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Miami Heat vs Utah Jazz Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Jan 2018
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 103-102
27-22 22-25 25-28 29-27
Position#16
Record21-17
FormWLWWW
Points / game100.8
Allowed / game102.2
Miami Heat 🏆
USA
vs
Utah Jazz
USA
Position#9
Record16-23
FormLLWLL
Points / game100.9
Allowed / game101.7
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Miami Heat v Utah Jazz
25 Mar 2027
MIA v UTA
upcoming
09 Feb 2026
MIA111
UTA115
04 Jan 2025
MIA100
UTA136
02 Mar 2024
MIA126
UTA120
13 Mar 2023
MIA119
UTA115
06 Nov 2021
MIA118
UTA115
26 Feb 2021
MIA124
UTA116
23 Dec 2019
MIA107
UTA104
02 Dec 2018
MIA102
UTA100
07 Jan 2018
MIA103
UTA102
12 Nov 2016
MIA91
UTA102
12 Nov 2015
MIA92
UTA91
17 Dec 2014
MIA87
UTA105
16 Dec 2013
MIA117
UTA94
22 Dec 2012
MIA105
UTA89
09 Nov 2010
MIA114
UTA116
23 Dec 2009
MIA80
UTA70
14 Mar 2009
MIA140
UTA129
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah Jazz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
W
90-85
90
85
+5
77avg 95
H17/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
L
104-110
104
110
-6
95avg 95
A19/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
90-89
90
89
+1
85avg 95
A21/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
W
113-101
113
101
+12
116avg 95
H23/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#7
L
94-109
94
109
-15
79avg 95
H24/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
107-89
107
89
+18
100avg 95
H27/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
L
87-111
87
111
-24
64avg 95
H30/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
117-111
117
111
+6
109avg 95
A31/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
111-104
111
104
+7
109avg 95
H04/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
107-103 OT
107
103
+4
95avg 95
H06/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
22-23
23-25
21-20
30-29
27-29
19-29
28-23
15-24
21-20
26-15
28-30
32-23
21-30
29-20
31-28
28-27
25-29
16-27
25-26
21-18
22-31
25-19
39-21
20-24
19-35
21-36
27-16
21-32
29-34
36-26
31-19
24-29
32-23
25-29
30-23
26-25
25-20
24-26
22-26
203.2Avg total
102.0Scored
101.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)100.8102.2203.1-1.455%
Season at home (19)101.1104.1205.2-2.953%
Season away (19)100.6100.4200.9+0.258%
Last 10 (10)102.0101.2203.2+0.870%
Last 5 (5)105.8103.6209.4+2.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)87.5110.0197.5-22.50%
vs Similar ◀ (22)98.5101.0199.6-2.559%
vs Weaker (6)110.2100.0210.2+10.283%
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJazz
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
100-109
100
109
-9
92avg 93
A17/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
99-120
99
120
-21
80avg 93
A19/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
L
79-107
79
107
-28
64avg 93
A21/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
W
100-89
100
89
+11
93avg 93
H22/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
L
89-103
89
103
-14
80avg 93
H24/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
L
83-107
83
107
-24
68avg 93
A27/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
101-126
101
126
-25
85avg 93
A28/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
104-101
104
101
+3
99avg 93
H31/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#7
L
98-108
98
108
-10
88avg 93
H04/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
L
91-99
91
99
-8
91avg 93
A06/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
24-28
25-29
27-29
26-25
24-26
34-28
15-41
9-25
28-28
23-34
19-20
24-17
26-21
22-32
28-19
22-28
21-19
21-29
25-27
20-28
14-22
25-26
24-31
24-23
23-25
22-42
32-36
22-32
26-21
28-16
28-32
28-27
27-31
17-23
26-27
26-23
23-23
16-38
26-15
201.3Avg total
94.4Scored
106.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)100.9101.7202.5-0.841%
Season at home (20)102.896.2198.9+6.665%
Season away (19)98.8107.5206.3-8.616%
Last 10 (10)94.4106.9201.3-12.520%
Last 5 (5)95.4108.2203.6-12.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (24)99.8104.3204.0-4.533%
vs Weaker (6)109.599.7209.2+9.850%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -6.4-6.4Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: -2.7-2.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -6.4-6.4Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: -2.7-2.7
Miami HeatUtah Jazz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H17/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A19/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A21/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H23/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#7
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H24/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H27/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
L
39-59
39
59
-20
H30/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
50-66
50
66
-16
A31/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H04/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H06/01
NBA
100.6Avg total
48.4Scored
52.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.951.9102.8-1.050%-
Last 30 at home (13)51.551.9103.4-0.546%-
Last 30 away (17)50.551.9102.4-1.553%-
Last 10 (10)48.452.2100.6-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)47.854.2102.0-6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)48.556.0104.5-7.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)51.051.6102.5-0.655%-
vs Weaker (6)51.551.8103.3-0.350%-
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A17/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A19/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A21/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H22/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H24/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A27/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A28/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H31/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#7
L
55-58
55
58
-3
H04/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A06/01
NBA
95.6Avg total
46.1Scored
49.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.349.598.7-0.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)50.947.898.6+3.143%-
Last 30 away (16)47.950.998.8-3.131%-
Last 10 (10)46.149.595.6-3.420%-
Last 5 (5)46.651.097.6-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (24)47.649.296.8-1.629%-
vs Weaker (6)56.050.5106.5+5.567%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 102.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.526.9
50.3%
51.0%53.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.411.0
36.2%
36.1%33.0
🏀 Free throws19.415.2
78.4%
76.5%15.2
They take 83.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Utah Jazztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utah Jazz: 94.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.925.5
49.1%
51.0%51.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.5
31.9%
36.1%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.714.9
79.7%
76.5%14.9
They take 81.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WWWLWLWWLW
Utah Jazz
LLWLLLWLLL
#16
League position
#9
+0.8
Net rating
-13.2
107.8
Offensive rating
100.0
106.9
Defensive rating
113.2
51.7%
Effective FG%
48.7%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
13.0%
Turnover %
12.9%
23.7%
Off. rebound %
17.8%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.23
36.2%
3-point %
31.9%
57.5%
Assist %
57.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence107.8 · 100.0Defence106.9 · 113.2Shooting51.7% · 48.7%3-point %36.2% · 31.9%Ball care13.0% · 12.9%Off. rebounds23.7% · 17.8%Free throws0.23 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Utah Jazz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Miami Heat wins
5
Utah Jazz wins
DateGameScore
11/11/17Utah Jazz v Miami Heat74-84
02/12/16Utah Jazz v Miami Heat110-111
13/11/16Miami Heat v Utah Jazz91-102
10/01/16Utah Jazz v Miami Heat98-83
13/11/15Miami Heat v Utah Jazz92-91
18/12/14Miami Heat v Utah Jazz87-105
13/12/14Utah Jazz v Miami Heat95-100
09/02/14Utah Jazz v Miami Heat94-89
17/12/13Miami Heat v Utah Jazz117-94
15/01/13Utah Jazz v Miami Heat104-97
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/18HNew York Knicks107-103 OT
04/01/18HDetroit Pistons111-104
31/12/17AOrlando Magic117-111
30/12/17HBrooklyn Nets87-111
27/12/17HOrlando Magic107-89
24/12/17HNew Orleans Pelicans94-109
23/12/17HDallas Mavericks113-101
21/12/17ABoston Celtics90-89
19/12/17AAtlanta Hawks104-110
17/12/17HLos Angeles Clippers90-85
Utah Jazzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/18ADenver Nuggets91-99
04/01/18HNew Orleans Pelicans98-108
31/12/17HCleveland Cavaliers104-101
28/12/17AGolden State Warriors101-126
27/12/17ADenver Nuggets83-107
24/12/17HOklahoma City Thunder89-103
22/12/17HSan Antonio Spurs100-89
21/12/17AOklahoma City Thunder79-107
19/12/17AHouston Rockets99-120
17/12/17ACleveland Cavaliers100-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW55%
HomeLWLWW53%
AwayWWLWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %55%53%58%
Points / game100.8101.1100.6
Allowed / game102.2104.1100.4
Point differential-1.4-2.9+0.2
Avg total203.1205.2200.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%16%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)80% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Utah Jazz
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL41%
HomeLWLWL65%
AwayLLLLL16%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392019
Win %41%65%16%
Points / game100.9102.898.8
Allowed / game101.796.2107.5
Point differential-0.8+6.7-8.6
Avg total202.5198.9206.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%40%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)100% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors4032880%115.8106.0+9.8
2 Boston Celtics43331077%102.797.6+5.1
3 Toronto Raptors37271073%112.1104.0+8.1
4 Houston Rockets38271171%114.8107.1+7.7
5 San Antonio Spurs40271368%101.398.0+3.3
6 Cleveland Cavaliers39261367%110.5107.7+2.7
7 Minnesota Timberwolves41251661%108.0105.2+2.8
8 Washington Wizards40231757%106.5104.0+2.4
9 Oklahoma City Thunder39221756%104.9100.8+4.1
10 Detroit Pistons38211755%101.7101.6+0.1
11 Milwaukee Bucks38211755%106.1106.3-0.2
12 Miami Heat38211755%100.8102.2-1.4
13 Denver Nuggets39211854%107.4105.6+1.8
14 Portland Trail Blazers38201853%102.7101.6+1.1
15 Indiana Pacers39201951%107.3106.9+0.4
16 Philadelphia 76ers38191950%108.6107.9+0.6
17 New Orleans Pelicans38191950%110.7111.0-0.3
18 New York Knicks39182146%103.3104.1-0.8
19 Los Angeles Clippers38172145%106.0106.7-0.7
20 Utah Jazz39162341%100.9101.7-0.8
21 Charlotte Hornets38152339%105.0106.0-0.9
22 Brooklyn Nets39152438%106.4108.7-2.3
23 Phoenix Suns41152637%105.5112.4-6.9
24 Chicago Bulls40142635%101.7107.9-6.2
25 Sacramento Kings38132534%97.6106.2-8.6
26 Dallas Mavericks40132732%102.1104.5-2.4
27 Memphis Grizzlies39122731%98.9102.4-3.5
28 Orlando Magic40122830%105.1110.7-5.6
29 Los Angeles Lakers38112729%106.4111.7-5.4
30 Atlanta Hawks38102826%103.5107.9-4.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat27222529103
Utah Jazz22252827102
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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