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Varese vs Scafati Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 95-82
23-21 23-17 29-20 20-24
Position#12
Record6-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game97.3
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#15
Record6-17
FormWLLLL
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game93.0
ItalyLega ARound 24· Palasport Lino Oldrini
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Varese v Scafati
04 Apr 2027
VAR v SKA
upcoming
30 Mar 2025
VAR95
SKA82
19 Nov 2023
VAR94
SKA93
30 Apr 2023
VAR95
SKA81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Scafati winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Sassari
#10
W
86-81
86
81
+5
84avg 81
A05/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
92-89
92
89
+3
88avg 81
H12/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
96-111
96
111
-15
88avg 81
A19/01
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
77-118
77
118
-41
64avg 81
H25/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
92-119
92
119
-27
84avg 81
A02/02
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
79-92
79
92
-13
71avg 81
H09/02
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
93-106 OT
93
106
-13
88avg 81
A02/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
82-89 OT
82
89
-7
64avg 81
A09/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
63-78
63
78
-15
49avg 81
H16/03
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
86-88
86
88
-2
74avg 81
A23/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-30
20-13
18-12
22-26
25-18
31-25
17-29
19-17
28-28
31-17
14-36
23-30
19-30
21-28
18-35
19-25
22-28
27-35
18-32
25-24
25-25
13-27
19-22
22-18
32-23
23-26
14-18
20-22
14-18
19-23
20-13
22-21
14-20
15-13
16-20
18-25
19-19
23-26
23-22
21-21
181.7Avg total
84.6Scored
97.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)87.397.3184.6-10.126%
Season at home (11)88.495.0183.4-6.645%
Season away (12)86.299.5185.8-13.28%
Last 10 (10)84.697.1181.7-12.520%
Last 5 (5)80.690.6171.2-10.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)87.097.5184.6-10.520%
vs Similar ◀ (10)93.891.1184.9+2.750%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Scafati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ScafatiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormScafati
Date
Competition
Trieste
#6
L
107-110 OT
107
110
-3
98avg 76
H05/01
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
94-99
94
99
-5
86avg 76
A11/01
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
66-83
66
83
-17
56avg 76
H19/01
Lega A
Cremona
#13
L
85-88 OT
85
88
-3
65avg 76
A26/01
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
98-82
98
82
+16
95avg 76
H02/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
91-89
91
89
+2
84avg 76
A08/02
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
92-96 OT
92
96
-4
79avg 76
H02/03
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
75-88
75
88
-13
67avg 76
A09/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
79-102
79
102
-23
64avg 76
H16/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
L
81-91
81
91
-10
67avg 76
H23/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-17
23-30
22-23
18-24
27-24
23-23
30-23
14-29
14-26
12-23
19-13
21-21
23-26
18-14
15-21
18-13
26-14
24-26
22-25
26-17
23-24
22-30
24-18
22-17
17-27
25-18
23-19
19-20
24-17
10-22
23-26
18-23
15-23
21-22
13-33
30-24
21-25
22-17
17-31
21-18
179.6Avg total
86.8Scored
92.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)86.393.0179.3-6.726%
Season at home (12)90.893.8184.6-2.933%
Season away (11)81.492.1173.5-10.718%
Last 10 (10)86.892.8179.6-6.020%
Last 5 (5)83.693.2176.8-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)82.793.2175.8-10.511%
vs Similar ◀ (12)88.390.6178.9-2.242%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -6.2-6.2Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +0.1+0.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -6.2-6.2Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +0.1+0.1
VareseScafati
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#10
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A05/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H12/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
59-45
59
45
+14
A19/01
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
40-58
40
58
-18
H25/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
49-63
49
63
-14
A02/02
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H09/02
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A02/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A09/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H16/03
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A23/03
Lega A
91.9Avg total
44.7Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.547.194.6+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.947.094.9+0.957%-
Last 30 away (16)47.147.294.2-0.144%-
Last 10 (10)44.747.291.9-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)39.444.083.4-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)46.048.094.0-2.145%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)50.545.295.7+5.360%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Scafati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ScafatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#6
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H05/01
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A11/01
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
26-49
26
49
-23
H19/01
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A26/01
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H02/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A08/02
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H02/03
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A09/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H16/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H23/03
Lega A
86.9Avg total
42.1Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.144.386.4-2.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.945.088.9-1.153%-
Last 30 away (15)40.443.684.0-3.240%-
Last 10 (10)42.144.886.9-2.750%-
Last 5 (5)40.045.085.0-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)41.243.384.5-2.144%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)43.545.889.3-2.350%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.117.6
51.6%
52.9%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.011.4
35.6%
35.8%34.2
🏀 Free throws18.514.0
75.7%
76.8%14.0
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Scafatitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Scafati: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.421.3
51.4%
52.9%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.2
34.6%
35.8%24.6
🏀 Free throws23.819.0
79.8%
76.8%19.0
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LLLLLLLLWW
Scafati
LLLLWWLLLL
#12
League position
#15
-16.6
Net rating
-6.9
105.6
Offensive rating
114.1
122.2
Defensive rating
121.0
52.5%
Effective FG%
51.6%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.7%
16.7%
Turnover %
12.9%
21.9%
Off. rebound %
26.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.37
35.6%
3-point %
34.6%
63.1%
Assist %
49.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence105.6 · 114.1Defence122.2 · 121.0Shooting52.5% · 51.6%3-point %35.6% · 34.6%Ball care16.7% · 12.9%Off. rebounds21.9% · 26.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Varese   ■ Scafati
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Varese wins
2
Scafati wins
DateGameScore
16/11/24Scafati v Varese94-85
14/04/24Scafati v Varese102-90
19/11/23Varese v Scafati94-93
30/04/23Varese v Scafati95-81
06/11/22Scafati v Varese93-101
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/25ATreviso86-88
16/03/25HReggiana63-78
09/03/25ATortona82-89 OT
02/03/25ATrapani93-106 OT
09/02/25HTrento79-92
02/02/25AOlimpia Milano92-119
25/01/25HBrescia77-118
19/01/25APistoia96-111
12/01/25HTreviso92-89
05/01/25ASassari86-81
Scafatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/25HBasket Napoli81-91
16/03/25HTortona79-102
09/03/25ATrieste75-88
02/03/25HVenezia92-96 OT
08/02/25APistoia91-89
02/02/25HSassari98-82
26/01/25ACremona85-88 OT
19/01/25HTrapani66-83
11/01/25ATortona94-99
05/01/25HTrieste107-110 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL26%
HomeWWLLL45%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %26%45%8%
Points / game87.388.486.2
Allowed / game97.395.099.5
Point differential-10.1-6.6-13.2
Avg total184.6183.4185.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Scafati
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL26%
HomeLWLLL33%
AwayLLLWL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %26%33%18%
Points / game86.390.881.4
Allowed / game93.093.892.1
Point differential-6.7-2.9-10.7
Avg total179.3184.6173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%8%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)20% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %22%25%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani2417771%93.884.3+9.5
2 Virtus Bologna2316770%84.678.7+5.9
3 Trento2316770%87.682.0+5.6
4 Brescia2316770%91.086.1+4.9
5 Olimpia Milano2316770%88.784.2+4.5
6 Reggiana2314961%81.377.9+3.4
7 Tortona2314961%86.684.3+2.3
8 Trieste2314961%86.385.1+1.2
9 Venezia23131057%81.078.4+2.6
10 Sassari24101442%81.184.1-3.0
11 Treviso2391439%84.687.4-2.8
12 Basket Napoli2371630%82.886.7-3.9
13 Cremona2361726%77.482.8-5.4
14 Scafati2361726%86.393.0-6.7
15 Varese2361726%87.397.3-10.1
16 Pistoia2351822%80.889.0-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2323292095
Scafati2117202482
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