Varese vs Cremona Prediction & Stats

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	82.6	80.1	162.7	+2.5	47%
Season at home (9)	88.3	76.7	165.0	+11.7	78%
Season away (10)	77.5	83.2	160.7	-5.7	20%
Last 10 (10)	85.1	80.5	165.6	+4.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	83.8	84.4	168.2	-0.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	73.2	86.2	159.5	-13.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	81.0	86.7	167.7	-5.7	27%
vs Weaker (15)	83.3	73.1	156.5	+10.2	67%

This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Cremona

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Bologna

78-66

+12

H08/12

Lega A

Pistoia

#16

71-84

-13

A15/12

Lega A

Varese

#10

93-72

+21

H21/12

Lega A

Brescia

76-91

-15

A26/12

Lega A

Sassari

74-84

-10

A30/12

Lega A

Brindisi

93-89

H05/01

Lega A

Treviso

#13

94-84

+10

A18/01

Lega A

Virtus Roma

#15

103-92

103

+11

H26/01

Lega A

Reggiana

#12

95-93

H02/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

74-77

-3

A09/02

Lega A

26-14

20-20

14-18

18-14

15-29

20-11

23-15

13-29

18-24

29-17

24-16

22-15

29-20

22-19

15-28

10-24

22-21

22-17

15-25

15-21

27-21

25-19

18-21

23-28

29-19

18-27

19-18

28-20

32-22

26-29

22-24

23-17

18-36

31-14

18-16

28-27

16-23

23-19

22-17

13-18

168.3Avg total

85.1Scored

83.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	81.3	80.8	162.2	+0.5	60%
Season at home (10)	85.5	80.6	166.1	+4.9	90%
Season away (10)	77.2	81.1	158.3	-3.9	30%
Last 10 (10)	85.1	83.2	168.3	+1.9	60%
Last 5 (5)	91.8	87.0	178.8	+4.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	76.8	79.2	156.0	-2.4	40%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	80.5	80.3	160.8	+0.2	69%
vs Weaker (9)	87.9	81.6	169.4	+6.3	67%

This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

VareseCremona

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	19.5	40.5	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	18.3	40.1	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	19.8	42.5	+2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.8	42.6	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.8	20.5	41.2	+0.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	20.6	21.4	42.0	-0.7	45%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.5	17.8	39.3	+3.7	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	23.3	45.4	-1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	22.7	45.2	-0.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	23.9	45.7	-2.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	22.9	46.1	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	24.2	48.6	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	21.8	20.4	42.2	+1.4	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	20.6	23.9	44.5	-3.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (9)	25.1	23.8	48.9	+1.3	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.8	39.3	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	18.3	38.4	+1.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	21.3	40.3	-2.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	23.4	44.7	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	22.6	43.0	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	13.2	22.8	36.0	-9.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.4	19.9	39.3	-0.5	45%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.3	18.9	40.3	+2.4	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	19.0	40.4	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	18.9	41.2	+3.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	19.2	39.6	+1.2	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	19.2	42.8	+4.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	21.6	46.2	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	22.2	17.6	39.8	+4.6	80%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	21.1	19.9	41.1	+1.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.3	18.2	39.6	+3.1	56%	-

VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Roma

#15

58-39

+19

H01/12

Lega A

Cantu

#11

35-37

-2

A08/12

Lega A

Pesaro

#17

56-54

H15/12

Lega A

Cremona

41-47

-6

A21/12

Lega A

Pistoia

#16

44-33

+11

H26/12

Lega A

Trento

36-46

-10

H29/12

Lega A

Treviso

#13

37-44

-7

A05/01

Lega A

Sassari

43-50

-7

A12/01

Lega A

Trieste

#14

42-38

H19/01

Lega A

Fortitudo Bologna

48-44

A26/01

Lega A

87.2Avg total

44.0Scored

43.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	39.3	79.9	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.9	36.6	78.5	+5.3	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.3	41.9	81.3	-2.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.0	43.2	87.2	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	44.4	85.6	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	34.0	43.2	77.2	-9.2	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	40.0	41.3	81.3	-1.3	55%	-
vs Weaker (15)	42.8	36.7	79.5	+6.1	73%	-

This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Bologna

46-34

+12

H08/12

Lega A

Pistoia

#16

35-40

-5

A15/12

Lega A

Varese

#10

47-41

H21/12

Lega A

Brescia

51-39

+12

A26/12

Lega A

Sassari

44-38

A30/12

Lega A

Brindisi

52-40

+12

H05/01

Lega A

Treviso

#13

47-46

A18/01

Lega A

Virtus Roma

#15

58-51

H26/01

Lega A

Reggiana

#12

49-50

-1

H02/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

39-42

-3

A09/02

Lega A

88.9Avg total

46.8Scored

42.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.5	42.3	85.8	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.9	41.5	86.4	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.1	43.1	85.3	-1.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.8	42.1	88.9	+4.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.0	45.8	94.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	44.0	38.0	82.0	+6.0	80%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	41.7	43.9	85.6	-2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	46.4	42.0	88.4	+4.4	44%	-

This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.2	40.3	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.4	20.0	42.4	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.8	20.3	38.1	-2.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	18.7	39.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	19.2	41.6	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.0	20.5	41.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	18.9	22.4	41.3	-3.5	27%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.7	18.5	39.2	+2.3	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.2	38.6	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	18.2	38.5	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	20.3	38.7	-1.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	19.8	38.8	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.2	39.0	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.8	21.0	38.8	-3.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	18.9	18.9	37.9	+0.0	44%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.0	18.8	39.8	+2.2	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.9	39.7	-0.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	19.3	39.3	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	20.5	40.1	-0.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	18.6	38.6	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.8	41.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.2	22.5	40.8	-4.2	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	20.5	21.6	42.1	-1.2	36%	-
vs Weaker (15)	19.8	17.9	37.7	+1.9	47%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.9	38.2	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	18.1	38.5	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	19.7	37.8	-1.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	21.3	40.6	-2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	22.0	45.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	15.0	20.2	35.2	-5.2	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	19.9	17.5	37.4	+2.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.4	20.8	41.2	-0.3	44%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	40.1	80.0	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.5	39.3	81.7	+3.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.4	40.9	78.3	-3.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	37.3	78.4	+3.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	40.0	82.6	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	39.2	43.0	82.2	-3.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	39.4	44.0	83.4	-4.6	36%	-
vs Weaker (15)	40.5	36.4	76.9	+4.1	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	38.2	76.8	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.7	36.3	77.0	+4.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.5	40.0	76.5	-3.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	41.1	79.4	-2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	41.2	84.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	32.8	41.2	74.0	-8.4	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	38.8	36.4	75.2	+2.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (9)	41.4	39.6	81.0	+1.9	56%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 84.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀38%

🏀🏀🏀44%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 44% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game

50%

33%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	28.1	16.0	56.9%	52.0%	32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.5	12.4	38.2%	35.1%	37.2
🏀 Free throws	18.3	14.9	81.4%	73.6%	14.9

They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 84.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀57%

🏀🏀🏀26%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 57% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 26% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game

50%

33%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.3	24.2	54.6%	52.0%	48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.7	7.2	33.2%	35.1%	21.6
🏀 Free throws	19.0	14.5	76.3%	73.6%	14.5

They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	31.1	15.9	51.1%	52.0%	31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.3	10.7	37.8%	35.1%	32.1
🏀 Free throws	20.3	15.6	76.8%	73.6%	15.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.9	20.8	53.5%	52.0%	41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.9	9.1	36.5%	35.1%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	19.3	13.3	68.9%	73.6%	13.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.3	17.3	52.0%	52.0%	34.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.1	11.4	36.5%	35.1%	34.1
🏀 Free throws	16.8	12.4	74.2%	73.6%	12.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.4	22.6	50.9%	52.0%	45.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.0	7.7	32.2%	35.1%	23.2
🏀 Free throws	18.5	13.0	70.2%	73.6%	13.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	30.4	16.3	53.7%	52.0%	32.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.1	9.7	35.9%	35.1%	29.2
🏀 Free throws	22.0	16.4	74.8%	73.6%	16.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.3	21.1	52.4%	52.0%	42.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.7	8.3	34.8%	35.1%	24.8
🏀 Free throws	17.8	12.8	71.9%	73.6%	12.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Apr 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Varese

LWLWLWLWLW

Cremona

LWWWWLLWLW

#10

League position

+6.7

Net rating

+3.2

122.5

Offensive rating

116.7

115.8

Defensive rating

113.5

57.1%

Effective FG%

53.0%

53.8%

Opp. effective FG%

54.0%

15.2%

Turnover %

17.2%

27.7%

Off. rebound %

35.8%

0.30

Free-throw rate

0.29

38.2%

3-point %

33.2%

59.5%

Assist %

55.1%

50%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ Varese ■ Cremona

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Varese wins

Cremona wins

Date	Game	Score
21/12/19	Cremona v Varese	93-72
17/03/19	Varese v Cremona	83-64
14/02/19	Cremona v Varese	82-73
18/11/18	Cremona v Varese	79-82
06/05/18	Varese v Cremona	89-79
07/01/18	Cremona v Varese	80-72
30/04/17	Varese v Cremona	78-75
02/01/17	Cremona v Varese	85-71
16/04/16	Cremona v Varese	70-79
23/12/15	Varese v Cremona	87-82 OT

Vareselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/01/20	A	Fortitudo Bologna	76-79
19/01/20	H	Trieste	91-85
12/01/20	A	Sassari	87-93
05/01/20	A	Treviso	84-79
29/12/19	H	Trento	81-86
26/12/19	H	Pistoia	91-60
21/12/19	A	Cremona	72-93
15/12/19	H	Pesaro	103-87
08/12/19	A	Cantu	67-74
01/12/19	H	Virtus Roma	99-69

Cremonalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/02/20	A	Olimpia Milano	74-77
02/02/20	H	Reggiana	95-93
26/01/20	H	Virtus Roma	103-92
18/01/20	A	Treviso	94-84
05/01/20	H	Brindisi	93-89
30/12/19	A	Sassari	74-84
26/12/19	A	Brescia	76-91
21/12/19	H	Varese	93-72
15/12/19	A	Pistoia	71-84
08/12/19	H	Virtus Bologna	78-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese

Lega A 2019-20

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	47%
Home	WWWLW	78%
Away	LLWLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	47%	78%	20%
Points / game	82.6	88.3	77.5
Allowed / game	80.1	76.7	83.2
Point differential	+2.5	+11.7	-5.7
Avg total	162.7	165.0	160.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	32%	56%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	50% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	5%	11%	0%

Cremona

Lega A 2019-20

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	60%
Home	WWWWW	90%
Away	LLLWL	30%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	10	10
Win %	60%	90%	30%
Points / game	81.3	85.5	77.2
Allowed / game	80.8	80.6	81.1
Point differential	+0.5	+4.9	-3.9
Avg total	162.2	166.1	158.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	40%	30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	100% (4)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Virtus Bologna	20	18	2	90%	86.0	75.0	+10.9
2	Sassari	21	16	5	76%	85.5	75.9	+9.6
3	Brescia	21	14	7	67%	81.3	74.0	+7.3
4	Olimpia Milano	21	14	7	67%	80.3	74.0	+6.3
5	Brindisi	21	13	8	62%	84.6	80.8	+3.8
6	Cremona	20	12	8	60%	81.3	80.8	+0.5
7	Venezia	21	11	10	52%	78.0	75.3	+2.7
8	Trento	21	11	10	52%	77.9	79.3	-1.4
9	Fortitudo Bologna	21	11	10	52%	77.3	79.5	-2.2
10	Varese	19	9	10	47%	82.6	80.1	+2.5
11	Cantu	20	9	11	45%	76.7	79.0	-2.4
12	Reggiana	21	9	12	43%	82.9	84.0	-1.0
13	Treviso	21	8	13	38%	77.1	79.2	-2.1
14	Trieste	22	7	15	32%	76.0	80.5	-4.5
15	Virtus Roma	22	7	15	32%	78.5	85.5	-7.0
16	Pistoia	22	7	15	32%	74.5	83.3	-8.8
17	Pesaro	20	1	19	5%	79.2	92.5	-13.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

← all games of the day

Varese vs Cremona Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

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