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Atlanta Hawks vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 117-109
28-25 32-21 30-35 27-28
Position#16
Record12-10
FormWLLLW
Points / game113.9
Allowed / game113.5
vs
Position#2
Record14-7
FormLWWWW
Points / game115.4
Allowed / game113.1
USANBA· State Farm Arena
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Atlanta Hawks v Denver Nuggets
07 Feb 2027
ATL v DEN
upcoming
05 Dec 2025
ATL133
DEN134
08 Dec 2024
ATL111
DEN141
11 Dec 2023
ATL122
DEN129
02 Dec 2022
ATL117
DEN109
17 Dec 2021
ATL115
DEN133
21 Feb 2021
ATL123
DEN115
06 Jan 2020
ATL115
DEN123
08 Dec 2018
ATL106
DEN98
27 Oct 2017
ATL100
DEN105
08 Feb 2017
ATL117
DEN106
17 Mar 2016
ATL116
DEN98
07 Dec 2014
ATL96
DEN84
15 Mar 2014
ATL97
DEN92
05 Dec 2012
ATL108
DEN104
16 Mar 2011
ATL87
DEN102
07 Nov 2009
ATL125
DEN100
29 Dec 2008
ATL109
DEN91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atlanta Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
109-121
109
121
-12
97avg 105
A13/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
121-106
121
106
+15
111avg 105
A15/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
101-126
101
126
-25
83avg 105
H17/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
124-122 OT
124
122
+2
116avg 105
H19/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
102-114
102
114
-12
90avg 105
A22/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
115-106
115
106
+9
106avg 105
H24/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
L
122-128
122
128
-6
101avg 105
A26/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
98-106
98
106
-8
88avg 105
H27/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
101-104
101
104
-3
100avg 105
A29/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
125-108
125
108
+17
120avg 105
A01/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-37
27-30
33-32
25-22
29-24
34-26
31-30
27-26
18-30
35-32
25-35
23-29
29-31
26-31
27-27
29-22
26-38
33-26
23-21
20-29
35-26
37-31
25-31
18-18
33-38
39-31
32-25
18-34
31-23
29-28
21-34
17-21
34-23
21-28
26-30
20-23
38-27
32-23
30-26
25-32
225.9Avg total
111.8Scored
114.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)113.9113.5227.4+0.455%
Season at home (11)112.4111.8224.2+0.564%
Season away (11)115.5115.2230.6+0.345%
Last 10 (10)111.8114.1225.9-2.340%
Last 5 (5)112.2110.4222.6+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)101.5120.0221.5-18.50%
vs Similar (22)110.3110.1220.4+0.255%
vs Weaker (6)122.0116.7238.7+5.367%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#3
L
112-131
112
131
-19
100avg 112
A12/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
126-103
126
103
+23
129avg 112
A14/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
103-106
103
106
-3
92avg 112
H17/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
L
99-127
99
127
-28
84avg 112
A19/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
98-97
98
97
+1
94avg 112
A21/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
108-110
108
110
-2
102avg 112
H23/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
131-126 OT
131
126
+5
132avg 112
A24/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
114-104
114
104
+10
104avg 112
A26/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
129-113
129
113
+16
129avg 112
H29/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
120-100
120
100
+20
120avg 112
H01/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-33
32-33
34-31
21-34
32-20
30-27
35-29
29-27
27-30
27-25
30-25
19-26
27-29
28-44
28-32
16-22
25-25
30-31
24-18
19-23
29-28
28-30
24-25
27-27
38-21
31-42
15-34
36-23
31-26
33-26
23-25
27-27
42-39
28-29
36-23
23-22
44-24
30-23
22-25
24-28
225.7Avg total
114.0Scored
111.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)115.4113.1228.5+2.367%
Season at home (8)116.9105.9222.8+11.075%
Season away (13)114.5117.5232.1-3.062%
Last 10 (10)114.0111.7225.7+2.360%
Last 5 (5)120.4110.6231.0+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)114.6115.7230.2-1.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)116.4114.5230.9+1.964%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -1.8-1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -1.8-1.8
Atlanta HawksDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
51-67
51
67
-16
A13/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
63-50
63
50
+13
A15/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
53-62
53
62
-9
H17/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
55-62
55
62
-7
H19/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
59-64
59
64
-5
A22/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
72-57
72
57
+15
H24/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A26/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H27/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A29/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
70-50
70
50
+20
A01/12
NBA
119.3Avg total
61.0Scored
58.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.757.6114.2-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.655.1110.6+0.550%-
Last 30 away (16)57.659.8117.4-2.144%-
Last 10 (10)61.058.3119.3+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)65.855.6121.4+10.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)56.063.0119.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (22)54.556.2110.6-1.741%-
vs Weaker (6)65.060.8125.8+4.283%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#3
L
57-66
57
66
-9
A12/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
62-47
62
47
+15
A14/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H17/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
L
55-73
55
73
-18
A19/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A21/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H23/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A24/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
64-52
64
52
+12
A26/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H29/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
74-47
74
47
+27
H01/12
NBA
120.2Avg total
61.7Scored
58.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.058.4118.4+1.647%-
Last 30 at home (13)61.757.3119.0+4.446%-
Last 30 away (17)58.659.2117.9-0.647%-
Last 10 (10)61.758.5120.2+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)66.857.6124.4+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)57.856.6114.4+1.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)62.460.5122.9+1.957%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 111.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.231.9
53.9%
54.5%63.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.99.4
31.4%
35.8%28.2
🏀 Free throws23.819.8
83.2%
78.1%19.8
They take 89.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 114.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.630.8
55.4%
54.5%61.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.011.6
38.7%
35.8%34.8
🏀 Free throws22.817.6
77.2%
78.1%17.6
They take 85.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Atlanta Hawks
WLLLWLWLWL
Denver Nuggets
WWWWLWLLWL
#16
League position
#2
-2.3
Net rating
+2.3
109.4
Offensive rating
116.4
111.6
Defensive rating
114.0
51.6%
Effective FG%
56.3%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
12.9%
Turnover %
13.0%
23.6%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
31.4%
3-point %
38.7%
54.0%
Assist %
63.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.4 · 116.4Defence111.6 · 114.0Shooting51.6% · 56.3%3-point %31.4% · 38.7%Ball care12.9% · 13.0%Off. rebounds23.6% · 25.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Atlanta Hawks   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Atlanta Hawks wins
6
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/22AOrlando Magic125-108
29/11/22APhiladelphia 76ers101-104
27/11/22HMiami Heat98-106
26/11/22AHouston Rockets122-128
24/11/22HSacramento Kings115-106
22/11/22ACleveland Cavaliers102-114
19/11/22HToronto Raptors124-122 OT
17/11/22HBoston Celtics101-126
15/11/22AMilwaukee Bucks121-106
13/11/22APhiladelphia 76ers109-121
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/22HHouston Rockets120-100
29/11/22HHouston Rockets129-113
26/11/22ALos Angeles Clippers114-104
24/11/22AOklahoma City Thunder131-126 OT
23/11/22HDetroit Pistons108-110
21/11/22ADallas Mavericks98-97
19/11/22ADallas Mavericks99-127
17/11/22HNew York Knicks103-106
14/11/22AChicago Bulls126-103
12/11/22ABoston Celtics112-131

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW55%
HomeWLWWL64%
AwayWLLLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %55%64%45%
Points / game113.9112.4115.5
Allowed / game113.5111.8115.2
Point differential+0.4+0.5+0.3
Avg total227.4224.2230.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%27%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %9%18%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeWLLWW75%
AwayWLWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21813
Win %67%75%62%
Points / game115.4116.9114.5
Allowed / game113.1105.9117.5
Point differential+2.3+11.0-3.0
Avg total228.5222.8232.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%62%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)33% (3)100% (4)
Overtime %5%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics2218482%121.9113.3+8.6
2 Milwaukee Bucks2015575%112.3107.4+4.9
3 Phoenix Suns2115671%115.8108.4+7.4
4 Denver Nuggets2114767%115.4113.1+2.3
5 Cleveland Cavaliers2214864%112.9106.0+6.9
6 New Orleans Pelicans2113862%117.1111.0+6.0
7 Memphis Grizzlies2112957%115.0114.0+1.0
8 Indiana Pacers2112957%115.6115.4+0.2
9 Los Angeles Clippers23131057%107.2107.8-0.7
10 Sacramento Kings2011955%119.9117.2+2.7
11 Philadelphia 76ers22121055%108.3106.1+2.2
12 Atlanta Hawks22121055%113.9113.5+0.4
13 Utah Jazz24131154%117.0115.4+1.7
14 Toronto Raptors21111052%110.7109.3+1.3
15 Brooklyn Nets23121152%111.6110.6+1.0
16 Golden State Warriors22111150%117.5117.2+0.3
17 Minnesota Timberwolves22111150%114.4115.3-0.9
18 Portland Trail Blazers22111150%109.8111.5-1.7
19 Washington Wizards23111248%110.6111.7-1.1
20 Dallas Mavericks21101148%110.1108.7+1.4
21 New York Knicks22101245%115.2116.2-1.0
22 Miami Heat22101245%109.0110.0-1.0
23 Chicago Bulls2191243%112.0112.7-0.7
24 Oklahoma City Thunder2291341%116.0117.4-1.4
25 Los Angeles Lakers2081240%113.1114.2-1.1
26 Charlotte Hornets2271532%109.5115.4-5.9
27 San Antonio Spurs2261627%110.6121.0-10.3
28 Detroit Pistons2461825%110.0118.0-8.0
29 Houston Rockets2151624%109.8116.6-6.8
30 Orlando Magic2251723%108.3114.4-6.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Atlanta Hawks28323027117
Denver Nuggets25213528109
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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