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Denver Nuggets vs Orlando Magic Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 27 Jul 2020
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 110-114
19-29 30-31 32-29 29-25
Position#7
Record48-23
FormLWLWL
Points / game109.9
Allowed / game106.7
vs
Position#19
Record33-40
FormWWWLL
Points / game105.8
Allowed / game106.8
USANBA· VISA Athletic Center
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Orlando Magic
17 Jan 2027
DEN v ORL
upcoming
18 Dec 2025
DEN126
ORL115
06 Feb 2025
DEN112
ORL90
05 Jan 2024
DEN120
ORL122
15 Jan 2023
DEN119
ORL116
14 Feb 2022
DEN121
ORL111
04 Apr 2021
DEN119
ORL109
27 Jul 2020
DEN110
ORL114
18 Dec 2019
DEN113
ORL104
07 Jul 2019
DEN84
ORL79
23 Nov 2018
DEN112
ORL87
11 Nov 2017
DEN125
ORL107
16 Jan 2017
DEN125
ORL112
08 Dec 2015
DEN74
ORL85
07 Jan 2015
DEN93
ORL90
11 Jan 2014
DEN120
ORL94
09 Jan 2013
DEN108
ORL105
22 Apr 2012
DEN101
ORL74
14 Dec 2010
DEN111
ORL94
13 Jan 2010
DEN115
ORL97
17 Jan 2009
DEN88
ORL106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Orlando Magic winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#25
W
115-98
115
98
+17
H26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
L
103-132
103
132
-29
A29/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
133-118
133
118
+15
H01/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
L
100-116
100
116
-16
H04/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#23
W
114-112
114
112
+2
A06/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
102-104
102
104
-2
A08/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
109-95
109
95
+14
H10/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#13
L
97-113
97
113
-16
A12/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H22/07
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
104-119
104
119
-15
A26/07
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-23
30-23
23-26
33-26
27-37
29-29
23-32
24-34
40-32
33-37
27-27
33-22
25-26
33-23
23-33
19-34
31-34
29-17
20-31
34-30
33-23
28-35
22-27
19-19
39-24
23-30
14-17
33-24
29-33
21-24
35-27
12-29
24-19
18-17
24-27
23-19
20-33
32-30
23-22
29-34
215.5Avg total
106.6Scored
108.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (71)109.9106.7216.6+3.268%
Season at home (35)110.6104.6215.2+6.077%
Season away (36)109.2108.8217.9+0.458%
Last 10 (10)106.6108.9215.5-2.350%
Last 5 (5)100.2102.6202.8-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)121.2112.0233.2+9.275%
vs Similar ◀ (15)108.8110.6219.4-1.853%
vs Weaker (11)110.5107.6218.1+2.864%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
130-120
130
120
+10
A27/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#27
W
136-125
136
125
+11
H29/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#18
L
113-114
113
114
-1
A01/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
L
107-130
107
130
-23
H03/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#6
L
113-116
113
116
-3
A05/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#27
W
132-118
132
118
+14
A07/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#10
W
126-106
126
106
+20
A08/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
120-115
120
115
+5
A11/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
L
90-99
90
99
-9
A22/07
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
112-119
112
119
-7
H25/07
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
41-37
39-31
27-25
35-35
34-30
34-31
33-29
27-38
26-23
28-24
32-29
28-35
30-34
30-23
19-38
26-30
29-30
29-28
29-28
29-24
36-31
37-28
30-35
34-24
37-22
34-30
21-30
27-35
23-28
35-23
35-29
26-21
16-32
28-22
20-24
19-35
28-25
40-29
25-30
234.1Avg total
117.9Scored
116.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (73)105.8106.8212.5-1.045%
Season at home (35)103.7106.2209.9-2.446%
Season away (38)107.6107.4215.0+0.245%
Last 10 (10)117.9116.2234.1+1.750%
Last 5 (5)116.0111.4227.4+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)102.5112.7215.2-10.215%
vs Similar ◀ (11)116.7113.3230.0+3.564%
vs Weaker (6)113.5107.2220.7+6.367%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +6.5+6.5Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -2.6-2.6
Denver NuggetsOrlando Magic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#25
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
L
56-66
56
66
-10
A29/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H01/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
58-49
58
49
+9
H04/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#23
W
60-51
60
51
+9
A06/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A08/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H10/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#13
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A12/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H22/07
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
52-63
52
63
-11
A26/07
NBA
112.2Avg total
57.3Scored
54.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.555.5111.0+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.952.1109.0+4.967%-
Last 30 away (15)54.158.9113.1-4.833%-
Last 10 (10)57.354.9112.2+2.470%-
Last 5 (5)53.453.6107.0-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)62.562.8125.2-0.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)53.355.5108.7-2.233%-
vs Weaker (11)56.152.9109.0+3.273%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#28
D
64-64
64
64
+0
A27/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#27
W
69-65
69
65
+4
H29/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#18
L
53-61
53
61
-8
A01/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
L
58-69
58
69
-11
H03/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#6
L
55-60
55
60
-5
A05/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#27
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A07/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#10
W
71-46
71
46
+25
A08/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A11/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A22/07
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
47-60
47
60
-13
H25/07
NBA
117.0Avg total
57.4Scored
59.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.757.3112.1-2.633%-
Last 30 at home (12)55.459.3114.8-3.933%-
Last 30 away (18)54.356.0110.3-1.733%-
Last 10 (10)57.459.6117.0-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)55.055.4110.4-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)52.957.3110.2-4.423%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)57.158.5115.6-1.545%-
vs Weaker (6)54.355.2109.5-0.833%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 106.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.429.0
54.3%
52.3%58.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.011.1
37.0%
35.7%33.3
🏀 Free throws20.415.3
75.0%
77.2%15.3
They take 83.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 117.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.231.4
54.9%
52.3%62.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.211.4
34.3%
35.7%34.2
🏀 Free throws26.020.9
80.4%
77.2%20.9
They take 90.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jul 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWLWLWLWLW
Orlando Magic
LLWWWLLLWW
#7
League position
#19
-2.3
Net rating
+1.7
108.3
Offensive rating
115.3
110.7
Defensive rating
113.7
54.7%
Effective FG%
53.7%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
57.4%
16.7%
Turnover %
11.1%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.29
37.0%
3-point %
34.3%
64.6%
Assist %
64.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 115.3Defence110.7 · 113.7Shooting54.7% · 53.7%3-point %37.0% · 34.3%Ball care16.7% · 11.1%Off. rebounds25.3% · 25.5%Free throws0.24 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Orlando Magic
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Denver Nuggets wins
1
Orlando Magic wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/07/20ANew Orleans Pelicans104-119
22/07/20HWashington Wizards89-82
12/03/20ADallas Mavericks97-113
10/03/20HMilwaukee Bucks109-95
08/03/20ACleveland Cavaliers102-104
06/03/20ACharlotte Hornets114-112
04/03/20HGolden State Warriors100-116
01/03/20HToronto Raptors133-118
29/02/20ALos Angeles Clippers103-132
26/02/20HDetroit Pistons115-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/07/20HLos Angeles Lakers112-119
22/07/20ALos Angeles Clippers90-99
11/03/20AMemphis Grizzlies120-115
08/03/20AHouston Rockets126-106
07/03/20AMinnesota Timberwolves132-118
05/03/20AMiami Heat113-116
03/03/20HPortland Trail Blazers107-130
01/03/20ASan Antonio Spurs113-114
29/02/20HMinnesota Timberwolves136-125
27/02/20AAtlanta Hawks130-120

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL68%
HomeWWLWW77%
AwayLWLLL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games713536
Win %68%77%58%
Points / game109.9110.6109.2
Allowed / game106.7104.6108.8
Point differential+3.2+6.0+0.4
Avg total216.6215.2217.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%34%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (20)57% (7)62% (13)
Overtime %8%6%11%
Orlando Magic
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL45%
HomeWLWLL46%
AwayLWWWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games733538
Win %45%46%45%
Points / game105.8103.7107.6
Allowed / game106.8106.2107.4
Point differential-1.0-2.4+0.2
Avg total212.5209.9215.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%23%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (17)83% (6)36% (11)
Overtime %1%3%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks72601283%118.9107.2+11.7
2 Los Angeles Lakers72541875%113.8106.8+6.9
3 Toronto Raptors70502071%112.8106.6+6.1
4 Boston Celtics70482269%112.5105.5+7.0
5 Denver Nuggets71482368%109.9106.7+3.2
6 Los Angeles Clippers70462466%114.5109.1+5.4
7 Miami Heat72462664%112.1108.2+3.8
8 Oklahoma City Thunder69432662%110.1107.9+2.2
9 Houston Rockets71442762%118.0114.4+3.6
10 Indiana Pacers71442762%109.8107.4+2.4
11 Philadelphia 76ers71432861%108.9106.2+2.7
12 Utah Jazz71432861%110.8108.8+2.0
13 Dallas Mavericks74433158%115.6109.9+5.7
14 New Orleans Pelicans71353649%116.6116.2+0.4
15 Brooklyn Nets70333747%110.0111.0-1.0
16 Memphis Grizzlies70333747%111.7113.5-1.7
17 Orlando Magic73334045%105.8106.8-1.0
18 Sacramento Kings71314044%109.5111.3-1.8
19 Portland Trail Blazers72304242%113.0114.9-1.9
20 San Antonio Spurs70294141%112.3114.8-2.5
21 Phoenix Suns71294241%112.0113.3-1.3
22 Washington Wizards71264537%114.5118.1-3.6
23 Chicago Bulls70244634%106.9109.8-2.8
24 Charlotte Hornets70244634%102.9109.4-6.5
25 Detroit Pistons71234832%107.1110.8-3.7
26 New York Knicks70224831%105.7112.0-6.3
27 Minnesota Timberwolves68204829%113.1117.7-4.6
28 Atlanta Hawks72215129%110.6119.2-8.5
29 Cleveland Cavaliers68194928%106.2114.8-8.6
30 Golden State Warriors70175324%106.7115.1-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets19303229110
Orlando Magic29312925114
← all games of the day
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