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Washington Wizards vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 104-118
29-31 28-24 16-39 31-24
Position#23
Record32-40
FormLWLLL
Points / game112.8
Allowed / game113.6
vs
Position#2
Record48-24
FormLLWLW
Points / game116.6
Allowed / game112.9
USANBA· Capital One Arena
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Denver Nuggets
24 Mar 2027
WAS v DEN
upcoming
22 Jan 2026
WAS97
DEN107
07 Dec 2024
WAS122
DEN113
21 Jan 2024
WAS104
DEN113
22 Mar 2023
WAS104
DEN118
16 Mar 2022
WAS109
DEN127
17 Feb 2021
WAS130
DEN128
04 Jan 2020
WAS128
DEN114
21 Mar 2019
WAS108
DEN113
23 Mar 2018
WAS100
DEN108
08 Dec 2016
WAS92
DEN85
28 Jan 2016
WAS113
DEN117
05 Dec 2014
WAS119
DEN89
09 Dec 2013
WAS74
DEN75
22 Feb 2013
WAS119
DEN113
20 Jan 2012
WAS104
DEN108
25 Jan 2011
WAS109
DEN120
19 Feb 2010
WAS107
DEN97
06 Feb 2009
WAS103
DEN124
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
109-116 OT
109
116
-7
110avg 106
H04/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
111-117
111
117
-6
96avg 106
H06/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
119-117
119
117
+2
117avg 106
A08/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
120-122
120
122
-2
123avg 106
H09/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
107-114
107
114
-7
101avg 106
H11/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
93-112
93
112
-19
77avg 106
A12/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
117-97
117
97
+20
116avg 106
H14/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
94-117
94
117
-23
88avg 106
A17/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
118-132
118
132
-14
111avg 106
H19/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
112-122
112
122
-10
106avg 106
A21/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-26
23-27
26-33
26-19
28-34
20-25
32-24
31-34
29-26
24-32
36-30
30-29
28-34
33-24
33-32
26-32
29-24
21-32
25-29
32-29
19-27
31-28
19-26
24-31
38-20
23-25
33-27
23-25
24-31
20-30
30-23
20-33
33-37
27-34
32-33
26-28
25-26
31-34
32-27
24-35
226.6Avg total
110.0Scored
116.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (72)112.8113.6226.4-0.844%
Season at home (34)113.4113.8227.1-0.447%
Season away (38)112.3113.5225.8-1.242%
Last 10 (10)110.0116.6226.6-6.620%
Last 5 (5)106.8116.0222.8-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)97.2115.0212.2-17.80%
vs Similar (21)116.5116.3232.8+0.243%
vs Weaker (5)117.8105.4223.2+12.4100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#28
W
133-112
133
112
+21
137avg 113
A01/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
113-97
113
97
+16
112avg 113
H04/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
118-113
118
113
+5
115avg 113
H07/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
96-117
96
117
-21
87avg 113
H09/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
L
120-128
120
128
-8
113avg 113
A11/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
120-122
120
122
-2
116avg 113
H12/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
110-125
110
125
-15
108avg 113
A14/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
119-100
119
100
+19
116avg 113
A16/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
110-116
110
116
-6
105avg 113
A18/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
108-102
108
102
+6
110avg 113
A19/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
41-30
33-24
32-30
27-28
28-27
22-31
30-22
33-17
29-34
29-27
25-27
35-25
29-25
23-26
24-36
20-30
38-26
29-42
26-30
27-30
30-30
39-31
18-37
33-24
30-49
26-23
36-26
18-27
29-28
29-36
28-22
33-14
28-36
39-26
24-29
19-25
33-21
30-27
28-23
17-31
227.9Avg total
114.7Scored
113.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (72)116.6112.9229.5+3.867%
Season at home (36)120.6110.1230.7+10.483%
Season away (36)112.7115.6228.3-2.950%
Last 10 (10)114.7113.2227.9+1.550%
Last 5 (5)113.4113.0226.4+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)109.8111.6221.5-1.846%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)120.9113.6234.5+7.476%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +1.1+1.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +1.1+1.1
Washington WizardsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#18
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H04/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
48-59
48
59
-11
H06/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
53-58
53
58
-5
A08/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H09/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
50-56
50
56
-6
H11/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A12/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
61-45
61
45
+16
H14/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
44-61
44
61
-17
A17/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
60-71
60
71
-11
H19/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
56-60
56
60
-4
A21/03
NBA
111.2Avg total
53.6Scored
57.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.856.9114.7+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)59.957.5117.5+2.453%-
Last 30 away (15)55.756.3112.0-0.740%-
Last 10 (10)53.657.6111.2-4.020%-
Last 5 (5)54.258.4112.6-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)47.060.2107.2-13.20%-
vs Similar (21)60.256.7116.9+3.657%-
vs Weaker (5)56.255.4111.6+0.840%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#28
W
74-54
74
54
+20
A01/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H04/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H07/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H09/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
L
67-68
67
68
-1
A11/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
69-61
69
61
+8
H12/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
56-72
56
72
-16
A14/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
58-64
58
64
-6
A16/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
67-62
67
62
+5
A18/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
63-48
63
48
+15
A19/03
NBA
121.3Avg total
61.4Scored
59.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.058.4119.4+2.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)62.556.5119.0+5.967%-
Last 30 away (15)59.560.3119.7-0.840%-
Last 10 (10)61.459.9121.3+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)62.661.4124.0+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)57.259.3116.5-2.138%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)63.857.7121.5+6.165%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 110.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.932.0
56.2%
54.5%64.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.7
34.0%
35.8%29.1
🏀 Free throws20.116.9
84.1%
78.1%16.9
They take 85.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 114.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.032.1
58.4%
54.5%64.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.211.5
36.9%
35.8%34.5
🏀 Free throws20.716.0
77.3%
78.1%16.0
They take 86.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
LLLWLLLWLL
Denver Nuggets
WLWLLLLWWW
#23
League position
#2
-6.7
Net rating
+1.5
111.8
Offensive rating
117.2
118.5
Defensive rating
115.6
54.5%
Effective FG%
57.3%
57.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
14.0%
Turnover %
12.7%
22.6%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.24
34.0%
3-point %
36.9%
61.6%
Assist %
69.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.8 · 117.2Defence118.5 · 115.6Shooting54.5% · 57.3%3-point %34.0% · 36.9%Ball care14.0% · 12.7%Off. rebounds22.6% · 24.9%Free throws0.24 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/23AOrlando Magic112-122
19/03/23HSacramento Kings118-132
17/03/23ACleveland Cavaliers94-117
14/03/23HDetroit Pistons117-97
12/03/23APhiladelphia 76ers93-112
11/03/23HAtlanta Hawks107-114
09/03/23HAtlanta Hawks120-122
08/03/23ADetroit Pistons119-117
06/03/23HMilwaukee Bucks111-117
04/03/23HToronto Raptors109-116 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/23ABrooklyn Nets108-102
18/03/23ANew York Knicks110-116
16/03/23ADetroit Pistons119-100
14/03/23AToronto Raptors110-125
12/03/23HBrooklyn Nets120-122
11/03/23ASan Antonio Spurs120-128
09/03/23HChicago Bulls96-117
07/03/23HToronto Raptors118-113
04/03/23HMemphis Grizzlies113-97
01/03/23AHouston Rockets133-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL44%
HomeLLLWL47%
AwayWWLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games723438
Win %44%47%42%
Points / game112.8113.4112.3
Allowed / game113.6113.8113.5
Point differential-0.8-0.4-1.2
Avg total226.4227.1225.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%26%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (18)62% (8)50% (10)
Overtime %4%6%3%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW67%
HomeWWWLL83%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games723636
Win %67%83%50%
Points / game116.6120.6112.7
Allowed / game112.9110.1115.6
Point differential+3.8+10.4-2.9
Avg total229.5230.7228.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%53%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (21)62% (13)88% (8)
Overtime %4%6%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks71512072%116.3112.4+3.9
2 Boston Celtics73502368%117.8112.2+5.6
3 Philadelphia 76ers71482368%115.4110.4+5.0
4 Denver Nuggets72482467%116.6112.9+3.8
5 Cleveland Cavaliers74462862%112.2106.6+5.6
6 Memphis Grizzlies71442762%116.0112.1+3.9
7 Sacramento Kings72432960%120.9118.5+2.4
8 New York Knicks73423158%115.4112.6+2.8
9 Brooklyn Nets72393354%113.3112.9+0.4
10 Phoenix Suns71383354%113.4111.6+1.8
11 Miami Heat73393453%109.0109.5-0.5
12 Los Angeles Clippers73383552%112.7112.4+0.2
13 Golden State Warriors73373651%118.3117.9+0.4
14 Oklahoma City Thunder72363650%117.6116.2+1.5
15 Dallas Mavericks72363650%113.7113.2+0.5
16 Atlanta Hawks72363650%117.6117.5+0.1
17 Minnesota Timberwolves73363749%115.9116.2-0.3
18 Utah Jazz71353649%117.4117.3+0.1
19 New Orleans Pelicans72353749%114.0113.0+1.0
20 Toronto Raptors72353749%112.9112.1+0.8
21 Los Angeles Lakers72353749%116.4116.8-0.4
22 Chicago Bulls71343748%113.5112.5+1.0
23 Washington Wizards72324044%112.8113.6-0.8
24 Indiana Pacers72324044%115.8118.3-2.4
25 Portland Trail Blazers71314044%114.2116.1-1.9
26 Orlando Magic73304341%111.7114.4-2.7
27 Charlotte Hornets73235032%111.3117.4-6.1
28 San Antonio Spurs72195326%112.4122.0-9.7
29 Houston Rockets72185425%110.3118.1-7.8
30 Detroit Pistons73165722%110.8118.6-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Washington Wizards29281631104
Denver Nuggets31243924118
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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