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Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 29 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 104-112
19-21 12-27 42-35 31-29
Position#13
Record5-11
FormWLLWL
Points / game95.6
Allowed / game97.4
vs
Position#5
Record9-7
FormLWWWL
Points / game104.0
Allowed / game103.4
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Miami Heat v Boston Celtics
27 Mar 2027
MIA v BOS
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
MIA129
BOS147
15 Jan 2026
MIA114
BOS119
14 Mar 2025
MIA91
BOS103
10 Feb 2025
MIA85
BOS103
29 Apr 2024
MIA88
BOS102
27 Apr 2024
MIA84
BOS104
11 Feb 2024
MIA106
BOS110
25 Jan 2024
MIA110
BOS143
27 May 2023
MIA103
BOS104
23 May 2023
MIA99
BOS116
21 May 2023
MIA128
BOS102
24 Jan 2023
MIA98
BOS95
21 Oct 2022
MIA104
BOS111
29 May 2022
MIA96
BOS100
25 May 2022
MIA80
BOS93
19 May 2022
MIA102
BOS127
17 May 2022
MIA118
BOS107
04 Nov 2021
MIA78
BOS95
06 Jan 2021
MIA105
BOS107
27 Sep 2020
MIA125
BOS113
23 Sep 2020
MIA112
BOS109
19 Sep 2020
MIA106
BOS117
04 Aug 2020
MIA112
BOS106
11 Apr 2020
MIA v BOS
upcoming
28 Jan 2020
MIA101
BOS109
03 Apr 2019
MIA102
BOS112
10 Jan 2019
MIA115
BOS99
22 Nov 2017
MIA104
BOS98
28 Oct 2017
MIA90
BOS96
18 Dec 2016
MIA95
BOS105
28 Nov 2016
MIA104
BOS112
30 Nov 2015
MIA95
BOS105
09 Mar 2015
MIA90
BOS100
21 Dec 2014
MIA100
BOS84
21 Jan 2014
MIA93
BOS86
09 Nov 2013
MIA110
BOS111
12 Apr 2013
MIA109
BOS101
30 Oct 2012
MIA120
BOS107
09 Jun 2012
MIA101
BOS88
05 Jun 2012
MIA90
BOS94
30 May 2012
MIA115
BOS111
28 May 2012
MIA93
BOS79
10 Apr 2012
MIA107
BOS115
27 Dec 2011
MIA115
BOS107
11 May 2011
MIA97
BOS87
03 May 2011
MIA102
BOS91
01 May 2011
MIA99
BOS90
10 Apr 2011
MIA100
BOS77
11 Nov 2010
MIA107
BOS112
25 Apr 2010
MIA101
BOS92
23 Apr 2010
MIA98
BOS100
06 Jan 2010
MIA106
BOS112
29 Nov 2009
MIA85
BOS92
11 Mar 2009
MIA107
BOS99
21 Jan 2009
MIA83
BOS98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
95-98
95
98
-3
84avg 91
H11/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
91-102
91
102
-11
80avg 91
H13/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
90-94
90
94
-4
78avg 91
A15/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
90-93
90
93
-3
74avg 91
H16/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
96-73
96
73
+23
82avg 91
H18/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
114-111
114
111
+3
106avg 91
A20/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
94-101
94
101
-7
79avg 91
A22/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
84-107
84
107
-23
71avg 91
A24/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
90-81
90
81
+9
75avg 91
A26/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
107-110
107
110
-3
95avg 91
H27/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
31-30
17-17
25-28
21-23
26-29
12-24
32-26
19-25
21-30
20-16
30-23
25-22
18-27
24-23
23-21
21-27
27-21
19-14
29-11
33-35
27-24
31-23
23-29
30-24
15-22
31-32
18-23
16-28
26-28
22-30
20-21
28-19
17-20
26-18
19-24
31-24
18-27
33-31
25-28
192.1Avg total
95.1Scored
97.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)95.697.4192.9-1.831%
Season at home (8)97.196.9194.0+0.225%
Season away (8)94.097.9191.9-3.938%
Last 10 (10)95.197.0192.1-1.930%
Last 5 (5)97.8102.0199.8-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)94.5100.0194.5-5.50%
vs Similar ◀ (25)95.495.1190.5+0.440%
vs Weaker (3)103.397.7201.0+5.767%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#9
L
93-118
93
118
-25
77avg 96
A10/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
115-87
115
87
+28
105avg 96
H12/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
105-99
105
99
+6
100avg 96
A13/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
105-106
105
106
-1
88avg 96
A15/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
90-83
90
83
+7
87avg 96
H17/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
88-104
88
104
-16
76avg 96
H19/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
94-92
94
92
+2
88avg 96
A20/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
99-93
99
93
+6
88avg 96
A22/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
111-92
111
92
+19
103avg 96
A24/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
103-109
103
109
-6
96avg 96
H25/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-34
35-24
26-31
24-29
31-27
30-24
25-22
29-14
24-31
24-14
31-31
26-23
26-27
25-29
23-28
31-22
29-17
10-14
18-23
33-29
27-29
21-26
9-31
31-18
30-23
20-24
21-26
23-19
23-21
19-31
26-29
31-12
30-16
21-33
28-17
32-26
32-22
16-24
26-29
29-34
198.6Avg total
100.3Scored
98.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)104.0103.4207.4+0.656%
Season at home (7)104.6103.3207.9+1.357%
Season away (9)103.6103.4207.0+0.156%
Last 10 (10)100.398.3198.6+2.060%
Last 5 (5)99.098.0197.0+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)100.0106.3206.3-6.333%
vs Similar ◀ (20)100.6105.0205.6-4.540%
vs Weaker (7)110.497.9208.3+12.6100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +6.3+6.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +6.3+6.3
Miami HeatBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#15
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H11/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H13/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A15/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H16/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H18/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
60-59
60
59
+1
A20/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A22/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A24/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A26/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H27/11
NBA
98.0Avg total
47.2Scored
50.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.849.798.5-0.933%-
Last 30 at home (15)51.548.7100.1+2.847%-
Last 30 away (15)46.150.796.8-4.720%-
Last 10 (10)47.250.898.0-3.620%-
Last 5 (5)48.250.298.4-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.053.595.5-11.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (25)49.249.498.6-0.236%-
vs Weaker (3)49.749.799.3+0.033%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#9
L
43-58
43
58
-15
A10/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
61-51
61
51
+10
H12/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A13/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A15/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H17/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H19/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A20/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A22/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A24/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H25/11
NBA
97.1Avg total
48.1Scored
49.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.751.9100.6-3.253%-
Last 30 at home (14)50.052.3102.3-2.357%-
Last 30 away (16)47.651.699.2-4.150%-
Last 10 (10)48.149.097.1-0.960%-
Last 5 (5)47.849.897.6-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)47.048.095.0-1.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)46.553.7100.2-7.235%-
vs Weaker (7)55.748.6104.3+7.1100%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 95.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.327.7
46.7%
50.2%55.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.6
33.1%
35.7%25.8
🏀 Free throws21.613.9
64.4%
77.0%13.9
They take 85.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 100.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.225.5
47.0%
50.2%51.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.811.0
34.6%
35.7%33.0
🏀 Free throws20.816.3
78.4%
77.0%16.3
They take 86.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Nov 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LWLLWWLLLL
Boston Celtics
LWWWLWLWWL
#13
League position
#5
-2.0
Net rating
+2.1
100.4
Offensive rating
103.3
102.4
Defensive rating
101.3
47.6%
Effective FG%
48.8%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
13.1%
Turnover %
12.7%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
23.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.24
33.1%
3-point %
34.6%
52.1%
Assist %
60.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.4 · 103.3Defence102.4 · 101.3Shooting47.6% · 48.8%3-point %33.1% · 34.6%Ball care13.1% · 12.7%Off. rebounds26.7% · 23.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Miami Heat wins
6
Boston Celtics wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/16HMemphis Grizzlies107-110
26/11/16AMemphis Grizzlies90-81
24/11/16ADetroit Pistons84-107
22/11/16APhiladelphia 76ers94-101
20/11/16AWashington Wizards114-111
18/11/16HMilwaukee Bucks96-73
16/11/16HAtlanta Hawks90-93
15/11/16ASan Antonio Spurs90-94
13/11/16HUtah Jazz91-102
11/11/16HChicago Bulls95-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/16HSan Antonio Spurs103-109
24/11/16ABrooklyn Nets111-92
22/11/16AMinnesota Timberwolves99-93
20/11/16ADetroit Pistons94-92
19/11/16HGolden State Warriors88-104
17/11/16HDallas Mavericks90-83
15/11/16ANew Orleans Pelicans105-106
13/11/16AIndiana Pacers105-99
12/11/16HNew York Knicks115-87
10/11/16AWashington Wizards93-118

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL31%
HomeLLLWL25%
AwayLWLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %31%25%38%
Points / game95.697.194.0
Allowed / game97.496.997.9
Point differential-1.8+0.2-3.9
Avg total192.9194.0191.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%25%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL56%
HomeLWWLL57%
AwayWLWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %56%57%56%
Points / game104.0104.6103.6
Allowed / game103.4103.3103.4
Point differential+0.6+1.3+0.1
Avg total207.4207.9207.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%14%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors1715288%118.4105.2+13.2
2 Cleveland Cavaliers1513287%112.0102.8+9.2
3 San Antonio Spurs1714382%104.498.6+5.8
4 Los Angeles Clippers1814478%107.897.4+10.4
5 Houston Rockets1711665%109.8105.5+4.3
6 Memphis Grizzlies1711665%97.696.9+0.7
7 Chicago Bulls1610662%105.399.0+6.3
8 Toronto Raptors1610662%108.3104.9+3.4
9 Atlanta Hawks1710759%101.699.1+2.5
10 Charlotte Hornets169756%105.8103.4+2.4
11 Boston Celtics169756%104.0103.4+0.6
12 Oklahoma City Thunder1810856%106.8105.4+1.4
13 Utah Jazz179853%96.692.8+3.8
14 Indiana Pacers189950%103.5105.1-1.6
15 Los Angeles Lakers189950%108.2110.9-2.7
16 New York Knicks168850%103.3106.3-3.0
17 Portland Trail Blazers1991047%109.7113.7-4.1
18 Milwaukee Bucks157847%101.7102.3-0.7
19 Detroit Pistons1881044%97.597.1+0.4
20 Denver Nuggets1771041%107.0108.9-1.9
21 Sacramento Kings1871139%103.2105.2-2.1
22 Washington Wizards1661038%102.0104.4-2.4
23 Orlando Magic1761135%92.198.9-6.8
24 New Orleans Pelicans1861233%102.7105.9-3.2
25 Minnesota Timberwolves1651131%103.1103.5-0.4
26 Miami Heat1651131%95.697.4-1.8
27 Phoenix Suns1851328%106.1112.2-6.1
28 Brooklyn Nets1641225%104.9114.0-9.1
29 Philadelphia 76ers1741324%98.1107.1-9.0
30 Dallas Mavericks1631319%91.5100.4-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat19124231104
Boston Celtics21273529112
← all games of the day
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