Neptunas vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 23 Apr 2014

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 78-76

22-18 19-25 21-11 16-22

Position#4

Record13-5

FormWWWLL

Points / game82.8

Allowed / game77.0

Neptunas 🏆

Nevezis

Position#9

Record11-21

FormWLLLL

Points / game68.8

Allowed / game74.5

LKL

Domestic2013-14

Meetings · Neptunas v Nevezis

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Nevezis winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Neptunas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Volgograd

#12

73-81

-8

H24/02

VTB United League

Alytaus Dzukija

#10

79-66

+13

A28/02

LKL

Astana

#11

86-91

-5

H09/03

VTB United League

VEF Riga

#13

90-85

H16/03

VTB United League

CSKA Moscow

64-87

-23

H23/03

VTB United League

LSU Atletas

#11

85-75

+10

H03/04

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

88-79

A07/04

LKL

Lietkabelis

83-69

+14

A10/04

LKL

Siauliai

79-90

-11

A15/04

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

68-81

-13

A19/04

LKL

8-20

20-22

15-12

30-27

13-25

22-8

18-19

26-14

24-27

23-17

24-27

15-20

23-15

16-19

26-13

25-38

7-19

20-24

24-23

13-21

24-13

30-18

16-25

15-19

15-22

27-20

21-20

25-17

23-18

15-20

26-16

19-15

19-28

17-21

17-20

26-21

15-22

16-24

23-18

14-17

159.9Avg total

79.5Scored

80.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	82.8	77.0	159.8	+5.8	72%
Season at home (8)	85.9	77.6	163.5	+8.2	88%
Season away (10)	80.4	76.5	156.9	+3.9	60%
Last 10 (10)	79.5	80.4	159.9	-0.9	50%
Last 5 (5)	80.6	78.8	159.4	+1.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	78.8	84.6	163.5	-5.8	38%
vs Similar (11)	80.1	79.5	159.5	+0.6	64%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	85.3	73.7	159.0	+11.7	83%

This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Nevezis

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pyrinto Tampere

61-91

-30

A13/03

Baltic League

Pyrinto Tampere

95-97

-2

A14/03

Baltic League

Lietkabelis

69-96

-27

A18/03

LKL

LSU Atletas

#11

69-72

-3

H23/03

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

#10

70-69 OT

H26/03

LKL

Skycop

93-77

+16

A05/04

LKL

Siauliai

66-88

-22

A08/04

LKL

LSU Atletas

#11

64-68

-4

A12/04

LKL

Siauliai

69-97

-28

H17/04

LKL

Juventus

59-93

-34

A19/04

LKL

13-21

9-22

21-15

18-33

16-26

26-27

22-19

31-25

22-19

16-27

17-24

14-26

16-21

15-9

22-19

16-23

17-14

14-17

11-17

21-15

22-18

18-16

21-19

32-24

21-31

21-18

13-23

11-16

20-18

16-21

18-11

10-18

14-23

18-26

20-23

17-25

14-26

19-17

13-20

13-30

156.3Avg total

71.5Scored

84.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	68.8	74.5	143.3	-5.7	34%
Season at home (16)	69.1	72.3	141.4	-3.2	38%
Season away (16)	68.6	76.8	145.3	-8.2	31%
Last 10 (10)	71.5	84.8	156.3	-13.3	20%
Last 5 (5)	70.2	84.6	154.8	-14.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	67.9	79.3	147.2	-11.3	22%
vs Similar (5)	67.2	76.4	143.6	-9.2	20%
vs Weaker (7)	76.9	75.7	152.6	+1.1	43%

This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

NeptunasNevezis

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.6	39.7	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	18.8	38.5	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.6	20.3	40.9	+0.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	20.9	38.0	-3.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	20.6	39.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	19.1	20.1	39.2	-1.0	38%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.3	19.3	39.5	+1.0	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	22.2	19.0	41.2	+3.2	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.4	38.0	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.7	18.1	37.8	+1.6	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.8	20.4	38.2	-2.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	21.7	39.2	-4.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	23.2	41.4	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	17.0	20.4	37.4	-3.4	39%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.4	15.0	34.4	+4.4	100%	-
vs Weaker (7)	22.3	20.0	42.3	+2.3	43%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.7	38.4	-1.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	19.4	39.4	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	20.1	37.3	-2.8	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	19.3	39.9	+1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.6	41.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	19.2	20.6	39.8	-1.5	38%	-
vs Similar (11)	16.1	19.9	36.0	-3.8	27%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	22.2	17.5	39.7	+4.7	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.0	19.1	36.1	-2.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	16.6	19.1	35.7	-2.5	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.3	19.1	36.4	-1.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	20.0	37.2	-2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	19.6	38.0	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	18.1	19.7	37.7	-1.6	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	12.0	21.6	33.6	-9.6	0%	-
vs Weaker (7)	17.9	15.7	33.6	+2.1	71%	-

NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Volgograd

#12

28-42

-14

H24/02

VTB United League

Alytaus Dzukija

#10

35-33

A28/02

LKL

Astana

#11

47-44

H09/03

VTB United League

VEF Riga

#13

39-34

H16/03

VTB United League

CSKA Moscow

27-43

-16

H23/03

VTB United League

LSU Atletas

#11

54-31

+23

H03/04

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

42-42

A07/04

LKL

Lietkabelis

38-38

A10/04

LKL

Siauliai

36-49

-13

A15/04

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

31-46

-15

A19/04

LKL

77.9Avg total

37.7Scored

40.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	39.3	78.1	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.7	38.2	77.9	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.9	40.4	78.3	-2.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	40.2	77.9	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	41.2	81.4	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	38.2	40.7	78.9	-2.5	38%	-
vs Similar (11)	36.4	39.2	75.5	-2.8	27%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	44.3	36.5	80.8	+7.8	67%	-

This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pyrinto Tampere

22-43

-21

A13/03

Baltic League

Pyrinto Tampere

42-53

-11

A14/03

Baltic League

Lietkabelis

38-46

-8

A18/03

LKL

LSU Atletas

#11

31-30

H23/03

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

#10

31-31

H26/03

LKL

Skycop

40-34

A05/04

LKL

Siauliai

42-49

-7

A08/04

LKL

LSU Atletas

#11

36-39

-3

A12/04

LKL

Siauliai

32-49

-17

H17/04

LKL

Juventus

33-43

-10

A19/04

LKL

76.4Avg total

34.7Scored

41.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.6	38.5	74.1	-2.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	36.3	37.2	73.5	-0.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	35.1	39.5	74.6	-4.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.7	41.7	76.4	-7.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	42.8	79.4	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	35.1	40.1	75.1	-5.0	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	31.4	36.6	68.0	-5.2	0%	-
vs Weaker (7)	40.1	35.7	75.9	+4.4	57%	-

This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.0	40.1	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	21.1	42.0	-0.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	19.0	38.1	+0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	19.3	40.3	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	19.8	40.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	18.8	21.3	40.2	-2.5	38%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.4	19.2	40.5	+2.2	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	20.2	18.8	39.0	+1.3	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	18.5	36.0	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.1	18.4	36.5	-0.3	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.2	18.5	35.7	-1.4	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	19.0	36.8	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	19.2	36.2	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	17.4	18.1	35.5	-0.6	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	15.8	20.0	35.8	-4.2	20%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.1	18.4	37.6	+0.7	43%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.1	40.8	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	22.4	42.7	-2.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	17.7	38.9	+3.4	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.9	41.7	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	17.8	37.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	20.4	20.8	41.2	-0.5	46%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.1	20.1	41.2	+1.0	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	20.8	18.3	39.2	+2.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.5	20.8	37.3	-4.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.1	18.2	35.2	-1.1	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	16.0	22.9	38.9	-6.9	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	23.5	41.8	-5.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	22.6	39.2	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	15.4	21.2	36.6	-5.7	22%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.6	18.6	37.2	+0.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (7)	17.6	21.6	39.1	-4.0	43%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	40.1	80.9	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.3	43.5	84.7	-2.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.3	36.7	77.0	+3.5	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	40.2	82.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	37.6	78.0	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	39.2	42.2	81.4	-2.9	38%	-
vs Similar (11)	42.5	39.3	81.7	+3.2	82%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	41.0	37.2	78.2	+3.8	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.0	39.3	73.3	-5.3	20%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	35.2	36.5	71.7	-1.4	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	33.2	41.4	74.6	-8.2	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.1	42.5	78.6	-6.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.6	41.8	75.4	-8.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	32.9	39.2	72.1	-6.3	17%	-
vs Similar (5)	34.4	38.6	73.0	-4.2	20%	-
vs Weaker (7)	36.7	40.0	76.7	-3.3	29%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Neptunas wins

Nevezis wins

Date	Game	Score
08/12/13	Nevezis v Neptunas	68-69
12/04/13	Neptunas v Nevezis	102-61
21/12/12	Nevezis v Neptunas	67-74
30/03/12	Nevezis v Neptunas	79-81
02/03/12	Neptunas v Nevezis	91-93

Neptunaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/04/14	A	Pieno Zvaigzdes	68-81
15/04/14	A	Siauliai	79-90
10/04/14	A	Lietkabelis	83-69
07/04/14	A	Zalgiris Kaunas	88-79
03/04/14	H	LSU Atletas	85-75
23/03/14	H	CSKA Moscow	64-87
16/03/14	H	VEF Riga	90-85
09/03/14	H	Astana	86-91
28/02/14	A	Alytaus Dzukija	79-66
24/02/14	H	Volgograd	73-81

Nevezislast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/04/14	A	Juventus	59-93
17/04/14	H	Siauliai	69-97
12/04/14	A	LSU Atletas	64-68
08/04/14	A	Siauliai	66-88
05/04/14	A	Skycop	93-77
26/03/14	H	Alytaus Dzukija	70-69 OT
23/03/14	H	LSU Atletas	69-72
18/03/14	A	Lietkabelis	69-96
14/03/14	A	Pyrinto Tampere	95-97
13/03/14	A	Pyrinto Tampere	61-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas

LKL 2013-14

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	72%
Home	LWWWW	88%
Away	WWWLL	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	8	10
Win %	72%	88%	60%
Points / game	82.8	85.9	80.4
Allowed / game	77.0	77.6	76.5
Point differential	+5.8	+8.2	+3.9
Avg total	159.8	163.5	156.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	38%	30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (5)	100% (3)	100% (2)
Overtime %	6%	0%	10%

Nevezis

LKL 2013-14

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	34%
Home	LWLWL	38%
Away	LWLLL	31%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	16	16
Win %	34%	38%	31%
Points / game	68.8	69.1	68.6
Allowed / game	74.5	72.3	76.8
Point differential	-5.7	-3.2	-8.2
Avg total	143.3	141.4	145.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	12%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	36% (11)	40% (5)	33% (6)
Overtime %	6%	12%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Rytas	18	16	2	89%	89.2	70.8	+18.4
2	Zalgiris Kaunas	19	14	5	74%	82.0	70.6	+11.4
3	Skycop	33	24	9	73%	78.6	74.9	+3.7
4	Neptunas	18	13	5	72%	82.8	77.0	+5.8
5	Pieno Zvaigzdes	33	21	12	64%	76.1	71.0	+5.1
6	Siauliai	32	19	13	59%	80.9	74.3	+6.6
7	Juventus	33	14	19	42%	77.4	76.8	+0.5
8	Lietkabelis	34	12	22	35%	71.5	78.9	-7.3
9	Nevezis	32	11	21	34%	68.8	74.5	-5.7
10	Alytaus Dzukija	34	11	23	32%	67.6	75.9	-8.2
11	LSU Atletas	34	5	29	15%	72.6	86.1	-13.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Neptunas	22	19	21	16	78
Nevezis	18	25	11	22	76

← all games of the day

Neptunas vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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