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Neptunas vs Nevezis Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 17 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 13:50
Scheduled
Position#5
Record5-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game84.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.6/10
Around normal
5.2/10
Around normal
Position#10
Record2-7
FormLWLWW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game83.1
LithuaniaLKL· Svyturio Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Neptunas v Nevezis
17 Apr 2027
NEP v NEV
upcoming
03 Oct 2026
NEP89
NEV62
11 Apr 2026
NEP88
NEV93
17 Jan 2026
NEP87
NEV67
10 Jan 2026
NEP113
NEV82
04 May 2025
NEP96
NEV90
09 Feb 2025
NEP94
NEV107
23 Oct 2024
NEP86
NEV88
22 Apr 2024
NEP79
NEV92
20 Nov 2023
NEP97
NEV74
18 Apr 2023
NEP97
NEV91
12 Dec 2022
NEP86
NEV79
03 Apr 2022
NEP95
NEV61
12 Dec 2021
NEP94
NEV87
03 Oct 2021
NEP97
NEV95
07 May 2020
NEP v NEV
upcoming
07 Dec 2019
NEP88
NEV78
28 Apr 2019
NEP86
NEV76
23 Sep 2018
NEP100
NEV76
04 Mar 2018
NEP81
NEV64
24 Sep 2017
NEP92
NEV73
12 Apr 2017
NEP90
NEV53
12 Nov 2016
NEP70
NEV63
23 Apr 2016
NEP103
NEV69
30 Sep 2015
NEP77
NEV66
10 Jan 2015
NEP106
NEV78
30 Sep 2014
NEP115
NEV76
23 Apr 2014
NEP78
NEV76
12 Apr 2013
NEP102
NEV61
02 Mar 2012
NEP91
NEV93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#24
W
93-89
93
89
+4
86avg 82
H13/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#7
W
84-83
84
83
+1
75avg 82
A17/10
LKL
Buducnost
#10
L
89-104
89
104
-15
81avg 82
A20/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#6
W
110-88
110
88
+22
108avg 82
H25/10
LKL
Basket Napoli
#2
L
85-94
85
94
-9
77avg 82
H28/10
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
79-99
79
99
-20
78avg 82
A31/10
LKL
Tofas
#6
L
79-94
79
94
-15
no box
A03/11
Eurocup
Taurage
#9
W
82-80
82
80
+2
no box
H07/11
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
90-82
90
82
+8
no box
H10/11
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
82-87
82
87
-5
no box
A15/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-14
19-29
17-24
25-22
29-24
19-21
17-21
19-17
22-31
20-25
26-24
21-24
25-23
26-17
31-26
28-22
20-24
25-23
20-24
20-23
33-19
20-29
11-25
15-26
29-19
20-24
10-24
20-27
11-22
23-21
20-23
28-14
21-18
17-20
30-26
22-18
29-23
14-25
25-21
14-18
177.3Avg total
87.3Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)84.984.9169.8+0.050%
Season at home (5)89.881.4171.2+8.480%
Season away (5)80.088.4168.4-8.420%
Last 10 (10)87.390.0177.3-2.750%
Last 5 (5)82.488.4170.8-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.993.0174.9-11.10%
vs Similar (11)84.382.2166.5+2.164%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)89.984.2174.1+5.764%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Taurage
#4
L
76-81
76
81
-5
60avg 71
A07/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
76-80
76
80
-4
72avg 71
H11/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#1
L
86-101
86
101
-15
85avg 71
H14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
72-73
72
73
-1
70avg 71
H17/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
93-69
93
69
+24
85avg 71
A20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
L
76-80
76
80
-4
65avg 71
A24/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#3
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
H02/11
LKL
Siauliai
#6
L
76-83
76
83
-7
no box
H08/11
LKL
Taurage
#4
W
90-79
90
79
+11
no box
H11/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#8
W
91-88
91
88
+3
no box
H14/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
18-23
23-13
17-19
22-16
18-18
19-25
17-21
18-18
20-27
25-30
23-26
19-20
9-22
21-20
23-11
27-20
21-25
24-13
21-11
22-19
18-24
15-18
21-19
22-25
27-17
18-19
20-15
26-23
23-18
15-20
12-22
23-20
22-17
28-22
17-20
28-23
18-23
27-21
18-21
163.3Avg total
82.3Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)75.883.1158.9-7.322%
Season at home (5)80.480.0160.4+0.440%
Season away (4)70.087.0157.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)82.381.0163.3+1.340%
Last 5 (5)84.081.2165.2+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)81.090.9172.0-9.923%
vs Similar (5)80.888.2169.0-7.420%
vs Weaker (3)86.376.3162.7+10.067%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +0.4+0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +0.4+0.4
NeptunasNevezis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#24
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H13/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#7
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A17/10
LKL
Buducnost
#10
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A20/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#6
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H25/10
LKL
Basket Napoli
#2
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H28/10
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#4
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A31/10
LKL
Tofas
#6
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A03/11
Eurocup
Taurage
#9
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H07/11
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#31
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H10/11
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A15/11
LKL
90.5Avg total
45.4Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.642.987.5+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.241.686.9+3.653%-
Last 30 away (13)43.844.588.4-0.762%-
Last 10 (10)45.445.190.5+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)43.444.087.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)42.848.190.9-5.412%-
vs Similar (11)46.339.085.3+7.391%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)44.443.087.4+1.455%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Taurage
#4
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A07/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H11/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H17/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A24/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#3
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H02/11
LKL
Siauliai
#6
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H08/11
LKL
Taurage
#4
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H11/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#8
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H14/11
LKL
84.3Avg total
41.9Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.645.885.4-6.230%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.645.084.6-5.433%-
Last 30 away (15)39.546.686.1-7.127%-
Last 10 (10)41.942.484.3-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)45.841.887.6+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)38.946.585.4-7.732%-
vs Similar (5)40.643.884.4-3.20%-
vs Weaker (3)43.043.786.7-0.767%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.521.1
53.4%
55.6%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.8
32.8%
35.3%23.4
🏀 Free throws24.620.2
82.1%
70.8%20.2
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.821.1
50.5%
55.6%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.56.0
29.3%
35.3%18.0
🏀 Free throws23.615.6
66.1%
70.8%15.6
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LWWLLLWLWW
Nevezis
WWLWLWLLLL
#5
League position
#10
-1.7
Net rating
-10.2
98.4
Offensive rating
88.9
100.1
Defensive rating
99.1
51.8%
Effective FG%
48.3%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
15.6%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.38
32.8%
3-point %
29.3%
64.0%
Assist %
59.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence98.4 · 88.9Defence100.1 · 99.1Shooting51.8% · 48.3%3-point %32.8% · 29.3%Ball care15.6% · 14.8%Free throws0.39 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Neptunas   ■ Nevezis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Neptunas wins
2
Nevezis wins
DateGameScore
03/10/26Neptunas v Nevezis89-62
23/04/26Nevezis v Neptunas82-110
11/04/26Neptunas v Nevezis88-93
17/01/26Neptunas v Nevezis87-67
10/01/26Neptunas v Nevezis113-82
23/12/25Nevezis v Neptunas76-87
04/10/25Nevezis v Neptunas85-92
04/05/25Neptunas v Nevezis96-90
06/03/25Nevezis v Neptunas81-83
09/02/25Neptunas v Nevezis94-107
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AZalgiris Kaunas82-87
10/11/26HSlask Wroclaw90-82
07/11/26HTaurage82-80
03/11/26ATofas79-94
31/10/26ALietkabelis79-99
28/10/26HBasket Napoli85-94
25/10/26HSiauliai110-88
20/10/26ABuducnost89-104
17/10/26AJonava84-83
13/10/26HJL Bourg93-89
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HJuventus91-88
11/11/26HTaurage90-79
08/11/26HSiauliai76-83
02/11/26HGargzdai87-76
24/10/26ATaurage76-80
20/10/26AJurbarkas93-69
17/10/26HLietkabelis72-73
14/10/26HGargzdai86-101
11/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas76-80
07/10/26ATaurage76-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%80%20%
Points / game84.989.880.0
Allowed / game84.981.488.4
Point differential+0.0+8.4-8.4
Avg total169.8171.2168.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nevezis
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW22%
HomeLLWLW40%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %22%40%0%
Points / game75.880.470.0
Allowed / game83.180.087.0
Point differential-7.3+0.4-17.0
Avg total158.9160.4157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas10100100%92.676.7+15.9
2 Rytas85362%89.685.4+4.2
3 Gargzdai106460%88.387.3+1.0
4 Lietkabelis106460%79.780.3-0.6
5 Neptunas105550%84.984.9+0.0
6 Siauliai105550%84.685.6-1.0
7 Jonava93633%78.482.0-3.6
8 Juventus103730%85.588.3-2.8
9 Taurage103730%80.486.5-6.1
10 Nevezis92722%75.883.1-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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