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Virtus Roma vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Feb 2020
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 80-81
21-21 27-15 14-25 18-20
Position#15
Record7-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game84.8
Virtus Roma
Italy
vs
Pistoia 🏆
Italy
Position#16
Record5-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game82.9
ItalyLega ARound 21
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Virtus Roma v Pistoia
02 Feb 2020
VRO80
PIS81
22 Mar 2015
VRO70
PIS63
26 Apr 2014
VRO75
PIS87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Roma winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
L
69-81
69
81
-12
H24/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
69-99
69
99
-30
A01/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H08/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
88-82
88
82
+6
A14/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
53-83
53
83
-30
H22/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
77-79
77
79
-2
A26/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
88-96
88
96
-8
A29/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
68-97
68
97
-29
H12/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
81-88 OT
81
88
-7
A19/01
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
92-103
92
103
-11
A26/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-25
22-25
20-14
14-17
19-34
20-24
15-21
15-20
27-22
18-13
20-19
17-18
30-30
17-22
13-15
28-15
15-25
13-22
12-16
13-20
17-10
26-30
21-18
13-21
19-31
22-27
25-16
22-22
14-22
15-28
21-21
18-26
15-20
20-12
23-23
18-21
22-32
29-26
24-22
17-23
164.7Avg total
76.7Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)77.284.8162.0-7.637%
Season at home (9)75.182.3157.4-7.244%
Season away (10)79.187.0166.1-7.930%
Last 10 (10)76.788.0164.7-11.320%
Last 5 (5)81.292.6173.8-11.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)77.287.2164.3-10.022%
vs Similar ◀ (7)76.076.0152.0+0.043%
vs Weaker (5)88.275.4163.6+12.8100%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#5
L
67-100
67
100
-33
A24/11
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
89-87
89
87
+2
H01/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
74-86
74
86
-12
A08/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
84-71
84
71
+13
H15/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
91-79
91
79
+12
H22/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
60-91
60
91
-31
A26/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
70-78
70
78
-8
H04/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H12/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
60-90
60
90
-30
A18/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
75-86
75
86
-11
H26/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-26
15-26
22-27
17-21
16-21
25-25
28-22
20-19
19-28
20-20
14-14
21-24
29-15
11-20
15-23
29-13
27-26
14-20
27-20
23-13
14-26
19-18
15-24
12-23
15-20
24-12
13-23
18-23
22-24
9-18
17-15
23-17
8-19
20-27
20-16
12-28
13-29
20-20
24-9
18-28
158.3Avg total
74.1Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)73.382.9156.2-9.726%
Season at home (10)77.878.5156.3-0.750%
Season away (9)68.287.9156.1-19.70%
Last 10 (10)74.184.2158.3-10.130%
Last 5 (5)67.283.8151.0-16.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (28)74.184.0158.1-10.018%
vs Similar ◀ (1)67.081.0148.0-14.00%
vs Weaker (1)91.079.0170.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.0-6.0Q1: -5.8-5.8Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -1.6-1.6
Virtus RomaPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H24/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
39-58
39
58
-19
A01/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H08/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A14/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
28-47
28
47
-19
H22/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A26/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
41-58
41
58
-17
A29/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
29-50
29
50
-21
H12/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A19/01
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A26/01
Lega A
87.3Avg total
39.3Scored
48.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.243.483.5-3.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.140.980.9-0.864%-
Last 30 away (16)40.245.685.8-5.325%-
Last 10 (10)39.348.087.3-8.730%-
Last 5 (5)39.847.687.4-7.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)38.645.984.4-7.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)40.439.479.9+1.043%-
vs Weaker (5)45.639.885.4+5.880%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#5
L
28-52
28
52
-24
A24/11
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H01/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A08/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H15/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H22/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A26/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H04/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H12/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A18/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H26/01
Lega A
79.3Avg total
35.3Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.741.578.2-4.820%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.440.678.0-3.219%-
Last 30 away (14)35.942.678.5-6.621%-
Last 10 (10)35.344.079.3-8.720%-
Last 5 (5)32.842.675.4-9.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (28)36.641.478.0-4.821%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)35.041.076.0-6.00%-
vs Weaker (1)41.046.087.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Roma: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.222.3
52.8%
52.0%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.76.7
32.4%
35.1%20.1
🏀 Free throws18.912.3
65.1%
73.6%12.3
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.516.7
45.8%
52.0%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.87.8
29.1%
35.1%23.4
🏀 Free throws21.916.5
75.3%
73.6%16.5
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Feb 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Roma
LLLLLLWWLL
Pistoia
LLLLLWWLWL
#15
League position
#16
-13.0
Net rating
-14.0
105.6
Offensive rating
103.4
118.6
Defensive rating
117.4
51.4%
Effective FG%
44.9%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
57.0%
19.3%
Turnover %
14.9%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.4%
3-point %
29.1%
52.8%
Assist %
51.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.6 · 103.4Defence118.6 · 117.4Shooting51.4% · 44.9%3-point %32.4% · 29.1%Ball care19.3% · 14.9%Off. rebounds32.4% · 30.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Virtus Roma   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Virtus Roma wins
2
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
12/10/19Pistoia v Virtus Roma67-81
22/03/15Virtus Roma v Pistoia70-63
30/11/14Pistoia v Virtus Roma94-84
26/04/14Virtus Roma v Pistoia75-87
29/12/13Pistoia v Virtus Roma76-85
Virtus Romalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/20ACremona92-103
19/01/20ABrindisi81-88 OT
12/01/20HVirtus Bologna68-97
29/12/19AReggiana88-96
26/12/19AVenezia77-79
22/12/19HBrescia53-83
14/12/19ATrento88-82
08/12/19HTrieste82-72
01/12/19AVarese69-99
24/11/19HTreviso69-81
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/20HTreviso75-86
18/01/20AVirtus Bologna60-90
12/01/20HTrento71-74
04/01/20HSassari70-78
26/12/19AVarese60-91
22/12/19HPesaro91-79
15/12/19HCremona84-71
08/12/19ABrescia74-86
01/12/19HVenezia89-87
24/11/19ABrindisi67-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Roma
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL37%
HomeWLWLL44%
AwayWLLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %37%44%30%
Points / game77.275.179.1
Allowed / game84.882.387.0
Point differential-7.6-7.2-7.9
Avg total162.0157.4166.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%22%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Pistoia
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL26%
HomeWWLLL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %26%50%0%
Points / game73.377.868.2
Allowed / game82.978.587.9
Point differential-9.7-0.7-19.7
Avg total156.2156.3156.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2018290%86.075.0+10.9
2 Sassari1915479%85.374.9+10.4
3 Brescia2013765%81.574.0+7.5
4 Olimpia Milano2013765%80.574.0+6.5
5 Cremona1811761%81.080.4+0.6
6 Brindisi2012860%83.781.0+2.7
7 Fortitudo Bologna1910953%77.078.9-1.9
8 Venezia20101050%78.075.5+2.5
9 Trento20101050%77.879.7-1.9
10 Varese1991047%82.680.1+2.5
11 Reggiana1991047%82.683.3-0.7
12 Cantu1991047%76.979.0-2.1
13 Treviso1971237%77.379.9-2.6
14 Virtus Roma1971237%77.284.8-7.6
15 Trieste1951426%74.680.6-6.1
16 Pistoia1951426%73.382.9-9.7
17 Pesaro191185%79.391.9-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Roma2127141880
Pistoia2115252081
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