PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Real Madrid vs Baskonia Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 07 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#1
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game112.8
Allowed / game89.4
vs
Position#3
Record3-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game82.8
SpainACBRound 21· Movistar Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Real Madrid v Baskonia
18 Mar 2027
MAD v BAS
upcoming
07 Feb 2027
MAD v BAS
upcoming
27 May 2026
MAD83
BAS88
11 Dec 2025
MAD94
BAS87
03 Jun 2025
MAD82
BAS76
16 Mar 2025
MAD83
BAS78
23 Jan 2025
MAD90
BAS89
12 May 2024
MAD106
BAS100
25 Apr 2024
MAD101
BAS90
23 Apr 2024
MAD90
BAS74
05 Apr 2024
MAD91
BAS95
19 Mar 2023
MAD88
BAS95
07 Mar 2023
MAD81
BAS85
04 Jun 2022
MAD83
BAS71
02 Jun 2022
MAD94
BAS84
06 Mar 2022
MAD72
BAS80
14 Jan 2022
MAD89
BAS74
05 Feb 2021
MAD64
BAS84
02 Dec 2020
MAD92
BAS83
10 Feb 2019
MAD82
BAS76
19 Oct 2018
MAD97
BAS79
22 Sep 2018
MAD80
BAS73
15 Jun 2018
MAD98
BAS91
13 Jun 2018
MAD90
BAS94
03 May 2018
MAD101
BAS89
17 Jan 2018
MAD75
BAS73
09 Apr 2017
MAD86
BAS82
25 Oct 2016
MAD87
BAS91
18 May 2016
MAD93
BAS88
05 Feb 2016
MAD68
BAS77
11 Jan 2015
MAD75
BAS74
20 Oct 2013
MAD105
BAS72
28 Oct 2012
MAD83
BAS81
02 Jun 2012
MAD76
BAS69
26 May 2012
MAD73
BAS64
24 May 2012
MAD71
BAS81
22 Jan 2012
MAD84
BAS73
23 Apr 2011
MAD76
BAS71
04 Jun 2010
MAD80
BAS62
02 Jun 2010
MAD80
BAS67
01 May 2010
MAD74
BAS80
04 Jun 2009
MAD102
BAS82
14 Feb 2009
MAD81
BAS79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Baskonia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
114-107 OT
114
107
+7
A04/10
ACB
Partizan
#12
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H08/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#18
W
120-83
120
83
+37
H11/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
98-89
98
89
+9
A13/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
111-92
111
92
+19
H15/10
Euroleague
Bilbao
#9
W
119-84
119
84
+35
H18/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
W
113-99
113
99
+14
A22/10
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#16
W
122-86
122
86
+36
A25/10
ACB
Baskonia
#20
W
104-86
104
86
+18
A27/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
95-76
95
76
+19
H29/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
32-21
21-26
24-30
27-19
26-18
18-20
15-19
34-22
28-16
24-18
34-27
21-25
32-15
31-27
14-22
27-25
34-23
16-23
34-21
36-13
26-22
27-22
30-27
23-30
28-22
30-21
32-26
31-21
23-19
27-23
41-23
30-19
26-27
26-23
22-17
22-24
25-18
23-13
25-21
196.0Avg total
108.2Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)112.889.4202.2+23.4100%
Season at home (3)109.384.7194.0+24.7100%
Season away (2)118.096.5214.5+21.5100%
Last 10 (10)108.287.8196.0+20.4100%
Last 5 (5)110.686.2196.8+24.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)96.082.0178.0+14.0100%
vs Similar (9)94.089.9183.9+4.156%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)99.589.8189.3+9.660%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#10
W
118-78
118
78
+40
H04/10
ACB
Besiktas
#11
L
84-92
84
92
-8
H09/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#13
W
93-73
93
73
+20
H11/10
ACB
Dubai
#8
L
79-93
79
93
-14
H13/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#13
L
78-86
78
86
-8
A16/10
Euroleague
Tenerife
#2
L
77-82
77
82
-5
A18/10
ACB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
79-85
79
85
-6
A22/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A25/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#4
L
86-104
86
104
-18
H27/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
79-94
79
94
-15
A30/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
34-16
32-19
32-17
20-28
31-21
20-24
13-19
24-21
21-18
23-17
25-17
23-25
20-19
19-26
17-23
12-24
22-22
19-22
25-18
18-25
18-14
24-15
17-28
21-20
19-23
14-20
25-22
19-27
16-14
18-18
22-25
19-30
27-26
23-26
17-22
16-26
23-23
20-26
20-19
171.9Avg total
84.8Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)92.282.8175.0+9.460%
Season at home (2)105.575.5181.0+30.0100%
Season away (3)83.387.7171.0-4.333%
Last 10 (10)84.887.1171.9-2.320%
Last 5 (5)79.289.8169.0-10.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)83.395.2178.6-11.911%
vs Similar (13)82.583.9166.4-1.546%
vs Weaker (8)101.284.4185.6+16.9100%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: -6.0-6.0Q2Q2: +7.9+7.9Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +0.3+0.3
Real MadridBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A04/10
ACB
Partizan
#12
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H08/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#18
W
62-38
62
38
+24
H11/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A13/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H15/10
Euroleague
Bilbao
#9
W
62-35
62
35
+27
H18/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A22/10
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#16
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A25/10
ACB
Baskonia
#20
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A27/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H29/10
Euroleague
97.4Avg total
55.3Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.944.593.4+4.570%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.743.292.9+6.571%-
Last 30 away (16)48.245.693.8+2.769%-
Last 10 (10)55.342.197.4+13.290%-
Last 5 (5)54.043.097.0+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.041.086.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar (9)46.146.192.2+0.056%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)50.443.994.3+6.575%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#10
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H04/10
ACB
Besiktas
#11
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H09/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#13
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H11/10
ACB
Dubai
#8
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H13/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#13
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A16/10
Euroleague
Tenerife
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A18/10
ACB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A22/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A25/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#4
L
46-56
46
56
-10
H27/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A30/10
Euroleague
87.1Avg total
42.3Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.943.185.0-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.142.987.9+2.256%-
Last 30 away (14)38.343.481.7-5.121%-
Last 10 (10)42.344.887.1-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.245.684.8-6.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)41.448.489.9-7.011%-
vs Similar (13)39.141.480.5-2.331%-
vs Weaker (8)47.040.087.0+7.088%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 108.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.9 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.620.3
57.0%
55.6%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.615.3
43.0%
36.2%45.9
🏀 Free throws26.621.9
82.3%
75.7%21.9
They take 71.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.4
52.0%
55.6%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.0
34.2%
36.2%27.0
🏀 Free throws24.218.8
77.7%
75.7%18.8
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWWWWWWWW
Baskonia
LLLLLLLWLW
#1
League position
#3
+22.2
Net rating
-3.1
114.9
Offensive rating
96.5
92.7
Defensive rating
99.6
60.7%
Effective FG%
51.7%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
13.2%
Turnover %
15.5%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.38
43.0%
3-point %
34.2%
64.9%
Assist %
67.3%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence114.9 · 96.5Defence92.7 · 99.6Shooting60.7% · 51.7%3-point %43.0% · 34.2%Ball care13.2% · 15.5%Free throws0.37 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)100% · 20%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Baskonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Real Madrid wins
3
Baskonia wins
DateGameScore
27/10/26Baskonia v Real Madrid86-104
27/05/26Real Madrid v Baskonia83-88
03/04/26Baskonia v Real Madrid98-96
11/12/25Real Madrid v Baskonia94-87
12/10/25Baskonia v Real Madrid105-100
06/06/25Baskonia v Real Madrid103-112
03/06/25Real Madrid v Baskonia82-76
16/03/25Real Madrid v Baskonia83-78
23/01/25Real Madrid v Baskonia90-89
06/01/25Baskonia v Real Madrid82-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26HFenerbahce95-76
27/10/26ABaskonia104-86
25/10/26AForca Lleida122-86
22/10/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv113-99
18/10/26HBilbao119-84
15/10/26HLyon-Villeurbanne111-92
13/10/26AOlimpia Milano98-89
11/10/26HManresa120-83
08/10/26HPartizan86-76
04/10/26AObradoiro CAB114-107 OT
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26ALyon-Villeurbanne79-94
27/10/26HReal Madrid86-104
25/10/26AValencia75-84
22/10/26APanathinaikos79-85
18/10/26ATenerife77-82
16/10/26AVirtus Bologna78-86
13/10/26HDubai79-93
11/10/26HJoventut Badalona93-73
09/10/26HBesiktas84-92
04/10/26HBasquet Girona118-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game112.8109.3118.0
Allowed / game89.484.796.5
Point differential+23.4+24.7+21.5
Avg total202.2194.0214.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %20%0%50%
Baskonia
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL60%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game92.2105.583.3
Allowed / game82.875.587.7
Point differential+9.4+30.0-4.3
Avg total175.0181.0171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid550100%112.889.4+23.4
2 Tenerife54180%87.677.2+10.4
3 Baskonia53260%92.282.8+9.4
4 Valencia53260%96.688.8+7.8
5 Unicaja53260%88.283.0+5.2
6 Breogan53260%103.6100.4+3.2
7 Barcelona53260%98.096.2+1.8
8 Basket Zaragoza53260%89.089.0+0.0
9 Bilbao53260%95.295.6-0.4
10 Basquet Girona53260%93.097.4-4.4
11 Obradoiro CAB53260%88.693.2-4.6
12 San Pablo Burgos52340%89.887.0+2.8
13 Joventut Badalona52340%94.693.6+1.0
14 Murcia52340%87.093.0-6.0
15 MoraBanc Andorra51420%85.693.6-8.0
16 Forca Lleida51420%91.8103.2-11.4
17 Leyma Coruna51420%89.4102.0-12.6
18 Manresa5050%84.6102.2-17.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.