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Miami Heat vs Utah Jazz Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 100-136
22-22 19-40 25-36 34-38
Position#20
Record17-15
FormWLWWL
Points / game111.4
Allowed / game109.3
vs
Position#30
Record7-25
FormLLLLL
Points / game110.7
Allowed / game119.8
USANBA· Kaseya Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Miami Heat v Utah Jazz
25 Mar 2027
MIA v UTA
upcoming
09 Feb 2026
MIA111
UTA115
04 Jan 2025
MIA100
UTA136
02 Mar 2024
MIA126
UTA120
13 Mar 2023
MIA119
UTA115
06 Nov 2021
MIA118
UTA115
26 Feb 2021
MIA124
UTA116
23 Dec 2019
MIA107
UTA104
02 Dec 2018
MIA102
UTA100
07 Jan 2018
MIA103
UTA102
12 Nov 2016
MIA91
UTA102
12 Nov 2015
MIA92
UTA91
17 Dec 2014
MIA87
UTA105
16 Dec 2013
MIA117
UTA94
22 Dec 2012
MIA105
UTA89
09 Nov 2010
MIA114
UTA116
23 Dec 2009
MIA80
UTA70
14 Mar 2009
MIA140
UTA129
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah Jazz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
114-104
114
104
+10
108avg 103
H13/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
124-125 OT
124
125
-1
115avg 103
A17/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
97-104
97
104
-7
85avg 103
H21/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
L
114-121
114
121
-7
102avg 103
A22/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
110-95
110
95
+15
113avg 103
H24/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
89-88
89
88
+1
78avg 103
A27/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
110-120
110
120
-10
100avg 103
A28/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
104-100
104
100
+4
98avg 103
A30/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
119-108
119
108
+11
120avg 103
H02/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
115-128
115
128
-13
122avg 103
H03/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
35-24
31-25
25-28
32-33
27-30
22-34
33-17
25-30
22-20
23-31
27-23
40-28
36-28
30-28
8-37
39-28
19-29
25-21
27-17
22-31
19-21
20-19
28-17
28-35
30-26
26-32
26-27
31-27
22-23
28-32
23-18
36-24
20-27
34-25
29-32
25-38
25-28
33-41
32-21
218.9Avg total
109.6Scored
109.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)111.4109.3220.7+2.153%
Season at home (16)112.8107.6220.4+5.262%
Season away (16)110.0111.0221.0-1.044%
Last 10 (10)109.6109.3218.9+0.350%
Last 5 (5)107.4108.8216.2-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)102.3105.8208.2-3.550%
vs Similar (19)115.2113.5228.7+1.742%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)110.296.8207.0+13.4100%
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJazz
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
97-141
97
141
-44
87avg 107
A09/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
126-134
126
134
-8
126avg 107
H14/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
107-144
107
144
-37
95avg 107
A17/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
126-119
126
119
+7
129avg 107
A20/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
105-94
105
94
+11
98avg 107
A22/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
113-124
113
124
-11
106avg 107
A24/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
120-122
120
122
-2
114avg 107
A27/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
L
111-114
111
114
-3
108avg 107
H29/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
121-132
121
132
-11
116avg 107
H31/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
103-119
103
119
-16
89avg 107
A02/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
22-36
29-43
23-36
39-38
32-38
34-36
21-22
20-44
27-37
33-34
27-29
48-19
19-35
30-32
29-33
19-24
31-21
25-18
30-31
27-29
29-31
32-39
25-25
23-23
31-32
34-26
32-41
34-22
18-35
29-24
30-33
37-36
29-28
23-34
32-34
25-24
21-32
33-31
24-32
237.2Avg total
112.9Scored
124.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)110.7119.8230.5-9.022%
Season at home (14)108.3118.0226.3-9.714%
Season away (18)112.6121.1233.7-8.528%
Last 10 (10)112.9124.3237.2-11.420%
Last 5 (5)113.6122.2235.8-8.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)111.3120.4231.7-9.121%
vs Similar (2)108.0104.0212.0+4.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -6.6-6.6Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -4.3-4.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -6.6-6.6Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -4.3-4.3
Miami HeatUtah Jazz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H13/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
59-63
59
63
-4
A17/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H21/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
76-56
76
56
+20
A22/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H24/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A27/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A28/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A30/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H02/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
50-66
50
66
-16
H03/01
NBA
111.3Avg total
55.6Scored
55.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.055.2111.2+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.754.8111.5+1.960%-
Last 30 away (15)55.355.7110.9-0.447%-
Last 10 (10)55.655.7111.3-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)51.656.0107.6-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)52.352.3104.7+0.067%-
vs Similar (19)57.557.5115.0+0.142%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)54.650.2104.8+4.480%-
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
45-62
45
62
-17
A09/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
71-76
71
76
-5
H14/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
47-81
47
81
-34
A17/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
67-54
67
54
+13
A20/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A22/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
56-60
56
60
-4
A24/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A27/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
L
52-57
52
57
-5
H29/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
66-64
66
64
+2
H31/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
46-56
46
56
-10
A02/01
NBA
116.4Avg total
55.4Scored
61.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.758.4114.1-2.833%-
Last 30 at home (12)57.860.6118.4-2.825%-
Last 30 away (18)54.257.0111.2-2.839%-
Last 10 (10)55.461.0116.4-5.630%-
Last 5 (5)54.858.4113.2-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)56.059.0115.0-3.032%-
vs Similar (2)51.051.0102.0+0.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 109.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.926.2
55.9%
54.3%52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.212.6
35.8%
35.9%37.8
🏀 Free throws24.419.4
79.5%
77.8%19.4
They take 82.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Utah Jazztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utah Jazz: 112.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers48.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.123.3
51.7%
54.3%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.416.2
40.1%
35.9%48.6
🏀 Free throws22.417.7
79.0%
77.8%17.7
They take 85.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LWWLWWLLLW
Utah Jazz
LLLLLWWLLL
#20
League position
#30
+0.3
Net rating
-11.2
110.7
Offensive rating
110.8
110.4
Defensive rating
121.9
54.9%
Effective FG%
55.7%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
58.1%
14.2%
Turnover %
18.0%
19.2%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.8%
3-point %
40.1%
63.1%
Assist %
63.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence110.7 · 110.8Defence110.4 · 121.9Shooting54.9% · 55.7%3-point %35.8% · 40.1%Ball care14.2% · 18.0%Off. rebounds19.2% · 26.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Utah Jazz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Miami Heat wins
4
Utah Jazz wins
DateGameScore
02/03/24Miami Heat v Utah Jazz126-120
30/12/23Utah Jazz v Miami Heat117-109
13/03/23Miami Heat v Utah Jazz119-115
01/01/23Utah Jazz v Miami Heat123-126
13/11/21Utah Jazz v Miami Heat105-111
06/11/21Miami Heat v Utah Jazz118-115
27/02/21Miami Heat v Utah Jazz124-116
14/02/21Utah Jazz v Miami Heat112-94
25/07/20Utah Jazz v Miami Heat101-99
13/02/20Utah Jazz v Miami Heat116-101
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/25HIndiana Pacers115-128
02/01/25HNew Orleans Pelicans119-108
30/12/24AHouston Rockets104-100
28/12/24AAtlanta Hawks110-120
27/12/24AOrlando Magic89-88
24/12/24HBrooklyn Nets110-95
22/12/24AOrlando Magic114-121
21/12/24HOklahoma City Thunder97-104
17/12/24ADetroit Pistons124-125 OT
13/12/24HToronto Raptors114-104
Utah Jazzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/25ANew York Knicks103-119
31/12/24HDenver Nuggets121-132
29/12/24HPhiladelphia 76ers111-114
27/12/24APortland Trail Blazers120-122
24/12/24ACleveland Cavaliers113-124
22/12/24ABrooklyn Nets105-94
20/12/24ADetroit Pistons126-119
17/12/24ALos Angeles Clippers107-144
14/12/24HPhoenix Suns126-134
09/12/24ASacramento Kings97-141

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL53%
HomeWLWWL62%
AwayLLWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %53%62%44%
Points / game111.4112.8110.0
Allowed / game109.3107.6111.0
Point differential+2.1+5.2-1.0
Avg total220.7220.4221.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%44%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)33% (3)50% (8)
Overtime %9%6%12%
Utah Jazz
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL22%
HomeLLLLL14%
AwayWWLLL28%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321418
Win %22%14%28%
Points / game110.7108.3112.6
Allowed / game119.8118.0121.1
Point differential-9.0-9.7-8.5
Avg total230.5226.3233.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%7%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers3430488%122.7110.8+11.9
2 Oklahoma City Thunder3227584%115.5103.5+12.0
3 Boston Celtics3526974%119.3108.4+10.9
4 New York Knicks34241071%118.1109.9+8.2
5 Memphis Grizzlies35231266%123.5114.8+8.7
6 Houston Rockets32211166%113.2106.8+6.4
7 Orlando Magic35211460%105.5103.1+2.5
8 Dallas Mavericks34201459%117.1111.9+5.2
9 Los Angeles Lakers34201459%112.2113.7-1.5
10 Denver Nuggets33191458%120.7117.4+3.3
11 Los Angeles Clippers34191556%108.5108.0+0.5
12 Miami Heat32171553%111.4109.3+2.1
13 Golden State Warriors32171553%113.0111.0+2.0
14 San Antonio Spurs34181653%111.5111.1+0.4
15 Atlanta Hawks33171652%118.2120.3-2.1
16 Minnesota Timberwolves34171750%109.2108.0+1.2
17 Milwaukee Bucks30151550%112.6111.8+0.8
18 Indiana Pacers36181850%115.3116.6-1.2
19 Detroit Pistons35171849%111.8113.7-1.9
20 Sacramento Kings35161946%115.4114.1+1.3
21 Phoenix Suns33151845%112.1114.4-2.3
22 Chicago Bulls34151944%117.2121.1-3.9
23 Philadelphia 76ers33141942%107.6110.8-3.1
24 Brooklyn Nets35132237%107.7113.5-5.7
25 Portland Trail Blazers33112233%108.0117.2-9.2
26 Toronto Raptors3582723%111.2118.7-7.5
27 Utah Jazz3272522%110.7119.8-9.0
28 Charlotte Hornets3372621%105.8112.4-6.6
29 Washington Wizards3262619%109.2122.2-13.0
30 New Orleans Pelicans3562917%107.4118.0-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat22192534100
Utah Jazz22403638136
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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