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Varese vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 98-96
22-34 19-21 31-23 26-18
Position#8
Record7-12
FormLLWLL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game86.1
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#4
Record15-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game82.9
ItalyLega ARound 20· Palasport Lino Oldrini
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Varese v Brescia
14 Feb 2026
VAR98
BRE96
25 Jan 2025
VAR77
BRE118
30 Mar 2024
VAR92
BRE95
28 Jan 2023
VAR80
BRE72
26 Sep 2021
VAR75
BRE72
27 Sep 2020
VAR94
BRE89
13 Sep 2020
VAR102
BRE100
11 Mar 2020
VAR v BRE
upcoming
07 Oct 2018
VAR81
BRE80
16 May 2018
VAR64
BRE69
11 Feb 2018
VAR100
BRE72
19 Nov 2016
VAR68
BRE74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Cremona
#12
W
87-79
87
79
+8
79avg 73
A08/12
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
94-102
94
102
-8
81avg 73
A14/12
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
84-69
84
69
+15
76avg 73
H21/12
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
95-88
95
88
+7
95avg 73
A28/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
W
84-80
84
80
+4
74avg 73
H03/01
Lega A
Treviso
#14
L
83-86
83
86
-3
70avg 73
A11/01
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
94-106
94
106
-12
no box
H18/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
84-74
84
74
+10
80avg 73
A26/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
61-76
61
76
-15
53avg 73
H01/02
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
78-84
78
84
-6
72avg 73
A08/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
17-22
18-24
30-16
18-29
29-21
18-25
29-27
13-11
19-26
28-11
24-21
22-19
25-26
27-19
21-24
20-18
18-24
24-18
22-20
13-18
18-22
29-17
23-29
25-31
34-18
18-35
17-22
15-19
21-24
27-19
21-12
10-24
16-11
14-20
21-21
18-23
17-15
18-24
25-22
168.8Avg total
84.4Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)81.786.1167.7-4.437%
Season at home (9)76.182.3158.4-6.233%
Season away (10)86.789.4176.1-2.740%
Last 10 (10)84.484.4168.8+0.050%
Last 5 (5)80.085.2165.2-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)79.889.7169.4-9.922%
vs Similar (12)85.282.4167.6+2.858%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Northern Kentucky
#130
L
53-92
53
92
-39
no box
A10/12
NCAA
Varese
#8
W
102-94
102
94
+8
103avg 81
H14/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
76-86
76
86
-10
64avg 81
A22/12
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
104-93
104
93
+11
106avg 81
H28/12
Lega A
Sassari
#16
L
86-93 OT
86
93
-7
79avg 81
A04/01
Lega A
Tortona
#6
W
92-86
92
86
+6
88avg 81
H11/01
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
76-71
76
71
+5
no box
A18/01
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
83-80
83
80
+3
71avg 81
H25/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
90-81
90
81
+9
84avg 81
A01/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
79-87
79
87
-8
73avg 81
H09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
21-50
0-0
32-42
29-18
21-29
25-18
27-29
21-18
17-23
15-25
23-20
25-18
29-24
21-31
29-20
19-22
26-21
16-18
20-20
24-23
18-23
24-17
26-23
20-21
16-20
17-15
23-15
15-21
28-23
20-24
20-12
20-25
23-25
23-14
24-17
19-23
18-23
18-25
24-16
170.4Avg total
84.1Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)88.482.9171.3+5.579%
Season at home (10)91.583.6175.1+7.990%
Season away (9)84.982.1167.0+2.867%
Last 10 (10)84.186.3170.4-2.260%
Last 5 (5)84.081.0165.0+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.486.0159.4-12.640%
vs Similar (14)84.284.5168.7-0.357%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)90.082.3172.3+7.790%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +3.4+3.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +3.4+3.4
VareseBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#12
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A08/12
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A14/12
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H21/12
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A28/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H03/01
Lega A
Treviso
#14
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A11/01
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H18/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A26/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H01/02
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A08/02
Lega A
80.8Avg total
39.0Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.841.581.2-1.737%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.338.175.4-0.943%-
Last 30 away (16)41.944.486.3-2.431%-
Last 10 (10)39.041.880.8-2.820%-
Last 5 (5)37.441.078.4-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)40.443.283.7-2.833%-
vs Similar (12)38.838.877.6-0.142%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Kentucky
#130
L
21-50
21
50
-29
A10/12
NCAA
Varese
#8
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H14/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A22/12
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H28/12
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A04/01
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H11/01
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A18/01
Lega A
Udine
#13
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H25/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A01/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H09/02
Lega A
85.9Avg total
40.9Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.343.485.7-1.150%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.243.288.3+2.054%-
Last 30 away (17)40.243.683.8-3.447%-
Last 10 (10)40.945.085.9-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)40.245.485.6-5.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.446.282.6-9.820%-
vs Similar (14)42.643.586.1-0.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)46.041.787.7+4.370%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.721.2
57.8%
54.1%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.68.6
28.1%
34.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws16.712.1
72.5%
76.1%12.1
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.5
53.0%
54.1%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.9
38.4%
34.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws23.019.5
84.8%
76.1%19.5
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LLWLLWWWLW
Brescia
LWWWWLWLWL
#8
League position
#4
+0.2
Net rating
+3.7
96.3
Offensive rating
112.1
96.0
Defensive rating
108.4
50.7%
Effective FG%
54.9%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
18.8%
Turnover %
14.7%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.37
28.1%
3-point %
38.4%
60.1%
Assist %
61.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence96.3 · 112.1Defence96.0 · 108.4Shooting50.7% · 54.9%3-point %28.1% · 38.4%Ball care18.8% · 14.7%Off. rebounds31.6% · 27.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Varese   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Varese wins
8
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
14/12/25Brescia v Varese102-94
25/01/25Varese v Brescia77-118
29/09/24Brescia v Varese118-94
30/03/24Varese v Brescia92-95
26/11/23Brescia v Varese116-73
28/01/23Varese v Brescia80-72
08/10/22Brescia v Varese88-83
01/05/22Brescia v Varese102-71
26/09/21Varese v Brescia75-72
10/02/21Brescia v Varese98-83
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/26ATrento78-84
01/02/26HReggiana61-76
26/01/26AOlimpia Milano84-74
18/01/26HVenezia94-106
11/01/26ATreviso83-86
03/01/26HBasket Napoli84-80
28/12/25ATrapani95-88
21/12/25HTrieste84-69
14/12/25ABrescia94-102
08/12/25ACremona87-79
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/26HVirtus Bologna79-87
01/02/26AOlimpia Milano90-81
25/01/26HUdine83-80
18/01/26ACantu76-71
11/01/26HTortona92-86
04/01/26ASassari86-93 OT
28/12/25HVenezia104-93
22/12/25AVirtus Bologna76-86
14/12/25HVarese102-94
10/12/25ANorthern Kentucky53-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL37%
HomeLWWLL33%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %37%33%40%
Points / game81.776.186.7
Allowed / game86.182.389.4
Point differential-4.4-6.2-2.7
Avg total167.7158.4176.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%11%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brescia
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL79%
HomeWWWWL90%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %79%90%67%
Points / game88.491.584.9
Allowed / game82.983.682.1
Point differential+5.5+7.9+2.8
Avg total171.3175.1167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%40%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %11%0%22%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna1916384%82.273.9+8.3
2 Brescia1915479%88.482.9+5.5
3 Venezia1813572%91.885.3+6.6
4 Olimpia Milano1913668%84.778.1+6.6
5 Trapani1510567%78.877.9+0.9
6 Tortona1912763%88.087.0+1.0
7 Trento1910953%81.978.9+3.0
8 Trieste189950%84.487.4-3.1
9 Udine1981142%81.481.3+0.1
10 Cremona1981142%82.985.1-2.2
11 Basket Napoli1871139%83.785.1-1.4
12 Sassari1971237%84.987.6-2.6
13 Varese1971237%81.786.1-4.4
14 Reggiana1861233%79.981.4-1.4
15 Cantu1941521%82.189.3-7.2
16 Treviso1931616%80.689.9-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2219312698
Brescia3421231896
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