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Murray State vs Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 35-60
14-27 21-33
Position#296
Record12-19
FormLLWLL
Points / game70.9
Allowed / game70.2
vs
Position#198
Record16-15
FormWLLLW
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game72.3
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Murray State v Missouri State
07 Mar 2024
MURR35
MISS60
14 Feb 2024
MURR82
MISS72
28 Jan 2023
MURR74
MISS71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murray State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#240
L
59-61
59
61
-2
H31/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
71-43
71
43
+28
A03/02
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A08/02
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H10/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H15/02
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
72-95
72
95
-23
A18/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A22/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
80-68
80
68
+12
H24/02
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
61-83
61
83
-22
H29/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
77-89
77
89
-12
A03/03
NCAA
1H
2H
26-24
33-37
35-18
36-25
33-34
31-35
32-27
41-43
35-37
47-35
29-48
43-47
29-41
39-31
36-44
44-24
30-38
31-45
39-51
38-38
142.9Avg total
70.7Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)70.970.2141.1+0.639%
Season at home (17)70.770.1140.8+0.647%
Season away (14)71.170.4141.5+0.629%
Last 10 (10)70.772.2142.9-1.540%
Last 5 (5)71.681.4153.0-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)70.178.8148.8-8.78%
vs Similar ◀ (14)68.764.4133.1+4.450%
vs Weaker (3)77.764.7142.3+13.0100%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#131
W
76-75 OT
76
75
+1
A01/02
NCAA
Belmont
#128
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H03/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A08/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H10/02
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A15/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H17/02
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
62-86
62
86
-24
H22/02
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
78-93
78
93
-15
A24/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A29/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
69-59
69
59
+10
H03/03
NCAA
1H
2H
31-42
32-21
36-37
51-43
32-30
33-42
36-35
35-38
37-35
35-47
38-41
44-33
27-33
35-53
38-46
40-47
36-33
38-42
36-31
33-28
150.5Avg total
73.6Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)72.072.3144.3-0.352%
Season at home (16)74.170.1144.2+4.169%
Season away (15)69.774.7144.5-5.033%
Last 10 (10)73.676.9150.5-3.340%
Last 5 (5)73.077.4150.4-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)68.078.2146.2-10.238%
vs Similar ◀ (17)71.970.4142.3+1.553%
vs Weaker (5)81.470.4151.8+11.080%
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -3.8-3.81st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: -1.8-1.8
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -3.8-3.81st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: -1.8-1.8
Murray StateMissouri State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#240
W
26-24
26
24
+2
H31/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
35-18
35
18
+17
A03/02
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A08/02
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H10/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H15/02
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A18/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A22/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H24/02
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H29/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A03/03
NCAA
68.6Avg total
32.4Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.834.368.0-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.833.266.9+0.656%-
Last 30 away (14)33.835.569.3-1.736%-
Last 10 (10)32.436.268.6-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)32.644.477.0-11.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)34.740.375.0-5.631%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)32.528.861.3+3.757%-
vs Weaker (3)35.733.769.3+2.067%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#131
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A01/02
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H03/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A08/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H10/02
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A15/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H17/02
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H22/02
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A24/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A29/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H03/03
NCAA
71.0Avg total
34.7Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.134.668.7-0.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.633.067.6+1.656%-
Last 30 away (14)33.636.469.9-2.850%-
Last 10 (10)34.736.371.0-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)35.036.871.8-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)29.638.267.9-8.612%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)35.533.769.2+1.871%-
vs Weaker (5)36.631.668.2+5.060%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Murray State wins
3
Missouri State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24AIndiana State77-89
29/02/24HBelmont61-83
24/02/24HValparaiso80-68
22/02/24ASouthern Illinois68-72
18/02/24ADrake72-95
15/02/24HMissouri State82-72
10/02/24HEvansville73-70
08/02/24ABelmont64-69
03/02/24ANorthern Iowa71-43
31/01/24HIllinois State59-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24HIllinois (Chi.)69-59
29/02/24AIllinois State74-75
24/02/24ABelmont78-93
22/02/24HBradley62-86
17/02/24HValparaiso82-74
15/02/24AMurray State72-82
10/02/24HIndiana State71-73
08/02/24ANorthern Iowa65-72
03/02/24HBelmont87-80
01/02/24ASouthern Illinois76-75 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murray State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL39%
HomeLWWWL47%
AwayWLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %39%47%29%
Points / game70.970.771.1
Allowed / game70.270.170.4
Point differential+0.6+0.6+0.6
Avg total141.1140.8141.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%29%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won10% (10)25% (4)0% (6)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Missouri State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW52%
HomeWLWLW69%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %52%69%33%
Points / game72.074.169.7
Allowed / game72.370.174.7
Point differential-0.3+4.1-5.0
Avg total144.3144.2144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%38%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %10%6%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State3126584%84.572.0+12.5
2 Drake3125681%80.770.7+10.0
3 Bradley31211068%74.867.5+7.3
4 Southern Illinois31191261%72.467.7+4.6
5 Belmont31191261%78.176.3+1.8
6 Northern Iowa31181358%73.570.6+2.8
7 Illinois State31151648%66.967.9-1.0
8 Evansville31151648%72.474.1-1.7
9 Murray State31121939%70.970.2+0.6
10 Illinois (Chi.)31112035%70.671.1-0.5
11 Valparaiso3172423%67.875.2-7.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisiana Tech2921872%75.063.9+11.1
2 Western Kentucky29191066%80.374.8+5.5
3 Sam Houston St.29181162%72.069.6+2.3
4 Delaware31181358%73.570.2+3.3
5 Liberty30171357%74.165.0+9.1
6 Missouri State31161552%72.072.3-0.3
7 UTEP30151550%72.869.1+3.7
8 Kennesaw State31151648%82.880.8+2.1
9 Jacksonville State30141647%70.065.6+4.4
10 Middle Tenn. St.30131743%65.869.4-3.7
11 New Mexico State30121840%67.372.0-4.6
12 Florida International29101934%74.176.6-2.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Murray State142135
Missouri State273360
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