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Denver Nuggets vs Orlando Magic Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 18 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 01:00
Scheduled
Position#13
Record6-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game114.5
Allowed / game113.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.5/10
Below normal
5.0/10
Around normal
Position#20
Record4-7
FormLLLWW
Points / game108.5
Allowed / game114.0
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Orlando Magic
17 Jan 2027
DEN v ORL
upcoming
18 Dec 2025
DEN126
ORL115
06 Feb 2025
DEN112
ORL90
05 Jan 2024
DEN120
ORL122
15 Jan 2023
DEN119
ORL116
14 Feb 2022
DEN121
ORL111
04 Apr 2021
DEN119
ORL109
27 Jul 2020
DEN110
ORL114
18 Dec 2019
DEN113
ORL104
23 Nov 2018
DEN112
ORL87
11 Nov 2017
DEN125
ORL107
16 Jan 2017
DEN125
ORL112
08 Dec 2015
DEN74
ORL85
07 Jan 2015
DEN93
ORL90
11 Jan 2014
DEN120
ORL94
09 Jan 2013
DEN108
ORL105
22 Apr 2012
DEN101
ORL74
14 Dec 2010
DEN111
ORL94
13 Jan 2010
DEN115
ORL97
17 Jan 2009
DEN88
ORL106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Orlando Magic win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
84-96
84
96
-12
62avg 112
A23/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
141-135 OT
141
135
+6
113avg 112
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#9
L
114-134
114
134
-20
92avg 112
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
104-91
104
91
+13
93avg 112
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
W
127-120
127
120
+7
120avg 112
A31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
L
110-118
110
118
-8
96avg 112
H03/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#17
W
128-109
128
109
+19
134avg 112
H05/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#22
W
114-102
114
102
+12
109avg 112
A07/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
100-110
100
110
-10
87avg 112
A10/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
123-118
123
118
+5
114avg 112
A12/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
21-20
16-26
20-26
24-38
33-35
32-35
37-18
32-28
24-32
28-40
30-34
37-18
20-27
22-28
25-18
32-37
39-30
32-26
24-27
31-19
35-39
21-27
23-33
33-35
31-32
39-15
25-27
27-19
37-22
26-37
24-24
24-32
16-22
28-23
32-33
35-24
30-28
29-38
29-28
227.8Avg total
114.5Scored
113.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)114.5113.3227.8+1.260%
Season at home (4)123.2124.0247.2-0.850%
Season away (6)108.7106.2214.8+2.567%
Last 10 (10)114.5113.3227.8+1.260%
Last 5 (5)115.0111.4226.4+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)114.8117.4232.2-2.640%
vs Similar (13)113.9113.0226.9+0.962%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)128.2117.0245.2+11.292%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
L
93-115
93
115
-22
83avg 105
H23/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
W
111-102
111
102
+9
108avg 105
A25/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#17
L
99-129
99
129
-30
86avg 105
A28/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#17
W
121-114
121
114
+7
120avg 105
A30/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#2
L
97-108
97
108
-11
91avg 105
H01/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
94-103
94
103
-9
84avg 105
H03/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
L
104-117
104
117
-13
102avg 105
A06/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#9
L
119-126 OT
119
126
-7
104avg 105
A08/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
107-100
107
100
+7
98avg 105
A11/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
123-108
123
108
+15
116avg 105
A12/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
25-31
15-29
33-29
21-28
27-24
23-23
40-27
25-32
28-37
23-34
23-26
31-27
33-28
31-33
26-26
23-24
27-31
24-22
23-31
33-28
26-32
9-19
26-24
26-33
25-30
22-33
31-21
19-31
22-26
37-20
32-33
34-27
23-25
27-24
23-24
29-34
37-25
19-28
38-21
219.0Avg total
106.8Scored
112.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)108.5114.0222.5-5.536%
Season at home (4)102.2114.5216.8-12.20%
Season away (7)112.0113.7225.7-1.757%
Last 10 (10)106.8112.2219.0-5.440%
Last 5 (5)109.4110.8220.2-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)105.0110.2215.2-5.238%
vs Similar (8)106.4114.9221.2-8.538%
vs Weaker (6)121.3110.5231.8+10.8100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +3.3+3.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +3.3+3.3
Denver NuggetsOrlando Magic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A23/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
57-73
57
73
-16
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#9
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H03/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#17
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H05/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#22
W
64-41
64
41
+23
A07/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A10/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
65-52
65
52
+13
A12/11
NBA
114.9Avg total
58.8Scored
56.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.457.9118.3+2.553%-
Last 30 at home (17)62.361.1123.4+1.241%-
Last 30 away (13)57.953.7111.6+4.269%-
Last 10 (10)58.856.1114.9+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)59.854.4114.2+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)57.255.0112.2+2.260%-
vs Similar (13)58.856.5115.3+2.254%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)63.560.5124.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H23/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A25/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#17
L
53-69
53
69
-16
A28/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#17
W
64-55
64
55
+9
A30/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#2
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H01/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H03/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
L
51-63
51
63
-12
A06/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#9
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A08/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A11/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
66-59
66
59
+7
A12/11
NBA
111.3Avg total
53.4Scored
57.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.256.7113.9+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (13)60.055.4115.4+4.662%-
Last 30 away (17)55.157.8112.8-2.741%-
Last 10 (10)53.457.9111.3-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)54.858.2113.0-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)54.955.7110.6-0.844%-
vs Similar (8)57.958.8116.6-0.938%-
vs Weaker (6)62.556.8119.3+5.783%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 112.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.0 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.031.2
56.7%
53.9%62.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.410.1
32.2%
35.0%30.3
🏀 Free throws24.919.6
78.7%
76.9%19.6
They take 86.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 103.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.0 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.923.6
52.6%
53.9%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.313.2
32.8%
35.0%39.6
🏀 Free throws23.217.1
73.7%
76.9%17.1
They take 85.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLWWLWWLWL
Orlando Magic
WWLLLLWLWL
#13
League position
#20
-1.6
Net rating
-8.1
110.1
Offensive rating
104.5
111.6
Defensive rating
112.6
53.6%
Effective FG%
50.9%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
11.1%
Turnover %
15.7%
16.8%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.2%
3-point %
32.8%
65.9%
Assist %
67.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 104.5Defence111.6 · 112.6Shooting53.6% · 50.9%3-point %32.2% · 32.8%Ball care11.1% · 15.7%Off. rebounds16.8% · 25.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Orlando Magic
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Denver Nuggets wins
5
Orlando Magic wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AMemphis Grizzlies123-118
10/11/26AHouston Rockets100-110
07/11/26AIndiana Pacers114-102
05/11/26HToronto Raptors128-109
03/11/26HPortland Trail Blazers110-118
31/10/26APhoenix Suns127-120
29/10/26ANew Orleans Pelicans104-91
27/10/26HGolden State Warriors114-134
25/10/26HNew Orleans Pelicans141-135 OT
23/10/26AOklahoma City Thunder84-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AUtah Jazz123-108
11/11/26ASacramento Kings107-100
08/11/26AGolden State Warriors119-126 OT
06/11/26APhoenix Suns104-117
03/11/26HWashington Wizards94-103
01/11/26HBoston Celtics97-108
30/10/26AToronto Raptors121-114
28/10/26AToronto Raptors99-129
25/10/26ANew York Knicks111-102
23/10/26HMinnesota Timberwolves93-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game114.5123.2108.7
Allowed / game113.3124.0106.2
Point differential+1.2-0.8+2.5
Avg total227.8247.2214.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %10%25%0%
Orlando Magic
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW36%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayWLLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %36%0%57%
Points / game108.5102.2112.0
Allowed / game114.0114.5113.7
Point differential-5.5-12.2-1.7
Avg total222.5216.8225.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %9%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
2 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
3 San Antonio Spurs1210283%119.2108.0+11.2
4 Houston Rockets129375%115.4106.5+8.9
5 Philadelphia 76ers129375%110.2109.2+1.0
6 Minnesota Timberwolves118373%118.1107.0+11.1
7 Portland Trail Blazers118373%119.5112.3+7.3
8 Detroit Pistons107370%112.7104.6+8.1
9 Golden State Warriors128467%119.3111.5+7.8
10 Oklahoma City Thunder128467%111.1106.9+4.2
11 Memphis Grizzlies117464%117.9111.9+6.0
12 Dallas Mavericks117464%114.9110.3+4.6
13 Denver Nuggets106460%114.5113.3+1.2
14 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.2116.2+2.1
15 New York Knicks116555%110.3103.5+6.8
16 Cleveland Cavaliers126650%116.4114.3+2.1
17 Toronto Raptors115645%114.5111.9+2.5
18 Miami Heat115645%115.7120.0-4.3
19 Phoenix Suns104640%112.8118.1-5.3
20 Orlando Magic114736%108.5114.0-5.5
21 Charlotte Hornets114736%98.8110.4-11.5
22 Indiana Pacers124833%111.6114.0-2.4
23 Washington Wizards124833%107.5113.4-5.9
24 New Orleans Pelicans124833%116.9124.2-7.3
25 Brooklyn Nets113827%110.2115.3-5.1
26 Los Angeles Clippers102820%112.2118.1-5.9
27 Chicago Bulls101910%113.3128.8-15.5
28 Sacramento Kings111109%108.3121.0-12.7
29 Utah Jazz121118%106.6118.1-11.5
30 Milwaukee Bucks121118%106.8121.3-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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