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Orlando Magic vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 115-104
29-26 36-29 24-29 26-20
Position#25
Record22-33
FormWLWWL
Points / game111.1
Allowed / game114.2
vs
Position#2
Record38-17
FormWWWLW
Points / game117.4
Allowed / game113.0
USANBA· Amway Center
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Orlando Magic v Denver Nuggets
20 Mar 2027
ORL v DEN
upcoming
27 Dec 2025
ORL127
DEN126
19 Jan 2025
ORL100
DEN113
22 Nov 2023
ORL124
DEN119
09 Feb 2023
ORL115
DEN104
01 Dec 2021
ORL108
DEN103
23 Mar 2021
ORL99
DEN110
02 Nov 2019
ORL87
DEN91
05 Dec 2018
ORL118
DEN124
08 Dec 2017
ORL89
DEN103
10 Dec 2016
ORL113
DEN121
15 Mar 2016
ORL116
DEN110
22 Mar 2015
ORL100
DEN119
12 Mar 2014
ORL112
DEN120
02 Nov 2012
ORL102
DEN89
01 Apr 2012
ORL101
DEN104
18 Mar 2011
ORL85
DEN82
28 Mar 2010
ORL103
DEN97
11 Feb 2009
ORL73
DEN82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orlando Magic winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#23
L
118-138
118
138
-20
108avg 101
A22/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
113-98
113
98
+15
104avg 101
H24/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
126-120
126
120
+6
125avg 101
H26/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
105-110
105
110
-5
103avg 101
A28/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
109-128
109
128
-19
103avg 101
H29/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
119-109
119
109
+10
105avg 101
A31/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
94-105
94
105
-11
75avg 101
A02/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
127-120
127
120
+7
117avg 101
A04/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
119-113
119
113
+6
114avg 101
A05/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
98-102
98
102
-4
92avg 101
H08/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-37
31-33
34-30
27-38
30-23
25-31
33-25
25-19
46-29
27-39
29-23
24-29
31-26
28-24
20-23
26-37
19-25
28-35
34-35
28-33
17-30
35-32
42-28
25-19
23-37
30-19
25-26
16-23
27-34
37-23
26-18
37-45
28-37
34-21
28-27
29-28
26-22
22-18
21-26
29-36
227.1Avg total
112.8Scored
114.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (55)111.1114.2225.3-3.140%
Season at home (27)113.9115.0228.8-1.148%
Season away (28)108.5113.5222.0-5.032%
Last 10 (10)112.8114.3227.1-1.550%
Last 5 (5)111.4109.8221.2+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)110.5109.5220.0+1.155%
vs Similar (16)116.1117.4233.5-1.456%
vs Weaker (3)116.7114.7231.3+2.067%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
134-111
134
111
+23
139avg 114
H21/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
99-101
99
101
-2
86avg 114
H23/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
99-98
99
98
+1
93avg 114
A25/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
99-107
99
107
-8
85avg 114
A26/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
119-126
119
126
-7
116avg 114
A28/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
122-113
122
113
+9
122avg 114
H01/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
134-117
134
117
+17
133avg 114
H03/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
128-108
128
108
+20
126avg 114
H05/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
98-128
98
128
-30
91avg 114
A06/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
146-112
146
112
+34
155avg 114
H08/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-28
24-25
38-29
35-29
18-27
29-25
27-29
25-20
28-24
35-23
20-27
16-24
27-26
26-32
20-23
26-26
38-29
35-29
26-38
20-30
31-35
26-25
36-24
29-29
34-35
36-34
35-22
29-26
35-30
35-22
27-34
31-22
21-32
22-31
28-31
27-34
49-19
30-29
31-27
36-37
229.9Avg total
117.8Scored
112.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (55)117.4113.0230.3+4.469%
Season at home (30)121.4109.4230.8+12.087%
Season away (25)112.5117.2229.8-4.748%
Last 10 (10)117.8112.1229.9+5.760%
Last 5 (5)125.6115.6241.2+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)116.3110.8227.1+5.567%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)122.4113.5235.9+8.987%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
Orlando MagicDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#23
L
57-70
57
70
-13
A22/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H24/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H26/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A28/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
47-60
47
60
-13
H29/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
52-62
52
62
-10
A31/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
53-56
53
56
-3
A02/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
64-57
64
57
+7
A04/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
62-58
62
58
+4
A05/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H08/02
NBA
114.5Avg total
57.0Scored
57.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.158.4114.5-2.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.156.8112.9-0.750%-
Last 30 away (16)56.259.8116.0-3.638%-
Last 10 (10)57.057.5114.5-0.560%-
Last 5 (5)55.854.6110.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)53.457.5110.8-4.145%-
vs Similar (16)58.458.1116.5+0.450%-
vs Weaker (3)54.063.7117.7-9.70%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
61-53
61
53
+8
H21/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H23/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
63-47
63
47
+16
A25/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
53-58
53
58
-5
A26/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
73-58
73
58
+15
A28/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H01/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
70-69
70
69
+1
H03/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
70-52
70
52
+18
H05/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
43-63
43
63
-20
A06/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
79-48
79
48
+31
H08/02
NBA
117.6Avg total
61.6Scored
56.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.555.8117.3+5.667%-
Last 30 at home (21)62.654.8117.4+7.976%-
Last 30 away (9)58.858.3117.1+0.444%-
Last 10 (10)61.656.0117.6+5.660%-
Last 5 (5)63.858.4122.2+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)60.855.8116.6+5.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)62.155.9118.0+6.367%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 112.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.029.9
53.4%
54.5%59.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.5
36.3%
35.8%31.5
🏀 Free throws28.021.5
76.8%
78.1%21.5
They take 84.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 117.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.131.6
58.4%
54.5%63.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.812.6
39.6%
35.8%37.8
🏀 Free throws22.616.8
74.3%
78.1%16.8
They take 85.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orlando Magic
LWWLWLLWWL
Denver Nuggets
WLWWWLLWLW
#25
League position
#2
-1.5
Net rating
+5.6
112.3
Offensive rating
116.4
113.8
Defensive rating
110.8
53.8%
Effective FG%
58.8%
57.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
13.1%
Turnover %
14.0%
24.0%
Off. rebound %
22.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.3%
3-point %
39.6%
58.4%
Assist %
67.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 116.4Defence113.8 · 110.8Shooting53.8% · 58.8%3-point %36.3% · 39.6%Ball care13.1% · 14.0%Off. rebounds24.0% · 22.3%Free throws0.33 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Orlando Magic   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Orlando Magic wins
8
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/23HNew York Knicks98-102
05/02/23ACharlotte Hornets119-113
04/02/23AMinnesota Timberwolves127-120
02/02/23APhiladelphia 76ers94-105
31/01/23APhiladelphia 76ers119-109
29/01/23HChicago Bulls109-128
28/01/23AMiami Heat105-110
26/01/23HIndiana Pacers126-120
24/01/23HBoston Celtics113-98
22/01/23AWashington Wizards118-138
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/23HMinnesota Timberwolves146-112
06/02/23AMinnesota Timberwolves98-128
05/02/23HAtlanta Hawks128-108
03/02/23HGolden State Warriors134-117
01/02/23HNew Orleans Pelicans122-113
28/01/23APhiladelphia 76ers119-126
26/01/23AMilwaukee Bucks99-107
25/01/23ANew Orleans Pelicans99-98
23/01/23HOklahoma City Thunder99-101
21/01/23HIndiana Pacers134-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orlando Magic
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL40%
HomeWWWLL48%
AwayLWLWW32%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games552728
Win %40%48%32%
Points / game111.1113.9108.5
Allowed / game114.2115.0113.5
Point differential-3.1-1.1-5.0
Avg total225.3228.8222.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%30%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (14)60% (5)33% (9)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW69%
HomeLWWWW87%
AwayWWLLL48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games553025
Win %69%87%48%
Points / game117.4121.4112.5
Allowed / game113.0109.4117.2
Point differential+4.4+12.0-4.7
Avg total230.3230.8229.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%57%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won72% (18)64% (11)86% (7)
Overtime %4%3%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics55391671%117.4111.4+6.0
2 Denver Nuggets55381769%117.4113.0+4.4
3 Milwaukee Bucks54371769%114.5111.8+2.7
4 Philadelphia 76ers53341964%114.3110.8+3.5
5 Cleveland Cavaliers57352261%111.8106.2+5.6
6 Memphis Grizzlies54332161%116.0112.2+3.8
7 Brooklyn Nets54322259%114.4112.6+1.8
8 Sacramento Kings54312357%119.5116.8+2.7
9 Miami Heat55302555%108.6108.4+0.2
10 New York Knicks56302654%114.2112.4+1.8
11 Phoenix Suns56302654%112.7111.3+1.4
12 Dallas Mavericks56302654%112.5111.8+0.7
13 Los Angeles Clippers58312753%111.1110.8+0.2
14 New Orleans Pelicans56292752%115.5113.5+1.9
15 Minnesota Timberwolves58302852%115.9115.5+0.4
16 Golden State Warriors55282751%118.5118.3+0.2
17 Portland Trail Blazers55272849%114.7114.4+0.2
18 Atlanta Hawks55272849%116.1116.5-0.4
19 Utah Jazz56272948%117.5117.1+0.4
20 Oklahoma City Thunder54262848%117.6116.6+0.9
21 Chicago Bulls54262848%114.3113.8+0.5
22 Toronto Raptors56263046%113.0112.2+0.8
23 Washington Wizards54252946%112.9113.3-0.4
24 Los Angeles Lakers55253045%117.3118.6-1.3
25 Indiana Pacers56253145%114.6116.9-2.3
26 Orlando Magic55223340%111.1114.2-3.1
27 Charlotte Hornets56154127%111.9118.6-6.7
28 San Antonio Spurs55144125%112.3122.4-10.1
29 Detroit Pistons56144225%111.8119.6-7.8
30 Houston Rockets55134224%110.4118.2-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Orlando Magic29362426115
Denver Nuggets26292920104
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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