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Real Madrid vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 May 2021
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 69-79
12-27 15-16 16-17 26-19
Position#1
Record32-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game76.2
vs
Position#4
Record22-11
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game81.2
SpainACBRound 36
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Real Madrid v Valencia
14 Mar 2027
MAD v VAL
upcoming
17 Dec 2026
MAD v VAL
upcoming
12 Mar 2026
MAD96
VAL79
18 Jan 2026
MAD94
VAL79
28 Sep 2025
MAD94
VAL98
22 Jun 2025
MAD102
VAL96
20 Jun 2025
MAD89
VAL75
04 May 2025
MAD96
VAL89
17 Feb 2024
MAD95
VAL76
11 Jan 2024
MAD96
VAL86
31 Dec 2023
MAD83
VAL74
09 Mar 2023
MAD95
VAL91
16 Feb 2023
MAD86
VAL85
04 Dec 2022
MAD79
VAL62
06 Feb 2022
MAD93
VAL94
10 Jun 2021
MAD80
VAL77
06 Jun 2021
MAD81
VAL70
09 May 2021
MAD69
VAL79
11 Feb 2021
MAD85
VAL74
08 Oct 2020
MAD77
VAL93
15 Feb 2020
MAD91
VAL68
21 May 2019
MAD v VAL
upcoming
25 Mar 2018
MAD83
VAL71
19 Dec 2017
MAD91
VAL72
11 Jun 2017
MAD79
VAL86
09 Jun 2017
MAD87
VAL81
19 Feb 2017
MAD97
VAL95
22 Jan 2017
MAD85
VAL71
04 Jun 2016
MAD97
VAL88
02 Jun 2016
MAD82
VAL57
11 Oct 2015
MAD82
VAL88
07 Jun 2015
MAD89
VAL93
04 Jun 2015
MAD81
VAL71
02 Nov 2014
MAD90
VAL71
26 Sep 2014
MAD89
VAL76
27 Apr 2014
MAD105
VAL110
20 Dec 2012
MAD87
VAL84
04 Dec 2011
MAD81
VAL64
07 Apr 2011
MAD66
VAL58
24 Mar 2011
MAD75
VAL81
22 Mar 2011
MAD71
VAL65
12 Feb 2011
MAD69
VAL59
23 Oct 2010
MAD75
VAL63
05 Dec 2009
MAD77
VAL66
22 Mar 2009
MAD80
VAL76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
W
87-85
87
85
+2
75avg 78
A11/04
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
84-76
84
76
+8
86avg 78
H13/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
W
101-92
101
92
+9
91avg 78
H18/04
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
63-90
63
90
-27
48avg 78
A20/04
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
68-91
68
91
-23
60avg 78
A22/04
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
90-76
90
76
+14
86avg 78
A25/04
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
80-76
80
76
+4
77avg 78
H27/04
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
82-76
82
76
+6
82avg 78
H29/04
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
98-89
98
89
+9
91avg 78
A02/05
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
83-88
83
88
-5
77avg 78
A04/05
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
22-18
17-24
28-28
24-16
14-22
21-11
25-27
18-24
26-23
21-25
36-20
18-20
22-24
10-20
13-26
13-22
19-22
13-21
23-26
23-22
23-16
20-18
24-20
15-15
13-23
20-20
32-18
19-13
17-34
21-19
25-10
19-31
35-20
19-24
25-14
21-18
20-18
16-24
26-28
167.5Avg total
83.6Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)87.876.2163.9+11.697%
Season at home (16)91.380.0171.3+11.394%
Season away (17)84.572.5157.0+11.9100%
Last 10 (10)83.683.9167.5-0.370%
Last 5 (5)86.681.0167.6+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.287.0164.2-9.833%
vs Similar (8)80.874.9155.6+5.975%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)87.676.2163.8+11.492%
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#3
L
86-90
86
90
-4
87avg 80
A28/03
ACB
Olympiacos
#12
L
79-88
79
88
-9
73avg 80
H31/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
90-86
90
86
+4
93avg 80
A02/04
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#7
L
89-102
89
102
-13
79avg 80
H04/04
ACB
Baskonia
#10
W
86-81
86
81
+5
85avg 80
H08/04
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
85-76
85
76
+9
78avg 80
A11/04
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
97-82
97
82
+15
80avg 80
H16/04
ACB
Bilbao
#17
W
99-90
99
90
+9
92avg 80
H25/04
ACB
Murcia
#12
W
80-66
80
66
+14
73avg 80
A30/04
ACB
Estudiantes
#18
W
100-89
100
89
+11
98avg 80
H02/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
24-19
20-22
22-29
19-23
12-21
10-30
38-14
13-26
29-27
22-17
26-16
21-24
22-23
19-24
27-31
25-21
14-23
21-15
26-22
21-21
24-17
19-19
21-19
28-18
24-23
25-23
20-18
17-33
25-18
30-21
27-18
15-16
29-12
20-25
16-13
34-29
18-23
24-21
24-16
174.1Avg total
89.1Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)86.281.2167.5+5.067%
Season at home (17)89.583.3172.8+6.265%
Season away (16)82.879.0161.8+3.869%
Last 10 (10)89.185.0174.1+4.170%
Last 5 (5)92.280.6172.8+11.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)84.094.0178.0-10.033%
vs Similar (11)81.575.4156.8+6.164%
vs Weaker (15)85.983.3169.2+2.567%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +5.1+5.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +5.1+5.1
Real MadridValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A11/04
ACB
Tenerife
#3
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H13/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H18/04
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A20/04
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A22/04
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A25/04
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H27/04
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H29/04
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A02/05
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A04/05
Euroleague
81.7Avg total
40.1Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.938.978.8+0.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.839.779.5+0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)39.938.178.1+1.867%-
Last 10 (10)40.141.681.7-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.083.0-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.741.878.4-5.133%-
vs Similar (8)39.139.578.6-0.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.036.878.8+5.275%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A28/03
ACB
Olympiacos
#12
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H31/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A02/04
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H04/04
ACB
Baskonia
#10
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H08/04
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A11/04
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H16/04
ACB
Bilbao
#17
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H25/04
ACB
Murcia
#12
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A30/04
ACB
Estudiantes
#18
D
52-52
52
52
+0
H02/05
ACB
87.1Avg total
43.4Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.540.881.3-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.541.884.3+0.753%-
Last 30 away (15)38.539.878.3-1.347%-
Last 10 (10)43.443.787.1-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)47.042.089.0+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)38.743.382.0-4.733%-
vs Similar (11)40.437.377.6+3.173%-
vs Weaker (15)41.542.383.8-0.940%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.715.1
49.2%
53.2%30.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.512.0
38.1%
36.5%36.0
🏀 Free throws19.916.2
81.4%
76.6%16.2
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.621.8
59.6%
53.2%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.9
37.6%
36.5%29.7
🏀 Free throws18.915.0
79.4%
76.6%15.0
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 May 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
LWWWWLLWWW
Valencia
WWWWWWLWLL
#1
League position
#4
-1.0
Net rating
+5.8
113.4
Offensive rating
119.2
114.4
Defensive rating
113.3
53.2%
Effective FG%
58.3%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
17.3%
Turnover %
16.3%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.30
38.1%
3-point %
37.6%
66.4%
Assist %
66.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence113.4 · 119.2Defence114.4 · 113.3Shooting53.2% · 58.3%3-point %38.1% · 37.6%Ball care17.3% · 16.3%Off. rebounds30.7% · 29.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Real Madrid wins
3
Valencia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/21AAnadolu Efes83-88
02/05/21ABasket Zaragoza98-89
29/04/21HAnadolu Efes82-76
27/04/21HAnadolu Efes80-76
25/04/21AFuenlabrada90-76
22/04/21AAnadolu Efes68-91
20/04/21AAnadolu Efes63-90
18/04/21HJoventut Badalona101-92
13/04/21HTenerife84-76
11/04/21ABarcelona87-85
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/21HEstudiantes100-89
30/04/21AMurcia80-66
25/04/21HBilbao99-90
16/04/21HObradoiro CAB97-82
11/04/21ABasket Zaragoza85-76
08/04/21HBaskonia86-81
04/04/21HJoventut Badalona89-102
02/04/21AAlba Berlin90-86
31/03/21HOlympiacos79-88
28/03/21ATenerife86-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW97%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %97%94%100%
Points / game87.891.384.5
Allowed / game76.280.072.5
Point differential+11.6+11.3+11.9
Avg total163.9171.3157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%50%59%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)50% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW67%
HomeLLWWW65%
AwayLLLWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %67%65%69%
Points / game86.289.582.8
Allowed / game81.283.379.0
Point differential+5.0+6.2+3.8
Avg total167.5172.8161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%47%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)0% (1)67% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3332197%87.876.2+11.6
2 Barcelona3430488%87.672.8+14.8
3 Tenerife3426876%87.879.6+8.2
4 Baskonia3122971%83.578.5+4.9
5 Valencia33221167%86.281.2+5.0
6 San Pablo Burgos33201361%87.083.0+4.0
7 Joventut Badalona33181555%86.085.2+0.8
8 Unicaja32151747%83.783.2+0.5
9 Gran Canaria32151747%81.084.1-3.1
10 Manresa35161946%84.287.6-3.4
11 Murcia33141942%81.082.5-1.5
12 MoraBanc Andorra31131842%77.379.2-1.9
13 Basket Zaragoza34142041%88.288.4-0.2
14 Obradoiro CAB34122235%80.383.8-3.5
15 Fuenlabrada33112233%80.683.6-3.0
16 Real Betis34112332%77.684.0-6.4
17 Estudiantes3592626%82.588.5-6.0
18 Bilbao3172423%79.787.5-7.8
19 Gipuzkoa3372621%74.087.2-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid1215162669
Valencia2716171979
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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