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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 106-90
26-31 29-22 25-20 26-17
Position#4
Record0-1
FormLLWLL
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game97.0
Minnesota Timberwolves 🏆
USA
vs
Miami Heat
USA
Position#18
Record1-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game107.0
Allowed / game110.5
USANBA· Target Center (Minneapolis)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Miami Heat
06 Feb 2027
MIN v MIA
upcoming
06 Jan 2026
MIN122
MIA94
10 Nov 2024
MIN94
MIA95
28 Oct 2023
MIN106
MIA90
21 Nov 2022
MIN105
MIA101
24 Nov 2021
MIN113
MIA101
16 Apr 2021
MIN119
MIA111
27 Oct 2019
MIN116
MIA109
05 Apr 2019
MIN111
MIA109
24 Nov 2017
MIN97
MIA109
06 Feb 2017
MIN113
MIA115
05 Nov 2015
MIN84
MIA96
04 Feb 2015
MIN102
MIA101
07 Dec 2013
MIN82
MIA103
04 Mar 2013
MIN81
MIA97
30 Dec 2011
MIN101
MIA103
01 Apr 2011
MIN92
MIA111
03 Apr 2010
MIN84
MIA97
13 Jan 2009
MIN96
MIA99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
151-131
151
131
+20
152avg 107
A08/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
113-108
113
108
+5
106avg 107
H09/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
102-108 OT
102
108
-6
97avg 107
A12/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
120-95
120
95
+25
121avg 107
H15/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
80-109
80
109
-29
64avg 107
A17/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
113-122
113
122
-9
106avg 107
A20/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
111-120
111
120
-9
100avg 107
H22/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
114-108 OT
114
108
+6
105avg 107
H24/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
109-112
109
112
-3
103avg 107
A26/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
L
94-97
94
97
-3
81avg 107
A25/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-35
45-33
39-23
32-40
18-30
29-25
36-30
30-23
28-22
32-27
26-30
12-19
24-23
33-24
38-31
25-17
23-26
21-29
14-32
22-22
22-31
27-33
40-23
24-35
28-28
27-33
33-33
23-26
23-22
25-30
32-22
16-22
29-22
18-26
30-29
32-35
25-25
26-28
23-20
20-24
221.7Avg total
110.7Scored
111.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)94.097.0191.0-3.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)94.097.0191.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)110.7111.0221.7-0.340%
Last 5 (5)108.2111.8220.0-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)104.8112.5217.3-7.717%
vs Similar (21)114.2114.1228.3+0.152%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)119.3116.3235.7+3.033%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#3
W
103-84
103
84
+19
98avg 100
A30/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
93-104
93
104
-11
81avg 100
A02/06
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
111-108
111
108
+3
106avg 100
A05/06
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
94-109
94
109
-15
72avg 100
H08/06
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
95-108
95
108
-13
88avg 100
H10/06
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
89-94
89
94
-5
69avg 100
A13/06
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#5
W
107-90
107
90
+17
no box
A03/07
California Classic
Sacramento Kings
#2
L
83-95
83
95
-12
no box
A06/07
California Classic
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
103-102
103
102
+1
91avg 100
H25/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
111-119
111
119
-8
102avg 100
A27/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
30-26
24-25
27-18
20-29
22-30
21-25
30-20
26-23
25-34
24-26
36-25
24-24
24-29
20-29
26-27
21-20
30-35
22-31
22-22
24-22
27-22
20-26
18-24
22-16
36-24
26-27
23-23
14-21
26-26
30-21
13-27
26-29
32-18
25-28
20-27
28-25
27-35
33-27
23-32
200.2Avg total
98.9Scored
101.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)107.0110.5217.5-3.550%
Season at home (1)103.0102.0205.0+1.0100%
Season away (1)111.0119.0230.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)98.9101.3200.2-2.440%
Last 5 (5)98.6100.0198.6-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)102.9105.3208.1-2.436%
vs Similar (14)112.6108.1220.7+4.471%
vs Weaker (2)105.096.0201.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
Minnesota TimberwolvesMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
80-68
80
68
+12
A08/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
47-55
47
55
-8
H09/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
60-49
60
49
+11
A12/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H15/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A17/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
49-64
49
64
-15
A20/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
55-61
55
61
-6
H22/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H24/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A26/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A25/10
NBA
109.0Avg total
53.8Scored
55.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.056.7114.7+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (12)56.756.1112.8+0.650%-
Last 30 away (18)58.957.1116.0+1.850%-
Last 10 (10)53.855.2109.0-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)50.055.6105.6-5.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)47.754.0101.7-6.30%-
vs Similar (21)60.056.4116.3+3.667%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)65.064.3129.3+0.733%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#3
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A30/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A02/06
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A05/06
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H08/06
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
51-55
51
55
-4
H10/06
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A13/06
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#5
W
58-40
58
40
+18
A03/07
California Classic
Sacramento Kings
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A06/07
California Classic
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H25/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
55-60
55
60
-5
A27/10
NBA
100.9Avg total
50.6Scored
50.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.353.5106.8-0.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.251.4105.6+2.964%-
Last 30 away (16)52.655.4107.9-2.838%-
Last 10 (10)50.650.3100.9+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)52.447.6100.0+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)51.153.3104.4-2.236%-
vs Similar (14)54.955.1110.1-0.257%-
vs Weaker (2)58.043.5101.5+14.5100%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 110.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.826.7
51.5%
54.4%53.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.413.0
37.8%
36.3%39.0
🏀 Free throws23.618.3
77.5%
78.2%18.3
They take 86.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 99.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.325.0
43.6%
54.4%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.511.9
39.0%
36.3%35.7
🏀 Free throws17.114.2
83.0%
78.2%14.2
They take 87.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLWLLLWLWW
Miami Heat
LWLWLLLWLW
#4
League position
#18
-0.3
Net rating
-4.6
108.7
Offensive rating
106.8
109.0
Defensive rating
111.4
53.6%
Effective FG%
48.8%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
13.4%
Turnover %
10.3%
20.4%
Off. rebound %
23.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.19
37.8%
3-point %
39.0%
65.2%
Assist %
62.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.7 · 106.8Defence109.0 · 111.4Shooting53.6% · 48.8%3-point %37.8% · 39.0%Ball care13.4% · 10.3%Off. rebounds20.4% · 23.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Minnesota Timberwolves wins
2
Miami Heat wins
DateGameScore
27/12/22Miami Heat v Minnesota Timberwolves113-110
22/11/22Minnesota Timberwolves v Miami Heat105-101
13/03/22Miami Heat v Minnesota Timberwolves104-113
25/11/21Minnesota Timberwolves v Miami Heat113-101
08/05/21Miami Heat v Minnesota Timberwolves121-112
17/04/21Minnesota Timberwolves v Miami Heat119-111
27/02/20Miami Heat v Minnesota Timberwolves126-129
27/10/19Minnesota Timberwolves v Miami Heat116-109
06/04/19Minnesota Timberwolves v Miami Heat111-109
30/12/18Miami Heat v Minnesota Timberwolves104-113
Minnesota Timberwolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/23AToronto Raptors94-97
26/04/23ADenver Nuggets109-112
24/04/23HDenver Nuggets114-108 OT
22/04/23HDenver Nuggets111-120
20/04/23ADenver Nuggets113-122
17/04/23ADenver Nuggets80-109
15/04/23HOklahoma City Thunder120-95
12/04/23ALos Angeles Lakers102-108 OT
09/04/23HNew Orleans Pelicans113-108
08/04/23ASan Antonio Spurs151-131
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/23ABoston Celtics111-119
25/10/23HDetroit Pistons103-102
06/07/23ASacramento Kings83-95
03/07/23ALos Angeles Lakers107-90
13/06/23ADenver Nuggets89-94
10/06/23HDenver Nuggets95-108
08/06/23HDenver Nuggets94-109
05/06/23ADenver Nuggets111-108
02/06/23ADenver Nuggets93-104
30/05/23ABoston Celtics103-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game94.0-94.0
Allowed / game97.0-97.0
Point differential-3.0--3.0
Avg total191.0-191.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Miami Heat
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game107.0103.0111.0
Allowed / game110.5102.0119.0
Point differential-3.5+1.0-8.0
Avg total217.5205.0230.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana Pacers220100%134.0116.5+17.5
2 Orlando Magic220100%109.091.5+17.5
3 Oklahoma City Thunder220100%116.0104.5+11.5
4 Denver Nuggets220100%113.5105.5+8.0
5 New Orleans Pelicans220100%103.595.5+8.0
6 Boston Celtics220100%113.5107.5+6.0
7 Dallas Mavericks220100%125.5119.5+6.0
8 Milwaukee Bucks110100%118.0117.0+1.0
9 Detroit Pistons32167%110.3101.3+9.0
10 Los Angeles Clippers21150%120.5115.5+5.0
11 Sacramento Kings21150%122.0118.0+4.0
12 Philadelphia 76ers21150%115.5112.5+3.0
13 Golden State Warriors21150%113.0111.0+2.0
14 Phoenix Suns21150%101.5102.0-0.5
15 San Antonio Spurs21150%122.5124.0-1.5
16 Charlotte Hornets21150%107.5110.5-3.0
17 Los Angeles Lakers21150%103.5107.0-3.5
18 Miami Heat21150%107.0110.5-3.5
19 Utah Jazz21150%117.0124.0-7.0
20 Washington Wizards21150%116.5124.5-8.0
21 Toronto Raptors31233%102.3104.0-1.7
22 New York Knicks31233%105.7108.0-2.3
23 Cleveland Cavaliers31233%110.7115.3-4.7
24 Chicago Bulls31233%103.3115.0-11.7
25 Brooklyn Nets2020%116.5119.5-3.0
26 Minnesota Timberwolves1010%94.097.0-3.0
27 Atlanta Hawks2020%115.0121.0-6.0
28 Memphis Grizzlies3030%104.7110.7-6.0
29 Portland Trail Blazers2020%104.0112.5-8.5
30 Houston Rockets2020%104.0121.0-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves26292526106
Miami Heat3122201790
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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