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Atlanta Hawks vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 12 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 122-129
36-28 26-37 24-38 36-26
Position#21
Record9-12
FormLWLLL
Points / game122.2
Allowed / game122.5
vs
Position#3
Record14-9
FormWWLLL
Points / game113.6
Allowed / game110.6
USANBA· State Farm Arena (Atlanta)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Atlanta Hawks v Denver Nuggets
07 Feb 2027
ATL v DEN
upcoming
05 Dec 2025
ATL133
DEN134
08 Dec 2024
ATL111
DEN141
11 Dec 2023
ATL122
DEN129
02 Dec 2022
ATL117
DEN109
17 Dec 2021
ATL115
DEN133
21 Feb 2021
ATL123
DEN115
06 Jan 2020
ATL115
DEN123
08 Dec 2018
ATL106
DEN98
27 Oct 2017
ATL100
DEN105
08 Feb 2017
ATL117
DEN106
17 Mar 2016
ATL116
DEN98
07 Dec 2014
ATL96
DEN84
15 Mar 2014
ATL97
DEN92
05 Dec 2012
ATL108
DEN104
16 Mar 2011
ATL87
DEN102
07 Nov 2009
ATL125
DEN100
29 Dec 2008
ATL109
DEN91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atlanta Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
116-126
116
126
-10
104avg 110
H18/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
152-157
152
157
-5
145avg 110
H22/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
147-145 OT
147
145
+2
131avg 110
H23/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
136-108
136
108
+28
128avg 110
A26/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
103-113
103
113
-10
85avg 110
A26/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
105-128
105
128
-23
84avg 110
A29/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
137-135
137
135
+2
123avg 110
A01/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
121-132
121
132
-11
102avg 110
A03/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
113-114
113
114
-1
106avg 110
H07/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
114-125
114
125
-11
98avg 110
A09/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-30
32-27
31-37
29-32
40-34
46-39
28-46
38-38
45-33
32-34
23-28
31-36
34-30
36-28
37-20
29-30
26-33
27-36
29-21
21-23
33-29
28-35
29-38
15-26
26-35
36-31
39-39
36-30
37-42
26-25
35-32
23-33
33-31
23-22
26-28
31-33
23-35
45-27
24-31
22-32
252.7Avg total
124.4Scored
128.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)122.2122.5244.7-0.243%
Season at home (9)125.3126.1251.4-0.833%
Season away (12)119.9119.8239.7+0.250%
Last 10 (10)124.4128.3252.7-3.930%
Last 5 (5)118.0126.8244.8-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)119.1121.8240.9-2.732%
vs Similar (6)120.2124.2244.3-4.033%
vs Weaker (5)127.8120.0247.8+7.880%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
107-103
107
103
+4
103avg 111
A21/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
119-124
119
124
-5
111avg 111
A23/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
86-105
86
105
-19
66avg 111
A25/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
132-120
132
120
+12
137avg 111
H27/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
113-104
113
104
+9
107avg 111
A28/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
134-124
134
124
+10
130avg 111
H30/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
119-111
119
111
+8
118avg 111
A02/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
117-123
117
123
-6
112avg 111
A03/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
102-111
102
111
-9
93avg 111
A07/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
106-114
106
114
-8
94avg 111
H09/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
29-32
25-24
26-24
28-28
34-28
26-26
31-42
19-29
24-31
26-24
17-21
39-35
33-25
35-24
25-36
25-28
33-28
19-32
36-16
41-26
35-33
32-38
26-27
41-30
29-33
24-28
25-20
30-25
20-39
28-24
39-35
36-21
21-40
25-18
20-32
22-27
26-25
26-40
32-22
227.4Avg total
113.5Scored
113.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)113.6110.6224.2+3.061%
Season at home (10)120.2111.1231.3+9.190%
Season away (13)108.5110.2218.8-1.738%
Last 10 (10)113.5113.9227.4-0.450%
Last 5 (5)115.6116.6232.2-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (19)112.9111.9224.8+1.153%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)111.1101.7212.8+9.491%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +0.2+0.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +0.2+0.2
Atlanta HawksDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
56-57
56
57
-1
H18/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
86-73
86
73
+13
H22/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H23/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
70-58
70
58
+12
A26/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
53-69
53
69
-16
A26/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
61-64
61
64
-3
A29/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
L
62-66
62
66
-4
A01/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
63-67
63
67
-4
A03/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
56-53
56
53
+3
H07/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
68-62
68
62
+6
A09/12
NBA
128.8Avg total
65.2Scored
63.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.262.2123.4-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (13)63.163.2126.3-0.246%-
Last 30 away (17)59.861.4121.2-1.547%-
Last 10 (10)65.263.6128.8+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)62.062.4124.4-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)60.864.7125.5-3.832%-
vs Similar (6)62.358.3120.7+4.067%-
vs Weaker (5)61.457.2118.6+4.280%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
56-55
56
55
+1
A21/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
62-56
62
56
+6
A23/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
43-60
43
60
-17
A25/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H27/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
58-56
58
56
+2
A28/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
76-59
76
59
+17
H30/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
70-63
70
63
+7
A02/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
50-64
50
64
-14
A03/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
57-61
57
61
-4
A07/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H09/12
NBA
117.8Avg total
59.2Scored
58.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.556.2113.7+1.363%-
Last 30 at home (13)59.253.2112.5+6.069%-
Last 30 away (17)56.258.4114.6-2.259%-
Last 10 (10)59.258.6117.8+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)60.259.8120.0+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (19)57.758.9116.6-1.253%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)57.251.5108.6+5.782%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 124.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.429.9
50.3%
54.4%59.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.214.9
38.0%
36.3%44.7
🏀 Free throws23.919.9
83.3%
78.2%19.9
They take 98.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 113.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.332.2
51.7%
54.4%64.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.211.4
37.7%
36.3%34.2
🏀 Free throws21.014.9
71.0%
78.2%14.9
They take 92.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Atlanta Hawks
LLLWLLWWLL
Denver Nuggets
LLLWWWWLLW
#21
League position
#3
-3.7
Net rating
-0.4
117.3
Offensive rating
113.6
121.0
Defensive rating
114.0
53.0%
Effective FG%
53.3%
58.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
11.4%
Turnover %
11.1%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.23
38.0%
3-point %
37.7%
52.0%
Assist %
69.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence117.3 · 113.6Defence121.0 · 114.0Shooting53.0% · 53.3%3-point %38.0% · 37.7%Ball care11.4% · 11.1%Off. rebounds29.9% · 26.9%Free throws0.24 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Atlanta Hawks   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Atlanta Hawks wins
6
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23APhiladelphia 76ers114-125
07/12/23HBrooklyn Nets113-114
03/12/23AMilwaukee Bucks121-132
01/12/23ASan Antonio Spurs137-135
29/11/23ACleveland Cavaliers105-128
26/11/23ABoston Celtics103-113
26/11/23AWashington Wizards136-108
23/11/23HBrooklyn Nets147-145 OT
22/11/23HIndiana Pacers152-157
18/11/23HPhiladelphia 76ers116-126
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23HHouston Rockets106-114
07/12/23ALos Angeles Clippers102-111
03/12/23ASacramento Kings117-123
02/12/23APhoenix Suns119-111
30/11/23HHouston Rockets134-124
28/11/23ALos Angeles Clippers113-104
27/11/23HSan Antonio Spurs132-120
25/11/23AHouston Rockets86-105
23/11/23AOrlando Magic119-124
21/11/23ADetroit Pistons107-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL43%
HomeLLLWL33%
AwayLLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21912
Win %43%33%50%
Points / game122.2125.3119.9
Allowed / game122.5126.1119.8
Point differential-0.2-0.8+0.2
Avg total244.7251.4239.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%11%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)25% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL61%
HomeWWWWL90%
AwayLWWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231013
Win %61%90%38%
Points / game113.6120.2108.5
Allowed / game110.6111.1110.2
Point differential+3.0+9.1-1.7
Avg total224.2231.3218.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%60%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minnesota Timberwolves2117481%113.0105.2+7.8
2 Boston Celtics2016480%117.5108.2+9.4
3 Milwaukee Bucks2014670%121.1118.1+3.0
4 Orlando Magic2316770%114.0108.9+5.1
5 Philadelphia 76ers2215768%122.0113.2+8.8
6 Oklahoma City Thunder2114767%119.7112.5+7.2
7 Sacramento Kings1912763%116.4116.2+0.2
8 Dallas Mavericks2113862%119.9116.7+3.2
9 Denver Nuggets2314961%113.6110.6+3.0
10 New York Knicks2012860%111.5106.8+4.7
11 Indiana Pacers1911858%128.9125.8+3.1
12 Brooklyn Nets2112957%116.9113.1+3.8
13 Phoenix Suns2112957%115.7113.3+2.4
14 Los Angeles Lakers2112957%112.5113.5-1.0
15 Miami Heat23131057%112.6111.7+0.9
16 Cleveland Cavaliers23131057%110.5110.3+0.2
17 Houston Rockets1910953%110.3106.8+3.4
18 Los Angeles Clippers21111052%113.0109.0+4.0
19 New Orleans Pelicans21111052%114.0113.2+0.8
20 Golden State Warriors22101245%115.5115.1+0.4
21 Atlanta Hawks2191243%122.2122.5-0.2
22 Toronto Raptors2291341%111.0112.8-1.7
23 Chicago Bulls2391439%108.4112.5-4.1
24 Charlotte Hornets2171433%113.4121.0-7.6
25 Utah Jazz2271532%111.0119.7-8.7
26 Memphis Grizzlies2161529%106.2112.1-5.9
27 Portland Trail Blazers2161529%105.5112.4-6.9
28 San Antonio Spurs2131814%110.7122.8-12.0
29 Washington Wizards2231914%115.6126.3-10.7
30 Detroit Pistons232219%108.7118.8-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Atlanta Hawks36262436122
Denver Nuggets28373826129
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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