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Miami Heat vs Utah Jazz Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 102-100
27-35 26-20 27-22 22-23
Position#17
Record8-13
FormLWLLW
Points / game108.5
Allowed / game110.0
vs
Position#9
Record11-12
FormLWLWW
Points / game105.9
Allowed / game108.2
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Miami Heat v Utah Jazz
25 Mar 2027
MIA v UTA
upcoming
09 Feb 2026
MIA111
UTA115
04 Jan 2025
MIA100
UTA136
02 Mar 2024
MIA126
UTA120
13 Mar 2023
MIA119
UTA115
06 Nov 2021
MIA118
UTA115
26 Feb 2021
MIA124
UTA116
23 Dec 2019
MIA107
UTA104
02 Dec 2018
MIA102
UTA100
07 Jan 2018
MIA103
UTA102
12 Nov 2016
MIA91
UTA102
12 Nov 2015
MIA92
UTA91
17 Dec 2014
MIA87
UTA105
16 Dec 2013
MIA117
UTA94
22 Dec 2012
MIA105
UTA89
09 Nov 2010
MIA114
UTA116
23 Dec 2009
MIA80
UTA70
14 Mar 2009
MIA140
UTA129
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah Jazz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#25
L
110-116
110
116
-6
100avg 97
H11/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
114-124
114
124
-10
106avg 97
H13/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
120-107
120
107
+13
115avg 97
A15/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
91-99
91
99
-8
79avg 97
A17/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
L
97-113
97
113
-16
86avg 97
H18/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
92-104
92
104
-12
72avg 97
H21/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
103-96
103
96
+7
90avg 97
A24/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
115-125
115
125
-10
98avg 97
A25/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
L
113-115
113
115
-2
101avg 97
H28/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
106-101
106
101
+5
92avg 97
H01/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-25
26-33
24-25
25-33
26-32
36-32
28-32
24-28
37-21
24-28
29-23
30-35
27-18
16-32
24-22
24-27
21-34
31-33
24-25
21-21
13-20
29-19
35-35
15-30
28-26
32-13
18-30
25-27
29-36
25-27
35-38
26-24
38-35
14-33
34-32
27-15
37-17
24-24
20-34
25-26
216.1Avg total
106.1Scored
110.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)108.5110.0218.5-1.638%
Season at home (12)107.0108.8215.8-1.833%
Season away (9)110.4111.8222.2-1.344%
Last 10 (10)106.1110.0216.1-3.930%
Last 5 (5)105.8108.2214.0-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)106.9115.0221.9-8.129%
vs Similar (18)106.1111.2217.3-5.133%
vs Weaker (5)111.8101.4213.2+10.460%
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJazz
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
68-118
68
118
-50
46avg 98
A15/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
107-113
107
113
-6
85avg 98
A17/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
98-86
98
86
+12
92avg 98
A18/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
94-121
94
121
-27
91avg 98
A20/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
110-119
110
119
-9
no box
H22/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
L
83-90
83
90
-7
71avg 98
A24/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
133-112
133
112
+21
130avg 98
A26/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
88-121
88
121
-33
79avg 98
H27/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
101-91
101
91
+10
92avg 98
A29/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
W
119-111
119
111
+8
121avg 98
A01/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-30
22-28
13-26
9-34
24-38
28-16
32-32
23-27
29-20
21-25
27-17
21-24
19-32
28-25
23-29
24-35
23-34
31-26
29-24
27-35
16-22
22-16
25-26
20-26
30-26
29-24
32-30
42-32
25-33
22-25
23-31
18-32
17-16
26-26
27-36
31-13
33-19
24-34
34-30
28-28
208.3Avg total
100.1Scored
108.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)105.9108.2214.1-2.348%
Season at home (8)107.0113.4220.4-6.425%
Season away (15)105.3105.5210.8-0.160%
Last 10 (10)100.1108.2208.3-8.140%
Last 5 (5)104.8105.0209.8-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)101.2108.6209.8-7.331%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)107.4106.6214.1+0.857%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -4.3-4.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -4.3-4.3
Miami HeatUtah Jazz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#25
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H11/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
62-64
62
64
-2
H13/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
61-49
61
49
+12
A15/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A17/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
L
52-67
52
67
-15
H18/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H21/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
60-39
60
39
+21
A24/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
54-63
54
63
-9
A25/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
L
52-68
52
68
-16
H28/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
61-41
61
41
+20
H01/12
NBA
108.6Avg total
54.8Scored
53.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.654.0108.6+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (16)54.453.8108.2+0.662%-
Last 30 away (14)54.954.3109.1+0.636%-
Last 10 (10)54.853.8108.6+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)53.850.0103.8+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)55.454.1109.6+1.357%-
vs Similar (18)53.953.8107.7+0.144%-
vs Weaker (5)56.054.6110.6+1.460%-
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A15/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A17/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A18/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A20/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
54-60
54
60
-6
H22/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A24/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A26/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
47-58
47
58
-11
H27/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A29/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A01/12
NBA
100.8Avg total
49.3Scored
51.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.352.6104.9-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (11)54.356.1110.4-1.836%-
Last 30 away (19)51.250.5101.7+0.753%-
Last 10 (10)49.351.5100.8-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)48.848.297.0+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)51.354.6105.9-3.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)53.550.3103.8+3.257%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 106.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.126.8
48.6%
51.7%53.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.411.6
34.7%
35.4%34.8
🏀 Free throws25.317.7
70.0%
76.6%17.7
They take 88.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Utah Jazztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utah Jazz: 100.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.928.1
54.1%
51.7%56.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.19.3
29.9%
35.4%27.9
🏀 Free throws23.616.0
67.8%
76.6%16.0
They take 83.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WLLWLLLWLL
Utah Jazz
WWLWLLLWLL
#17
League position
#9
-3.8
Net rating
-7.8
104.1
Offensive rating
98.5
107.9
Defensive rating
106.2
49.9%
Effective FG%
50.7%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
13.9%
Turnover %
16.1%
25.2%
Off. rebound %
19.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.7%
3-point %
29.9%
54.2%
Assist %
60.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.1 · 98.5Defence107.9 · 106.2Shooting49.9% · 50.7%3-point %34.7% · 29.9%Ball care13.9% · 16.1%Off. rebounds25.2% · 19.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Utah Jazz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Miami Heat wins
4
Utah Jazz wins
DateGameScore
07/01/18Miami Heat v Utah Jazz103-102
11/11/17Utah Jazz v Miami Heat74-84
02/12/16Utah Jazz v Miami Heat110-111
13/11/16Miami Heat v Utah Jazz91-102
10/01/16Utah Jazz v Miami Heat98-83
13/11/15Miami Heat v Utah Jazz92-91
18/12/14Miami Heat v Utah Jazz87-105
13/12/14Utah Jazz v Miami Heat95-100
09/02/14Utah Jazz v Miami Heat94-89
17/12/13Miami Heat v Utah Jazz117-94
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/18HNew Orleans Pelicans106-101
28/11/18HAtlanta Hawks113-115
25/11/18AToronto Raptors115-125
24/11/18AChicago Bulls103-96
21/11/18HBrooklyn Nets92-104
18/11/18HLos Angeles Lakers97-113
17/11/18AIndiana Pacers91-99
15/11/18ABrooklyn Nets120-107
13/11/18HPhiladelphia 76ers114-124
11/11/18HWashington Wizards110-116
Utah Jazzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/18ACharlotte Hornets119-111
29/11/18ABrooklyn Nets101-91
27/11/18HIndiana Pacers88-121
26/11/18ASacramento Kings133-112
24/11/18ALos Angeles Lakers83-90
22/11/18HSacramento Kings110-119
20/11/18AIndiana Pacers94-121
18/11/18ABoston Celtics98-86
17/11/18APhiladelphia 76ers107-113
15/11/18ADallas Mavericks68-118

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW38%
HomeLLLLW33%
AwayWWLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %38%33%44%
Points / game108.5107.0110.4
Allowed / game110.0108.8111.8
Point differential-1.6-1.8-1.3
Avg total218.5215.8222.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%8%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)33% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %5%0%11%
Utah Jazz
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW48%
HomeLWWLL25%
AwayLLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23815
Win %48%25%60%
Points / game105.9107.0105.3
Allowed / game108.2113.4105.5
Point differential-2.3-6.4-0.1
Avg total214.1220.4210.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%12%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toronto Raptors2420483%117.1108.4+8.8
2 Los Angeles Clippers2115671%117.5112.2+5.3
3 Milwaukee Bucks2215768%121.4111.3+10.1
4 Denver Nuggets2215768%110.4102.7+7.7
5 Oklahoma City Thunder2114767%111.0104.6+6.4
6 Philadelphia 76ers2416867%114.6112.5+2.1
7 Detroit Pistons2013765%111.5109.2+2.4
8 Golden State Warriors2415962%115.9111.5+4.4
9 Memphis Grizzlies2113862%104.9103.1+1.8
10 Los Angeles Lakers2314961%112.7111.0+1.7
11 Portland Trail Blazers2213959%112.7110.8+1.9
12 Boston Celtics23131057%108.5104.1+4.4
13 Indiana Pacers23131057%106.2102.7+3.5
14 Dallas Mavericks20101050%110.7108.8+1.9
15 New Orleans Pelicans24121250%117.8116.2+1.6
16 Houston Rockets22111150%110.0109.8+0.3
17 Sacramento Kings22111150%114.3117.1-2.8
18 Charlotte Hornets23111248%114.4110.7+3.7
19 Minnesota Timberwolves23111248%109.8110.5-0.7
20 Orlando Magic23111248%105.8108.1-2.3
21 Utah Jazz23111248%105.9108.2-2.3
22 San Antonio Spurs22101245%108.5112.0-3.6
23 Washington Wizards2391439%111.7117.1-5.4
24 Miami Heat2181338%108.5110.0-1.6
25 Brooklyn Nets2481633%109.0111.5-2.5
26 New York Knicks2481633%109.0114.6-5.6
27 Atlanta Hawks2351822%107.4118.1-10.7
28 Chicago Bulls2451921%103.4113.0-9.6
29 Cleveland Cavaliers2241818%102.7111.0-8.3
30 Phoenix Suns2341917%103.0113.7-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat27262722102
Utah Jazz35202223100
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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