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Orlando Magic vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 124-119
28-28 28-34 26-26 42-31
Position#14
Record9-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game110.6
Allowed / game106.6
vs
Position#3
Record10-4
FormLWLLW
Points / game113.2
Allowed / game107.7
USANBA· Amway Center (Orlando)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Orlando Magic v Denver Nuggets
20 Mar 2027
ORL v DEN
upcoming
27 Dec 2025
ORL127
DEN126
19 Jan 2025
ORL100
DEN113
22 Nov 2023
ORL124
DEN119
09 Feb 2023
ORL115
DEN104
01 Dec 2021
ORL108
DEN103
23 Mar 2021
ORL99
DEN110
02 Nov 2019
ORL87
DEN91
05 Dec 2018
ORL118
DEN124
08 Dec 2017
ORL89
DEN103
10 Dec 2016
ORL113
DEN121
15 Mar 2016
ORL116
DEN110
22 Mar 2015
ORL100
DEN119
12 Mar 2014
ORL112
DEN120
02 Nov 2012
ORL102
DEN89
01 Apr 2012
ORL101
DEN104
18 Mar 2011
ORL85
DEN82
28 Mar 2010
ORL103
DEN97
11 Feb 2009
ORL73
DEN82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orlando Magic winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#23
W
115-113
115
113
+2
109avg 102
A03/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
120-101
120
101
+19
112avg 102
H04/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
102-117
102
117
-15
95avg 102
H07/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
L
119-120
119
120
-1
106avg 102
H10/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
W
112-97
112
97
+15
104avg 102
H11/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
104-124
104
124
-20
94avg 102
A15/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
96-94
96
94
+2
86avg 102
A16/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
103-97
103
97
+6
100avg 102
A18/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
128-116
128
116
+12
117avg 102
A19/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
126-107
126
107
+19
115avg 102
H22/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-34
36-24
24-28
25-27
39-25
28-26
34-29
19-21
33-27
33-26
17-33
19-31
34-34
35-39
29-20
21-27
29-25
36-24
23-23
24-25
24-33
36-24
26-31
18-36
21-21
29-12
23-31
23-30
23-16
25-17
29-32
26-32
42-21
36-23
29-34
21-38
30-23
37-33
33-26
26-25
221.1Avg total
112.5Scored
108.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)110.6106.6217.2+3.964%
Season at home (6)115.8104.7220.5+11.267%
Season away (8)106.6108.1214.8-1.562%
Last 10 (10)112.5108.6221.1+3.970%
Last 5 (5)111.4107.6219.0+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)107.8114.0221.8-6.220%
vs Similar ◀ (18)111.2108.2219.3+3.061%
vs Weaker (7)115.4113.6229.0+1.957%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
89-110
89
110
-21
73avg 111
A02/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
125-114
125
114
+11
126avg 111
H04/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
123-101
123
101
+22
126avg 111
H05/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
134-116
134
116
+18
134avg 111
H07/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
108-105
108
105
+3
96avg 111
H09/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
104-107
104
107
-3
97avg 111
A13/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
111-108
111
108
+3
109avg 111
H15/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
110-115
110
115
-5
111avg 111
A18/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
109-121
109
121
-12
97avg 111
A19/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
107-103
107
103
+4
103avg 111
A21/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
23-35
28-26
17-21
40-24
30-31
32-32
23-27
23-22
28-31
35-21
37-27
25-27
34-44
40-21
35-24
26-21
27-26
23-31
32-27
30-23
20-23
26-28
28-33
28-26
32-26
24-32
27-24
28-36
25-33
33-26
24-20
27-29
31-37
17-26
34-29
27-23
29-32
25-24
26-24
222.0Avg total
112.0Scored
110.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)113.2107.7220.9+5.571%
Season at home (7)118.6107.6226.1+11.0100%
Season away (7)107.9107.9215.7+0.043%
Last 10 (10)112.0110.0222.0+2.060%
Last 5 (5)108.2110.8219.0-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)115.4109.7225.2+5.768%
vs Weaker (11)109.3100.7210.0+8.591%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +8.3+8.3Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -7.0-7.0Q4: +2.7+2.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +8.3+8.3Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -7.0-7.0Q4: +2.7+2.7
Orlando MagicDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#23
W
66-58
66
58
+8
A03/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
67-51
67
51
+16
H04/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
66-53
66
53
+13
H07/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
L
69-73
69
73
-4
H10/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
W
65-49
65
49
+16
H11/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
60-57
60
57
+3
A15/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A16/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A18/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
78-44
78
44
+34
A19/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
67-56
67
56
+11
H22/11
NBA
114.3Avg total
63.6Scored
50.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.254.1112.2+4.167%-
Last 30 at home (14)61.054.6115.6+6.479%-
Last 30 away (16)55.753.6109.2+2.156%-
Last 10 (10)63.650.7114.3+12.990%-
Last 5 (5)60.644.6105.2+16.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)54.258.4112.6-4.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)56.951.1108.1+5.872%-
vs Weaker (7)64.158.6122.7+5.671%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
44-63
44
63
-19
A02/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
70-55
70
55
+15
H04/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H05/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
59-71
59
71
-12
H07/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H09/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A13/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
60-52
60
52
+8
H15/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
53-69
53
69
-16
A18/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
58-66
58
66
-8
A19/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
56-55
56
55
+1
A21/11
NBA
113.1Avg total
55.4Scored
57.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.054.4111.4+2.763%-
Last 30 at home (16)56.451.1107.4+5.369%-
Last 30 away (14)57.858.1115.9-0.457%-
Last 10 (10)55.457.7113.1-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)55.457.6113.0-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)58.256.7114.9+1.553%-
vs Weaker (11)55.050.3105.3+4.782%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 112.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.429.8
51.9%
54.4%59.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.010.4
34.7%
36.3%31.2
🏀 Free throws27.921.7
77.8%
78.2%21.7
They take 87.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 112.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.131.5
56.1%
54.4%63.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.511.3
34.8%
36.3%33.9
🏀 Free throws20.615.1
73.3%
78.2%15.1
They take 88.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orlando Magic
WWWWLWLLWW
Denver Nuggets
WLLWLWWWWL
#14
League position
#3
+3.8
Net rating
+2.0
109.3
Offensive rating
113.9
105.5
Defensive rating
111.9
51.9%
Effective FG%
54.7%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
15.1%
Turnover %
12.3%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.23
34.7%
3-point %
34.8%
60.9%
Assist %
67.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.3 · 113.9Defence105.5 · 111.9Shooting51.9% · 54.7%3-point %34.7% · 34.8%Ball care15.1% · 12.3%Off. rebounds28.2% · 25.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Orlando Magic   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Orlando Magic wins
7
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/23HToronto Raptors126-107
19/11/23AIndiana Pacers128-116
18/11/23AChicago Bulls103-97
16/11/23AChicago Bulls96-94
15/11/23ABrooklyn Nets104-124
11/11/23HMilwaukee Bucks112-97
10/11/23HAtlanta Hawks119-120
07/11/23HDallas Mavericks102-117
04/11/23HLos Angeles Lakers120-101
03/11/23AUtah Jazz115-113
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/23ADetroit Pistons107-103
19/11/23ACleveland Cavaliers109-121
18/11/23ANew Orleans Pelicans110-115
15/11/23HLos Angeles Clippers111-108
13/11/23AHouston Rockets104-107
09/11/23HGolden State Warriors108-105
07/11/23HNew Orleans Pelicans134-116
05/11/23HChicago Bulls123-101
04/11/23HDallas Mavericks125-114
02/11/23AMinnesota Timberwolves89-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orlando Magic
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW64%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayWLWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %64%67%62%
Points / game110.6115.8106.6
Allowed / game106.6104.7108.1
Point differential+3.9+11.2-1.5
Avg total217.2220.5214.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%67%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW71%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %71%100%43%
Points / game113.2118.6107.9
Allowed / game107.7107.6107.9
Point differential+5.5+11.0+0.0
Avg total220.9226.1215.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%57%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics1411379%117.2106.6+10.6
2 Minnesota Timberwolves1310377%113.2106.3+6.9
3 Oklahoma City Thunder1410471%119.6110.8+8.8
4 Philadelphia 76ers1410471%120.4112.2+8.1
5 Denver Nuggets1410471%113.2107.7+5.5
6 Milwaukee Bucks1410471%120.8117.7+3.1
7 Orlando Magic149564%110.6106.6+3.9
8 Dallas Mavericks149564%122.8120.4+2.4
9 Miami Heat149564%110.2108.9+1.3
10 Indiana Pacers138562%128.1125.9+2.2
11 Sacramento Kings138562%115.2115.5-0.4
12 Los Angeles Lakers159660%113.1112.6+0.5
13 New York Knicks148657%110.1105.8+4.4
14 Phoenix Suns148657%117.3114.9+2.4
15 Cleveland Cavaliers148657%111.9111.6+0.4
16 Houston Rockets126650%109.9107.0+2.9
17 New Orleans Pelicans147750%113.3114.0-0.7
18 Golden State Warriors157847%113.9113.5+0.3
19 Atlanta Hawks136746%122.4120.9+1.5
20 Brooklyn Nets136746%113.1113.8-0.8
21 Toronto Raptors146843%110.6111.9-1.4
22 Los Angeles Clippers125742%113.5109.7+3.8
23 Chicago Bulls1551033%106.7111.0-4.3
24 Charlotte Hornets134931%113.7122.2-8.5
25 Utah Jazz1441029%115.6122.6-7.1
26 Memphis Grizzlies1331023%108.7114.2-5.5
27 Portland Trail Blazers1431121%103.2113.6-10.4
28 San Antonio Spurs1431121%110.3124.1-13.9
29 Washington Wizards1321115%115.2124.4-9.2
30 Detroit Pistons1521313%109.5115.9-6.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Orlando Magic28282642124
Denver Nuggets28342631119
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