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Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 25 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 123-125
35-28 22-39 38-30 28-28
Position#14
Record43-32
FormLLLLW
Points / game112.7
Allowed / game110.3
vs
Position#6
Record47-30
FormLWLWW
Points / game120.0
Allowed / game115.8
USANBA· Mortgage Matchup Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Denver Nuggets
02 Apr 2027
PHX v DEN
upcoming
30 Oct 2026
PHX120
DEN127
24 Mar 2026
PHX123
DEN125
29 Nov 2025
PHX112
DEN130
08 Feb 2025
PHX105
DEN122
25 Dec 2024
PHX110
DEN100
01 Dec 2023
PHX111
DEN119
10 Oct 2023
PHX107
DEN115
11 May 2023
PHX100
DEN125
07 May 2023
PHX129
DEN124
05 May 2023
PHX121
DEN114
06 Apr 2023
PHX119
DEN115
31 Mar 2023
PHX100
DEN93
21 Nov 2021
PHX126
DEN97
20 Oct 2021
PHX98
DEN110
09 Jun 2021
PHX123
DEN98
07 Jun 2021
PHX122
DEN105
23 Jan 2021
PHX112
DEN120
22 Jan 2021
PHX126
DEN130
08 Feb 2020
PHX108
DEN117
23 Dec 2019
PHX111
DEN113
14 Oct 2019
PHX102
DEN107
12 Jan 2019
PHX102
DEN93
29 Dec 2018
PHX118
DEN122
10 Feb 2018
PHX113
DEN123
28 Jan 2017
PHX112
DEN123
27 Nov 2016
PHX114
DEN120
16 Jul 2016
PHX82
DEN81
23 Dec 2015
PHX96
DEN104
14 Nov 2015
PHX105
DEN81
26 Nov 2014
PHX120
DEN112
10 Oct 2014
PHX97
DEN89
19 Jan 2014
PHX117
DEN103
08 Nov 2013
PHX114
DEN103
11 Mar 2013
PHX93
DEN108
12 Nov 2012
PHX110
DEN100
26 Oct 2012
PHX88
DEN72
21 Apr 2012
PHX107
DEN118
22 Dec 2011
PHX85
DEN110
10 Mar 2011
PHX97
DEN116
15 Nov 2010
PHX100
DEN94
22 Oct 2010
PHX106
DEN144
13 Apr 2010
PHX123
DEN101
01 Mar 2010
PHX101
DEN85
23 Mar 2009
PHX118
DEN115
20 Dec 2008
PHX108
DEN101
11 Oct 2008
PHX72
DEN77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
118-116
118
116
+2
107avg 101
H07/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
111-99
111
99
+12
106avg 101
H09/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
129-114
129
114
+15
128avg 101
A11/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
123-108
123
108
+15
113avg 101
A12/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
115-122
115
122
-7
102avg 101
A13/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
112-120
112
120
-8
103avg 101
A16/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
104-116
104
116
-12
86avg 101
A18/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
100-101
100
101
-1
92avg 101
A20/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
105-108
105
108
-3
93avg 101
H22/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
120-98
120
98
+22
114avg 101
H23/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-29
32-23
34-29
26-35
28-30
32-28
21-19
30-22
36-30
26-35
38-32
29-17
36-36
31-25
29-27
27-20
28-30
34-29
30-27
23-36
32-31
29-34
25-26
26-29
39-36
24-28
23-28
18-24
26-24
33-28
20-21
21-28
26-15
26-42
30-24
23-27
34-20
32-28
31-21
23-29
223.9Avg total
113.7Scored
110.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (75)112.7110.3223.0+2.357%
Season at home (40)111.8108.2220.0+3.662%
Season away (35)113.6112.8226.5+0.851%
Last 10 (10)113.7110.2223.9+3.550%
Last 5 (5)108.2108.6216.8-0.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)101.7111.8213.5-10.217%
vs Similar ◀ (15)108.2109.5217.7-1.347%
vs Weaker (9)116.0109.3225.3+6.778%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
120-113
120
113
+7
121avg 113
H06/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
103-142
103
142
-39
93avg 113
H07/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
126-129
126
129
-3
120avg 113
A09/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
W
129-93
129
93
+36
131avg 113
H12/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
136-131
136
131
+5
134avg 113
A13/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
125-127 OT
125
127
-2
118avg 113
A15/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
W
124-96
124
96
+28
128avg 113
H18/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
118-125
118
125
-7
117avg 113
A19/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
121-115
121
115
+6
117avg 113
H21/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
128-112
128
112
+16
131avg 113
H22/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-22
32-32
29-32
27-27
29-27
23-38
28-40
23-37
40-37
20-29
33-30
33-33
24-20
29-27
40-22
36-24
25-37
28-32
41-37
42-25
26-34
24-27
37-26
31-31
38-22
34-18
28-31
24-25
30-31
30-29
31-39
27-26
27-30
30-23
28-41
36-21
42-40
33-29
32-24
21-19
241.3Avg total
123.0Scored
118.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (77)120.0115.8235.9+4.261%
Season at home (36)118.4114.4232.8+4.161%
Season away (41)121.4117.1238.6+4.361%
Last 10 (10)123.0118.3241.3+4.760%
Last 5 (5)123.2115.0238.2+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)123.5127.0250.5-3.525%
vs Similar ◀ (15)114.1115.1229.1-1.033%
vs Weaker (11)122.4111.4233.7+11.082%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +3.2+3.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +3.2+3.2
Phoenix SunsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
58-52
58
52
+6
H07/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H09/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
62-65
62
65
-3
A11/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
67-61
67
61
+6
A12/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
62-59
62
59
+3
A13/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
61-65
61
65
-4
A16/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A18/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
59-52
59
52
+7
A20/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
52-57
52
57
-5
H22/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
66-48
66
48
+18
H23/03
NBA
119.1Avg total
61.0Scored
58.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.556.9113.4-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (18)53.253.8107.0-0.639%-
Last 30 away (12)61.461.6123.0-0.250%-
Last 10 (10)61.058.1119.1+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)60.257.2117.4+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)56.559.8116.3-3.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)54.155.7109.8-1.733%-
vs Weaker (9)60.656.9117.4+3.767%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
64-54
64
54
+10
H06/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
52-65
52
65
-13
H07/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
60-66
60
66
-6
A09/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H12/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
53-69
53
69
-16
A13/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A15/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
W
72-40
72
40
+32
H18/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
D
60-60
60
60
+0
A19/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
57-53
57
53
+4
H21/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H22/03
NBA
118.0Avg total
59.6Scored
58.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.556.5114.0+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.454.5111.9+2.962%-
Last 30 away (14)57.658.9116.5-1.236%-
Last 10 (10)59.658.4118.0+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)62.856.6119.4+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)56.861.8118.5-5.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)53.155.2108.3-2.147%-
vs Weaker (11)63.756.5120.2+7.364%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 113.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers48.3 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.924.5
53.4%
54.8%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.616.1
38.7%
35.8%48.3
🏀 Free throws21.216.4
77.4%
78.1%16.4
They take 87.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 123.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.329.1
57.9%
54.8%58.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.014.6
39.5%
35.8%43.8
🏀 Free throws26.321.0
79.8%
78.1%21.0
They take 87.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
WLLLLLWWWW
Denver Nuggets
WWLWLWWLLW
#14
League position
#6
+3.6
Net rating
+4.5
117.0
Offensive rating
118.3
113.4
Defensive rating
113.7
55.6%
Effective FG%
58.4%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
11.3%
Turnover %
12.3%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
21.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.30
38.7%
3-point %
39.5%
62.6%
Assist %
71.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence117.0 · 118.3Defence113.4 · 113.7Shooting55.6% · 58.4%3-point %38.7% · 39.5%Ball care11.3% · 12.3%Off. rebounds28.9% · 21.8%Free throws0.24 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Phoenix Suns wins
6
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/26HToronto Raptors120-98
22/03/26HMilwaukee Bucks105-108
20/03/26ASan Antonio Spurs100-101
18/03/26AMinnesota Timberwolves104-116
16/03/26ABoston Celtics112-120
13/03/26AToronto Raptors115-122
12/03/26AIndiana Pacers123-108
11/03/26AMilwaukee Bucks129-114
09/03/26HCharlotte Hornets111-99
07/03/26HNew Orleans Pelicans118-116
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/26HPortland Trail Blazers128-112
21/03/26HToronto Raptors121-115
19/03/26AMemphis Grizzlies118-125
18/03/26HPhiladelphia 76ers124-96
15/03/26ALos Angeles Lakers125-127 OT
13/03/26ASan Antonio Spurs136-131
12/03/26HHouston Rockets129-93
09/03/26AOklahoma City Thunder126-129
07/03/26HNew York Knicks103-142
06/03/26HLos Angeles Lakers120-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW57%
HomeLWWLW62%
AwayWLLLL51%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games754035
Win %57%62%51%
Points / game112.7111.8113.6
Allowed / game110.3108.2112.8
Point differential+2.3+3.6+0.8
Avg total223.0220.0226.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%30%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won48% (25)59% (17)25% (8)
Overtime %4%5%3%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW61%
HomeLWWWW61%
AwayWLWLL61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games773641
Win %61%61%61%
Points / game120.0118.4121.4
Allowed / game115.8114.4117.1
Point differential+4.2+4.1+4.3
Avg total235.9232.8238.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%33%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won48% (27)44% (9)50% (18)
Overtime %9%6%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder76601679%117.9107.8+10.1
2 San Antonio Spurs74561876%119.5111.6+7.9
3 Detroit Pistons75542172%117.2109.6+7.5
4 Boston Celtics75502567%114.4106.9+7.4
5 New York Knicks76502666%116.3109.9+6.4
6 Houston Rockets75472863%115.1110.8+4.3
7 Denver Nuggets77473061%120.0115.8+4.2
8 Los Angeles Lakers77473061%115.4114.6+0.8
9 Cleveland Cavaliers76463061%118.9115.1+3.8
10 Minnesota Timberwolves77453258%118.3114.9+3.4
11 Toronto Raptors76443258%114.4112.2+2.1
12 Phoenix Suns75433257%112.7110.3+2.3
13 Orlando Magic74413355%116.2114.4+1.7
14 Atlanta Hawks76423455%118.2116.7+1.5
15 Philadelphia 76ers76403653%114.9116.0-1.1
16 Charlotte Hornets77403752%116.6112.3+4.3
17 Los Angeles Clippers75383751%113.3112.2+1.1
18 Miami Heat77383949%119.6117.7+1.9
19 Golden State Warriors77374048%115.1114.8+0.3
20 Portland Trail Blazers77374048%115.7117.4-1.8
21 Milwaukee Bucks75324343%111.0116.1-5.1
22 Chicago Bulls76324442%116.3120.2-3.9
23 Dallas Mavericks76265034%113.8118.0-4.3
24 New Orleans Pelicans75255033%115.8119.5-3.7
25 Memphis Grizzlies76255133%115.5119.7-4.2
26 Utah Jazz76225429%117.7125.3-7.6
27 Sacramento Kings77205726%110.9121.1-10.2
28 Brooklyn Nets75185724%106.7115.9-9.2
29 Indiana Pacers76185824%111.9120.6-8.8
30 Washington Wizards74175723%112.4123.6-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns35223828123
Denver Nuggets28393028125
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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