PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Varese vs Cremona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 84-75
19-18 26-13 13-24 26-20
Position#8
Record12-15
FormLWLWL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game87.7
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#12
Record10-16
FormLLWWL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game85.2
ItalyLega ARound 28· Palasport Lino Oldrini
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Varese v Cremona
26 Apr 2026
VAR84
CRE75
06 Apr 2025
VAR85
CRE87
03 Dec 2023
VAR68
CRE75
06 Mar 2022
VAR90
CRE78
12 Sep 2021
VAR86
CRE78
07 Feb 2021
VAR110
CRE105
13 Apr 2020
VAR v CRE
upcoming
17 Mar 2019
VAR83
CRE64
06 May 2018
VAR89
CRE79
30 Apr 2017
VAR78
CRE75
23 Dec 2015
VAR87
CRE82
22 Mar 2015
VAR86
CRE82
27 Apr 2014
VAR78
CRE70
30 Dec 2012
VAR94
CRE84
29 Apr 2012
VAR78
CRE66
06 Mar 2011
VAR76
CRE71
08 May 2010
VAR98
CRE78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cremona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#7
L
61-76
61
76
-15
53avg 74
H01/02
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
78-84
78
84
-6
72avg 74
A08/02
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
98-96
98
96
+2
90avg 74
H14/02
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
92-81
92
81
+11
85avg 74
A08/03
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
91-86
91
86
+5
84avg 74
H15/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
75-104
75
104
-29
57avg 74
A22/03
Lega A
Tortona
#6
W
97-87
97
87
+10
90avg 74
H28/03
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
89-90
89
90
-1
76avg 74
A04/04
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
91-90
91
90
+1
78avg 74
H12/04
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
96-100
96
100
-4
94avg 74
A19/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-24
16-11
14-20
21-21
18-23
17-15
18-24
25-22
22-34
19-21
31-23
26-18
28-21
18-21
21-15
25-24
21-22
30-22
19-23
21-19
13-25
6-22
25-26
31-31
21-28
28-21
22-23
26-15
20-25
33-23
18-22
18-20
24-20
27-22
12-25
28-23
19-20
25-26
26-30
26-24
176.2Avg total
86.8Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)84.587.7172.2-3.344%
Season at home (13)81.784.6166.3-2.954%
Season away (14)87.190.6177.7-3.636%
Last 10 (10)86.889.4176.2-2.650%
Last 5 (5)89.694.2183.8-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)81.290.1171.3-8.933%
vs Similar ◀ (15)85.385.6170.9-0.353%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
74-84
74
84
-10
64avg 73
H26/01
Lega A
Sassari
#16
L
86-104
86
104
-18
69avg 73
A01/02
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
89-87
89
87
+2
84avg 73
H07/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
67-86
67
86
-19
56avg 73
H15/02
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
78-85
78
85
-7
62avg 73
A08/03
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
78-79
78
79
-1
68avg 73
H15/03
Lega A
Treviso
#14
L
94-97
94
97
-3
83avg 73
A22/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
W
88-81
88
81
+7
82avg 73
H29/03
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
82-73
82
73
+9
77avg 73
H04/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
78-96
78
96
-18
65avg 73
A11/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
14-24
17-20
24-18
17-26
28-26
17-31
24-21
27-25
15-22
23-21
24-19
20-23
11-25
17-23
19-15
15-21
23-20
18-18
22-26
29-24
14-18
14-19
21-18
22-10
21-36
23-31
28-20
16-17
20-21
25-30
27-13
17-18
22-19
24-16
19-20
11-21
26-34
15-25
26-16
168.6Avg total
81.4Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)82.385.2167.5-2.838%
Season at home (13)83.080.8163.8+2.262%
Season away (13)81.689.5171.1-7.815%
Last 10 (10)81.487.2168.6-5.830%
Last 5 (5)84.085.2169.2-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)78.187.5165.6-9.313%
vs Similar ◀ (14)87.687.1174.7+0.457%
vs Weaker (1)89.065.0154.0+24.0100%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +4.8+4.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +4.8+4.8
VareseCremona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#7
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H01/02
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A08/02
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H14/02
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A08/03
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H15/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
19-47
19
47
-28
A22/03
Lega A
Tortona
#6
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H28/03
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A04/04
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H12/04
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A19/04
Lega A
86.1Avg total
41.5Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.543.884.3-3.333%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.242.682.9-2.436%-
Last 30 away (16)40.844.885.6-4.031%-
Last 10 (10)41.544.686.1-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)43.246.489.6-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)40.945.386.2-4.527%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)40.242.382.5-2.140%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H26/01
Lega A
Sassari
#16
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A01/02
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H07/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H15/02
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A08/03
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H15/03
Lega A
Treviso
#14
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A22/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H29/03
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H04/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A11/04
Lega A
83.9Avg total
38.7Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.643.984.5-3.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.143.483.5-3.340%-
Last 30 away (15)41.144.585.5-3.427%-
Last 10 (10)38.745.283.9-6.520%-
Last 5 (5)39.643.683.2-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)38.644.583.1-5.933%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)42.244.186.3-1.929%-
vs Weaker (1)48.034.082.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.019.6
59.4%
54.1%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.811.0
33.5%
34.6%33.0
🏀 Free throws18.814.4
76.6%
76.1%14.4
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.318.2
50.1%
54.1%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.59.7
32.9%
34.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws21.215.7
74.1%
76.1%15.7
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LWLWLWWWLL
Cremona
LWWLLLLWLL
#8
League position
#12
-2.8
Net rating
-6.5
98.3
Offensive rating
92.6
101.2
Defensive rating
99.1
54.9%
Effective FG%
49.8%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
14.1%
Turnover %
14.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.5%
3-point %
32.9%
58.8%
Assist %
50.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence98.3 · 92.6Defence101.2 · 99.1Shooting54.9% · 49.8%3-point %33.5% · 32.9%Ball care14.1% · 14.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Varese   ■ Cremona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Varese wins
5
Cremona wins
DateGameScore
08/12/25Cremona v Varese79-87
06/04/25Varese v Cremona85-87 OT
08/12/24Cremona v Varese78-60
28/01/24Cremona v Varese82-83
03/12/23Varese v Cremona68-75
06/03/22Varese v Cremona90-78
17/10/21Cremona v Varese94-78
12/09/21Varese v Cremona86-78
06/09/21Cremona v Varese80-70
07/02/21Varese v Cremona110-105 OT
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/26ACantu96-100
12/04/26HSassari91-90
04/04/26ATrieste89-90
28/03/26HTortona97-87
22/03/26ABasket Napoli75-104
15/03/26HTreviso91-86
08/03/26AUdine92-81
14/02/26HBrescia98-96
08/02/26ATrento78-84
01/02/26HReggiana61-76
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/26AReggiana78-96
04/04/26HUdine82-73
29/03/26HBasket Napoli88-81
22/03/26ATreviso94-97
15/03/26HBrescia78-79
08/03/26ATortona78-85
15/02/26HOlimpia Milano67-86
07/02/26HCantu89-87
01/02/26ASassari86-104
26/01/26HVirtus Bologna74-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL44%
HomeLWWWW54%
AwayLWLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %44%54%36%
Points / game84.581.787.1
Allowed / game87.784.690.6
Point differential-3.3-2.9-3.6
Avg total172.2166.3177.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%15%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)100% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cremona
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL38%
HomeWLLWW62%
AwayWLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %38%62%15%
Points / game82.383.081.6
Allowed / game85.280.889.5
Point differential-2.8+2.2-7.8
Avg total167.5163.8171.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%15%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)60% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2621581%83.175.9+7.2
2 Brescia2620677%88.783.5+5.2
3 Olimpia Milano2719870%87.280.4+6.8
4 Venezia2718967%90.386.1+4.2
5 Trapani1510567%78.877.9+0.9
6 Tortona26161062%88.185.8+2.3
7 Reggiana26131350%83.381.0+2.3
8 Trieste26131350%84.286.9-2.7
9 Varese27121544%84.587.7-3.3
10 Trento27111641%83.182.9+0.2
11 Cremona26101638%82.385.2-2.8
12 Udine27101737%82.083.6-1.6
13 Basket Napoli27101737%84.487.4-3.0
14 Cantu2891932%84.388.8-4.5
15 Sassari2781930%86.389.9-3.6
16 Treviso2671927%83.390.2-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese1926132684
Cremona1813242075
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.