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Atlanta Hawks vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 115-133
26-29 28-43 33-34 28-27
Position#17
Record14-14
FormLWLLW
Points / game111.4
Allowed / game109.1
vs
Position#11
Record14-14
FormWLWWL
Points / game105.9
Allowed / game106.2
USANBA· State Farm Arena
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Atlanta Hawks v Denver Nuggets
07 Feb 2027
ATL v DEN
upcoming
05 Dec 2025
ATL133
DEN134
08 Dec 2024
ATL111
DEN141
11 Dec 2023
ATL122
DEN129
02 Dec 2022
ATL117
DEN109
17 Dec 2021
ATL115
DEN133
21 Feb 2021
ATL123
DEN115
06 Jan 2020
ATL115
DEN123
08 Dec 2018
ATL106
DEN98
27 Oct 2017
ATL100
DEN105
08 Feb 2017
ATL117
DEN106
17 Mar 2016
ATL116
DEN98
07 Dec 2014
ATL96
DEN84
15 Mar 2014
ATL97
DEN92
05 Dec 2012
ATL108
DEN104
16 Mar 2011
ATL87
DEN102
07 Nov 2009
ATL125
DEN100
29 Dec 2008
ATL109
DEN91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atlanta Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
124-106
124
106
+18
120avg 104
A25/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
132-100
132
100
+32
136avg 104
A27/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
L
90-99
90
99
-9
75avg 104
H28/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
114-111
114
111
+3
108avg 104
A02/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
96-98
96
98
-2
91avg 104
H04/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
127-130
127
130
-3
122avg 104
H05/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
W
121-110
121
110
+11
119avg 104
A07/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
L
105-113
105
113
-8
92avg 104
H11/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
L
126-132
126
132
-6
116avg 104
H14/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
111-99
111
99
+12
106avg 104
A16/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-27
38-31
38-25
21-23
29-21
33-27
43-18
27-34
27-28
23-23
24-34
16-14
38-29
27-28
22-31
27-23
22-31
30-13
35-34
9-20
30-30
31-38
31-31
35-31
33-24
28-24
35-30
25-32
26-26
29-26
36-37
14-24
38-28
31-30
32-30
25-44
27-25
37-25
29-23
18-26
224.4Avg total
114.6Scored
109.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)111.4109.1220.5+2.250%
Season at home (14)113.0107.6220.6+5.457%
Season away (14)109.7110.7220.4-1.043%
Last 10 (10)114.6109.8224.4+4.850%
Last 5 (5)118.0116.8234.8+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)111.3112.2223.5-0.833%
vs Similar ◀ (16)107.8108.3216.1-0.538%
vs Weaker (8)118.0111.4229.4+6.675%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
109-120
109
120
-11
92avg 106
H27/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
120-111
120
111
+9
123avg 106
A30/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
L
103-108
103
108
-5
93avg 106
A02/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
W
113-99
113
99
+14
114avg 106
A04/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
97-109
97
109
-12
89avg 106
A07/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
120-114 OT
120
114
+6
110avg 106
A09/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
111-123
111
123
-12
98avg 106
A10/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
127-112
127
112
+15
124avg 106
A12/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
113-107
113
107
+6
114avg 106
H14/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
107-124
107
124
-17
105avg 106
H16/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-27
31-31
26-32
36-30
32-23
31-20
32-35
25-33
29-15
34-32
20-32
20-29
30-25
30-24
32-22
21-28
27-18
22-28
22-31
26-32
35-33
29-24
16-20
25-28
29-37
36-37
25-26
21-23
28-29
44-27
31-18
24-38
29-22
30-19
32-29
22-37
32-40
29-35
27-33
19-16
224.7Avg total
112.0Scored
112.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)105.9106.2212.1-0.450%
Season at home (13)104.5101.3205.8+3.262%
Season away (15)107.0110.5217.5-3.540%
Last 10 (10)112.0112.7224.7-0.750%
Last 5 (5)115.6116.0231.6-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)103.5112.0215.5-8.550%
vs Similar ◀ (22)106.4107.7214.1-1.341%
vs Weaker (6)106.0103.5209.5+2.567%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -5.4-5.4Q4: -5.5-5.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -5.4-5.4Q4: -5.5-5.5
Atlanta HawksDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
65-58
65
58
+7
A25/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
62-48
62
48
+14
A27/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H28/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
65-57
65
57
+8
A02/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H04/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
61-68
61
68
-7
H05/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
W
61-48
61
48
+13
A07/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H11/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
69-58
69
58
+11
H14/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
64-50
64
50
+14
A16/12
NBA
113.8Avg total
60.4Scored
53.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.954.2111.2+2.763%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.551.6108.1+4.980%-
Last 30 away (15)57.356.9114.2+0.547%-
Last 10 (10)60.453.4113.8+7.080%-
Last 5 (5)62.055.2117.2+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)55.553.0108.5+2.567%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)54.453.1107.6+1.350%-
vs Weaker (8)63.057.4120.4+5.688%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
47-58
47
58
-11
H27/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
63-43
63
43
+20
A30/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
63-47
63
47
+16
A02/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
W
60-49
60
49
+11
A04/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A07/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
64-57
64
57
+7
A09/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A10/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
72-56
72
56
+16
A12/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H14/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
61-75
61
75
-14
H16/12
NBA
114.9Avg total
60.3Scored
54.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.054.6110.6+1.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.652.7106.3+0.940%-
Last 30 away (15)58.556.5114.9+2.047%-
Last 10 (10)60.354.6114.9+5.770%-
Last 5 (5)64.260.6124.8+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)55.565.5121.0-10.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)56.354.9111.2+1.445%-
vs Weaker (6)55.249.7104.8+5.550%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 114.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.727.5
51.2%
53.1%55.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.113.9
40.8%
35.3%41.7
🏀 Free throws21.517.9
83.3%
77.4%17.9
They take 87.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 112.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.826.9
55.1%
53.1%53.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.614.4
38.3%
35.3%43.2
🏀 Free throws18.615.0
80.6%
77.4%15.0
They take 86.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Dec 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Atlanta Hawks
WLLWLLWLWW
Denver Nuggets
LWWLWLWLWL
#17
League position
#11
+4.8
Net rating
-0.7
115.3
Offensive rating
112.6
110.5
Defensive rating
113.3
55.1%
Effective FG%
56.1%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
57.0%
11.5%
Turnover %
11.7%
23.2%
Off. rebound %
16.3%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.22
40.8%
3-point %
38.3%
59.7%
Assist %
69.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.3 · 112.6Defence110.5 · 113.3Shooting55.1% · 56.1%3-point %40.8% · 38.3%Ball care11.5% · 11.7%Off. rebounds23.2% · 16.3%Free throws0.24 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Atlanta Hawks   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Atlanta Hawks wins
5
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/21AOrlando Magic111-99
14/12/21HHouston Rockets126-132
11/12/21HBrooklyn Nets105-113
07/12/21AMinnesota Timberwolves121-110
05/12/21HCharlotte Hornets127-130
04/12/21HPhiladelphia 76ers96-98
02/12/21AIndiana Pacers114-111
28/11/21HNew York Knicks90-99
27/11/21AMemphis Grizzlies132-100
25/11/21ASan Antonio Spurs124-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/21HMinnesota Timberwolves107-124
14/12/21HWashington Wizards113-107
12/12/21ASan Antonio Spurs127-112
10/12/21ASan Antonio Spurs111-123
09/12/21ANew Orleans Pelicans120-114 OT
07/12/21AChicago Bulls97-109
04/12/21ANew York Knicks113-99
02/12/21AOrlando Magic103-108
30/11/21AMiami Heat120-111
27/11/21HMilwaukee Bucks109-120

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeLLLLL57%
AwayWWWWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %50%57%43%
Points / game111.4113.0109.7
Allowed / game109.1107.6110.7
Point differential+2.2+5.4-1.0
Avg total220.5220.6220.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeLLLWL62%
AwayWLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %50%62%40%
Points / game105.9104.5107.0
Allowed / game106.2101.3110.5
Point differential-0.4+3.2-3.5
Avg total212.1205.8217.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%23%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors2823582%111.8100.2+11.6
2 Phoenix Suns2823582%111.0104.5+6.5
3 Utah Jazz2720774%115.6104.1+11.5
4 Brooklyn Nets2921872%110.3106.5+3.8
5 Milwaukee Bucks30191163%110.6106.6+4.0
6 Chicago Bulls27171063%108.3105.7+2.6
7 Memphis Grizzlies29181162%111.1109.0+2.1
8 Cleveland Cavaliers30181260%106.6101.5+5.1
9 Miami Heat30181260%107.2103.8+3.4
10 Los Angeles Clippers29161355%106.1104.9+1.2
11 Los Angeles Lakers29161355%111.1111.2-0.1
12 Charlotte Hornets30161453%115.6116.4-0.8
13 Atlanta Hawks28141450%111.4109.1+2.2
14 Boston Celtics28141450%108.3107.2+1.1
15 Dallas Mavericks28141450%104.4104.6-0.2
16 Denver Nuggets28141450%105.9106.2-0.4
17 Philadelphia 76ers30151550%105.6106.7-1.1
18 Washington Wizards30151550%105.5108.3-2.8
19 Toronto Raptors28131546%105.9105.4+0.5
20 Minnesota Timberwolves28131546%108.6109.3-0.6
21 New York Knicks29131645%105.8107.2-1.3
22 Indiana Pacers31131842%108.0106.5+1.5
23 Sacramento Kings29121741%111.1114.0-2.9
24 Portland Trail Blazers29111838%108.0111.2-3.2
25 San Antonio Spurs27101737%108.8109.5-0.7
26 Houston Rockets2992031%106.1113.1-7.0
27 New Orleans Pelicans3092130%104.0109.9-5.9
28 Oklahoma City Thunder2781930%99.0108.3-9.4
29 Orlando Magic3052517%101.4111.9-10.5
30 Detroit Pistons2742315%100.1109.9-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Atlanta Hawks26283328115
Denver Nuggets29433427133
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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