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Orlando Magic vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 108-103
15-29 32-34 32-20 29-20
Position#29
Record4-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game99.6
Allowed / game110.5
vs
Position#11
Record10-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game103.7
Allowed / game103.9
USANBA· Amway Center
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Orlando Magic v Denver Nuggets
20 Mar 2027
ORL v DEN
upcoming
27 Dec 2025
ORL127
DEN126
19 Jan 2025
ORL100
DEN113
22 Nov 2023
ORL124
DEN119
09 Feb 2023
ORL115
DEN104
01 Dec 2021
ORL108
DEN103
23 Mar 2021
ORL99
DEN110
02 Nov 2019
ORL87
DEN91
05 Dec 2018
ORL118
DEN124
08 Dec 2017
ORL89
DEN103
10 Dec 2016
ORL113
DEN121
15 Mar 2016
ORL116
DEN110
22 Mar 2015
ORL100
DEN119
12 Mar 2014
ORL112
DEN120
02 Nov 2012
ORL102
DEN89
01 Apr 2012
ORL101
DEN104
18 Mar 2011
ORL85
DEN82
28 Mar 2010
ORL103
DEN97
11 Feb 2009
ORL73
DEN82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orlando Magic winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#21
L
92-104
92
104
-12
76avg 92
H14/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
L
111-129
111
129
-18
101avg 92
A16/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
W
104-98
104
98
+6
91avg 92
A18/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
L
113-115
113
115
-2
105avg 92
A20/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
108-117
108
117
-9
92avg 92
A21/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
92-123
92
123
-31
73avg 92
A23/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
99-106
99
106
-7
90avg 92
H25/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
88-123
88
123
-35
71avg 92
H27/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
92-105
92
105
-13
77avg 92
A28/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
96-101
96
101
-5
88avg 92
A30/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-28
19-22
22-32
33-22
31-30
25-30
28-33
27-36
21-23
29-26
22-18
32-31
41-25
21-28
21-37
30-25
24-36
26-26
21-34
37-21
16-36
20-41
20-28
36-18
28-24
21-28
28-30
22-24
27-27
19-28
23-35
19-33
22-27
27-27
20-24
23-27
19-31
24-23
35-27
18-20
211.6Avg total
99.5Scored
112.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)99.6110.5210.0-10.918%
Season at home (9)94.6110.1204.7-15.611%
Season away (13)103.1110.7213.8-7.623%
Last 10 (10)99.5112.1211.6-12.610%
Last 5 (5)93.4111.6205.0-18.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)100.9113.1213.9-12.218%
vs Similar (2)99.5119.0218.5-19.50%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
101-98
101
98
+3
88avg 106
H11/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
W
105-96
105
96
+9
99avg 106
H13/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
124-95
124
95
+29
123avg 106
H15/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
L
101-111
101
111
-10
93avg 106
A16/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
89-103
89
103
-14
77avg 106
H19/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
108-114
108
114
-6
100avg 106
H20/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
L
97-126
97
126
-29
79avg 106
A22/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
L
100-119
100
119
-19
96avg 106
A24/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
109-120
109
120
-11
92avg 106
H27/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
120-111
120
111
+9
123avg 106
A30/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
21-24
25-21
32-33
32-25
17-21
30-23
26-27
33-18
34-35
24-26
33-16
32-35
26-14
25-30
18-32
23-24
29-34
17-29
20-16
30-30
22-23
26-35
30-26
28-48
32-25
18-27
19-26
27-33
25-33
27-24
21-29
16-27
31-31
26-32
36-30
32-23
31-20
32-35
25-33
214.7Avg total
105.4Scored
109.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)103.7103.9207.6-0.250%
Season at home (11)103.598.7202.3+4.864%
Season away (9)103.8110.2214.0-6.433%
Last 10 (10)105.4109.3214.7-3.940%
Last 5 (5)106.8118.0224.8-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)103.5112.0215.5-8.550%
vs Similar (24)108.1110.5218.5-2.442%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)105.0101.5206.5+3.575%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -0.8-0.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -0.8-0.8
Orlando MagicDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#21
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H14/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
L
56-60
56
60
-4
A16/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A18/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
62-53
62
53
+9
A20/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
50-62
50
62
-12
A21/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
36-77
36
77
-41
A23/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H25/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
46-55
46
55
-9
H27/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A28/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A30/11
NBA
104.4Avg total
47.8Scored
56.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.557.7106.2-9.220%-
Last 30 at home (11)45.657.5103.2-11.99%-
Last 30 away (19)50.157.8107.9-7.726%-
Last 10 (10)47.856.6104.4-8.820%-
Last 5 (5)44.658.4103.0-13.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)48.757.5106.1-8.821%-
vs Similar (2)45.561.0106.5-15.50%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#26
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H11/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H13/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
67-53
67
53
+14
H15/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A16/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H19/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H20/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
L
60-73
60
73
-13
A22/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
L
52-66
52
66
-14
A24/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
47-58
47
58
-11
H27/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
63-43
63
43
+20
A30/11
NBA
108.7Avg total
54.4Scored
54.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.355.5110.8-0.240%-
Last 30 at home (16)55.253.4108.6+1.850%-
Last 30 away (14)55.457.9113.4-2.529%-
Last 10 (10)54.454.3108.7+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)54.858.6113.4-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)55.565.5121.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (24)55.855.2111.0+0.646%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)52.252.5104.8-0.225%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 99.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.424.4
46.6%
53.1%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.012.2
31.3%
35.3%36.6
🏀 Free throws19.014.1
74.2%
77.4%14.1
They take 91.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 105.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.025.1
51.2%
53.1%50.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.313.7
37.7%
35.3%41.1
🏀 Free throws18.114.1
77.9%
77.4%14.1
They take 85.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Dec 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orlando Magic
LLLLLLLWLL
Denver Nuggets
WLLLLLLWWW
#29
League position
#11
-12.5
Net rating
-4.1
98.3
Offensive rating
111.7
110.8
Defensive rating
115.8
46.7%
Effective FG%
53.5%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
12.3%
Turnover %
11.2%
20.7%
Off. rebound %
21.5%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.21
31.3%
3-point %
37.7%
60.4%
Assist %
62.4%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence98.3 · 111.7Defence110.8 · 115.8Shooting46.7% · 53.5%3-point %31.3% · 37.7%Ball care12.3% · 11.2%Off. rebounds20.7% · 21.5%Free throws0.21 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Orlando Magic   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Orlando Magic wins
9
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/21APhiladelphia 76ers96-101
28/11/21ACleveland Cavaliers92-105
27/11/21HChicago Bulls88-123
25/11/21HCharlotte Hornets99-106
23/11/21AMilwaukee Bucks92-123
21/11/21AMilwaukee Bucks108-117
20/11/21ABrooklyn Nets113-115
18/11/21ANew York Knicks104-98
16/11/21AAtlanta Hawks111-129
14/11/21HWashington Wizards92-104
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/21AMiami Heat120-111
27/11/21HMilwaukee Bucks109-120
24/11/21APortland Trail Blazers100-119
22/11/21APhoenix Suns97-126
20/11/21HChicago Bulls108-114
19/11/21HPhiladelphia 76ers89-103
16/11/21ADallas Mavericks101-111
15/11/21HPortland Trail Blazers124-95
13/11/21HAtlanta Hawks105-96
11/11/21HIndiana Pacers101-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orlando Magic
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL18%
HomeWLLLL11%
AwayLLLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22913
Win %18%11%23%
Points / game99.694.6103.1
Allowed / game110.5110.1110.7
Point differential-10.9-15.6-7.6
Avg total210.0204.7213.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW50%
HomeWWLLL64%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %50%64%33%
Points / game103.7103.5103.8
Allowed / game103.998.7110.2
Point differential-0.2+4.8-6.4
Avg total207.6202.3214.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%27%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors2118386%113.1100.5+12.6
2 Phoenix Suns2118386%112.2104.6+7.6
3 Brooklyn Nets2115671%109.6105.6+4.0
4 Utah Jazz2114767%113.1103.4+9.7
5 Chicago Bulls2214864%109.1104.6+4.5
6 Miami Heat2113862%108.8103.3+5.5
7 Milwaukee Bucks2113862%109.9106.2+3.7
8 Washington Wizards2113862%105.8105.7+0.1
9 Charlotte Hornets23131057%114.4114.9-0.4
10 Dallas Mavericks1910953%104.2106.6-2.4
11 Atlanta Hawks21111052%110.4107.8+2.6
12 Boston Celtics21111052%107.1105.5+1.7
13 Minnesota Timberwolves21111052%108.1106.5+1.6
14 Los Angeles Clippers21111052%105.1103.6+1.5
15 Philadelphia 76ers21111052%107.4106.4+1.0
16 Cleveland Cavaliers21111052%103.6102.6+1.0
17 New York Knicks21111052%106.5106.4+0.0
18 Memphis Grizzlies21111052%110.0114.4-4.4
19 Los Angeles Lakers23121152%111.6113.2-1.6
20 Portland Trail Blazers22111150%110.4110.0+0.3
21 Denver Nuggets20101050%103.7103.9-0.2
22 Toronto Raptors2291341%105.2106.3-1.1
23 Indiana Pacers2391439%107.3106.0+1.2
24 Sacramento Kings2281436%109.4113.3-3.9
25 San Antonio Spurs1961332%107.2109.0-1.8
26 Oklahoma City Thunder2061430%98.5105.8-7.2
27 New Orleans Pelicans2361726%102.8109.3-6.5
28 Houston Rockets2041620%103.5112.0-8.5
29 Detroit Pistons2141719%98.7108.2-9.6
30 Orlando Magic2241818%99.6110.5-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Orlando Magic15323229108
Denver Nuggets29342020103
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