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Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 107-119
29-29 30-37 21-29 27-24
Position#29
Record14-60
FormWWWLL
Points / game113.4
Allowed / game123.0
vs
Position#18
Record40-33
FormWLWLW
Points / game109.8
Allowed / game108.5
USANBA· Capital One Arena (Washington)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Miami Heat
17 Feb 2027
WAS v MIA
upcoming
10 Feb 2027
WAS v MIA
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
WAS117
MIA140
08 Feb 2026
WAS101
MIA132
31 Mar 2025
WAS94
MIA120
02 Nov 2024
WAS98
MIA118
31 Mar 2024
WAS107
MIA119
02 Feb 2024
WAS102
MIA110
07 Apr 2023
WAS114
MIA108
18 Nov 2022
WAS107
MIA106
07 Feb 2022
WAS100
MIA121
20 Nov 2021
WAS103
MIA100
09 Jan 2021
WAS124
MIA128
08 Mar 2020
WAS89
MIA100
30 Dec 2019
WAS123
MIA105
23 Mar 2019
WAS108
MIA113
18 Oct 2018
WAS112
MIA113
06 Mar 2018
WAS117
MIA113
17 Nov 2017
WAS88
MIA91
08 Apr 2017
WAS103
MIA106
19 Nov 2016
WAS111
MIA114
20 Jan 2016
WAS106
MIA87
03 Jan 2016
WAS75
MIA97
06 Mar 2015
WAS99
MIA97
01 Dec 2014
WAS107
MIA86
14 Apr 2014
WAS114
MIA93
15 Jan 2014
WAS114
MIA97
10 Apr 2013
WAS98
MIA103
04 Dec 2012
WAS105
MIA101
26 Apr 2012
WAS104
MIA70
10 Feb 2012
WAS89
MIA106
30 Mar 2011
WAS107
MIA123
18 Dec 2010
WAS94
MIA95
22 Jan 2010
WAS88
MIA112
04 Nov 2009
WAS89
MIA93
04 Apr 2009
WAS104
MIA118
18 Nov 2008
WAS87
MIA94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
97-109
97
109
-12
85avg 105
A13/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
119-135
119
135
-16
107avg 105
A15/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
L
98-127
98
127
-29
85avg 105
A17/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
104-130
104
130
-26
94avg 105
H17/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
114-137
114
137
-23
99avg 105
H19/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
109-102
109
102
+7
103avg 105
H21/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
112-109
112
109
+3
110avg 105
H24/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
107-105
107
105
+2
102avg 105
A26/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
119-122 OT
119
122
-3
112avg 105
H27/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
87-96
87
96
-9
78avg 105
H29/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-29
21-38
33-25
22-17
31-33
25-42
39-35
24-25
19-32
26-35
24-28
29-32
27-45
26-36
25-27
26-22
36-39
21-21
25-41
32-36
35-27
21-27
28-22
25-26
23-25
28-23
26-33
35-28
31-17
22-32
29-33
25-23
33-31
21-30
37-31
21-20
20-23
20-36
35-21
12-16
223.8Avg total
106.6Scored
117.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (74)113.4123.0236.4-9.619%
Season at home (36)112.6122.3234.9-9.817%
Season away (38)114.1123.7237.8-9.621%
Last 10 (10)106.6117.2223.8-10.630%
Last 5 (5)106.8106.8213.6+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)111.8124.4236.2-12.612%
vs Similar (6)107.3105.2212.5+2.267%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#29
L
108-110
108
110
-2
96avg 103
H10/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
88-100
88
100
-12
78avg 103
H13/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
108-95
108
95
+13
97avg 103
A15/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
104-101
104
101
+3
96avg 103
A17/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
91-98
91
98
-7
81avg 103
A18/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
107-104
107
104
+3
96avg 103
A20/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
88-111
88
111
-23
72avg 103
H23/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
121-84
121
84
+37
121avg 103
H24/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
92-113
92
113
-21
78avg 103
H26/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
142-82
142
82
+60
148avg 103
H30/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-25
27-23
28-33
26-29
19-26
25-24
27-22
17-28
27-28
29-26
28-18
24-23
21-23
39-27
19-26
25-25
23-31
26-20
16-28
26-19
31-30
30-27
22-18
24-29
20-21
22-25
24-30
22-35
32-22
28-17
30-18
31-27
26-24
29-29
20-32
17-28
29-19
45-21
33-23
35-19
204.7Avg total
104.9Scored
99.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (73)109.8108.5218.3+1.255%
Season at home (36)112.5110.9223.4+1.553%
Season away (37)107.1106.2213.4+0.957%
Last 10 (10)104.999.8204.7+5.150%
Last 5 (5)110.098.8208.8+11.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)105.3120.0225.3-14.70%
vs Similar (17)105.6104.7210.4+0.947%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)113.4102.5215.9+10.980%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -8.9-8.9Q2: +6.1+6.1Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.5-1.5
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -8.9-8.9Q2: +6.1+6.1Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.5-1.5
Washington WizardsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
42-67
42
67
-25
A13/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
56-75
56
75
-19
A15/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
L
45-67
45
67
-22
A17/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
53-81
53
81
-28
H17/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H19/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H21/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H24/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A26/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
54-61
54
61
-7
H27/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
40-59
40
59
-19
H29/03
NBA
112.8Avg total
50.7Scored
62.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.362.8119.1-6.530%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.159.5114.6-4.533%-
Last 30 away (15)57.566.1123.5-8.627%-
Last 10 (10)50.762.1112.8-11.430%-
Last 5 (5)50.854.2105.0-3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)58.064.3122.3-6.329%-
vs Similar (6)49.356.7106.0-7.333%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#29
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H10/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H13/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A15/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
60-50
60
50
+10
A17/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A18/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
61-57
61
57
+4
A20/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H23/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
60-39
60
39
+21
H24/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
55-53
55
53
+2
H26/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
74-40
74
40
+34
H30/03
NBA
104.3Avg total
55.5Scored
48.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.454.1109.4+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)54.052.7106.7+1.350%-
Last 30 away (14)56.955.6112.6+1.350%-
Last 10 (10)55.548.8104.3+6.770%-
Last 5 (5)58.447.0105.4+11.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)57.061.0118.0-4.033%-
vs Similar (17)54.753.5108.2+1.247%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)56.052.9108.9+3.160%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 106.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.028.9
53.5%
54.4%57.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.511.9
33.5%
36.3%35.7
🏀 Free throws17.613.1
74.4%
78.2%13.1
They take 89.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 104.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.128.2
53.1%
54.4%56.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.911.6
33.2%
36.3%34.8
🏀 Free throws17.513.7
78.3%
78.2%13.7
They take 88.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
LLWWWLLLLL
Miami Heat
WLWLWLWWLL
#29
League position
#18
-10.4
Net rating
+5.4
104.3
Offensive rating
110.6
114.7
Defensive rating
105.2
52.2%
Effective FG%
51.8%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
14.4%
Turnover %
9.4%
22.5%
Off. rebound %
21.2%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.20
33.5%
3-point %
33.2%
63.2%
Assist %
61.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.3 · 110.6Defence114.7 · 105.2Shooting52.2% · 51.8%3-point %33.5% · 33.2%Ball care14.4% · 9.4%Off. rebounds22.5% · 21.2%Free throws0.20 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Washington Wizards wins
6
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/24HDetroit Pistons87-96
27/03/24HBrooklyn Nets119-122 OT
26/03/24AChicago Bulls107-105
24/03/24HToronto Raptors112-109
21/03/24HSacramento Kings109-102
19/03/24HHouston Rockets114-137
17/03/24HBoston Celtics104-130
17/03/24AChicago Bulls98-127
15/03/24AHouston Rockets119-135
13/03/24AMemphis Grizzlies97-109
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/24HPortland Trail Blazers142-82
26/03/24HGolden State Warriors92-113
24/03/24HCleveland Cavaliers121-84
23/03/24HNew Orleans Pelicans88-111
20/03/24ACleveland Cavaliers107-104
18/03/24APhiladelphia 76ers91-98
17/03/24ADetroit Pistons104-101
15/03/24ADetroit Pistons108-95
13/03/24HDenver Nuggets88-100
10/03/24HWashington Wizards108-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL19%
HomeLWWLL17%
AwayWLLLW21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743638
Win %19%17%21%
Points / game113.4112.6114.1
Allowed / game123.0122.3123.7
Point differential-9.6-9.8-9.6
Avg total236.4234.9237.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%6%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (17)20% (5)33% (12)
Overtime %3%3%3%
Miami Heat
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW55%
HomeLLWLW53%
AwayLWWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games733637
Win %55%53%57%
Points / game109.8112.5107.1
Allowed / game108.5110.9106.2
Point differential+1.2+1.5+0.9
Avg total218.3223.4213.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%19%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won59% (17)44% (9)75% (8)
Overtime %1%0%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics73581579%121.0109.3+11.7
2 Oklahoma City Thunder73512270%120.5113.0+7.5
3 Minnesota Timberwolves73512270%113.0106.2+6.8
4 Denver Nuggets75522369%114.6109.8+4.8
5 Milwaukee Bucks72462664%120.0116.6+3.4
6 Los Angeles Clippers73462763%116.1112.6+3.5
7 New Orleans Pelicans72442861%115.4109.9+5.6
8 New York Knicks72442861%112.5107.3+5.1
9 Dallas Mavericks73442960%118.6116.4+2.2
10 Cleveland Cavaliers75453060%112.6109.7+2.8
11 Phoenix Suns73433059%116.9114.2+2.7
12 Sacramento Kings72423058%117.1116.0+1.1
13 Orlando Magic74433158%110.5108.3+2.3
14 Indiana Pacers73403355%122.7120.7+2.0
15 Miami Heat73403355%109.8108.5+1.2
16 Los Angeles Lakers72393354%117.7118.3-0.6
17 Golden State Warriors73393453%118.0115.9+2.1
18 Philadelphia 76ers74393553%114.1112.1+2.0
19 Houston Rockets73383552%114.3112.4+1.9
20 Chicago Bulls74353947%112.1113.7-1.6
21 Atlanta Hawks74344046%119.2120.5-1.4
22 Brooklyn Nets74294539%111.2113.5-2.2
23 Utah Jazz74294539%116.3120.5-4.2
24 Memphis Grizzlies74245032%105.9113.2-7.3
25 Toronto Raptors73235032%112.6118.1-5.5
26 Portland Trail Blazers74195526%107.2116.2-9.0
27 Charlotte Hornets73185525%106.2116.7-10.5
28 San Antonio Spurs74185624%112.2119.3-7.1
29 Washington Wizards74146019%113.4123.0-9.6
30 Detroit Pistons74136118%110.6119.5-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Washington Wizards29302127107
Miami Heat29372924119
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