PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Pesaro vs Caserta Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 83-77
23-24 23-15 16-21 21-17
Position#10
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game82.5
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Caserta
Italy
Position#15
Record0-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game82.0
ItalySerie A2Round 3· Vitrifrigo Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Pesaro v Caserta
11 Oct 2026
PES83
KAS77
15 Apr 2017
PES83
KAS67
26 Mar 2016
PES71
KAS72
10 May 2015
PES80
KAS70
20 Oct 2013
PES84
KAS93
25 Nov 2012
PES63
KAS77
04 Mar 2012
PES75
KAS81
06 Feb 2011
PES83
KAS82
07 Mar 2010
PES81
KAS89
01 Mar 2009
PES91
KAS84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Caserta winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
90-112
90
112
-22
83avg 78
A12/04
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
85-73
85
73
+12
83avg 78
H19/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
75-84
75
84
-9
71avg 78
A26/04
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
89-99
89
99
-10
80avg 78
H09/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
94-79
94
79
+15
88avg 78
H11/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
75-93
75
93
-18
66avg 78
A14/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
96-94
96
94
+2
90avg 78
A16/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
78-91
78
91
-13
68avg 78
H19/05
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
96-81
96
81
+15
92avg 78
A27/09
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
87-84
87
84
+3
32avg 78
H04/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-30
24-30
20-22
19-30
20-17
27-24
23-19
15-13
15-21
14-18
27-20
19-25
24-11
23-30
13-31
29-27
22-16
35-27
15-25
22-11
15-26
28-26
18-27
14-14
21-26
33-19
17-31
25-18
18-20
11-27
22-21
27-23
31-14
25-25
20-19
20-23
24-23
21-18
15-26
27-17
175.5Avg total
86.5Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)91.582.5174.0+9.0100%
Season at home (1)87.084.0171.0+3.0100%
Season away (1)96.081.0177.0+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.589.0175.5-2.550%
Last 5 (5)86.488.6175.0-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (20)82.884.9167.7-2.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)84.975.9160.8+9.0100%
This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CasertaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCaserta
Date
Competition
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
71-74
71
74
-3
no box
A19/03
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
58-61
58
61
-3
no box
H26/03
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
62-64
62
64
-2
no box
A02/04
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
83-76
83
76
+7
no box
H09/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
67-83
67
83
-16
no box
A15/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
86-82
86
82
+4
no box
H23/04
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
75-79
75
79
-4
no box
A30/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
77-70
77
70
+7
no box
H07/05
Lega A
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
73-81
73
81
-8
69avg 69
A27/09
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
81-83
81
83
-2
no box
H04/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
19-21
17-21
18-17
21-13
12-10
11-24
14-14
15-6
13-17
16-19
18-22
24-14
21-24
9-25
29-13
14-31
19-20
16-15
18-17
28-26
15-20
18-17
25-19
19-8
15-26
17-23
24-22
18-19
19-23
21-11
19-17
18-27
19-17
21-19
15-18
24-26
14-16
21-26
22-15
148.6Avg total
73.3Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)77.082.0159.0-5.00%
Season at home (1)81.083.0164.0-2.00%
Season away (1)73.081.0154.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)73.375.3148.6-2.030%
Last 5 (5)78.479.0157.4-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)76.982.6159.5-5.621%
vs Similar (16)78.979.4158.2-0.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pesaro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +2.8+2.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +2.8+2.8
PesaroCaserta
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
51-60
51
60
-9
A12/04
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H19/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A26/04
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H09/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H11/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A14/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A16/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
29-47
29
47
-18
H19/05
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A27/09
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H04/10
Serie A2
90.6Avg total
45.8Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.439.782.1+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.538.580.9+4.067%-
Last 30 away (15)42.340.983.3+1.447%-
Last 10 (10)45.844.890.6+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)45.444.890.2+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (20)41.540.582.0+0.945%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)44.338.082.3+6.380%-
This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Capo d'Orlando
#8
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A19/03
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
33-23
33
23
+10
H26/03
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A02/04
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H09/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A15/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H23/04
Lega A
Avellino
#3
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A30/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H07/05
Lega A
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A27/09
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H04/10
Serie A2
74.3Avg total
36.4Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.440.878.2-3.323%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.139.178.3+0.033%-
Last 30 away (15)35.742.478.1-6.713%-
Last 10 (10)36.437.974.3-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)37.841.679.4-3.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.141.478.4-4.321%-
vs Similar (16)37.840.278.0-2.525%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pesaro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.517.6
52.5%
51.4%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.09.7
44.1%
34.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws21.116.7
79.1%
70.8%16.7
They take 55.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Casertatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caserta: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.017.6
51.8%
51.4%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.4
33.2%
34.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws17.512.6
72.0%
70.8%12.6
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
WWLWLWLLWL
Caserta
LLWLWLWLLL
#10
League position
#15
-5.3
Net rating
-4.4
103.8
Offensive rating
98.4
109.1
Defensive rating
102.9
57.9%
Effective FG%
50.9%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
13.6%
Turnover %
20.9%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.30
44.1%
3-point %
33.2%
54.6%
Assist %
45.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence103.8 · 98.4Defence109.1 · 102.9Shooting57.9% · 50.9%3-point %44.1% · 33.2%Ball care13.6% · 20.9%Free throws0.38 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Pesaro   ■ Caserta
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Pesaro wins
6
Caserta wins
DateGameScore
15/04/17Pesaro v Caserta83-67
18/12/16Caserta v Pesaro82-87
26/03/16Pesaro v Caserta71-72
06/12/15Caserta v Pesaro73-69
10/05/15Pesaro v Caserta80-70
11/01/15Caserta v Pesaro80-73
26/01/14Caserta v Pesaro100-88
20/10/13Pesaro v Caserta84-93 OT
24/03/13Caserta v Pesaro66-77
25/11/12Pesaro v Caserta63-77
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/26HJuVi Cremona87-84
27/09/26ACento96-81
19/05/26HRimini78-91
16/05/26ARimini96-94
14/05/26ARimini75-93
11/05/26HRimini94-79
09/05/26HRimini89-99
26/04/26ALibertas Livorno75-84
19/04/26HForli85-73
12/04/26ASebastiani Rieti90-112
Casertalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/26HFortitudo Bologna81-83
27/09/26ASebastiani Rieti73-81
07/05/17HSassari77-70
30/04/17AAvellino75-79
23/04/17HBrindisi86-82
15/04/17APesaro67-83
09/04/17HTorino83-76
02/04/17ABrescia62-64
26/03/17HVenezia58-61
19/03/17ACapo d'Orlando71-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.587.096.0
Allowed / game82.584.081.0
Point differential+9.0+3.0+15.0
Avg total174.0171.0177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Caserta
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game77.081.073.0
Allowed / game82.083.081.0
Point differential-5.0-2.0-8.0
Avg total159.0164.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno220100%75.555.5+20.0
2 Forli220100%82.570.5+12.0
3 Fortitudo Bologna220100%87.575.5+12.0
4 Sebastiani Rieti220100%80.068.5+11.5
5 Avellino Basket220100%80.070.5+9.5
6 Pesaro220100%91.582.5+9.0
7 Brindisi220100%75.070.0+5.0
8 Sassari32167%76.374.3+2.0
9 Rimini21150%78.066.0+12.0
10 Cividale21150%77.084.0-7.0
11 Basket Torino21150%70.578.0-7.5
12 Montecatini21150%70.078.0-8.0
13 Ruvo Di Puglia31233%83.088.7-5.7
14 Mestre31233%67.377.3-10.0
15 Pistoia2020%69.573.5-4.0
16 Urania Milano3030%79.083.3-4.3
17 Caserta2020%77.082.0-5.0
18 JuVi Cremona2020%71.576.5-5.0
19 Cento2020%77.088.0-11.0
20 Vigevano2020%66.583.0-16.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro2323162183
Caserta2415211777
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.