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Denver Nuggets vs Utah Jazz Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 115-110
28-26 33-26 31-38 23-20
Position#2
Record15-10
FormWLLLW
Points / game115.0
Allowed / game114.0
vs
Position#22
Record15-13
FormWWLWL
Points / game117.5
Allowed / game115.9
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Utah Jazz
17 Feb 2027
DEN v UTA
upcoming
19 Jan 2027
DEN v UTA
upcoming
27 Mar 2026
DEN135
UTA129
22 Dec 2025
DEN135
UTA112
28 Mar 2025
DEN129
UTA93
02 Nov 2024
DEN129
UTA103
09 Mar 2024
DEN142
UTA121
30 Oct 2023
DEN110
UTA102
10 Dec 2022
DEN115
UTA110
28 Oct 2022
DEN117
UTA101
16 Jan 2022
DEN102
UTA125
05 Jan 2022
DEN109
UTA115
31 Jan 2021
DEN128
UTA117
17 Jan 2021
DEN105
UTA109
01 Sep 2020
DEN80
UTA78
25 Aug 2020
DEN117
UTA107
19 Aug 2020
DEN105
UTA124
17 Aug 2020
DEN135
UTA125
08 Aug 2020
DEN134
UTA132
30 Jan 2020
DEN106
UTA100
28 Feb 2019
DEN104
UTA111
03 Nov 2018
DEN103
UTA88
05 Jan 2018
DEN99
UTA91
26 Dec 2017
DEN107
UTA83
24 Jan 2017
DEN103
UTA93
20 Nov 2016
DEN105
UTA91
10 Apr 2016
DEN84
UTA100
05 Nov 2015
DEN84
UTA96
27 Mar 2015
DEN107
UTA91
27 Feb 2015
DEN82
UTA104
12 Apr 2014
DEN101
UTA94
13 Dec 2013
DEN93
UTA103
05 Jan 2013
DEN110
UTA91
09 Nov 2012
DEN104
UTA84
15 Jan 2012
DEN96
UTA106
28 Dec 2011
DEN117
UTA100
04 Feb 2011
DEN106
UTA113
27 Oct 2010
DEN110
UTA88
28 Apr 2010
DEN116
UTA102
19 Apr 2010
DEN111
UTA114
17 Apr 2010
DEN126
UTA113
17 Jan 2010
DEN119
UTA112
28 Oct 2009
DEN114
UTA105
02 Apr 2009
DEN114
UTA104
25 Jan 2009
DEN117
UTA97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah Jazz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
98-97
98
97
+1
94avg 112
A21/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
108-110
108
110
-2
102avg 112
H23/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
131-126 OT
131
126
+5
132avg 112
A24/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
114-104
114
104
+10
104avg 112
A26/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
129-113
129
113
+16
129avg 112
H29/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
120-100
120
100
+20
120avg 112
H01/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
109-117
109
117
-8
103avg 112
A03/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
106-121
106
121
-15
101avg 112
A04/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
L
115-116
115
116
-1
113avg 112
H07/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
121-120
121
120
+1
117avg 112
A09/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
30-31
24-18
19-23
29-28
28-30
24-25
27-27
38-21
31-42
15-34
36-23
31-26
33-26
23-25
27-27
42-39
28-29
36-23
23-22
44-24
30-23
22-25
24-28
25-28
21-32
35-30
28-27
31-27
29-32
21-28
25-34
29-36
29-28
28-27
29-25
30-36
33-28
26-35
32-21
227.5Avg total
115.1Scored
112.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)115.0114.0229.0+1.060%
Season at home (9)116.7107.0223.7+9.767%
Season away (16)114.1117.9231.9-3.856%
Last 10 (10)115.1112.4227.5+2.760%
Last 5 (5)114.2114.8229.0-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)114.7116.5231.1-1.847%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)113.7112.8226.5+0.960%
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJazz
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
114-121
114
121
-7
105avg 105
A22/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
116-125
116
125
-9
114avg 105
H24/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
118-129
118
129
-11
108avg 105
A26/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
112-113
112
113
-1
104avg 105
A27/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
107-114
107
114
-7
104avg 105
H29/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
125-112
125
112
+13
123avg 105
H01/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
139-119
139
119
+20
141avg 105
H03/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
L
111-116
111
116
-5
101avg 105
H04/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
124-123
124
123
+1
119avg 105
H08/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
108-118
108
118
-10
93avg 105
H10/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-34
32-32
37-22
21-33
25-30
29-36
36-32
26-27
23-37
28-22
35-38
32-32
32-22
22-29
27-27
31-35
27-27
33-26
20-33
27-28
35-26
23-34
36-25
31-27
35-24
40-35
26-22
38-38
31-40
29-29
30-23
21-24
30-35
36-34
34-22
24-32
24-28
22-33
33-21
29-36
236.4Avg total
117.4Scored
119.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)117.5115.9233.4+1.654%
Season at home (14)120.8116.1236.9+4.764%
Season away (14)114.3115.7230.0-1.443%
Last 10 (10)117.4119.0236.4-1.630%
Last 5 (5)121.4117.6239.0+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)113.4110.4223.8+3.060%
vs Similar (22)116.5116.0232.6+0.550%
vs Weaker (3)111.0113.3224.3-2.333%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -3.2-3.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -3.2-3.2
Denver NuggetsUtah Jazz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#21
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A21/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H23/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A24/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
64-52
64
52
+12
A26/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H29/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
74-47
74
47
+27
H01/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
46-60
46
60
-14
A03/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
60-59
60
59
+1
A04/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
L
58-64
58
64
-6
H07/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A09/12
NBA
120.7Avg total
61.6Scored
59.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.458.4117.8+1.043%-
Last 30 at home (11)61.556.6118.2+4.945%-
Last 30 away (19)58.159.4117.5-1.342%-
Last 10 (10)61.659.1120.7+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)60.258.8119.0+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)58.156.5114.5+1.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)60.760.3121.0+0.347%-
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
56-66
56
66
-10
A22/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
54-66
54
66
-12
H24/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
51-59
51
59
-8
A26/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A27/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H29/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
58-60
58
60
-2
H01/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
75-59
75
59
+16
H03/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
L
60-69
60
69
-9
H04/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
66-69
66
69
-3
H08/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
46-61
46
61
-15
H10/12
NBA
119.3Avg total
58.0Scored
61.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.057.2116.2+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)62.658.4121.0+4.260%-
Last 30 away (15)55.456.1111.5-0.753%-
Last 10 (10)58.061.3119.3-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)61.063.6124.6-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)61.053.0114.0+8.080%-
vs Similar (22)59.358.5117.8+0.955%-
vs Weaker (3)53.355.3108.7-2.033%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 115.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.632.1
58.8%
54.5%64.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.111.2
37.2%
35.8%33.6
🏀 Free throws23.617.3
73.3%
78.1%17.3
They take 84.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Utah Jazztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utah Jazz: 117.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.227.9
59.1%
54.5%55.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.614.3
37.0%
35.8%42.9
🏀 Free throws23.818.7
78.6%
78.1%18.7
They take 85.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLLLWWWWLW
Utah Jazz
LWLWWLLLLL
#2
League position
#22
+2.7
Net rating
-1.6
116.9
Offensive rating
115.3
114.2
Defensive rating
116.8
57.7%
Effective FG%
57.5%
56.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
14.9%
Turnover %
15.2%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.2%
3-point %
37.0%
65.1%
Assist %
59.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence116.9 · 115.3Defence114.2 · 116.8Shooting57.7% · 57.5%3-point %37.2% · 37.0%Ball care14.9% · 15.2%Off. rebounds27.7% · 25.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Utah Jazz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Denver Nuggets wins
7
Utah Jazz wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/22APortland Trail Blazers121-120
07/12/22HDallas Mavericks115-116
04/12/22ANew Orleans Pelicans106-121
03/12/22AAtlanta Hawks109-117
01/12/22HHouston Rockets120-100
29/11/22HHouston Rockets129-113
26/11/22ALos Angeles Clippers114-104
24/11/22AOklahoma City Thunder131-126 OT
23/11/22HDetroit Pistons108-110
21/11/22ADallas Mavericks98-97
Utah Jazzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/22HMinnesota Timberwolves108-118
08/12/22HGolden State Warriors124-123
04/12/22HPortland Trail Blazers111-116
03/12/22HIndiana Pacers139-119
01/12/22HLos Angeles Clippers125-112
29/11/22HChicago Bulls107-114
27/11/22APhoenix Suns112-113
26/11/22AGolden State Warriors118-129
24/11/22HDetroit Pistons116-125
22/11/22ALos Angeles Clippers114-121

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW60%
HomeLLWWL67%
AwayWWLLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games25916
Win %60%67%56%
Points / game115.0116.7114.1
Allowed / game114.0107.0117.9
Point differential+1.0+9.7-3.8
Avg total229.0223.7231.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%56%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)25% (4)100% (5)
Overtime %4%0%6%
Utah Jazz
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL54%
HomeWWLWL64%
AwayLWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %54%64%43%
Points / game117.5120.8114.3
Allowed / game115.9116.1115.7
Point differential+1.6+4.7-1.4
Avg total233.4236.9230.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%36%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics2721678%120.3112.4+7.9
2 Milwaukee Bucks2519676%112.8107.9+5.0
3 New Orleans Pelicans2517868%117.2110.1+7.1
4 Memphis Grizzlies2617965%115.0112.0+3.0
5 Cleveland Cavaliers27171063%110.9104.8+6.0
6 Phoenix Suns26161062%115.8110.6+5.2
7 Denver Nuggets25151060%115.0114.0+1.0
8 Sacramento Kings24141058%118.8115.1+3.7
9 Brooklyn Nets28161257%112.5111.3+1.2
10 Utah Jazz28151354%117.5115.9+1.6
11 Los Angeles Clippers28151354%107.7109.2-1.5
12 Philadelphia 76ers25131252%109.9108.2+1.7
13 Minnesota Timberwolves25131252%115.3115.8-0.4
14 Portland Trail Blazers25131252%110.7111.4-0.7
15 Golden State Warriors27141352%117.6116.1+1.5
16 Indiana Pacers27141352%115.9116.7-0.8
17 Dallas Mavericks26131350%111.5110.0+1.6
18 Toronto Raptors26131350%111.3110.0+1.3
19 New York Knicks26131350%113.9113.5+0.4
20 Atlanta Hawks26131350%113.2113.8-0.7
21 Miami Heat27121544%108.6110.3-1.7
22 Chicago Bulls25111444%113.0112.9+0.1
23 Oklahoma City Thunder26111542%115.8117.6-1.7
24 Washington Wizards27111641%110.8113.0-2.1
25 Los Angeles Lakers25101540%114.5116.3-1.8
26 San Antonio Spurs2681831%110.0120.4-10.4
27 Houston Rockets2571828%110.8117.2-6.4
28 Charlotte Hornets2671927%109.3115.6-6.3
29 Orlando Magic2772026%108.1113.9-5.8
30 Detroit Pistons2872125%109.6116.8-7.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets28333123115
Utah Jazz26263820110
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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