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Denver Nuggets vs Orlando Magic Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Dec 2019
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 113-104
27-32 18-28 39-16 29-28
Position#7
Record21-8
FormLLWWW
Points / game106.8
Allowed / game101.2
vs
Position#19
Record15-18
FormLLLWL
Points / game103.0
Allowed / game103.7
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Orlando Magic
17 Jan 2027
DEN v ORL
upcoming
18 Dec 2025
DEN126
ORL115
06 Feb 2025
DEN112
ORL90
05 Jan 2024
DEN120
ORL122
15 Jan 2023
DEN119
ORL116
14 Feb 2022
DEN121
ORL111
04 Apr 2021
DEN119
ORL109
27 Jul 2020
DEN110
ORL114
18 Dec 2019
DEN113
ORL104
07 Jul 2019
DEN84
ORL79
23 Nov 2018
DEN112
ORL87
11 Nov 2017
DEN125
ORL107
16 Jan 2017
DEN125
ORL112
08 Dec 2015
DEN74
ORL85
07 Jan 2015
DEN93
ORL90
11 Jan 2014
DEN120
ORL94
09 Jan 2013
DEN108
ORL105
22 Apr 2012
DEN101
ORL74
14 Dec 2010
DEN111
ORL94
13 Jan 2010
DEN115
ORL97
17 Jan 2009
DEN88
ORL106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Orlando Magic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#24
W
117-104
117
104
+13
H27/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
97-100 OT
97
100
-3
A30/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
96-105
96
105
-9
H04/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#26
W
129-92
129
92
+37
A06/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
95-108
95
108
-13
A07/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
L
102-105
102
105
-3
A08/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
L
92-97
92
97
-5
A11/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
W
114-99
114
99
+15
H13/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#8
W
110-102
110
102
+8
H15/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#26
W
111-105
111
105
+6
H16/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
39-24
22-22
31-35
27-17
30-23
18-27
15-23
24-28
25-32
27-24
20-21
33-27
34-18
31-30
31-17
26-33
19-20
19-32
31-23
21-25
33-28
23-29
25-23
27-26
23-29
26-28
16-14
33-26
29-27
27-25
25-21
27-20
25-29
30-19
28-34
33-22
34-29
20-33
24-21
208.0Avg total
106.3Scored
101.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)106.8101.2207.9+5.672%
Season at home (15)108.0102.0210.0+6.080%
Season away (14)105.4100.3205.7+5.164%
Last 10 (10)106.3101.7208.0+4.650%
Last 5 (5)105.8101.6207.4+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)95.7101.7197.3-6.033%
vs Similar ◀ (22)105.8100.5206.2+5.373%
vs Weaker (5)115.6104.8220.4+10.880%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
83-90
83
90
-7
H30/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
100-96
100
96
+4
H01/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
W
127-120
127
120
+7
A04/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
128-114
128
114
+14
H05/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
93-87
93
87
+6
A07/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
101-110
101
110
-9
A10/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
87-96
87
96
-9
H12/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#10
L
107-130
107
130
-23
H14/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
130-119
130
119
+11
A15/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#11
L
102-109
102
109
-7
A18/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
24-20
12-26
24-24
26-22
25-29
21-20
28-25
32-26
36-28
29-34
30-32
31-37
34-21
38-28
25-28
24-25
28-22
16-23
25-17
20-31
20-21
33-28
28-30
9-26
29-25
27-18
22-27
22-28
33-34
23-34
29-34
24-30
34-27
41-27
31-35
20-26
27-32
24-24
31-27
212.9Avg total
105.8Scored
107.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)103.0103.7206.7-0.845%
Season at home (17)100.4103.7204.1-3.347%
Season away (16)105.7103.8209.4+1.944%
Last 10 (10)105.8107.1212.9-1.350%
Last 5 (5)105.4112.8218.2-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)94.0108.0202.0-14.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)108.9108.4217.2+0.550%
vs Weaker (6)99.593.0192.5+6.583%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -0.6-0.6
Denver NuggetsOrlando Magic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#24
W
64-47
64
47
+17
H27/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A30/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
49-60
49
60
-11
H04/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#26
W
67-45
67
45
+22
A06/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A07/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
54-53
54
53
+1
A08/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A11/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
W
62-53
62
53
+9
H13/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#8
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H15/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#26
W
67-51
67
51
+16
H16/12
NBA
107.3Avg total
56.7Scored
50.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.751.8105.6+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.952.7106.6+1.160%-
Last 30 away (15)53.650.9104.5+2.747%-
Last 10 (10)56.750.6107.3+6.170%-
Last 5 (5)57.052.2109.2+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)46.349.095.3-2.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)53.352.3105.6+1.055%-
vs Weaker (5)60.251.4111.6+8.860%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H30/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H01/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
W
68-54
68
54
+14
A04/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
65-58
65
58
+7
H05/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A07/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A10/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H12/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#10
L
55-62
55
62
-7
H14/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A15/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#11
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A18/12
NBA
105.1Avg total
52.1Scored
53.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.652.7103.4-2.143%-
Last 30 at home (17)49.451.6101.0-2.341%-
Last 30 away (13)52.354.2106.5-1.846%-
Last 10 (10)52.153.0105.1-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)47.656.0103.6-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)45.754.5100.2-8.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)53.853.6107.4+0.257%-
vs Weaker (6)51.547.899.3+3.750%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 106.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.630.1
52.3%
52.3%60.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.410.9
34.7%
35.7%32.7
🏀 Free throws18.113.4
74.0%
77.2%13.4
They take 89.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 105.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.127.5
49.0%
52.3%55.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.711.3
36.8%
35.7%33.9
🏀 Free throws21.916.9
77.2%
77.2%16.9
They take 86.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWLLLWLLW
Orlando Magic
LWLLLWWWWL
#7
League position
#19
+4.6
Net rating
-1.3
106.4
Offensive rating
106.8
101.8
Defensive rating
108.1
52.2%
Effective FG%
51.2%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
13.1%
Turnover %
12.8%
23.1%
Off. rebound %
21.6%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.7%
3-point %
36.8%
66.3%
Assist %
59.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 106.8Defence101.8 · 108.1Shooting52.2% · 51.2%3-point %34.7% · 36.8%Ball care13.1% · 12.8%Off. rebounds23.1% · 21.6%Free throws0.20 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Orlando Magic
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Denver Nuggets wins
2
Orlando Magic wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/19HNew York Knicks111-105
15/12/19HOklahoma City Thunder110-102
13/12/19HPortland Trail Blazers114-99
11/12/19APhiladelphia 76ers92-97
08/12/19ABrooklyn Nets102-105
07/12/19ABoston Celtics95-108
06/12/19ANew York Knicks129-92
04/12/19HLos Angeles Lakers96-105
30/11/19ASacramento Kings97-100 OT
27/11/19HWashington Wizards117-104
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/19AUtah Jazz102-109
15/12/19ANew Orleans Pelicans130-119
14/12/19HHouston Rockets107-130
12/12/19HLos Angeles Lakers87-96
10/12/19AMilwaukee Bucks101-110
07/12/19ACleveland Cavaliers93-87
05/12/19HPhoenix Suns128-114
04/12/19AWashington Wizards127-120
01/12/19HGolden State Warriors100-96
30/11/19HToronto Raptors83-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW72%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLWLLL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %72%80%64%
Points / game106.8108.0105.4
Allowed / game101.2102.0100.3
Point differential+5.6+6.0+5.1
Avg total207.9210.0205.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%33%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)60% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %10%7%14%
Orlando Magic
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL45%
HomeLWWLL47%
AwayWWLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %45%47%44%
Points / game103.0100.4105.7
Allowed / game103.7103.7103.8
Point differential-0.8-3.3+1.9
Avg total206.7204.1209.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%24%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)75% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks3329488%121.0107.6+13.4
2 Los Angeles Lakers3427779%111.9103.8+8.1
3 Boston Celtics2821775%110.8101.6+9.2
4 Miami Heat3324973%112.5106.5+6.1
5 Denver Nuggets2921872%106.8101.2+5.6
6 Philadelphia 76ers33231070%108.8103.1+5.7
7 Indiana Pacers32221069%110.4105.0+5.4
8 Toronto Raptors31211068%112.1106.6+5.4
9 Los Angeles Clippers32211166%112.9107.7+5.2
10 Houston Rockets32211166%120.2115.2+4.9
11 Dallas Mavericks31201165%116.6108.3+8.3
12 Brooklyn Nets30171357%111.0110.7+0.3
13 Utah Jazz31161552%108.1109.2-1.1
14 Oklahoma City Thunder30141647%107.7108.2-0.5
15 Orlando Magic33151845%103.0103.7-0.8
16 Sacramento Kings31141745%106.4108.2-1.8
17 Detroit Pistons33141942%108.4109.8-1.5
18 Phoenix Suns31131842%113.9113.7+0.3
19 Charlotte Hornets36142239%104.3109.9-5.5
20 Portland Trail Blazers31121939%112.0114.5-2.5
21 San Antonio Spurs31121939%110.6114.8-4.2
22 Chicago Bulls35132237%106.0107.5-1.5
23 Minnesota Timberwolves30111937%113.7118.1-4.4
24 Memphis Grizzlies31112035%110.1116.2-6.1
25 New Orleans Pelicans34122235%114.2118.8-4.6
26 Washington Wizards30102033%116.5119.2-2.8
27 New York Knicks3282425%102.8111.0-8.2
28 Cleveland Cavaliers3172423%102.3113.7-11.4
29 Golden State Warriors3372621%105.5114.0-8.6
30 Atlanta Hawks3372621%106.5117.6-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets27183929113
Orlando Magic32281628104
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