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Perth vs Sydney Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 22 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 10:30
Scheduled
Position#3
Record5-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game92.6
Allowed / game95.6
vs
Position#1
Record7-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game97.9
Allowed / game88.1
AustraliaNBLRound 18· RAC Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Perth v Sydney
22 Jan 2027
PERT v SYDN
upcoming
28 Oct 2026
PERT91
SYDN99
14 Mar 2026
PERT75
SYDN89
12 Dec 2025
PERT79
SYDN108
25 Oct 2024
PERT87
SYDN84
27 Sep 2024
PERT87
SYDN88
01 Dec 2023
PERT114
SYDN105
05 Feb 2023
PERT96
SYDN84
20 Jan 2023
PERT111
SYDN104
26 Mar 2022
PERT80
SYDN102
27 May 2021
PERT81
SYDN67
01 Apr 2021
PERT95
SYDN89
13 Mar 2020
PERT83
SYDN97
01 Feb 2020
PERT110
SYDN100
06 Dec 2019
PERT96
SYDN77
10 Feb 2019
PERT95
SYDN86
14 Dec 2018
PERT97
SYDN98
19 Jan 2018
PERT77
SYDN84
03 Nov 2017
PERT93
SYDN69
10 Feb 2017
PERT101
SYDN74
17 Nov 2016
PERT93
SYDN80
05 Feb 2016
PERT95
SYDN81
15 Jan 2016
PERT95
SYDN68
01 Feb 2015
PERT80
SYDN61
24 Oct 2014
PERT84
SYDN63
24 Nov 2013
PERT98
SYDN55
18 Oct 2013
PERT81
SYDN69
08 Mar 2013
PERT83
SYDN56
30 Nov 2012
PERT75
SYDN56
19 Feb 2012
PERT91
SYDN74
27 Nov 2011
PERT103
SYDN92
19 Dec 2010
PERT87
SYDN84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Sydney win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#1
L
104-105
104
105
-1
A11/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
H14/03
NBL
South East Melbourne
#6
L
79-100
79
100
-21
H19/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
98-97
98
97
+1
H24/09
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
97-93
97
93
+4
H26/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#6
W
92-88
92
88
+4
H02/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
100-84
100
84
+16
H10/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
81-102
81
102
-21
A17/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#7
W
103-102
103
102
+1
H23/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
91-99
91
99
-8
H28/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
20-26
31-25
29-32
23-22
23-21
13-17
16-29
24-19
13-30
25-16
17-35
30-20
18-28
22-29
28-20
22-26
25-25
29-22
21-20
26-24
22-22
22-21
22-21
21-22
20-16
29-28
30-18
21-31
22-21
20-24
18-26
25-26
21-22
31-31
26-23
17-33
25-26
28-21
21-19
187.9Avg total
92.0Scored
95.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)92.695.6188.2-3.062%
Season at home (7)94.394.7189.0-0.471%
Season away (1)81.0102.0183.0-21.00%
Last 10 (10)92.095.9187.9-3.950%
Last 5 (5)93.495.0188.4-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)89.597.5187.0-7.936%
vs Similar (10)90.889.0179.8+1.850%
vs Weaker (9)96.780.8177.4+15.9100%
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
111-90
111
90
+21
H20/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
121-100
121
100
+21
H27/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
93-78
93
78
+15
H30/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H11/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
101-102
101
102
-1
H14/10
NBL
Perth
#3
W
102-81
102
81
+21
H17/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
108-82
108
82
+26
A22/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#7
L
95-105
95
105
-10
A25/10
NBL
Perth
#3
W
99-91
99
91
+8
A28/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
71-68
71
68
+3
A30/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-26
27-27
31-20
21-17
31-27
34-18
33-26
23-29
23-34
20-10
29-14
21-20
18-18
26-23
12-20
22-23
29-31
32-20
12-24
28-27
31-21
21-22
24-20
26-18
20-19
28-17
34-16
26-30
31-32
20-24
13-21
31-28
33-17
26-25
21-28
19-21
19-19
18-12
13-24
21-13
186.0Avg total
97.9Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)97.988.1186.0+9.870%
Season at home (6)101.089.2190.2+11.867%
Season away (4)93.286.5179.8+6.875%
Last 10 (10)97.988.1186.0+9.870%
Last 5 (5)95.085.4180.4+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)102.289.5191.7+12.877%
This opponent (Perth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +1.2+1.2
PerthSydney
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#1
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A11/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H14/03
NBL
South East Melbourne
#6
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H19/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H24/09
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H26/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#6
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H02/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H10/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A17/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#7
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H23/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
42-59
42
59
-17
H28/10
NBL
92.4Avg total
44.2Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.145.391.4+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (19)45.643.489.1+2.258%-
Last 30 away (11)46.848.595.4-1.745%-
Last 10 (10)44.248.292.4-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)44.048.692.6-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)43.748.592.2-4.727%-
vs Similar (10)47.345.092.3+2.360%-
vs Weaker (9)47.641.889.3+5.878%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H20/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
65-45
65
45
+20
H27/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H30/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H11/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
61-51
61
51
+10
H14/10
NBL
Perth
#3
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H17/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A22/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#7
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A25/10
NBL
Perth
#3
W
59-42
59
42
+17
A28/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A30/10
NBL
96.1Avg total
51.9Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.945.398.1+7.680%-
Last 30 at home (17)55.146.4101.4+8.788%-
Last 30 away (13)50.043.893.8+6.269%-
Last 10 (10)51.944.296.1+7.780%-
Last 5 (5)49.441.691.0+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)52.945.398.1+7.680%-
This opponent (Perth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.4
54.0%
56.0%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.411.2
35.7%
34.4%33.6
🏀 Free throws16.413.5
82.3%
73.7%13.5
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 97.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.125.5
57.8%
56.0%51.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.2
35.4%
34.4%30.6
🏀 Free throws20.515.7
76.6%
73.7%15.7
They take 72.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Perth
LWLWWWWLLL
Sydney
WWLWWLLWWW
#3
League position
#1
-7.5
Net rating
+9.9
98.3
Offensive rating
105.0
105.8
Defensive rating
95.0
53.8%
Effective FG%
56.0%
57.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
14.0%
Turnover %
11.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.7%
3-point %
35.4%
64.2%
Assist %
58.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence98.3 · 105.0Defence105.8 · 95.0Shooting53.8% · 56.0%3-point %35.7% · 35.4%Ball care14.0% · 11.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Perth   ■ Sydney
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Perth wins
8
Sydney wins
DateGameScore
28/10/26Perth v Sydney91-99
17/10/26Sydney v Perth102-81
14/03/26Perth v Sydney75-89
11/03/26Sydney v Perth105-104
15/02/26Sydney v Perth102-84
12/12/25Perth v Sydney79-108
19/10/25Sydney v Perth94-72
02/02/25Sydney v Perth97-104
25/10/24Perth v Sydney87-84
27/09/24Perth v Sydney87-88
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26HSydney91-99
23/10/26HMelbourne United103-102
17/10/26ASydney81-102
10/10/26HNew Zealand Breakers100-84
02/10/26HSouth East Melbourne92-88
26/09/26HNew Zealand Breakers97-93
24/09/26HAdelaide98-97
19/09/26HSouth East Melbourne79-100
14/03/26HSydney75-89
11/03/26ASydney104-105
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26ATasmania JackJumpers71-68
28/10/26APerth99-91
25/10/26AMelbourne United95-105
22/10/26AIllawarra Hawks108-82
17/10/26HPerth102-81
14/10/26HNew Zealand Breakers101-102
11/10/26HAdelaide78-84
30/09/26HBrisbane Bullets93-78
27/09/26HIllawarra Hawks121-100
20/09/26HCairns Taipans111-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL62%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games871
Win %62%71%0%
Points / game92.694.381.0
Allowed / game95.694.7102.0
Point differential-3.0-0.4-21.0
Avg total188.2189.0183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sydney
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW70%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %70%67%75%
Points / game97.9101.093.2
Allowed / game88.189.286.5
Point differential+9.8+11.8+6.8
Avg total186.0190.2179.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney107370%97.988.1+9.8
2 Tasmania JackJumpers96367%95.391.0+4.3
3 Perth85362%92.695.6-3.0
4 Cairns Taipans106460%91.794.9-3.2
5 Adelaide105550%91.293.5-2.3
6 South East Melbourne94544%97.893.9+3.9
7 Melbourne United94544%94.992.0+2.9
8 Brisbane Bullets94544%93.697.6-4.0
9 New Zealand Breakers104640%92.290.6+1.6
10 Illawarra Hawks102820%95.2105.1-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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