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Atlanta Hawks vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 111-141
23-38 25-33 36-35 27-35
Position#18
Record13-11
FormWWWWW
Points / game117.3
Allowed / game119.0
vs
Position#9
Record11-10
FormWLWLL
Points / game117.6
Allowed / game117.0
USANBA· State Farm Arena
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Atlanta Hawks v Denver Nuggets
07 Feb 2027
ATL v DEN
upcoming
05 Dec 2025
ATL133
DEN134
08 Dec 2024
ATL111
DEN141
11 Dec 2023
ATL122
DEN129
02 Dec 2022
ATL117
DEN109
17 Dec 2021
ATL115
DEN133
21 Feb 2021
ATL123
DEN115
06 Jan 2020
ATL115
DEN123
08 Dec 2018
ATL106
DEN98
27 Oct 2017
ATL100
DEN105
08 Feb 2017
ATL117
DEN106
17 Mar 2016
ATL116
DEN98
07 Dec 2014
ATL96
DEN84
15 Mar 2014
ATL97
DEN92
05 Dec 2012
ATL108
DEN104
16 Mar 2011
ATL87
DEN102
07 Nov 2009
ATL125
DEN100
29 Dec 2008
ATL109
DEN91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atlanta Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
109-108
109
108
+1
108avg 108
A19/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
97-120
97
120
-23
85avg 108
A21/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
122-136
122
136
-14
108avg 108
A23/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
119-129
119
129
-10
109avg 108
H26/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
W
135-124
135
124
+11
138avg 108
A28/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
W
117-101
117
101
+16
124avg 108
H29/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
107-104
107
104
+3
109avg 108
A30/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
124-112
124
112
+12
121avg 108
H03/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
119-104
119
104
+15
112avg 108
A05/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
134-132 OT
134
132
+2
134avg 108
H07/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-31
32-35
25-27
20-15
22-41
20-26
33-23
22-30
25-28
26-30
33-41
38-37
31-28
36-33
28-35
24-33
35-35
26-29
37-31
37-29
29-27
23-23
39-23
26-28
29-32
26-18
22-26
30-28
26-28
32-31
34-26
32-27
38-35
32-24
29-28
20-17
26-29
38-35
30-33
25-22
235.3Avg total
118.3Scored
117.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)117.3119.0236.3-1.654%
Season at home (12)119.1119.6238.7-0.558%
Season away (12)115.6118.3233.9-2.850%
Last 10 (10)118.3117.0235.3+1.370%
Last 5 (5)120.2110.6230.8+9.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)111.5123.6235.1-12.140%
vs Similar (11)117.2121.9239.1-4.727%
vs Weaker (9)120.4116.6237.0+3.967%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
90-105
90
105
-15
79avg 109
A17/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
122-110
122
110
+12
115avg 109
A20/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
120-123
120
123
-3
114avg 109
H23/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
127-102
127
102
+25
136avg 109
A24/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
118-145
118
145
-27
102avg 109
H26/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
122-103
122
103
+19
120avg 109
A28/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
122-126
122
126
-4
123avg 109
A02/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
119-115
119
115
+4
118avg 109
H04/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
114-126
114
126
-12
105avg 109
A06/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
113-122
113
122
-9
109avg 109
A08/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-28
18-27
21-29
26-21
31-24
37-33
24-21
30-32
31-33
22-40
36-22
31-28
31-27
26-36
37-15
33-24
24-36
29-40
34-37
31-32
34-35
29-18
37-23
22-27
23-32
36-27
31-33
32-34
33-31
24-26
33-28
29-30
27-37
35-29
25-36
27-24
29-36
28-33
36-30
20-23
234.4Avg total
116.7Scored
117.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)117.6117.0234.7+0.652%
Season at home (10)117.9118.0235.9-0.160%
Season away (11)117.4116.2233.5+1.245%
Last 10 (10)116.7117.7234.4-1.040%
Last 5 (5)118.0118.4236.4-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)108.3116.7225.0-8.333%
vs Similar (18)109.9111.9221.8-2.144%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)118.4115.2233.7+3.267%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +0.6+0.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +0.6+0.6
Atlanta HawksDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A19/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
42-67
42
67
-25
A21/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A23/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
67-61
67
61
+6
H26/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
61-64
61
64
-3
A28/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H29/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A30/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
L
58-59
58
59
-1
H03/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
70-59
70
59
+11
A05/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
D
64-64
64
64
+0
H07/12
NBA
118.2Avg total
58.4Scored
59.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.961.3120.1-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)59.259.3118.5-0.157%-
Last 30 away (16)58.663.0121.6-4.431%-
Last 10 (10)58.459.8118.2-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)59.856.4116.2+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)56.065.0121.0-9.030%-
vs Similar (11)61.562.8124.3-1.436%-
vs Weaker (9)58.955.2114.1+3.767%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A17/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
68-57
68
57
+11
A20/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
53-73
53
73
-20
H23/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A24/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
53-76
53
76
-23
H26/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
63-53
63
53
+10
A28/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
D
59-59
59
59
+0
A02/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H04/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
62-66
62
66
-4
A06/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
57-69
57
69
-12
A08/12
NBA
120.0Avg total
57.2Scored
62.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.958.2113.1-3.330%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.257.1110.3-3.933%-
Last 30 away (15)56.659.3115.9-2.727%-
Last 10 (10)57.262.8120.0-5.620%-
Last 5 (5)59.660.8120.4-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)56.063.3119.3-7.30%-
vs Similar (18)53.755.9109.6-2.339%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)57.061.0118.0-4.022%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 118.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.731.6
53.8%
54.3%63.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.812.7
34.5%
35.9%38.1
🏀 Free throws21.117.0
80.6%
77.8%17.0
They take 95.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 116.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.933.9
56.6%
54.3%67.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.7
36.9%
35.9%32.1
🏀 Free throws23.716.8
70.9%
77.8%16.8
They take 88.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Atlanta Hawks
WWWWWWLLLW
Denver Nuggets
LLWLWLWLWL
#18
League position
#9
+1.2
Net rating
-1.0
110.3
Offensive rating
112.3
109.1
Defensive rating
113.3
53.0%
Effective FG%
56.2%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
14.2%
Turnover %
13.7%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
23.4%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.5%
3-point %
36.9%
72.9%
Assist %
67.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.3 · 112.3Defence109.1 · 113.3Shooting53.0% · 56.2%3-point %34.5% · 36.9%Ball care14.2% · 13.7%Off. rebounds27.2% · 23.4%Free throws0.22 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Atlanta Hawks   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Atlanta Hawks wins
7
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24HLos Angeles Lakers134-132 OT
05/12/24AMilwaukee Bucks119-104
03/12/24HNew Orleans Pelicans124-112
30/11/24ACharlotte Hornets107-104
29/11/24HCleveland Cavaliers117-101
28/11/24ACleveland Cavaliers135-124
26/11/24HDallas Mavericks119-129
23/11/24AChicago Bulls122-136
21/11/24AGolden State Warriors97-120
19/11/24ASacramento Kings109-108
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24AWashington Wizards113-122
06/12/24ACleveland Cavaliers114-126
04/12/24HGolden State Warriors119-115
02/12/24ALos Angeles Clippers122-126
28/11/24AUtah Jazz122-103
26/11/24HNew York Knicks118-145
24/11/24ALos Angeles Lakers127-102
23/11/24HDallas Mavericks120-123
20/11/24AMemphis Grizzlies122-110
17/11/24AMemphis Grizzlies90-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW54%
HomeWLWWW58%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %54%58%50%
Points / game117.3119.1115.6
Allowed / game119.0119.6118.3
Point differential-1.6-0.5-2.8
Avg total236.3238.7233.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)80% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL52%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayWWLLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %52%60%45%
Points / game117.6117.9117.4
Allowed / game117.0118.0116.2
Point differential+0.6-0.1+1.2
Avg total234.7235.9233.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%20%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)67% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %10%0%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers2421388%121.8111.0+10.7
2 Boston Celtics2419579%120.1110.7+9.4
3 Oklahoma City Thunder2318578%115.7103.8+11.9
4 Memphis Grizzlies2416867%121.4113.5+7.9
5 Dallas Mavericks2416867%119.1111.5+7.7
6 Houston Rockets2315865%113.5106.6+6.9
7 Orlando Magic2516964%107.3103.0+4.3
8 New York Knicks2314961%118.0111.1+6.8
9 Golden State Warriors2213959%114.1109.3+4.8
10 Los Angeles Clippers24141058%108.8107.0+1.8
11 Minnesota Timberwolves22121055%110.7106.6+4.1
12 Phoenix Suns22121055%113.1113.8-0.7
13 Atlanta Hawks24131154%117.3119.0-1.6
14 Miami Heat21111052%111.8109.1+2.7
15 Denver Nuggets21111052%117.6117.0+0.6
16 Milwaukee Bucks23121152%113.4112.4+1.0
17 Los Angeles Lakers23121152%112.3116.5-4.2
18 San Antonio Spurs23111248%111.0113.0-2.0
19 Sacramento Kings24111346%115.4113.9+1.5
20 Brooklyn Nets24101442%110.1113.8-3.8
21 Detroit Pistons25101540%110.5113.0-2.5
22 Chicago Bulls25101540%119.1123.0-3.9
23 Indiana Pacers25101540%114.0118.2-4.2
24 Portland Trail Blazers2381535%106.8116.4-9.6
25 Philadelphia 76ers2271532%105.2110.1-4.9
26 Toronto Raptors2471729%112.5117.4-4.9
27 Charlotte Hornets2471729%107.1112.6-5.5
28 Utah Jazz2251723%109.7117.7-8.0
29 New Orleans Pelicans2451921%104.5116.5-12.0
30 Washington Wizards2131814%107.4123.0-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Atlanta Hawks23253627111
Denver Nuggets38333535141
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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