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Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 03 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 107-119
24-24 33-31 22-31 28-33
Position#11
Record36-25
FormWWWWW
Points / game110.5
Allowed / game107.6
vs
Position#27
Record19-42
FormWLLWL
Points / game101.9
Allowed / game108.8
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Oklahoma City Thunder
02 Feb 2027
DEN v OKC
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
DEN127
OKC107
01 Feb 2026
DEN111
OKC121
15 May 2025
DEN119
OKC107
11 May 2025
DEN87
OKC92
09 May 2025
DEN113
OKC104
06 Nov 2024
DEN124
OKC122
24 Oct 2024
DEN87
OKC102
29 Dec 2023
DEN93
OKC119
16 Dec 2023
DEN117
OKC118
22 Jan 2023
DEN99
OKC101
22 Oct 2022
DEN122
OKC117
26 Mar 2022
DEN113
OKC107
02 Mar 2022
DEN107
OKC119
12 Feb 2021
DEN97
OKC95
19 Jan 2021
DEN119
OKC101
30 Mar 2020
DEN v OKC
upcoming
14 Dec 2019
DEN110
OKC102
26 Feb 2019
DEN121
OKC112
14 Dec 2018
DEN109
OKC98
01 Feb 2018
DEN127
OKC124
09 Nov 2017
DEN102
OKC94
09 Apr 2017
DEN105
OKC106
25 Nov 2016
DEN129
OKC132
05 Apr 2016
DEN102
OKC124
19 Jan 2016
DEN104
OKC110
09 Feb 2015
DEN114
OKC124
19 Nov 2014
DEN107
OKC100
09 Jan 2014
DEN101
OKC88
17 Dec 2013
DEN93
OKC105
01 Mar 2013
DEN105
OKC103
20 Jan 2013
DEN121
OKC118
15 Mar 2012
DEN90
OKC103
25 Apr 2011
DEN104
OKC101
23 Apr 2011
DEN94
OKC97
05 Apr 2011
DEN94
OKC101
19 Jan 2011
DEN112
OKC107
03 Mar 2010
DEN119
OKC90
14 Dec 2009
DEN102
OKC93
08 Apr 2009
DEN122
OKC112
11 Mar 2009
DEN112
OKC99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
105-113
105
113
-8
95avg 107
H05/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
124-104
124
104
+20
129avg 107
H06/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
W
132-115
132
115
+17
136avg 107
H09/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
102-108
102
108
-6
95avg 107
A12/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
W
110-109
110
109
+1
110avg 107
A13/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
121-111
121
111
+10
119avg 107
H15/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
117-116
117
116
+1
112avg 107
A17/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
128-110
128
110
+18
126avg 107
A25/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
115-110
115
110
+5
113avg 107
H27/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
124-92
124
92
+32
126avg 107
A28/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-27
23-24
30-31
23-31
39-40
37-35
31-16
17-13
40-36
43-24
28-34
21-21
32-30
28-21
19-25
23-32
31-25
25-32
27-29
27-23
29-14
24-26
32-30
36-41
25-33
29-30
24-23
39-30
35-25
28-33
29-29
36-23
38-30
21-29
26-26
30-25
32-27
33-21
21-22
38-22
226.6Avg total
117.8Scored
108.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (61)110.5107.6218.1+2.959%
Season at home (27)112.3107.4219.8+4.963%
Season away (34)109.0107.7216.8+1.356%
Last 10 (10)117.8108.8226.6+9.080%
Last 5 (5)121.0107.8228.8+13.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)102.0108.0210.0-6.00%
vs Similar (18)111.6110.2221.8+1.356%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)121.1105.5226.5+15.6100%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#24
L
103-113
103
113
-10
93avg 92
A06/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
98-110
98
110
-12
88avg 92
H08/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
98-117
98
117
-19
93avg 92
H10/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
87-100
87
100
-13
78avg 92
A12/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
101-106
101
106
-5
87avg 92
A13/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
W
127-123 OT
127
123
+4
118avg 92
A15/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
106-114
106
114
-8
89avg 92
H17/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
L
104-124
104
124
-20
92avg 92
H25/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
129-125 OT
129
125
+4
118avg 92
A26/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
L
110-131
110
131
-21
101avg 92
H01/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-36
27-28
22-25
24-24
23-20
23-36
26-29
26-25
22-34
29-25
21-28
26-30
24-24
17-22
20-31
26-23
29-22
25-28
26-31
21-25
29-31
32-31
30-32
21-18
29-34
29-39
23-16
25-25
14-31
31-17
32-37
27-39
29-36
40-25
23-32
31-30
32-35
27-24
31-40
20-32
222.6Avg total
106.3Scored
116.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (61)101.9108.8210.6-6.931%
Season at home (30)102.1107.6209.7-5.530%
Season away (31)101.6109.9211.5-8.332%
Last 10 (10)106.3116.3222.6-10.020%
Last 5 (5)115.2123.4238.6-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)104.3110.6215.0-6.324%
vs Similar (5)103.6107.0210.6-3.440%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -2.4-2.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -2.4-2.4
Denver NuggetsOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H05/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
76-75
76
75
+1
H06/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
W
83-60
83
60
+23
H09/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
W
60-51
60
51
+9
A12/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
56-57
56
57
-1
A13/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H15/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
54-63
54
63
-9
A17/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
63-58
63
58
+5
A25/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
D
59-59
59
59
+0
H27/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
65-48
65
48
+17
A28/02
NBA
118.3Avg total
62.1Scored
56.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.255.7115.9+4.563%-
Last 30 at home (13)62.958.9121.8+4.054%-
Last 30 away (17)58.153.2111.3+4.971%-
Last 10 (10)62.156.2118.3+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)58.853.6112.4+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)60.051.0111.0+9.0100%-
vs Similar (18)57.156.8113.9+0.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)65.354.3119.5+11.082%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#24
L
57-64
57
64
-7
A06/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
46-56
46
56
-10
H08/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
51-59
51
59
-8
H10/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A12/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A13/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
L
61-62
61
62
-1
A15/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
58-73
58
73
-15
H17/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H25/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A26/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
D
59-59
59
59
+0
H01/03
NBA
111.9Avg total
54.1Scored
57.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.856.0107.8-4.227%-
Last 30 at home (14)50.655.7106.4-5.129%-
Last 30 away (16)52.856.3109.1-3.525%-
Last 10 (10)54.157.8111.9-3.720%-
Last 5 (5)58.460.6119.0-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)51.856.0107.8-4.232%-
vs Similar (5)51.656.2107.8-4.60%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 117.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.028.0
58.3%
53.1%56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.414.3
37.2%
35.3%42.9
🏀 Free throws23.218.9
81.5%
77.4%18.9
They take 86.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 106.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.630.4
52.8%
53.1%60.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.710.3
29.7%
35.3%30.9
🏀 Free throws19.714.6
74.1%
77.4%14.6
They take 92.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWWWWLWWL
Oklahoma City Thunder
LWLLWLLLLL
#11
League position
#27
+8.8
Net rating
-9.6
115.4
Offensive rating
102.1
106.5
Defensive rating
111.7
57.2%
Effective FG%
49.7%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
15.3%
Turnover %
12.8%
23.3%
Off. rebound %
21.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.21
37.2%
3-point %
29.7%
66.2%
Assist %
59.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence115.4 · 102.1Defence106.5 · 111.7Shooting57.2% · 49.7%3-point %37.2% · 29.7%Ball care15.3% · 12.8%Off. rebounds23.3% · 21.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/22APortland Trail Blazers124-92
27/02/22HSacramento Kings115-110
25/02/22ASacramento Kings128-110
17/02/22AGolden State Warriors117-116
15/02/22HOrlando Magic121-111
13/02/22AToronto Raptors110-109
12/02/22ABoston Celtics102-108
09/02/22HNew York Knicks132-115
06/02/22HBrooklyn Nets124-104
05/02/22HNew Orleans Pelicans105-113
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/22HSacramento Kings110-131
26/02/22AIndiana Pacers129-125 OT
25/02/22HPhoenix Suns104-124
17/02/22HSan Antonio Spurs106-114
15/02/22ANew York Knicks127-123 OT
13/02/22AChicago Bulls101-106
12/02/22APhiladelphia 76ers87-100
10/02/22HToronto Raptors98-117
08/02/22HGolden State Warriors98-110
06/02/22ASacramento Kings103-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW59%
HomeLWWWW63%
AwayLWWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games612734
Win %59%63%56%
Points / game110.5112.3109.0
Allowed / game107.6107.4107.7
Point differential+2.9+4.9+1.3
Avg total218.1219.8216.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%33%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won69% (16)80% (5)64% (11)
Overtime %3%4%3%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL31%
HomeLLLLL30%
AwayLLLWW32%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games613031
Win %31%30%32%
Points / game101.9102.1101.6
Allowed / game108.8107.6109.9
Point differential-6.9-5.5-8.3
Avg total210.6209.7211.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%13%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won48% (21)36% (11)60% (10)
Overtime %7%3%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Phoenix Suns61491280%113.6105.9+7.8
2 Golden State Warriors62431969%110.9104.0+6.8
3 Memphis Grizzlies63432068%113.9109.1+4.8
4 Miami Heat63412265%109.6104.9+4.7
5 Utah Jazz61392264%114.1107.4+6.8
6 Chicago Bulls62392363%112.4110.5+1.9
7 Philadelphia 76ers61382362%108.5106.0+2.5
8 Milwaukee Bucks63382560%113.7110.2+3.5
9 Dallas Mavericks62372560%106.7103.4+3.3
10 Denver Nuggets61362559%110.5107.6+2.9
11 Cleveland Cavaliers62362658%106.5103.0+3.5
12 Boston Celtics64372758%109.2103.8+5.4
13 Toronto Raptors61342756%108.7107.4+1.3
14 Minnesota Timberwolves63342954%113.6112.3+1.3
15 Los Angeles Clippers64333152%106.8107.3-0.5
16 Brooklyn Nets63323151%110.7111.6-0.9
17 Charlotte Hornets64313348%114.1114.5-0.4
18 Atlanta Hawks61293248%112.2111.5+0.7
19 Washington Wizards61283346%107.6110.4-2.8
20 Los Angeles Lakers61273444%110.4112.4-2.0
21 New Orleans Pelicans62263642%107.1109.0-1.9
22 Portland Trail Blazers61253641%107.7112.6-4.9
23 New York Knicks62253740%105.1107.3-2.2
24 San Antonio Spurs62243839%112.7112.8-0.1
25 Sacramento Kings64234136%110.0115.2-5.2
26 Indiana Pacers64224234%109.9112.3-2.3
27 Oklahoma City Thunder61194231%101.9108.8-6.9
28 Houston Rockets62154724%108.5118.0-9.5
29 Detroit Pistons62154724%103.2112.7-9.5
30 Orlando Magic63154824%104.0112.0-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets24332228107
Oklahoma City Thunder24313133119
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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