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Denver Nuggets vs Orlando Magic Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 16 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 119-116
31-25 38-29 25-34 25-28
Position#2
Record29-13
FormWWWWW
Points / game117.0
Allowed / game113.0
Denver Nuggets 🏆
USA
vs
Orlando Magic
USA
Position#25
Record16-27
FormLWLWL
Points / game110.3
Allowed / game114.2
USANBA
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Orlando Magic
17 Jan 2027
DEN v ORL
upcoming
18 Dec 2025
DEN126
ORL115
06 Feb 2025
DEN112
ORL90
05 Jan 2024
DEN120
ORL122
15 Jan 2023
DEN119
ORL116
14 Feb 2022
DEN121
ORL111
04 Apr 2021
DEN119
ORL109
27 Jul 2020
DEN110
ORL114
18 Dec 2019
DEN113
ORL104
23 Nov 2018
DEN112
ORL87
11 Nov 2017
DEN125
ORL107
16 Jan 2017
DEN125
ORL112
08 Dec 2015
DEN74
ORL85
07 Jan 2015
DEN93
ORL90
11 Jan 2014
DEN120
ORL94
09 Jan 2013
DEN108
ORL105
22 Apr 2012
DEN101
ORL74
14 Dec 2010
DEN111
ORL94
13 Jan 2010
DEN115
ORL97
17 Jan 2009
DEN88
ORL106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Orlando Magic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
113-106
113
106
+7
112avg 114
A28/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
126-127
126
127
-1
124avg 114
A29/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
124-119
124
119
+5
129avg 114
H31/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
123-111
123
111
+12
124avg 114
H02/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
111-124
111
124
-13
104avg 114
A03/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
122-91
122
91
+31
125avg 114
H06/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
121-108
121
108
+13
124avg 114
H07/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
122-109
122
109
+13
118avg 114
H10/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
126-97
126
97
+29
123avg 114
H12/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
115-103
115
103
+12
110avg 114
A14/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-32
27-24
32-27
34-23
40-24
35-38
30-32
21-33
23-19
37-38
25-33
39-29
37-28
25-26
36-31
25-26
23-23
30-36
32-31
26-34
32-15
34-17
36-27
20-32
26-28
36-30
32-24
27-26
29-23
33-25
32-31
28-30
34-28
36-26
30-21
26-22
32-34
25-24
29-23
29-22
229.8Avg total
120.3Scored
109.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)117.0113.0230.0+4.069%
Season at home (21)119.8108.3228.1+11.586%
Season away (21)114.2117.7231.9-3.552%
Last 10 (10)120.3109.5229.8+10.880%
Last 5 (5)121.2101.6222.8+19.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)118.3112.0230.3+6.369%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)116.5111.8228.3+4.671%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
133-113
133
113
+20
134avg 100
H24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
110-129
110
129
-19
100avg 100
H28/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
101-121
101
121
-20
93avg 100
A29/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
100-119
100
119
-19
79avg 100
H31/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
126-115
126
115
+11
126avg 100
H05/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
115-123
115
123
-8
106avg 100
H06/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
115-101
115
101
+14
108avg 100
A08/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
111-136
111
136
-25
100avg 100
A10/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
109-106
109
106
+3
99avg 100
A11/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
L
108-112
108
112
-4
91avg 100
A14/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-28
27-33
33-28
39-24
27-33
28-32
28-27
27-37
23-27
24-39
30-26
24-29
20-27
27-29
26-42
27-21
31-28
39-25
25-35
31-27
20-22
23-43
35-27
37-31
28-29
34-30
30-23
23-19
31-41
21-31
32-35
27-29
33-20
17-30
32-23
27-33
27-36
29-25
27-27
25-24
230.3Avg total
112.8Scored
117.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)110.3114.2224.5-3.837%
Season at home (22)113.9115.7229.6-1.945%
Season away (21)106.7112.5219.2-5.929%
Last 10 (10)112.8117.5230.3-4.740%
Last 5 (5)111.6115.6227.2-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)105.9113.0218.9-7.133%
vs Similar (18)111.5115.9227.4-4.439%
vs Weaker (3)116.7114.7231.3+2.067%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +1.3+1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +1.3+1.3
Denver NuggetsOrlando Magic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A28/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
75-62
75
62
+13
A29/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H31/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H02/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A03/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
66-32
66
32
+34
H06/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H07/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
62-48
62
48
+14
H10/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
70-54
70
54
+16
H12/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A14/01
NBA
115.2Avg total
61.4Scored
53.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.656.7117.3+3.960%-
Last 30 at home (17)61.654.5116.1+7.171%-
Last 30 away (13)59.359.5118.8-0.246%-
Last 10 (10)61.453.8115.2+7.670%-
Last 5 (5)63.450.0113.4+13.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)61.155.2116.2+5.977%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)60.257.8118.1+2.447%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#29
D
61-61
61
61
+0
H24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
55-65
55
65
-10
H28/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
47-66
47
66
-19
A29/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
47-56
47
56
-9
H31/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
70-53
70
53
+17
H05/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
43-65
43
65
-22
H06/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
62-59
62
59
+3
A08/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
52-72
52
72
-20
A10/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A11/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
L
56-61
56
61
-5
A14/01
NBA
115.1Avg total
54.3Scored
60.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.558.4111.9-4.933%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.159.3112.4-6.333%-
Last 30 away (15)54.057.5111.5-3.533%-
Last 10 (10)54.360.8115.1-6.520%-
Last 5 (5)52.661.4114.0-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)51.357.8109.1-6.444%-
vs Similar (18)54.657.8112.4-3.333%-
vs Weaker (3)54.063.7117.7-9.70%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 120.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.230.0
57.5%
54.5%60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.114.5
43.8%
35.8%43.5
🏀 Free throws20.616.8
81.6%
78.1%16.8
They take 85.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 112.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.830.6
54.8%
54.5%61.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.411.1
35.4%
35.8%33.3
🏀 Free throws24.618.3
74.4%
78.1%18.3
They take 87.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWWWLWWLW
Orlando Magic
LWLWLWLLLW
#2
League position
#25
+10.9
Net rating
-4.6
121.7
Offensive rating
109.9
110.8
Defensive rating
114.4
60.7%
Effective FG%
54.2%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.0%
13.9%
Turnover %
12.9%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
20.2%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.28
43.8%
3-point %
35.4%
66.5%
Assist %
58.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence121.7 · 109.9Defence110.8 · 114.4Shooting60.7% · 54.2%3-point %43.8% · 35.4%Ball care13.9% · 12.9%Off. rebounds24.7% · 20.2%Free throws0.24 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Orlando Magic
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Denver Nuggets wins
2
Orlando Magic wins
DateGameScore
15/02/22Denver Nuggets v Orlando Magic121-111
02/12/21Orlando Magic v Denver Nuggets108-103
05/04/21Denver Nuggets v Orlando Magic119-109
23/03/21Orlando Magic v Denver Nuggets99-110
27/07/20Denver Nuggets v Orlando Magic110-114
19/12/19Denver Nuggets v Orlando Magic113-104
02/11/19Orlando Magic v Denver Nuggets87-91
06/12/18Orlando Magic v Denver Nuggets118-124 OT
24/11/18Denver Nuggets v Orlando Magic112-87
09/12/17Orlando Magic v Denver Nuggets89-103
Denver Nuggetslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/23ALos Angeles Clippers115-103
12/01/23HPhoenix Suns126-97
10/01/23HLos Angeles Lakers122-109
07/01/23HCleveland Cavaliers121-108
06/01/23HLos Angeles Clippers122-91
03/01/23AMinnesota Timberwolves111-124
02/01/23HBoston Celtics123-111
31/12/22HMiami Heat124-119
29/12/22ASacramento Kings126-127
28/12/22ASacramento Kings113-106
Orlando Magiclast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/23AUtah Jazz108-112
11/01/23APortland Trail Blazers109-106
10/01/23ASacramento Kings111-136
08/01/23AGolden State Warriors115-101
06/01/23HMemphis Grizzlies115-123
05/01/23HOklahoma City Thunder126-115
31/12/22HWashington Wizards100-119
29/12/22ADetroit Pistons101-121
28/12/22HLos Angeles Lakers110-129
24/12/22HSan Antonio Spurs133-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW69%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLWLLW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422121
Win %69%86%52%
Points / game117.0119.8114.2
Allowed / game113.0108.3117.7
Point differential+4.0+11.5-3.5
Avg total230.0228.1231.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%62%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (14)62% (8)83% (6)
Overtime %5%5%5%
Orlando Magic
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL37%
HomeWLLWL45%
AwayLWLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432221
Win %37%45%29%
Points / game110.3113.9106.7
Allowed / game114.2115.7112.5
Point differential-3.8-1.9-5.9
Avg total224.5229.6219.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%27%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)75% (4)43% (7)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics44321273%118.5112.2+6.3
2 Memphis Grizzlies42291369%117.1111.8+5.4
3 Denver Nuggets42291369%117.0113.0+4.0
4 Brooklyn Nets42271564%113.9110.6+3.3
5 Milwaukee Bucks43271663%111.8110.9+0.9
6 Philadelphia 76ers42261662%113.8110.1+3.7
7 Cleveland Cavaliers44271761%111.5107.0+4.5
8 New Orleans Pelicans43261760%117.3113.3+4.1
9 Sacramento Kings42241857%120.0117.0+3.0
10 New York Knicks44251957%114.1111.1+3.0
11 Dallas Mavericks44242055%112.5111.7+0.8
12 Miami Heat44242055%108.8108.5+0.3
13 Indiana Pacers44232152%115.4115.9-0.5
14 Los Angeles Clippers45232251%109.4109.9-0.6
15 Minnesota Timberwolves44222250%114.8115.2-0.4
16 Golden State Warriors43212249%117.3117.9-0.6
17 Atlanta Hawks43212249%114.9115.9-1.0
18 Utah Jazz46222448%117.4116.7+0.7
19 Phoenix Suns44212348%112.7111.6+1.1
20 Oklahoma City Thunder44212348%116.8116.0+0.8
21 Portland Trail Blazers42202248%112.6112.3+0.3
22 Chicago Bulls44202445%114.5115.2-0.6
23 Los Angeles Lakers42192345%116.6117.9-1.2
24 Toronto Raptors43192444%111.8111.5+0.3
25 Washington Wizards43182542%111.7113.1-1.4
26 Orlando Magic43162737%110.3114.2-3.8
27 San Antonio Spurs44133130%112.6121.7-9.1
28 Detroit Pistons47123526%112.1119.5-7.4
29 Charlotte Hornets44113325%112.0118.7-6.7
30 Houston Rockets43103323%109.1117.0-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets31382525119
Orlando Magic25293428116
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