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Miami Heat vs Utah Jazz Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 126-120
30-34 28-28 32-28 36-30
Position#18
Record33-26
FormWWWWL
Points / game110.4
Allowed / game109.7
vs
Position#23
Record27-33
FormLLWLL
Points / game117.5
Allowed / game120.4
USANBA· Kaseya Center (Miami)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Miami Heat v Utah Jazz
25 Mar 2027
MIA v UTA
upcoming
09 Feb 2026
MIA111
UTA115
04 Jan 2025
MIA100
UTA136
02 Mar 2024
MIA126
UTA120
13 Mar 2023
MIA119
UTA115
06 Nov 2021
MIA118
UTA115
26 Feb 2021
MIA124
UTA116
23 Dec 2019
MIA107
UTA104
02 Dec 2018
MIA102
UTA100
07 Jan 2018
MIA103
UTA102
12 Nov 2016
MIA91
UTA102
12 Nov 2015
MIA92
UTA91
17 Dec 2014
MIA87
UTA105
16 Dec 2013
MIA117
UTA94
22 Dec 2012
MIA105
UTA89
09 Nov 2010
MIA114
UTA116
23 Dec 2009
MIA80
UTA70
14 Mar 2009
MIA140
UTA129
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah Jazz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
95-103
95
103
-8
85avg 103
H04/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
121-95
121
95
+26
122avg 103
H07/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
116-104
116
104
+12
113avg 103
H08/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
106-110
106
110
-4
91avg 103
H11/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
W
123-97
123
97
+26
126avg 103
A14/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
109-104
109
104
+5
104avg 103
A15/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
106-95
106
95
+11
98avg 103
A24/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
121-110
121
110
+11
114avg 103
A27/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
106-96
106
96
+10
106avg 103
A28/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
97-103
97
103
-6
88avg 103
A01/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
21-24
24-26
28-34
26-19
30-30
40-26
25-20
32-31
21-20
25-26
38-27
22-26
28-33
29-27
27-24
40-28
29-24
29-24
25-21
33-33
27-29
23-20
26-22
31-24
27-34
26-22
22-15
32-33
33-29
36-19
20-29
15-28
31-28
34-20
26-20
20-36
31-20
19-27
27-20
211.7Avg total
110.0Scored
101.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (59)110.4109.7220.1+0.656%
Season at home (28)113.1113.0226.1+0.154%
Season away (31)107.9106.8214.7+1.158%
Last 10 (10)110.0101.7211.7+8.370%
Last 5 (5)107.8101.6209.4+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)112.0127.0239.0-15.00%
vs Similar (20)107.8106.0213.7+1.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)105.4104.6210.0+0.957%
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJazz
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
W
123-108
123
108
+15
124avg 112
H05/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
124-117
124
117
+7
124avg 112
H07/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
115-129
115
129
-14
107avg 112
A09/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
107-129
107
129
-22
96avg 112
H13/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
122-138
122
138
-16
112avg 112
H15/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
137-140
137
140
-3
135avg 112
H16/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
L
107-115
107
115
-8
106avg 112
H23/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
128-109
128
109
+19
126avg 112
H26/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
L
97-124
97
124
-27
82avg 112
A28/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
107-115
107
115
-8
99avg 112
A01/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-26
21-37
30-32
40-13
28-33
33-35
35-24
28-25
28-40
38-35
24-34
25-20
26-34
29-29
25-30
27-36
28-34
41-36
23-38
30-30
39-36
32-48
31-36
35-20
26-34
26-22
38-29
17-30
32-18
31-21
30-35
35-35
18-26
26-29
25-34
28-35
21-29
30-24
31-27
25-35
239.1Avg total
116.7Scored
122.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (60)117.5120.4237.9-2.945%
Season at home (29)123.2118.0241.3+5.262%
Season away (31)112.1122.6234.7-10.529%
Last 10 (10)116.7122.4239.1-5.730%
Last 5 (5)115.2120.6235.8-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)120.3120.9241.2-0.543%
vs Similar (5)122.8122.2245.0+0.660%
vs Weaker (4)129.5123.2252.8+6.275%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +1.1+1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +1.1+1.1
Miami HeatUtah Jazz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H04/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H07/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H08/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
50-59
50
59
-9
H11/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
W
69-52
69
52
+17
A14/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
60-62
60
62
-2
A15/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
D
58-58
58
58
+0
A24/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A27/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
L
46-56
46
56
-10
A28/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A01/03
NBA
109.9Avg total
55.1Scored
54.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.155.6109.8-1.537%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.154.4109.4+0.750%-
Last 30 away (16)53.356.8110.1-3.425%-
Last 10 (10)55.154.8109.9+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)56.058.8114.8-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)61.067.0128.0-6.033%-
vs Similar (20)54.854.5109.3+0.340%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)49.354.0103.3-4.729%-
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
53-63
53
63
-10
H05/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
61-68
61
68
-7
H07/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
66-75
66
75
-9
A09/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
55-63
55
63
-8
H13/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
69-70
69
70
-1
H15/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
71-84
71
84
-13
H16/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
L
52-56
52
56
-4
H23/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
63-39
63
39
+24
H26/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A28/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A01/03
NBA
121.1Avg total
58.5Scored
62.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.361.0121.4-0.737%-
Last 30 at home (16)62.361.4123.8+0.938%-
Last 30 away (14)58.160.6118.6-2.536%-
Last 10 (10)58.562.6121.1-4.110%-
Last 5 (5)56.257.4113.6-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)59.763.4123.1-3.729%-
vs Similar (5)58.454.4112.8+4.060%-
vs Weaker (4)66.056.8122.8+9.250%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 110.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.929.0
54.8%
54.4%58.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.012.0
36.4%
36.3%36.0
🏀 Free throws20.116.0
79.6%
78.2%16.0
They take 85.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Utah Jazztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utah Jazz: 116.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.927.2
52.4%
54.4%54.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.914.3
36.8%
36.3%42.9
🏀 Free throws23.219.4
83.6%
78.2%19.4
They take 90.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LWWWWWLWWL
Utah Jazz
LLWLLLLLWW
#18
League position
#23
+8.5
Net rating
-5.5
112.2
Offensive rating
112.6
103.7
Defensive rating
118.1
54.7%
Effective FG%
53.6%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
59.2%
12.7%
Turnover %
15.3%
21.9%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.4%
3-point %
36.8%
64.1%
Assist %
68.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence112.2 · 112.6Defence103.7 · 118.1Shooting54.7% · 53.6%3-point %36.4% · 36.8%Ball care12.7% · 15.3%Off. rebounds21.9% · 28.3%Free throws0.23 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Utah Jazz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Miami Heat wins
4
Utah Jazz wins
DateGameScore
30/12/23Utah Jazz v Miami Heat117-109
13/03/23Miami Heat v Utah Jazz119-115
01/01/23Utah Jazz v Miami Heat123-126
13/11/21Utah Jazz v Miami Heat105-111
06/11/21Miami Heat v Utah Jazz118-115
27/02/21Miami Heat v Utah Jazz124-116
14/02/21Utah Jazz v Miami Heat112-94
25/07/20Utah Jazz v Miami Heat101-99
13/02/20Utah Jazz v Miami Heat116-101
24/12/19Miami Heat v Utah Jazz107-104
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/24ADenver Nuggets97-103
28/02/24APortland Trail Blazers106-96
27/02/24ASacramento Kings121-110
24/02/24ANew Orleans Pelicans106-95
15/02/24APhiladelphia 76ers109-104
14/02/24AMilwaukee Bucks123-97
11/02/24HBoston Celtics106-110
08/02/24HSan Antonio Spurs116-104
07/02/24HOrlando Magic121-95
04/02/24HLos Angeles Clippers95-103
Utah Jazzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/24AOrlando Magic107-115
28/02/24AAtlanta Hawks97-124
26/02/24HSan Antonio Spurs128-109
23/02/24HCharlotte Hornets107-115
16/02/24HGolden State Warriors137-140
15/02/24HLos Angeles Lakers122-138
13/02/24HGolden State Warriors107-129
09/02/24APhoenix Suns115-129
07/02/24HOklahoma City Thunder124-117
05/02/24HMilwaukee Bucks123-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL56%
HomeWLWWL54%
AwayWWWWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games592831
Win %56%54%58%
Points / game110.4113.1107.9
Allowed / game109.7113.0106.8
Point differential+0.6+0.1+1.1
Avg total220.1226.1214.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%18%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)50% (8)67% (6)
Overtime %2%0%3%
Utah Jazz
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL45%
HomeLLLLW62%
AwayLLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games602931
Win %45%62%29%
Points / game117.5123.2112.1
Allowed / game120.4118.0122.6
Point differential-2.9+5.2-10.5
Avg total237.9241.3234.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%31%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)45% (11)0% (1)
Overtime %7%10%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics58471181%121.1110.0+11.1
2 Minnesota Timberwolves60421870%113.7106.6+7.0
3 Oklahoma City Thunder59411869%121.2113.3+7.9
4 Denver Nuggets60411968%114.4110.2+4.2
5 Cleveland Cavaliers59392066%114.6109.6+5.1
6 Milwaukee Bucks59392066%121.1116.8+4.3
7 Los Angeles Clippers58382066%117.8112.9+4.9
8 Phoenix Suns58352360%117.6114.4+3.2
9 New Orleans Pelicans59352459%116.5111.3+5.3
10 New York Knicks59352459%113.4109.3+4.1
11 Sacramento Kings58342459%118.2117.7+0.5
12 Philadelphia 76ers59342558%117.1113.7+3.4
13 Orlando Magic60342657%111.5110.2+1.3
14 Dallas Mavericks60342657%118.8118.0+0.8
15 Miami Heat59332656%110.4109.7+0.6
16 Golden State Warriors59322754%119.1116.8+2.3
17 Indiana Pacers59322754%123.5122.3+1.2
18 Los Angeles Lakers59312853%117.1118.3-1.2
19 Chicago Bulls60283247%111.7113.1-1.5
20 Utah Jazz60273345%117.5120.4-2.9
21 Atlanta Hawks60263443%120.4122.7-2.3
22 Houston Rockets59253442%112.7113.1-0.4
23 Brooklyn Nets60243640%112.2114.3-2.1
24 Toronto Raptors60223837%114.5117.8-3.4
25 Memphis Grizzlies60204033%106.2112.9-6.7
26 Portland Trail Blazers58164228%107.5115.9-8.4
27 Charlotte Hornets60154525%107.6118.1-10.5
28 San Antonio Spurs60124820%112.3120.6-8.3
29 Detroit Pistons5995015%112.5121.1-8.7
30 Washington Wizards6095115%114.6124.6-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat30283236126
Utah Jazz34282830120
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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