Pato vs Bauru Result & Analysis

Pato will face Bauru on 9 November 2026 in the NBB, with the model favouring Bauru at 63% versus Pato's 37%, a game the forecast expects to be tightly contested. Pato has gone 1-4 this season, averaging 72.4 points and conceding 82.0, while Bauru sits 2-4, scoring 73.2 and allowing 77.7; both teams have struggled in their last five games, each winning only one. At home Pato is 1-2, 76.3 points for, 82.7 against, and Bauru is 1-1 on the road, 78.5 points for, 82.0 against. The last five results for Pato include losses to Flamengo 66-80, Cruzeiro 68-76, and Minas 65-86, while Bauru fell 64-77 to Minas, 74-78 to Cruzeiro, and 75-83 to Paulistano. In their 10 previous meetings Bauru has won nine, most recently 94-70 on 24 March 2026. The model projects a 75-78 scoreline, a total of 153.2 points, and a 5.5-point spread favouring Bauru, with a 55% chance the home side covers; the over on the total has a modest probability, and a 5% chance of overtime. The final game will hinge on whether Pato can reverse its recent slump and keep the margin within the spread.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winLost

36.8%fair 2.71

Best odds2.88

Implied33.3%

Edge+3.5pp

Bauru winWon

63.2%fair 1.58

Best odds1.44

Implied66.7%

Edge-3.5pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 08 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pato

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPato

Date

Competition

Rio Claro

#15

70-78

-8

62avg 61

H06/04

NBB

Franca

64-100

100

-36

58avg 61

A09/04

NBB

Osasco

#18

68-77

-9

69avg 61

A11/04

NBB

Pinheiros

55-88

-33

50avg 61

A16/04

NBB

Paulistano

71-92

-21

58avg 61

A18/04

NBB

Paulistano

74-80

-6

58avg 61

H21/10

NBB

Botafogo

#13

89-88

36avg 61

H24/10

NBB

Minas

65-86

-21

52avg 61

A27/10

NBB

Cruzeiro

68-76

-8

48avg 61

A29/10

NBB

Flamengo

66-80

-14

no box

H07/11

NBB

17-13

21-16

20-20

12-29

16-30

12-23

11-23

25-24

19-14

20-21

14-23

15-19

12-25

16-19

16-27

11-17

15-24

18-27

18-28

20-13

10-13

18-20

13-30

33-17

22-26

16-22

27-13

24-27

14-24

18-24

16-23

17-15

17-17

18-21

10-19

23-19

18-24

19-16

13-24

16-16

153.5Avg total

69.0Scored

84.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	72.4	82.0	154.4	-9.6	20%
Season at home (3)	76.3	82.7	159.0	-6.3	33%
Season away (2)	66.5	81.0	147.5	-14.5	0%
Last 10 (10)	69.0	84.5	153.5	-15.5	10%
Last 5 (5)	72.4	82.0	154.4	-9.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	70.3	82.8	153.1	-12.5	9%
vs Similar (8)	79.6	78.4	158.0	+1.2	38%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bauru

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBauru

Date

Competition

Paulistano

77-80

-3

74avg 75

A21/04

NBB

Paulistano

80-95

-15

68avg 75

H24/04

NBB

Paulistano

88-75

+13

83avg 75

H26/04

NBB

Paulistano

62-71

-9

47avg 75

A29/04

NBB

Flamengo

82-81

70avg 75

A18/10

NBB

Sao Jose

#14

83-68

+15

81avg 75

H21/10

NBB

Mogi

61-79

-18

43avg 75

H23/10

NBB

Paulistano

75-83

-8

no box

A30/10

NBB

Cruzeiro

74-78

-4

no box

H03/11

NBB

Minas

64-77

-13

no box

H05/11

NBB

13-21

8-16

28-25

28-18

17-31

22-20

15-25

26-19

24-14

29-17

16-26

19-18

16-15

16-20

18-20

12-16

20-19

23-17

18-22

21-23

23-22

11-20

25-17

24-9

15-20

19-19

9-23

18-17

23-26

12-26

21-16

19-15

24-16

21-23

15-13

14-26

16-18

20-21

12-17

16-21

153.3Avg total

74.6Scored

78.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	73.2	77.7	150.8	-4.5	33%
Season at home (4)	70.5	75.5	146.0	-5.0	25%
Season away (2)	78.5	82.0	160.5	-3.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	74.6	78.7	153.3	-4.1	30%
Last 5 (5)	71.4	77.0	148.4	-5.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	80.3	84.0	164.3	-3.7	44%
vs Similar (14)	82.2	82.9	165.1	-0.7	36%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	87.9	78.4	166.3	+9.4	86%

This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 147.5Actual: Over 147.5

Over 147.5

62.9%

@ 1.53-0.3pp

Under 147.5

37.1%

@ 2.60+0.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.53

Betano

1.47

Bet365

1.45

Under

Bet365

2.60

Betano

2.42

Over/Under 152.75 · main lineActual: Over 152.75

Over 152.75

no forecast

@ 1.80

Under 152.75

no forecast

@ 1.80

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.80

Under

1xBet

1.80

Over/Under 157.5Actual: Over 157.5

Over 157.5

39.0%

@ 2.35-0.6pp

Under 157.5

61.0%

@ 1.55+0.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.35

Bet365

2.30

Under

Bet365

1.55

Marathon Be

1.50

Betano

1.50

📊 3. Team Totals

Pato total 70Actual: Pato over 70

Over 70

67.8%

Under 70

32.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Pato total 74 · main lineActual: Pato over 74

Over 74

52.4%

@ 1.86+3.1pp

Under 74

47.6%

@ 1.78-3.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.86

1xBet

1.73

Under

Marathon Be

1.78

1xBet

1.71

Pato total 78Push

Over 78

36.7%

Under 78

63.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Bauru total 75Actual: Bauru over 75

Over 75

63.8%

Under 75

36.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Bauru total 79 · main lineActual: Bauru over 79

Over 79

47.8%

@ 1.83-1.4pp

Under 79

52.2%

@ 1.83+1.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.83

1xBet

1.78

Under

Marathon Be

1.83

1xBet

1.67

Bauru total 83Actual: Bauru over 83

Over 83

32.2%

Under 83

67.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Pato +1.5Actual: Bauru -1.5

PATO +1.5

39.6%

@ 2.50+1.8pp

BAUR -1.5

60.4%

@ 1.50-1.8pp

Best 5 market prices

PATO

Bet365

2.50

Betano

2.42

1xBet

2.32

BAUR

Bet365

1.50

Betano

1.47

1xBet

1.43

Spread Pato +4.5 · main lineActual: Bauru -4.5

PATO +4.5

51.2%

@ 1.98+2.0pp

BAUR -4.5

48.8%

@ 1.84-2.0pp

Best 5 market prices

PATO

SBO

1.98

Bet365

1.95

Marathon Be

1.93

Betano

1.91

Pinnacle

1.90

BAUR

Pinnacle

1.84

Betano

1.78

Bet365

1.74

1xBet

1.72

Marathon Be

1.71

Spread Pato +7.5Actual: Bauru -7.5

PATO +7.5

62.5%

@ 1.64+4.2pp

BAUR -7.5

37.5%

@ 2.22-4.2pp

Best 5 market prices

PATO

Bet365

1.64

Betano

1.60

Pinnacle

1.59

Marathon Be

1.57

1xBet

1.49

BAUR

Pinnacle

2.22

1xBet

2.18

Betano

2.15

Bet365

2.12

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PatoBauru

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.5
Last 30 (30)	17.4	21.0	38.4	-3.6	23%	57%
Last 30 at home (17)	17.6	20.5	38.1	-2.8	29%	71%
Last 30 away (13)	17.2	21.7	38.8	-4.5	15%	38%
Last 10 (10)	16.0	21.0	37.0	-5.0	20%	40%
Last 5 (5)	16.2	20.8	37.0	-4.6	0%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	16.4	21.6	38.0	-5.2	9%	55%
vs Similar (8)	20.4	19.4	39.8	+1.0	62%	62%
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.5
Last 30 (30)	21.0	21.3	42.3	-0.2	50%	60%
Last 30 at home (16)	22.3	21.0	43.3	+1.3	62%	62%
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	21.6	41.1	-2.0	36%	57%
Last 10 (10)	19.1	20.2	39.3	-1.1	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.4	40.6	-0.2	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	21.9	22.1	44.0	-0.2	44%	56%
vs Similar (14)	19.9	21.4	41.3	-1.4	50%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	22.1	20.0	42.1	+2.1	57%	86%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 37.5
Last 30 (30)	18.7	19.2	37.9	-0.4	40%	60%
Last 30 at home (17)	18.9	17.5	36.4	+1.5	59%	41%
Last 30 away (13)	18.5	21.4	39.8	-2.9	15%	85%
Last 10 (10)	17.6	20.9	38.5	-3.3	20%	60%
Last 5 (5)	17.8	20.6	38.4	-2.8	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	17.9	20.0	37.8	-2.1	27%	64%
vs Similar (8)	21.1	17.0	38.1	+4.1	75%	50%
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 37.5
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.2	39.4	+1.1	43%	63%
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	19.9	42.1	+2.3	50%	81%
Last 30 away (14)	18.0	18.4	36.4	-0.4	36%	43%
Last 10 (10)	18.1	19.9	38.0	-1.8	30%	70%
Last 5 (5)	16.6	21.8	38.4	-5.2	0%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	21.7	19.7	41.3	+2.0	44%	78%
vs Similar (14)	19.1	19.6	38.7	-0.6	36%	57%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	20.7	17.6	38.3	+3.1	57%	57%

PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rio Claro

#15

38-29

H06/04

NBB

Franca

28-53

-25

A09/04

NBB

Osasco

#18

39-35

A11/04

NBB

Pinheiros

28-44

-16

A16/04

NBB

Paulistano

33-51

-18

A18/04

NBB

Paulistano

28-33

-5

H21/10

NBB

Botafogo

#13

38-48

-10

H24/10

NBB

Minas

32-48

-16

A27/10

NBB

Cruzeiro

35-38

-3

A29/10

NBB

Flamengo

37-40

-3

H07/11

NBB

75.5Avg total

33.6Scored

41.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 76.5
Last 30 (30)	36.2	40.2	76.3	-4.0	33%	53%
Last 30 at home (17)	36.6	37.9	74.5	-1.4	35%	59%
Last 30 away (13)	35.6	43.1	78.7	-7.5	31%	46%
Last 10 (10)	33.6	41.9	75.5	-8.3	20%	50%
Last 5 (5)	34.0	41.4	75.4	-7.4	0%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	34.2	41.5	75.8	-7.3	14%	55%
vs Similar (8)	41.5	36.4	77.9	+5.1	88%	50%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Paulistano

21-37

-16

A21/04

NBB

Paulistano

39-51

-12

H24/04

NBB

Paulistano

53-31

+22

H26/04

NBB

Paulistano

32-35

-3

A29/04

NBB

Flamengo

43-36

A18/10

NBB

Sao Jose

#14

34-42

-8

H21/10

NBB

Mogi

34-39

-5

H23/10

NBB

Paulistano

35-52

-17

A30/10

NBB

Cruzeiro

45-39

H03/11

NBB

Minas

36-39

-3

H05/11

NBB

77.3Avg total

37.2Scored

40.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 76.5
Last 30 (30)	41.3	40.4	81.7	+0.8	53%	67%
Last 30 at home (16)	44.5	40.9	85.4	+3.6	62%	69%
Last 30 away (14)	37.6	39.9	77.5	-2.4	43%	64%
Last 10 (10)	37.2	40.1	77.3	-2.9	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	36.8	42.2	79.0	-5.4	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	43.6	41.8	85.3	+1.8	56%	67%
vs Similar (14)	39.0	41.0	80.0	-2.0	36%	64%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	42.9	37.6	80.4	+5.3	86%	71%

This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Bauru win

PATO win

no forecast

@ 2.50

BAUR win

no forecast

@ 1.52

1st half Spread Pato +2.5 · main lineActual: Bauru -2.5

PATO +2.5

no forecast

@ 1.93

BAUR -2.5

no forecast

@ 1.89

1st half Over/Under 76.5 · main lineActual: Over 76.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.87

Under

no forecast

@ 1.89

Pato 1st half total 37.5 · main lineActual: Pato over 37.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.00

Under

no forecast

@ 1.83

Bauru 1st half total 40.5 · main lineActual: Bauru over 40.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.05

Under

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half: PATO + total 77.5

PATO & over

no forecast

@ 4.50

PATO & under

no forecast

@ 4.75

1st half: Draw + total 77.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 29.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 29.00

1st half: BAUR + total 77.5

BAUR & over

no forecast

@ 2.95

BAUR & under

no forecast

@ 3.10

1st half Over/Under 75.25Actual: Over 75.25

Over

no forecast

@ 1.72

Under

no forecast

@ 1.91

1st half Over/Under 77.75Actual: Over 77.75

Over

no forecast

@ 1.92

Under

no forecast

@ 1.72

1st half Spread Pato +1.5Actual: Bauru -1.5

PATO +1.5

no forecast

@ 2.07

BAUR -1.5

no forecast

@ 1.71

1st half Spread Pato +3.5Actual: Bauru -3.5

PATO +3.5

no forecast

@ 1.78

BAUR -3.5

no forecast

@ 2.07

1st half Over/Under 73.5Actual: Over 73.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.43

Under

no forecast

@ 2.65

1st half Over/Under 79.5Actual: Over 79.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.10

Under

no forecast

@ 1.66

1st half Spread Pato +0.5Actual: Bauru -0.5

PATO +0.5

no forecast

@ 2.25

BAUR -0.5

no forecast

@ 1.57

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Bauru (regulation)

PATO

no forecast

@ 2.53

Draw

no forecast

@ 17.00

BAUR

no forecast

@ 1.57

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 36.5
Last 30 (30)	17.1	20.3	37.4	-3.2	20%	67%
Last 30 at home (17)	18.5	19.7	38.2	-1.2	24%	71%
Last 30 away (13)	15.3	21.1	36.4	-5.8	15%	62%
Last 10 (10)	15.8	23.0	38.8	-7.2	10%	80%
Last 5 (5)	15.8	21.8	37.6	-6.0	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	16.4	21.2	37.6	-4.8	14%	59%
vs Similar (8)	19.0	17.9	36.9	+1.1	38%	88%
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 36.5
Last 30 (30)	19.3	21.1	40.4	-1.8	37%	67%
Last 30 at home (16)	18.8	20.8	39.6	-1.9	38%	69%
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	21.5	41.4	-1.6	36%	64%
Last 10 (10)	17.7	20.4	38.1	-2.7	40%	70%
Last 5 (5)	16.4	17.2	33.6	-0.8	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	16.9	22.1	39.0	-5.2	11%	56%
vs Similar (14)	19.9	20.5	40.4	-0.6	43%	79%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	21.3	21.0	42.3	+0.3	57%	57%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38
Last 30 (30)	18.1	19.8	37.9	-1.7	33%	47%
Last 30 at home (17)	18.8	20.0	38.8	-1.2	35%	53%
Last 30 away (13)	17.2	19.5	36.7	-2.4	31%	38%
Last 10 (10)	19.6	19.6	39.2	+0.0	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	22.6	18.8	41.4	+3.8	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	19.0	19.1	38.1	-0.2	36%	45%
vs Similar (8)	15.6	21.6	37.2	-6.0	25%	50%
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38
Last 30 (30)	21.6	19.5	41.1	+2.1	57%	70%
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	19.2	41.4	+2.9	62%	62%
Last 30 away (14)	21.0	19.7	40.7	+1.3	50%	79%
Last 10 (10)	19.7	18.2	37.9	+1.5	60%	40%
Last 5 (5)	18.2	17.6	35.8	+0.6	60%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.9	20.1	40.0	-0.2	44%	56%
vs Similar (14)	21.6	18.9	40.5	+2.8	57%	64%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	23.7	19.9	43.6	+3.9	71%	100%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 74.5
Last 30 (30)	35.2	40.1	75.3	-4.9	23%	57%
Last 30 at home (17)	37.2	39.7	76.9	-2.5	35%	59%
Last 30 away (13)	32.5	40.6	73.1	-8.2	8%	54%
Last 10 (10)	35.4	42.6	78.0	-7.2	10%	50%
Last 5 (5)	38.4	40.6	79.0	-2.2	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	35.4	40.3	75.7	-5.0	18%	55%
vs Similar (8)	34.6	39.5	74.1	-4.9	38%	62%
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 74.5
Last 30 (30)	40.9	40.6	81.5	+0.3	47%	73%
Last 30 at home (16)	40.9	40.0	80.9	+0.9	44%	75%
Last 30 away (14)	40.9	41.2	82.1	-0.4	50%	71%
Last 10 (10)	37.4	38.6	76.0	-1.2	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	34.6	34.8	69.4	-0.2	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	36.8	42.2	79.0	-5.4	22%	56%
vs Similar (14)	41.5	39.4	80.9	+2.1	50%	71%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	45.0	40.9	85.9	+4.1	71%	100%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

PATO win + total 152.5

🔒 Pro

BAUR win + total 152.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: PATO leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: BAUR leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (PATO:BAUR): PATO wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Pato +15.5	84.7%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+8.5pp	Lost
Pato +13	79.8%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+8.4pp	Lost
Pato +11	74.4%	1.40	Bet365 1.40	-	-	-	-	+8.2pp	Lost
Pato +13.5	80.3%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+8.0pp	Lost
Pato +12	77.2%	1.34	Bet365 1.34	-	-	-	-	+7.8pp	Lost
Pato +10	71.4%	1.45	Bet365 1.45	-	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Lost
Pato +11.5	75.2%	1.35	Bet365 1.38	Betano 1.32	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Lost
Pato +20.5	92.4%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Pato +12.5	77.9%	1.30	Bet365 1.33	Betano 1.27	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Lost
Bauru under 90.5	88.0%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Lost
Bauru under 89.5	86.0%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Lost
Bauru under 86.5	78.4%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Lost
Bauru under 88.5	83.7%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Lost
Bauru under 92.5	91.5%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Lost
Pato +10.5	72.3%	1.36	Bet365 1.43	Betano 1.37	1xBet 1.28	-	-	+5.4pp	Lost
Bauru +19.5	97.2%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Bauru under 84.5	72.3%	1.34	Bet365 1.40	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Lost
Bauru +14.5	93.8%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
Pato over 68.5	72.3%	1.30	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Pato under 94.5	96.9%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Pato under 93.5	96.2%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Pato under 91.5	94.4%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Pato over 67.5	75.5%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Overtime: no	94.9%	1.03	Betano 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	-
Bauru over 62.5	94.1%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Pato over 65.5	81.3%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Under 178.5	93.3%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
Bauru over 64.5	91.4%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Won
Pato under 89.5	92.0%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Won
Over 128.5	93.3%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+2.5pp	Won
Bauru +9.5	87.2%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
Under 168.5	82.4%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+1.9pp	Lost
Under 173.5	88.8%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Lost
Pato under 87.5	88.9%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+1.4pp	Won
Under 163.5	73.8%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+1.4pp	Lost
Pato under 84.5	82.8%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+1.3pp	Won
Bauru over 66.5	87.9%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+1.3pp	Won
Bauru over 68.5	83.6%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+1.3pp	Won
Over 133.5	88.3%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+0.8pp	Won
Pato under 83.5	80.3%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+0.7pp	Won
Pato under 85.5	85.0%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+0.6pp	Won
Over 138.5	81.1%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+0.6pp	Won
Bauru over 69.5	81.0%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+0.5pp	Won
Bauru over 70.5	78.3%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+0.5pp	Won
Bauru over 72.5	72.1%	1.25	Bet365 1.27	1xBet 1.24	-	-	-	+0.4pp	Won
Pato under 81.5	74.6%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	-0.1pp	Won
Bauru +3.5	72.4%	1.26	Betano 1.26	-	-	-	-	-0.6pp	Won
Bauru +4.5	75.4%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	-0.7pp	Won
Over 143.5	71.7%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	-1.1pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 61.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀12%

🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws7.1 pts a game · 12% of the points

League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game

50%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.0	15.6	47.3%	49.8%	31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.6	7.6	25.7%	31.6%	22.8
🏀 Free throws	11.3	7.1	62.8%	71.3%	7.1

They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 74.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀55%

🏀🏀🏀30%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 55% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 30% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game

50%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.1	20.4	49.6%	49.8%	40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	7.3	28.6%	31.6%	21.9
🏀 Free throws	17.2	11.5	66.9%	71.3%	11.5

They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.5	16.7	47.0%	49.8%	33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.4	11.4	37.5%	31.6%	34.2
🏀 Free throws	19.9	13.9	69.8%	71.3%	13.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.7	19.0	54.8%	49.8%	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.3	9.3	32.9%	31.6%	27.9
🏀 Free throws	20.2	15.0	74.3%	71.3%	15.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.9	16.8	49.5%	49.8%	33.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.6	8.8	28.6%	31.6%	26.3
🏀 Free throws	16.0	10.6	66.2%	71.3%	10.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.6	20.6	53.3%	49.8%	41.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.8	9.1	32.7%	31.6%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	20.0	14.3	71.5%	71.3%	14.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.2	18.0	51.2%	49.8%	36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.7	9.5	33.0%	31.6%	28.4
🏀 Free throws	21.8	15.5	71.1%	71.3%	15.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.7	18.2	54.0%	49.8%	36.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.4	8.9	32.6%	31.6%	26.8
🏀 Free throws	22.5	16.7	74.5%	71.3%	16.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Pato

LLLWLLLLLL

Bauru

LLLLWWLWLL

#16

League position

#11

-23.7

Net rating

-7.8

70.9

Offensive rating

86.0

94.5

Defensive rating

93.8

43.1%

Effective FG%

47.1%

51.3%

Opp. effective FG%

52.3%

20.2%

Turnover %

14.3%

0.18

Free-throw rate

0.26

25.7%

3-point %

28.6%

75.4%

Assist %

65.7%

10%

Form (last 10/10)

30%

Profile

■ Pato ■ Bauru

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Pato wins

Bauru wins

Date	Game	Score
24/03/26	Bauru v Pato	94-70
15/12/25	Pato v Bauru	61-69
05/02/25	Pato v Bauru	91-94
13/12/24	Bauru v Pato	97-91
27/04/24	Bauru v Pato	71-62
21/04/24	Pato v Bauru	74-93
15/02/24	Bauru v Pato	89-79
14/11/23	Pato v Bauru	73-70
11/03/23	Bauru v Pato	74-55
19/12/22	Pato v Bauru	85-96

Patolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/11/26	H	Flamengo	66-80
29/10/26	A	Cruzeiro	68-76
27/10/26	A	Minas	65-86
24/10/26	H	Botafogo	89-88
21/10/26	H	Paulistano	74-80
18/04/26	A	Paulistano	71-92
16/04/26	A	Pinheiros	55-88
11/04/26	A	Osasco	68-77
09/04/26	A	Franca	64-100
06/04/26	H	Rio Claro	70-78

Baurulast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/11/26	H	Minas	64-77
03/11/26	H	Cruzeiro	74-78
30/10/26	A	Paulistano	75-83
23/10/26	H	Mogi	61-79
21/10/26	H	Sao Jose	83-68
18/10/26	A	Flamengo	82-81
29/04/26	A	Paulistano	62-71
26/04/26	H	Paulistano	88-75
24/04/26	H	Paulistano	80-95
21/04/26	A	Paulistano	77-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato

NBB 2026-27

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	20%
Home	LWL	33%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	20%	33%	0%
Points / game	72.4	76.3	66.5
Allowed / game	82.0	82.7	81.0
Point differential	-9.6	-6.3	-14.5
Avg total	154.4	159.0	147.5
Over 152.75	40%	67%	0%
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Bauru

NBB 2026-27

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	33%
Home	WLLL	25%
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	4	2
Win %	33%	25%	50%
Points / game	73.2	70.5	78.5
Allowed / game	77.7	75.5	82.0
Point differential	-4.5	-5.0	-3.5
Avg total	150.8	146.0	160.5
Over 152.75	33%	0%	100%
Win by 10+	17%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	0% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Minas	6	6	0	100%	86.0	67.2	+18.8
2	Pinheiros	6	5	1	83%	86.8	70.2	+16.7
3	Flamengo	6	5	1	83%	82.2	71.7	+10.5
4	Unifacisa	6	5	1	83%	83.2	73.0	+10.2
5	Mogi	5	4	1	80%	80.8	74.4	+6.4
6	Brasilia	7	4	3	57%	83.4	81.1	+2.3
7	Franca	6	3	3	50%	77.3	73.3	+4.0
8	Cruzeiro	6	3	3	50%	76.2	78.8	-2.7
9	Paulistano	6	3	3	50%	70.3	73.0	-2.7
10	Botafogo	5	2	3	40%	80.0	83.0	-3.0
11	Uniao Corinthians	5	2	3	40%	73.8	80.0	-6.2
12	Sao Jose	6	2	4	33%	80.5	84.5	-4.0
13	Bauru	6	2	4	33%	73.2	77.7	-4.5
14	Corinthians Paulista	4	1	3	25%	80.5	80.0	+0.5
15	Osasco	4	1	3	25%	79.5	86.0	-6.5
16	Pato	5	1	4	20%	72.4	82.0	-9.6
17	Cearense	5	1	4	20%	65.6	86.8	-21.2
18	Caxias do Sul	6	0	6	0%	62.7	79.7	-17.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Pato	26	16	19	17	78
Bauru	28	26	19	25	98

← all games of the day

Pato vs Bauru Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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