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Neptunas vs Siauliai Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 15:20
Final 86-94
22-22 23-26 16-26 25-20
Position#5
Record1-4
FormLLLWW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game84.4
vs
Position#7
Record3-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game78.3
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Neptunas v Siauliai
03 Apr 2027
NEP v SIA
upcoming
25 Oct 2026
NEP110
SIA88
19 Apr 2026
NEP98
SIA83
28 Dec 2025
NEP101
SIA103
27 Apr 2025
NEP90
SIA95
25 Jan 2025
NEP80
SIA90
27 Nov 2024
NEP101
SIA104
11 Mar 2024
NEP85
SIA76
06 Mar 2023
NEP93
SIA79
31 Oct 2021
NEP86
SIA94
07 May 2021
NEP107
SIA106
17 Jan 2021
NEP77
SIA88
10 Jan 2021
NEP88
SIA94
08 Mar 2020
NEP90
SIA70
05 Oct 2019
NEP90
SIA94
05 May 2019
NEP96
SIA75
23 Dec 2018
NEP80
SIA76
01 Mar 2018
NEP71
SIA78
04 Jan 2018
NEP84
SIA79
26 Apr 2017
NEP85
SIA78
12 Oct 2016
NEP95
SIA67
03 May 2016
NEP90
SIA85
27 Apr 2016
NEP83
SIA77
23 Jan 2016
NEP68
SIA73
29 Nov 2015
NEP74
SIA83
08 Apr 2015
NEP90
SIA77
28 Oct 2014
NEP70
SIA68
11 May 2014
NEP89
SIA88
01 May 2014
NEP86
SIA83
01 Oct 2013
NEP91
SIA69
27 Nov 2012
NEP91
SIA83
19 Apr 2012
NEP101
SIA84
20 Jan 2012
NEP89
SIA93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Siauliai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
L
62-83
62
83
-21
76avg 76
A18/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
75-71
75
71
+4
81avg 76
H26/09
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
89-74
89
74
+15
no box
H29/09
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#11
W
97-95 OT
97
95
+2
no box
H03/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
53-81
53
81
-28
61avg 76
H06/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
79-98
79
98
-19
92avg 76
A10/10
LKL
Prienai
#5
L
76-79 OT
76
79
-3
no box
H14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#1
L
81-89
81
89
-8
94avg 76
H16/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
92-86
92
86
+6
no box
A21/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Prienai
#5
W
84-70
84
70
+14
no box
A28/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
12-18
20-26
15-20
13-19
23-10
24-20
15-22
32-16
23-14
18-16
16-28
21-22
21-22
22-15
20-25
16-25
15-22
5-19
17-15
19-23
23-20
19-23
18-32
13-16
24-13
13-16
17-22
17-24
19-13
12-30
33-22
19-24
19-27
26-20
28-15
23-23
16-11
25-16
20-20
161.4Avg total
78.8Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)70.084.4154.4-14.420%
Season at home (3)69.780.3150.0-10.733%
Season away (2)70.590.5161.0-20.00%
Last 10 (10)78.882.6161.4-3.850%
Last 5 (5)82.484.4166.8-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)73.387.7161.0-14.46%
vs Similar ◀ (9)82.383.2165.6-0.967%
vs Weaker (5)87.680.8168.4+6.880%
This opponent (Siauliai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SiauliaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSiauliai
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
84-62
84
62
+22
100avg 78
H22/09
LKL
Rytas
#1
L
76-79
76
79
-3
no box
A25/09
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
91-96
91
96
-5
no box
A30/09
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#3
L
94-98
94
98
-4
no box
H06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
W
79-70
79
70
+9
90avg 78
A10/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
77-70
77
70
+7
no box
A13/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
64-97
64
97
-33
68avg 78
H17/10
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
101-111 OT
101
111
-10
no box
H20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#4
W
93-87
93
87
+6
49avg 78
H25/10
LKL
Juventus
#3
L
91-98
91
98
-7
no box
A27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
24-15
17-21
22-9
16-17
15-23
14-26
31-13
23-20
20-32
21-25
27-19
28-24
22-22
21-32
23-20
21-16
19-9
20-18
19-27
19-14
16-21
16-15
26-20
19-21
10-27
21-22
14-27
18-23
18-25
20-25
38-21
27-21
18-17
21-25
27-24
26-21
19-25
27-28
19-24
171.8Avg total
85.0Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)77.078.3155.3-1.350%
Season at home (3)80.382.0162.3-1.767%
Season away (3)73.774.7148.3-1.033%
Last 10 (10)85.086.8171.8-1.840%
Last 5 (5)85.292.6177.8-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)76.994.9171.8-18.017%
vs Similar ◀ (14)90.484.1174.5+6.264%
vs Weaker (4)85.586.0171.5-0.525%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +4.2+4.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +4.2+4.2
NeptunasSiauliai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A18/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H26/09
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
55-30
55
30
+25
H29/09
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#11
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H03/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H06/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A10/10
LKL
Prienai
#5
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#1
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H16/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A21/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Prienai
#5
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A28/10
King Mindaugas Cup
76.4Avg total
38.3Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.039.978.9-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.137.876.9+1.360%-
Last 30 away (15)38.942.181.0-3.127%-
Last 10 (10)38.338.176.4+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)38.438.877.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)37.441.679.1-4.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.038.278.2+1.867%-
vs Weaker (5)42.237.679.8+4.660%-
This opponent (Siauliai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SiauliaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H22/09
LKL
Rytas
#1
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A25/09
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A30/09
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#3
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
W
40-25
40
25
+15
A10/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A13/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
29-48
29
48
-19
H17/10
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#4
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H25/10
LKL
Juventus
#3
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
80.9Avg total
39.9Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.843.983.7-4.127%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.145.786.8-4.533%-
Last 30 away (15)38.542.280.7-3.720%-
Last 10 (10)39.941.080.9-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.043.081.0-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.149.386.4-12.28%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.939.681.5+2.243%-
vs Weaker (4)40.842.883.5-2.025%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.618.7
55.7%
53.6%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.98.2
35.8%
33.8%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.213.6
70.8%
73.1%13.6
They take 56.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Siauliaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Siauliai: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.621.8
58.0%
53.6%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.4
30.7%
33.8%22.2
🏀 Free throws18.112.2
67.4%
73.1%12.2
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
WWLLLLWWWL
Siauliai
LWLLWWLLLW
#5
League position
#7
-13.2
Net rating
-12.0
105.1
Offensive rating
103.9
118.3
Defensive rating
115.8
54.9%
Effective FG%
53.3%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
23.2%
Turnover %
20.4%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.8%
3-point %
30.7%
65.4%
Assist %
58.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.1 · 103.9Defence118.3 · 115.8Shooting54.9% · 53.3%3-point %35.8% · 30.7%Ball care23.2% · 20.4%Off. rebounds29.4% · 28.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Neptunas   ■ Siauliai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Neptunas wins
5
Siauliai wins
DateGameScore
07/05/21Neptunas v Siauliai107-106 OT
21/03/21Siauliai v Neptunas99-68
17/01/21Neptunas v Siauliai77-88
10/01/21Neptunas v Siauliai88-94
07/01/21Siauliai v Neptunas76-91
08/11/20Siauliai v Neptunas93-88
08/03/20Neptunas v Siauliai90-70
17/11/19Siauliai v Neptunas95-102
05/10/19Neptunas v Siauliai90-94
05/05/19Neptunas v Siauliai96-75
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/21APrienai84-70
21/10/21AJonava92-86
16/10/21HRytas81-89
14/10/21HPrienai76-79 OT
10/10/21AZalgiris Kaunas79-98
06/10/21HLietkabelis53-81
03/10/21HNevezis97-95 OT
29/09/21HJonava89-74
26/09/21HPieno Zvaigzdes75-71
18/09/21ALietkabelis62-83
Siauliailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/21AJuventus91-98
25/10/21HJonava93-87
20/10/21HAlytaus Dzukija101-111 OT
17/10/21HZalgiris Kaunas64-97
13/10/21APieno Zvaigzdes77-70
10/10/21AJuventus79-70
06/10/21HJuventus94-98
30/09/21AAlytaus Dzukija91-96
25/09/21ARytas76-79
22/09/21HPieno Zvaigzdes84-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL20%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game70.069.770.5
Allowed / game84.480.390.5
Point differential-14.4-10.7-20.0
Avg total154.4150.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Siauliai
LKL 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game77.080.373.7
Allowed / game78.382.074.7
Point differential-1.3-1.7-1.0
Avg total155.3162.3148.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas770100%92.376.9+15.4
2 Rytas76186%85.777.3+8.4
3 Juventus75271%89.082.6+6.4
4 Lietkabelis85362%80.271.4+8.9
5 Jonava74357%82.978.4+4.4
6 Siauliai63350%77.078.3-1.3
7 Alytaus Dzukija63350%79.282.0-2.8
8 Neptunas51420%70.084.4-14.4
9 Nevezis61517%75.087.7-12.7
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes71614%71.681.0-9.4
11 Prienai6060%72.785.2-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2223162586
Siauliai2226262094
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