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Atlanta Hawks vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 133-134
41-23 32-31 30-40 30-40
Position#12
Record13-10
FormLWWLL
Points / game116.8
Allowed / game115.7
vs
Position#6
Record15-6
FormWLWLW
Points / game125.1
Allowed / game116.0
USANBA· State Farm Arena
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Atlanta Hawks v Denver Nuggets
07 Feb 2027
ATL v DEN
upcoming
05 Dec 2025
ATL133
DEN134
08 Dec 2024
ATL111
DEN141
11 Dec 2023
ATL122
DEN129
02 Dec 2022
ATL117
DEN109
17 Dec 2021
ATL115
DEN133
21 Feb 2021
ATL123
DEN115
06 Jan 2020
ATL115
DEN123
08 Dec 2018
ATL106
DEN98
27 Oct 2017
ATL100
DEN105
08 Feb 2017
ATL117
DEN106
17 Mar 2016
ATL116
DEN98
07 Dec 2014
ATL96
DEN84
15 Mar 2014
ATL97
DEN92
05 Dec 2012
ATL108
DEN104
16 Mar 2011
ATL87
DEN102
07 Nov 2009
ATL125
DEN100
29 Dec 2008
ATL109
DEN91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atlanta Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
124-122
124
122
+2
122avg 112
A17/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
112-120
112
120
-8
106avg 112
H19/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
126-135
126
135
-9
123avg 112
A21/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
115-98
115
98
+17
107avg 112
A23/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
113-110
113
110
+3
107avg 112
H23/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
113-132
113
132
-19
107avg 112
A26/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
130-123
130
123
+7
126avg 112
H29/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
142-134 OT
142
134
+8
139avg 112
A30/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
98-99
98
99
-1
86avg 112
A02/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
92-115
92
115
-23
78avg 112
H04/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
32-37
20-37
47-27
27-35
27-32
28-27
30-26
34-28
26-46
32-21
34-40
21-25
35-21
32-24
27-28
28-25
25-30
39-33
21-22
23-45
32-32
23-34
35-21
33-23
27-39
37-28
33-33
25-29
32-29
26-31
32-26
27-25
22-25
19-24
30-25
21-27
20-28
32-39
19-21
235.3Avg total
116.5Scored
118.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)116.8115.7232.6+1.157%
Season at home (9)112.3116.2228.6-3.944%
Season away (14)119.7115.4235.1+4.364%
Last 10 (10)116.5118.8235.3-2.350%
Last 5 (5)115.0120.6235.6-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)109.0117.8226.8-8.80%
vs Similar ◀ (16)114.2116.1230.4-1.956%
vs Weaker (10)126.5115.3241.8+11.280%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
123-112
123
112
+11
122avg 115
A16/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
127-130
127
130
-3
117avg 115
H18/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
125-118
125
118
+7
128avg 115
A20/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
112-109
112
109
+3
111avg 115
A22/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
123-128
123
128
-5
114avg 115
H23/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
125-115
125
115
+10
124avg 115
A25/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
136-139
136
139
-3
130avg 115
H29/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
130-112
130
112
+18
139avg 115
A30/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
121-131
121
131
-10
119avg 115
H02/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
135-120
135
120
+15
129avg 115
A04/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-31
26-29
32-26
36-26
28-30
36-33
29-40
34-27
26-30
36-28
35-25
28-35
25-12
21-37
34-29
32-31
35-30
30-31
27-30
31-37
27-23
35-31
31-31
32-30
33-41
41-18
30-44
32-36
30-25
33-35
33-25
34-27
41-27
27-42
36-33
17-29
33-28
39-20
30-31
33-41
247.1Avg total
125.7Scored
121.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)125.1116.0241.1+9.071%
Season at home (10)126.0116.7242.7+9.360%
Season away (11)124.3115.5239.7+8.882%
Last 10 (10)125.7121.4247.1+4.360%
Last 5 (5)129.4123.4252.8+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)106.3115.4221.7-9.143%
vs Similar ◀ (10)123.8113.7237.5+10.180%
vs Weaker (13)124.2116.3240.5+7.862%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -1.0-1.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -1.0-1.0
Atlanta HawksDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A17/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
54-67
54
67
-13
H19/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
60-74
60
74
-14
A21/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A23/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
53-55
53
55
-2
H23/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
55-77
55
77
-22
A26/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
60-62
60
62
-2
H29/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A30/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A02/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H04/12
NBA
114.4Avg total
54.2Scored
60.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.457.5115.9+0.943%-
Last 30 at home (12)58.256.8115.0+1.542%-
Last 30 away (18)58.558.0116.5+0.544%-
Last 10 (10)54.260.2114.4-6.010%-
Last 5 (5)52.460.4112.8-8.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)54.562.8117.2-8.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)55.156.0111.1-0.931%-
vs Weaker (10)65.257.8123.0+7.480%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
55-60
55
60
-5
A16/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
64-63
64
63
+1
H18/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
62-58
62
58
+4
A20/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A22/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
65-61
65
61
+4
H23/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
62-54
62
54
+8
A25/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
74-59
74
59
+15
H29/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
63-60
63
60
+3
A30/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
68-69
68
69
-1
H02/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
72-48
72
48
+24
A04/12
NBA
121.2Avg total
63.1Scored
58.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.757.6117.4+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (14)61.455.6117.0+5.971%-
Last 30 away (16)58.259.4117.7-1.250%-
Last 10 (10)63.158.1121.2+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)67.858.0125.8+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)50.460.0110.4-9.614%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)61.258.0119.2+3.250%-
vs Weaker (13)63.656.1119.7+7.592%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 116.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.328.4
57.6%
54.8%56.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.115.0
36.5%
35.8%45.0
🏀 Free throws19.514.7
75.4%
78.1%14.7
They take 90.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 125.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.429.7
56.7%
54.8%59.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.715.3
44.1%
35.8%45.9
🏀 Free throws24.920.4
81.9%
78.1%20.4
They take 87.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Atlanta Hawks
LLWWLWWLLW
Denver Nuggets
WLWLWLWWLW
#12
League position
#6
-2.2
Net rating
+4.3
112.0
Offensive rating
124.9
114.3
Defensive rating
120.6
56.3%
Effective FG%
60.4%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
13.8%
Turnover %
13.0%
21.3%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.5%
3-point %
44.1%
71.0%
Assist %
65.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.0 · 124.9Defence114.3 · 120.6Shooting56.3% · 60.4%3-point %36.5% · 44.1%Ball care13.8% · 13.0%Off. rebounds21.3% · 27.4%Free throws0.22 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Atlanta Hawks   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Atlanta Hawks wins
8
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/25HLos Angeles Clippers92-115
02/12/25ADetroit Pistons98-99
30/11/25APhiladelphia 76ers142-134 OT
29/11/25HCleveland Cavaliers130-123
26/11/25AWashington Wizards113-132
23/11/25HCharlotte Hornets113-110
23/11/25ANew Orleans Pelicans115-98
21/11/25ASan Antonio Spurs126-135
19/11/25HDetroit Pistons112-120
17/11/25APhoenix Suns124-122
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/25AIndiana Pacers135-120
02/12/25HDallas Mavericks121-131
30/11/25APhoenix Suns130-112
29/11/25HSan Antonio Spurs136-139
25/11/25AMemphis Grizzlies125-115
23/11/25HSacramento Kings123-128
22/11/25AHouston Rockets112-109
20/11/25ANew Orleans Pelicans125-118
18/11/25HChicago Bulls127-130
16/11/25AMinnesota Timberwolves123-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL57%
HomeWLWWL44%
AwayLWLWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23914
Win %57%44%64%
Points / game116.8112.3119.7
Allowed / game115.7116.2115.4
Point differential+1.1-3.9+4.3
Avg total232.6228.6235.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%22%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (1)67% (6)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW71%
HomeWLLLL60%
AwayWWWWW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %71%60%82%
Points / game125.1126.0124.3
Allowed / game116.0116.7115.5
Point differential+9.0+9.3+8.8
Avg total241.1242.7239.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%50%64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder2221195%122.3107.0+15.3
2 Detroit Pistons2217577%118.3113.2+5.1
3 Houston Rockets1914574%121.7110.3+11.4
4 Los Angeles Lakers2216673%118.6116.5+2.1
5 Denver Nuggets2115671%125.1116.0+9.0
6 San Antonio Spurs2115671%119.0113.8+5.2
7 New York Knicks2114767%120.2113.0+7.2
8 Toronto Raptors2315865%117.8113.6+4.3
9 Minnesota Timberwolves2214864%120.8115.5+5.3
10 Boston Celtics2314961%117.1110.5+6.6
11 Miami Heat2314961%122.8117.9+4.9
12 Orlando Magic2314961%118.6113.9+4.7
13 Phoenix Suns2213959%117.0113.7+3.4
14 Philadelphia 76ers2112957%117.4117.0+0.3
15 Cleveland Cavaliers23131057%119.1116.0+3.1
16 Atlanta Hawks23131057%116.8115.7+1.1
17 Golden State Warriors23111248%113.7113.4+0.3
18 Milwaukee Bucks23101343%115.8117.8-2.0
19 Chicago Bulls2191243%119.1122.7-3.5
20 Portland Trail Blazers2291341%118.4120.6-2.2
21 Memphis Grizzlies2291341%113.6117.0-3.3
22 Utah Jazz2181338%118.7124.6-6.0
23 Dallas Mavericks2381535%111.4115.7-4.3
24 Los Angeles Clippers2261627%112.5117.5-5.1
25 Charlotte Hornets2261627%114.7119.9-5.2
26 Brooklyn Nets2251723%109.0118.0-9.0
27 Sacramento Kings2251723%111.0122.8-11.8
28 Indiana Pacers2241818%110.6120.1-9.5
29 Washington Wizards2131814%112.2128.1-15.9
30 New Orleans Pelicans2332013%112.7123.4-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Atlanta Hawks41323030133
Denver Nuggets23314040134
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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