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Denver Nuggets vs Orlando Magic Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 05 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 119-109
23-29 24-36 38-21 34-23
Position#6
Record32-19
FormLWWWW
Points / game115.5
Allowed / game109.4
vs
Position#28
Record19-34
FormLLWWL
Points / game105.0
Allowed / game111.6
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Orlando Magic
17 Jan 2027
DEN v ORL
upcoming
18 Dec 2025
DEN126
ORL115
06 Feb 2025
DEN112
ORL90
05 Jan 2024
DEN120
ORL122
15 Jan 2023
DEN119
ORL116
14 Feb 2022
DEN121
ORL111
04 Apr 2021
DEN119
ORL109
27 Jul 2020
DEN110
ORL114
18 Dec 2019
DEN113
ORL104
07 Jul 2019
DEN84
ORL79
23 Nov 2018
DEN112
ORL87
11 Nov 2017
DEN125
ORL107
16 Jan 2017
DEN125
ORL112
08 Dec 2015
DEN74
ORL85
07 Jan 2015
DEN93
ORL90
11 Jan 2014
DEN120
ORL94
09 Jan 2013
DEN108
ORL105
22 Apr 2012
DEN101
ORL74
14 Dec 2010
DEN111
ORL94
13 Jan 2010
DEN115
ORL97
17 Jan 2009
DEN88
ORL106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Orlando Magic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
121-106
121
106
+15
H16/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
129-104
129
104
+25
H18/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
131-127 OT
131
127
+4
H20/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
108-113
108
113
-5
H21/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
110-99
110
99
+11
A23/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
111-135
111
135
-24
A24/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
113-108
113
108
+5
A27/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
126-102
126
102
+24
H29/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
104-95
104
95
+9
H31/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
101-94
101
94
+7
A02/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-32
33-24
22-35
34-15
26-25
31-20
38-22
34-37
20-30
27-25
34-34
35-27
30-22
21-36
29-25
28-30
30-15
31-24
19-30
30-30
30-38
24-34
27-26
30-37
26-33
28-30
31-23
28-22
31-35
34-20
32-24
29-23
44-22
24-23
20-26
16-24
31-20
31-29
19-21
20-24
223.7Avg total
115.4Scored
108.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)115.5109.4224.9+6.163%
Season at home (25)117.0109.0226.0+8.064%
Season away (26)114.1109.8223.8+4.362%
Last 10 (10)115.4108.3223.7+7.180%
Last 5 (5)111.0106.8217.8+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)111.2108.3219.5+2.862%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)117.1110.4227.5+6.865%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#11
L
93-94
93
94
-1
A18/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
121-113
121
113
+8
H20/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
96-112
96
112
-16
A21/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
99-110
99
110
-11
H23/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
112-111
112
111
+1
H25/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
105-112
105
112
-7
H27/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
93-96
93
96
-3
A29/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
103-96
103
96
+7
A31/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
115-110 OT
115
110
+5
A02/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
91-137
91
137
-46
A04/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
18-21
22-27
27-22
35-29
29-33
39-22
18-29
31-27
17-29
25-33
23-23
15-30
24-31
30-19
30-30
24-32
35-27
27-32
26-20
32-35
23-30
22-15
28-32
21-22
18-22
30-25
24-27
13-26
24-25
33-22
33-23
27-26
25-19
19-31
30-25
20-38
20-40
32-29
19-30
211.9Avg total
102.8Scored
109.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (53)105.0111.6216.6-6.636%
Season at home (27)107.2111.4218.6-4.241%
Season away (26)102.7111.8214.5-9.131%
Last 10 (10)102.8109.1211.9-6.340%
Last 5 (5)101.4110.2211.6-8.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)103.4111.5214.9-8.130%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -0.3-0.3
Denver NuggetsOrlando Magic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H16/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H18/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
47-55
47
55
-8
H20/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H21/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
61-39
61
39
+22
A23/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
54-72
54
72
-18
A24/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
54-63
54
63
-9
A27/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
65-55
65
55
+10
H29/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
68-45
68
45
+23
H31/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
62-49
62
49
+13
A02/04
NBA
112.1Avg total
58.4Scored
53.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.254.7113.9+4.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)59.554.2113.7+5.357%-
Last 30 away (16)59.055.1114.1+3.950%-
Last 10 (10)58.453.7112.1+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)60.656.8117.4+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)61.755.1116.8+6.662%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)57.454.4111.7+3.047%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#11
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A18/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
64-62
64
62
+2
H20/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A21/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
39-61
39
61
-22
H23/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
D
59-59
59
59
+0
H25/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
55-65
55
65
-10
H27/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A29/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A31/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A02/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
40-78
40
78
-38
A04/04
NBA
104.3Avg total
47.7Scored
56.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.655.4106.0-4.927%-
Last 30 at home (16)54.556.4110.9-1.931%-
Last 30 away (14)46.154.3100.4-8.221%-
Last 10 (10)47.756.6104.3-8.920%-
Last 5 (5)44.656.6101.2-12.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)50.655.4106.0-4.927%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 115.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.931.7
55.7%
52.8%63.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.313.3
39.9%
36.6%39.9
🏀 Free throws15.412.1
78.6%
77.7%12.1
They take 90.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 102.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.228.0
47.3%
52.8%56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.410.1
33.2%
36.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws21.216.3
76.9%
77.7%16.3
They take 89.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWWLWLWWW
Orlando Magic
LWWLLWLLWL
#6
League position
#28
+7.3
Net rating
-6.6
118.2
Offensive rating
103.5
110.9
Defensive rating
110.1
57.3%
Effective FG%
48.2%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
12.8%
Turnover %
10.8%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
20.7%
0.17
Free-throw rate
0.24
39.9%
3-point %
33.2%
64.9%
Assist %
56.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence118.2 · 103.5Defence110.9 · 110.1Shooting57.3% · 48.2%3-point %39.9% · 33.2%Ball care12.8% · 10.8%Off. rebounds27.6% · 20.7%Free throws0.17 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Orlando Magic
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Denver Nuggets wins
1
Orlando Magic wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/21ALos Angeles Clippers101-94
31/03/21HPhiladelphia 76ers104-95
29/03/21HAtlanta Hawks126-102
27/03/21ANew Orleans Pelicans113-108
24/03/21AToronto Raptors111-135
23/03/21AOrlando Magic110-99
21/03/21HNew Orleans Pelicans108-113
20/03/21HChicago Bulls131-127 OT
18/03/21HCharlotte Hornets129-104
16/03/21HIndiana Pacers121-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/21AUtah Jazz91-137
02/04/21ANew Orleans Pelicans115-110 OT
31/03/21ALos Angeles Clippers103-96
29/03/21ALos Angeles Lakers93-96
27/03/21HPortland Trail Blazers105-112
25/03/21HPhoenix Suns112-111
23/03/21HDenver Nuggets99-110
21/03/21ABoston Celtics96-112
20/03/21HBrooklyn Nets121-113
18/03/21ANew York Knicks93-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW63%
HomeWWLWW64%
AwayWWLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512526
Win %63%64%62%
Points / game115.5117.0114.1
Allowed / game109.4109.0109.8
Point differential+6.1+8.0+4.3
Avg total224.9226.0223.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%44%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (15)38% (8)57% (7)
Overtime %10%12%8%
Orlando Magic
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL36%
HomeLWLWL41%
AwayLLWWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532726
Win %36%41%31%
Points / game105.0107.2102.7
Allowed / game111.6111.4111.8
Point differential-6.6-4.2-9.1
Avg total216.6218.6214.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%11%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)57% (7)50% (6)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz52411179%117.2106.8+10.5
2 Philadelphia 76ers52361669%114.1109.1+5.0
3 Brooklyn Nets52361669%118.6113.8+4.8
4 Phoenix Suns52341865%113.4107.7+5.7
5 Los Angeles Lakers54351965%110.1105.6+4.5
6 Denver Nuggets51321963%115.5109.4+6.1
7 Milwaukee Bucks52322062%118.6113.4+5.2
8 Los Angeles Clippers54332161%113.3108.3+5.1
9 Portland Trail Blazers53312258%114.5115.2-0.6
10 Dallas Mavericks51292257%112.5110.1+2.3
11 Memphis Grizzlies51272453%112.4110.8+1.6
12 Miami Heat52272552%106.3107.2-0.8
13 New York Knicks54282652%104.5102.9+1.6
14 Atlanta Hawks54282652%113.2111.7+1.5
15 Charlotte Hornets53262749%110.8112.1-1.2
16 Boston Celtics52252748%111.7110.6+1.1
17 San Antonio Spurs50242648%110.3112.2-2.0
18 Golden State Warriors53252847%111.8113.7-1.9
19 New Orleans Pelicans51242747%115.3114.4+0.9
20 Sacramento Kings54243044%114.5118.4-3.9
21 Chicago Bulls52232944%112.3113.2-0.9
22 Indiana Pacers51222943%112.5113.1-0.6
23 Toronto Raptors52213140%112.1111.6+0.5
24 Oklahoma City Thunder52213140%105.9113.1-7.2
25 Orlando Magic53193436%105.0111.6-6.6
26 Cleveland Cavaliers53193436%102.5110.9-8.5
27 Washington Wizards51183335%112.7118.2-5.5
28 Detroit Pistons53163730%105.8109.4-3.6
29 Houston Rockets53163730%107.8113.0-5.2
30 Minnesota Timberwolves53134025%109.3117.1-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets23243834119
Orlando Magic29362123109
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