34-39
31-37
28-29
22-37
21-32
26-42
32-27
23-31
26-38
28-23
25-34
39-30
41-29
23-36
27-37
25-32
29-37
27-31
35-30
29-24
26-27
28-42
25-34
29-17
25-31
18-14
21-17
21-28
21-38
30-27
33-43
39-24
26-34
34-19
24-21
34-28
232.3Avg total
110.8Scored
121.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (73)103.3110.9214.2-7.629%
Season at home (37)104.2111.3215.5-7.027%
Season away (36)102.3110.5212.8-8.231%
Last 10 (10)110.8121.5232.3-10.710%
Last 5 (5)110.8113.2224.0-2.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)108.2119.1227.2-10.917%
vs Similar (6)101.7101.7203.3+0.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -6.5-6.5Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +1.2+1.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -6.5-6.5Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +1.2+1.2
Denver NuggetsOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
71-69
71
69
+2
H08/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
63-51
63
51
+12
A10/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H11/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
63-65
63
65
-2
H13/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
53-58
53
58
-5
A14/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
73-52
73
52
+21
A16/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
W
63-52
63
52
+11
A18/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
43-68
43
68
-25
H21/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
72-61
72
61
+11
H23/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H25/03
NBA
122.2Avg total
62.9Scored
59.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.057.7118.7+3.370%-
Last 30 at home (15)62.058.9120.9+3.173%-
Last 30 away (15)60.056.5116.5+3.567%-
Last 10 (10)62.959.3122.2+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)63.859.8123.6+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)57.061.7118.7-4.767%-
vs Similar (17)61.559.9121.4+1.665%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)61.352.8114.1+8.580%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#9
L
45-61
45
61
-16
H07/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
65-76
65
76
-11
H09/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
47-74
47
74
-27
A10/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
54-61
54
61
-7
H13/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
64-65
64
65
-1
H15/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
56-68
56
68
-12
A17/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
54-69
54
69
-15
A19/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A20/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
51-65
51
65
-14
H22/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H24/03
NBA
117.6Avg total
53.9Scored
63.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.759.7112.4-7.013%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.360.6113.9-7.313%-
Last 30 away (15)52.158.8110.9-6.713%-
Last 10 (10)53.963.7117.6-9.810%-
Last 5 (5)52.860.0112.8-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)53.261.4114.6-8.212%-
vs Similar (6)50.753.0103.7-2.317%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 117.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.230.8
60.2%
53.1%61.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.112.0
36.3%
35.3%36.0
🏀 Free throws25.019.6
78.4%
77.4%19.6
They take 84.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 110.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.826.2
54.8%
53.1%52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.213.7
34.1%
35.3%41.1
🏀 Free throws22.517.3
76.9%
77.4%17.3
They take 88.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWLLWWLLWW
Oklahoma City Thunder
WLLLLLLLLL
#11
League position
#27
-0.9
Net rating
-10.6
118.2
Offensive rating
109.7
119.1
Defensive rating
120.3
57.9%
Effective FG%
53.1%
56.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
13.6%
Turnover %
13.0%
23.5%
Off. rebound %
21.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.3%
3-point %
34.1%
67.8%
Assist %
58.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence118.2 · 109.7Defence119.1 · 120.3Shooting57.9% · 53.1%3-point %36.3% · 34.1%Ball care13.6% · 13.0%Off. rebounds23.5% · 21.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/22HPhoenix Suns130-140
23/03/22HLos Angeles Clippers127-115
21/03/22HBoston Celtics104-124
18/03/22ACleveland Cavaliers116-119 OT
16/03/22AWashington Wizards127-109
14/03/22APhiladelphia 76ers114-110
13/03/22HToronto Raptors115-127
11/03/22HGolden State Warriors102-113
10/03/22ASacramento Kings106-100
08/03/22HGolden State Warriors131-124
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/22HOrlando Magic118-102
22/03/22HBoston Celtics123-132
20/03/22AOrlando Magic85-90
19/03/22AMiami Heat108-120
17/03/22ASan Antonio Spurs120-122
15/03/22HCharlotte Hornets116-134
13/03/22HMemphis Grizzlies118-125
10/03/22AMinnesota Timberwolves102-132
09/03/22HMilwaukee Bucks115-142
07/03/22HUtah Jazz103-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL58%
HomeLLLWL58%
AwayWWWWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743638
Win %58%58%58%
Points / game111.8114.0109.7
Allowed / game109.4110.9107.9
Point differential+2.4+3.0+1.8
Avg total221.2224.9217.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%31%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (18)80% (5)62% (13)
Overtime %5%6%5%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW29%
HomeLLLLW27%
AwayWLLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games733736
Win %29%27%31%
Points / game103.3104.2102.3
Allowed / game110.9111.3110.5
Point differential-7.6-7.0-8.2
Avg total214.2215.5212.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%14%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (23)36% (11)50% (12)
Overtime %5%3%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Phoenix Suns74601481%115.3106.9+8.4
2 Memphis Grizzlies75522369%115.3109.3+6.0
3 Golden State Warriors74482665%111.0105.2+5.8
4 Philadelphia 76ers73462763%108.9106.5+2.3
5 Miami Heat75472863%109.1105.2+3.9
6 Boston Celtics74462862%110.4103.8+6.7
7 Milwaukee Bucks74462862%114.9111.2+3.7
8 Utah Jazz74452961%113.5107.6+5.9
9 Dallas Mavericks74452961%106.6104.1+2.4
10 Denver Nuggets74433158%111.8109.4+2.4
11 Chicago Bulls74433158%111.6111.2+0.4
12 Minnesota Timberwolves75433257%115.4111.9+3.5
13 Toronto Raptors74423257%109.1107.1+2.0
14 Cleveland Cavaliers74413355%107.2104.7+2.5
15 Brooklyn Nets74393553%112.2111.8+0.4
16 Charlotte Hornets74383651%114.7114.5+0.3
17 Atlanta Hawks74373750%112.9112.2+0.7
18 Los Angeles Clippers75363948%106.7108.3-1.7
19 New York Knicks74324243%106.3106.9-0.5
20 Los Angeles Lakers73314242%111.6114.3-2.7
21 Washington Wizards73314242%108.1111.4-3.3
22 New Orleans Pelicans74314342%108.7109.8-1.1
23 San Antonio Spurs74304441%112.9113.2-0.4
24 Portland Trail Blazers73274637%107.2114.6-7.4
25 Sacramento Kings75274836%110.5115.7-5.2
26 Indiana Pacers75255033%110.5113.6-3.1
27 Oklahoma City Thunder73215229%103.3110.9-7.6
28 Detroit Pistons74205427%104.3112.2-7.9
29 Orlando Magic75205527%104.2111.9-7.8
30 Houston Rockets74195526%108.9117.9-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets32262926113
Oklahoma City Thunder25242731107
← all games of the day
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